#EURUSD 1H Potential riseHello Traders
I see the EUR/USD bullish wave and the price has fallen in a corrective manner. I expect another bullish wave to start from here.
Analysis
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: Bullish Rebound from Key Support!!Key Observations:
1. Support Zone & Trendline:
A support zone (marked in red) is visible, which aligns with a rising trendline. The price has tested this area and bounced upwards, suggesting demand at this level.
2. Bullish Rejection & Confirmation:
The recent price action shows rejection of lower prices within the support zone.
A bullish candle has emerged after the price tested this zone, hinting at potential upside momentum.
3. Moving Average Resistance:
The 200-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) at 0.84058 acts as a significant resistance level.
If the price sustains above the trendline and support zone, a potential retest of the 200 EMA is likely.
4. Price Target & Direction:
The blue arrow suggests an expected bullish move.
The immediate target is around 0.8400 - 0.8450, where the 200 EMA and previous price action resistance exist.
Conclusion & Trading Plan:
Bullish Bias: As long as the price holds above the trendline and support zone, further upside is favored.
Breakout Confirmation: A daily close above 0.8350 could further confirm bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the trendline and support zone, it could trigger a bearish move toward 0.8250.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Consolidation Before Breakout?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis
Market Structure and Price Action
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart exhibits a consolidation phase, with price movements constrained within a well-defined range. This range is highlighted by the blue rectangular area, indicating indecision in the market as neither buyers nor sellers have established clear dominance.
Key Technical Levels
1. Resistance Levels:
$100,000 - $103,787: Upper boundary of the consolidation zone, serving as a key resistance level. A breakout above this level could indicate renewed bullish momentum.
$108,734 - $110,266: Potential upside targets if resistance is breached.
2. Support Levels:
$96,484 - $97,065: Lower boundary of the consolidation zone, acting as short-term support. A breakdown below this level could signal increased selling pressure.
$89,533 - $84,773 (200-day EMA): Critical long-term support zone. The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $84,773 serves as a major technical support level, historically acting as a strong demand zone in trending markets.
Technical Indicators and Market Outlook
200-Day EMA: The 200-day EMA at $84,773 reinforces long-term support, making it a key level to watch in case of a market correction.
Trendline Analysis: The chart indicates a previous uptrend, followed by a sideways consolidation. A breakout from this range will determine the next directional move.
Highlighted Zones:
Green-shaded areas suggest historical demand zones, indicating potential buying interest.
Orange-shaded areas represent previous supply zones, which may act as resistance in case of a price increase.
Potential Market Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout:
A break above $103,787 could trigger a continuation of the upward trend, with potential price targets at $108,734 and $110,266.
Sustained bullish momentum may push the price towards new all-time highs beyond $120,000.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A break below $96,000 may indicate increased selling pressure, leading to a potential decline towards $89,533 - $85,000.
If Bitcoin loses support at the 200-day EMA ($84,773), further downside momentum could materialize, leading to an extended correction.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently in a range-bound phase, with price action indicating market indecision. A breakout above $103,787 would signal a resumption of the bullish trend, whereas a break below $96,000 could lead to further downside movement. The 200-day EMA remains a critical long-term support level, and traders should closely monitor price action around these key areas to determine the next market direction.
Crypto Total Market Cap Consolidation: Imminent Breakout Ahead?Key Observations:
1. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:
The price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, with lower highs and higher lows.
A breakout in either direction is imminent.
2. Exponential Moving Average (EMA 200):
The 200-period EMA is at 3.26T, currently acting as resistance.
A breakout above this level could indicate a bullish trend continuation.
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI 14):
Current RSI: 49.34, slightly below the neutral 50 level.
This suggests neutral momentum, with no clear overbought/oversold signals.
A move above 55-60 could indicate increasing bullish momentum.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout:
If TOTAL breaks above the triangle resistance and EMA 200, the next targets could be 3.3T - 3.5T.
