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HolderStat | BTC at a crossroads🌍 Bitcoin holds steady at $101,500, reflecting a market in flux. While Microsoft passed on BTC reserves, nations and corporations are exploring Bitcoin reserves, highlighting its financial relevance. 📉 Spot BTC ETF inflows have slowed since November, hinting at cautious sentiment. Broader crypto ETFs and U.S. policy shifts could ignite new institutional interest. 💡 Bitcoin dominance dipped, and while altcoins remain in the wings, a shift feels near. Wallets activity shows balance, with buys at $97,740 and sells near $98,510—traders remain divided. 🔥 With $1.5 billion in long liquidations and neutral funding rates, the market stands at a pivotal moment. Is this the calm before the next bull storm? _____________________ 📊 Want more useful analytics? Like and subscribe to stay up to date with the most relevant trading ideas! Always DYOR! 🔬
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HolderStat
1
Will the better-than-expected employment data revert AUD's trend+ Macro theme: The RBA kept rates at 4.35%, sounding more optimistic about inflation and hinting at future cuts. But Thu's job numbers might spoil those plans—Unemployment Rate dropped to 3.9%, showing a surprisingly strong labor market. This hot jobs data could push back those early 2025 rate-cut forecasts many have been making. + Technical theme: - AUDUSD found support and bounced above 0.6365. The price is within the descending channel and below both EMAs, indicating a bearish momentum persists. - If AUDUSD extends its decline below 0.6365, the price may retest the subsequent support at 0.6300, confluence with the 100% level of Fibonacci Extension. - On the contrary, if AUDUSD surges above 0.6474, breaking its descending channel and EMA21, the price may retest the following resistance around 0.6560. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
by DatTong
XAUUSD BULLISH ANALYSIS (READ CAPTOIN)Hi taders! Share your opinion regarding this chart. Current price: 2695 Currently gold is being supported by buyers as all d1 candle of this week have created bullish candles. After temporary retracement market has returned to it's bullish trend. Rejection of h4 candle is another indicator of a strong bullish market. If gold breakouts the price 2711 which is our demand zone then market will go further high up to 2732. Key points: Support zone : 2690-2680 Resistance zone 2710-2722 Please like comment thank you support
TVC:GOLDLong
by LindaFxTrading
1
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights. Technical Setup Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade. Trade Plan Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level). Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection). Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit). Risk/Reward Insights This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips. Disclaimer Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed. Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
Short
by InwardTrader
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights. Technical Setup Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade. Trade Plan Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level). Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection). Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit). Risk/Reward Insights This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips. Disclaimer Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed. Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
Short
by InwardTrader
XRP/USDT 4-Hour AnalysisXRP/USDT 4-Hour Analysis On the 4-hour time frame, XRP/USDT is forming a small bullish pennant pattern. Using the height of the previous leg as a projection, the first target is in the green zone 1. To change the current structure of lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), the price needs to form a new higher high (HH). This also requires breaking through the pink resistance zone, which is a critical level to watch. Targets: First target (green zone 1): $2.87 Second target (green zone 2): $3.35 It’s essential to monitor the breakout of the resistance zone and confirm bullish momentum to reach these levels.