Confirmation requires high volume and RSI above 55.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A break below the triangle support could push TOTAL toward 3.0T or lower.
RSI dropping below 40 would confirm bearish momentum.
Conclusion:
The market is in a consolidation phase, awaiting a breakout. Watch for volume confirmation and EMA 200 reaction to determine the next move.
xauusd video analysis for the weekXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025
This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns.
1. Fundamental Drivers
A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold.
B. Monetary Policy and Inflation
Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices.
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold.
C. Central Bank Demand
Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand.
2. Technical Analysis
A. Short-Term Signals (February–March)
Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary).
Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier).
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets.
Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level.
3. Momentum Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages (MA):
50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support.
200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength.
Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
4. Chart Patterns and Trends
Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920.
Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest.
5. Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000.
Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850.
Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively.
Bullish Targets/ Resistance
2890
2906
2928
2934
2959
2972
2987
3023
Bearish/Support
2872
2857
2841
2807
2781
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 19, 2025 EURUSDU.S. President Donald Trump said late Tuesday that he would likely impose tariffs on imports of cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals of about 25%, with an announcement to follow as early as 2 April.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said a peace deal could not yet be concluded. He postponed his visit to Saudi Arabia, scheduled for Wednesday, until 10 March to avoid giving ‘legitimacy’ to the US-Russia talks. This uncertainty could lift the US dollar and serve as a tailwind for the pair.
Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes of the January FOMC meeting, which are due to be released later on Wednesday. This report could provide some clues as to how policymakers assess the risk of a global trade war.
On the other side of the pond, the ZEW Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index came in at 24.2 in February versus 18.0 previously, missing expectations. Rising bets that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates three more times this year could put pressure on the Euro (EUR).
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0450, SL 1.0500, TP 1.0350
GOLD - Potential Selling Opportunity to 2,912?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently at a clear resistance level that has acted as a zone for bullish momentum. This could signal a potential selling opportunity.
If bearish signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, emerge, I expect a move toward 2,912 . On the other hand, a breakout above this resistance could weaken the bearish outlook.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck
EURNZD - Buy Setup at Clear ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is approaching a clear support zone, marked by prior bullish reactions and buyer interest. This zone has consistently reversed bearish trends in the past, making it an interesting area to watch.
If buyers step in and confirm the support with bullish price action, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing patterns, I anticipate a move upward toward 1,83500. But if a break below this zone occurs, it could signal increased selling pressure and invalidate the bullish outlook.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Silver Faces Resistance After Recent RallySilver remained above $32 per ounce on Sunday after recent volatility, supported by a weaker dollar on soft US economic data and easing global trade war concerns.
On Friday, silver hit a three-month high, driven by strong industrial demand, particularly in electrification and manufacturing. Reports showed China added 357 gigawatts of solar and wind power in 2024, boosting industrial silver use. Meanwhile, India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corp pledged INR 1 trillion for renewable energy, and Indonesia aims to add 17 gigawatts of solar capacity.
Key resistance is at 33.15, with further levels at 33.80 and 34.50. Support stands at 31.40, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
GBP/USD Rises on Strong UK GDPGBP/USD climbed to 1.2595 in early Asian trading on Sunday, driven by strong UK GDP data and weaker US retail sales. January retail sales dropped 0.9%, the steepest decline in nearly two years, after a revised 0.7% rise in December, far below the expected 0.1% dip. However, year-over-year sales grew by 4.2%. Meanwhile, the UK economy expanded by 0.1% in Q4 2024, beating forecasts and strengthening the Pound.
Key resistance is at 1.2600, with further levels at 1.2650 and 1.2700. Support stands at 1.2340, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100.
Fed Talk Lifts Dollar, EUR/USD Under PressureEUR/USD hovers around 1.0455, while the dollar index rebounded to 107 on Tuesday, snapping a three-day losing streak. The recovery followed remarks from Federal Reserve officials signaling a pause in rate cuts to focus on inflation control. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested holding off on cuts unless inflation trends match 2024 levels, while Governor Michelle Bowman stressed the need for more evidence before easing policy. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker also supported maintaining current rates amid economic strength.
Markets now await this week’s FOMC minutes for further rate guidance. Last week, the dollar weakened due to mixed US economic data and reduced tariff concerns. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that currency manipulation is now a key factor in trade strategy.
Technically, resistance stands at 1.0515, with further barriers at 1.0600 and 1.0650. Support lies at 1.0350, followed by 1.0275 and 1.0220.
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 18, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) attracted some sellers during Tuesday's Asian session, which, along with a slight rise in the US dollar (USD), helped the USD/JPY pair to stage a modest recovery from the 151.250 area or more than a one-week low. Investors welcomed US President Donald Trump's delay in imposing retaliatory tariffs. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor undermining the safe-haven yen. However, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid rising bets for an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), helped by the release of robust Q4 Japanese GDP data on Monday.
Meanwhile, the BoJ's hawkish expectations have led to a significant rise in Japanese government bond yields to multi-year highs. In addition, the recent decline in U.S. Treasury yields, supported by expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), has narrowed the differential between U.S. and Japanese rates. This may further deter traders from aggressive bearish bets on the lower-yielding yen. Thus, it would be prudent to wait for strong buying before confirming that the USD/JPY pair has bottomed and positioning for further recovery.
Trading recommendation: BUY 152.000, SL 151.300, TP 153.100
Silver (XAG/USD) Gaining Momentum – Next Target $32-$33?Silver is showing strong bullish momentum, currently trading around $31.53, with a +1.25% gain. The price has broken above key resistance levels and is now trading above the 200 EMA (currently at $30.48), which signals a potential continuation of the uptrend.
There's a fair volume range above, along with an internal liquidity level (Int. LQ), which could act as the next target. The market has already filled a previous market block (MB), suggesting that the structure is clean for further upside.
If this bullish momentum holds, the price could push toward $32 - $33 in the short term. A retest of support near $30.50 (200 EMA) would still keep the uptrend intact.
USDCAD Bearish Breakdown: Retest & Drop Incoming? USDCAD Daily Chart Analysis 📉🔥
1️⃣ Trend Breakdown:
The pair was in an uptrend but has now broken below the ascending trendline, signaling a potential bearish shift.
2️⃣ Resistance Zone (Supply Area) 🟦:
The 1.4350 - 1.4450 region acted as resistance, rejecting price strongly.
Multiple rejections in this area indicate strong selling pressure.
3️⃣ Bearish Confirmation 📉:
Price is now trading below the broken trendline.
The recent daily candle closed bearish, confirming sellers are in control.
4️⃣ Key Support Areas 🔍:
1.3957 (200 EMA) → A crucial dynamic support level.
1.3916 → Previous key level that may act as strong demand.
5️⃣ Projected Move ⬇️:
Price may retest the broken trendline (pullback).
If rejection occurs, further drop towards 1.3950 - 1.3910 is likely.
📌 Final Thought:
A bearish move is in play! Watch for a pullback to retest the broken structure before considering further shorts. If price breaks below 1.3950, expect further declines.
💭 What’s your bias? Bulls 🐂 or Bears 🐻?
EUR/USD Breakout Imminent? Key Resistance in Focus!📊 EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Incoming? 🚀
🔹 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone (Blue Box): Around 1.0450 - 1.0500
Support Zone (Red Box): Around 1.0250 - 1.0300
200 EMA (Red Line): Acting as a dynamic resistance near 1.0663
🔹 Price Action & Structure:
Price is testing a strong resistance zone (blue box) after multiple failed attempts.
A clean breakout above this level could trigger a bullish rally towards 1.0600 - 1.0700 (next resistance).
If rejected, a pullback towards 1.0300 before another attempt is possible.