by WaveRiders2
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 11, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD lost around 0.2% on Tuesday, declining for the third consecutive day and hitting 1.0500 again, as the euro's bullish near-term recovery comes to naught. Ahead of the key U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figure due for release on Wednesday and the European Central Bank's (ECB) next meeting on Thursday, traders once again adopted a cautious stance. Wednesday's CPI inflation index will be one of the last key data points before the Federal Reserve's (Fed) last meeting in 2024. Signs that inflation progress has stalled could kill hopes for a third consecutive rate cut on December 18. With the current rate cut on Wednesday, U.S. CPI inflation for November is expected to rise slightly to 2.7% y/y from the previous reading of 2.6%, while core annual CPI is expected to remain at 3.3%. Traders estimate the probability of the last quarter-point rate cut this year at 85%. The ECB's latest rate meeting is scheduled for Thursday, and investors are widely expected to get another quarter-point rate cut. The ECB's main refinancing operations rate is forecast to be cut to 3.15% from 3.4% and the ECB deposit rate is forecast to fall to 3.0% from 3.25%. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 1.0480, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
US CPI, WHERE WILL THE DOLLAR GO NEXTTrading Plan BASELINE C urrent Short-Term Sentiment Bias : - The market is currently focused on the upcoming US inflation report and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. - There is an 86% probability priced in for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed later this month⁵. - The dollar index is steady around 106.3, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of the inflation data. SURPRISE Outcome That Will Surprise the Markets Based on the Baseline: - Lower-than-expected inflation data : This would likely lead to USD selling as markets fully price in the anticipated rate cut. A good trade in this scenario would be GBP/USD longs, leveraging the pound's net long positions and the USD's net short positions. - Higher-than-expected inflation data : This would likely result in USD strength as investors adjust their rate cut expectations. A good trade in this scenario would be EUR/USD sells, based on stronger USD institutional positioning compared to the EUR. BIGGER PICTURE Does This Outcome Change the Larger Macro-Fundamental Bias? - Lower-than-expected inflation : Reinforces the expectation of continued easing by the Fed, aligning with the current macro-fundamental bias of a dovish Fed aiming to support economic growth and achieve its 2% inflation target. - Higher-than-expected inflation : Could shift the macro-fundamental bias towards a more cautious Fed, potentially delaying further rate cuts and maintaining a tighter monetary policy stance to combat persistent inflation⁷⁸. Notes - Macro-fundamental bias: The market expects the Fed to continue easing monetary policy to support economic growth and achieve its inflation target. This expectation is based on the Fed's dual mandate and recent economic indicators. - Short-term sentiment bias: The market is currently focused on the upcoming US inflation report and its potential impact on Fed policy, as well as interest rate decision.
TVC:DXY
by Midas_Macro
2
(1D) MICROSOFT ANALYSIS (MSFT)Inspired by today's failed Bitcoin shareholders' vote, I've put up my prognosis for Microsoft MSFT for the next few months. MSFT is down almost 1.5% on the day, rejecting at the 78.8% retracement of the down move from the ATH. There are a couple possible scenarios going forward. Bullish case is that MSFT started a Bull Flag Correction (waves labeled in blue) with the pivot from the ATH in July. If so, we are completing Wave B of this flag (internal waves labelled in purple) , which may have completed already with this 78.6% rejection. However, we could still see it complete a 100% retracement instead and terminate as a Double Top, retesting and getting rejected at the ATH. This would signal the start of Wave C. We could expect this final wave to have a similar size to Wave A, giving us a short-term 17% Short play from the ATH before ultimately continuing the larger upside trend. Bearish case would be that Wave B described above (labelled in purple) is instead actually a Bear Flag for downside. This would have to be confirmed with a break below the $385 Support Range. **This analysis would be invalidated if we do indeed get a breakout above the current ATH, factoring in for some % overshoot (aka fake breakout).
NASDAQ:MSFT
by PHICAPITALINVESTMENTS
Boeing Seller Exhaustion sets in🐂 Trade Idea: Long - BA 🔥 Account Risk: 15.00% 📈 Recommended Product: Stock 🔍 Entry: +/- 149.00 🐿 DCA: No 😫 Stop-Loss: 135.00 🎯 Take-Profit #1: 260.00 (50%) 🎯 Trail Rest: Yes 🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨 If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button! — BA sees massive seller exhaustion over the last few weeks. There is nothing negative that could be published now that has not already been priced in. Trump's policy of higher tariffs should protect Boeing and the backlog is already at over 10 years of current sales. In view of the duopoly and the points mentioned above, as well as the technical chart picture, strong buying should be made here. — Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only. Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
NYSE:BALong
by LGNDRY-Capital