🔹 Market Sentiment & Bias: ✅ Higher lows forming = bullish pressure building. ✅ Break and retest scenario likely, as indicated by the projection. ✅ 200 EMA remains a key target for bulls.
📈 Potential Trade Setup:
Breakout above 1.0500 → Buy opportunity
Rejection → Short-term pullback before another attempt
🎯 Bullish Confirmation Above 1.0500 📊💹
XAU/USD 30-Min Analysis – Bullish Reversal & Breakout SetupGold (XAU/USD) - 30-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆📊
Key Observations:
Market Structure Shift (CHOCH - Change of Character) 🔄
The chart marks a CHOCH, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
This suggests that the recent downtrend may have concluded, and buyers are stepping in.
Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt 🎯
The price dipped below the SELL STOP level, likely triggering stop-loss orders.
A sharp rejection followed, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels.
200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) as Dynamic Support 📈
The price tested the 200 EMA (2,885.011) and bounced off, reinforcing the bullish case.
This suggests that institutional traders might be accumulating positions near this zone.
Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀
The highlighted grey box represents a potential order block or accumulation zone.
A breakout above this area could confirm the bullish continuation towards the target level (2,942.963).
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Retest of the grey accumulation zone (around 2,894 - 2,899).
Stop-Loss: Below the recent low (around 2,880).
Target: 2,942.963 (previous resistance & psychological level).
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1 (optimal for a trade execution).
Final Thoughts:
🔸 If price holds above the breakout zone, we could see a strong rally towards 2,942.
🔸 If it fails to hold and falls below 2,880, expect further downside retracement.
🔸 Bullish sentiment is favored, but confirmation is key! ✅
XAU/USD Breakout – Targeting $2,950?XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆📊
🔹 Current Price: $2,926.285
🔹 Recent High: $2,927.305
🔹 Recent Low: $2,923.840
🔹 200 EMA Support: $2,870.242 (far below current price)
Key Observations & Setup
✅ Breakout Confirmed: The price has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling bullish momentum.
✅ Target Zone: The red resistance zone near $2,945 - $2,950 is the next potential target.
✅ Potential Move: Price is expected to climb toward this resistance area before facing rejection or continuation.
✅ Support Levels: If the breakout fails, the previous resistance (now support) around $2,915 - $2,920 could be tested.
Trading Plan 📈💡
Bullish Play: If price holds above the breakout level, targeting $2,945 - $2,950 could be a solid setup.
Bearish Rejection: Watch for rejection at the resistance zone for possible short opportunities.
EMA Support: The 200 EMA remains far below, reinforcing overall bullish sentiment unless a major pullback occurs.
📢 Final Thoughts: This is a classic breakout & retest scenario. If momentum sustains, we could see a push into the resistance zone. Stay cautious for any rejection signals! 🚀🔥
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EURSEK at Key Support Level - Will Price Rebound to 11,364?OANDA:EURSEK is in a significant support zone, which has been a turning point for bullish moves. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this critical area, creating a potential buying opportunity.
If bullish signals appear, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 11,364, . However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside.
Traders should be patient and wait for confirmation of bullish strength before entering long positions.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management,
Best of luck , TrendDiva
EURNZD - Sell Setup at Key Resistance ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is currently trading in a clear resistance zone that has consistently acted as a barrier for bullish momentum. This area aligns with prior supply levels and could attract some seller interest.
If rejection patterns, such as bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks, emerge, I anticipate a move toward 1.83500 . However, a break above this zone could signal a potential shift in market sentiment.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in.
PLATINUM - Sell Setup at Key Resistance ZoneOANDA:XPTUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, an area where sellers have previously stepped in to drive prices lower. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, making it a level to watch for potential rejection.
If price struggles to break above and we see bearish confirmation, I anticipate a pullback toward the $1,021 level.
However, a strong breakout and hold above resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially leading to further upside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in.
I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
