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GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Setup – 15-Min Chart (July 8, 2025) Entry Zone: Price is currently consolidating in a marked demand zone, forming a potential bullish setup. Support Level (SL): 3325 – This is the stop-loss level, placed just below the support zone to minimize risk. Buy Zone: Price is expected to rise from the current level after breaking out of the consolidation box (purple zone). Bullish Structure: Price is forming higher lows and appears to be preparing for a breakout to the upside. Target: 3348 – This is the marked resistance level and take-profit target, just below the "Strong High" area. Key Levels: Support: 3325 Current Price: Around 3334 Resistance Zones: 3343, 3348 Summary: A bullish move is anticipated from the current price level, with an entry near 3334 targeting 3348. Stop-loss is placed at 3325 to protect against downside risk. Break of the immediate resistance could trigger upward momentum toward the target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sniperfx05
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 8, 2025 USDJPYThe yen remains under pressure from trade frictions. President Donald Trump has confirmed 25 percent tariffs on Japanese goods effective 1 August, fuelling U.S.-inflation expectations and reducing the odds of a near-term Fed rate cut. Ten-year Treasury yields have climbed above 4.45 percent, while the spread over equivalent JGBs hovers near 380 basis points—supportive for the dollar. Japan’s domestic backdrop offers little relief. Nominal wage growth has slowed for a third straight month, and real household incomes have posted their deepest decline in twenty months. The weak earnings momentum complicates the Bank of Japan’s exit strategy and keeps ultra-loose policy firmly in place, encouraging further capital outflows from the yen. Against this backdrop, USD/JPY is consolidating above its 100-day moving average around 146.40–146.50. Absent a sudden flight to safe-haven assets, the pair could break 147.00 in the coming sessions, while the 145.950–146.000 zone is widely viewed as an attractive area to add to long positions. Trading recommendation: BUY 146.250, SL 145.950, TP 147.000
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
First obvious major clue may be stronger than the second.I think this shows a clear direction in price action. Strong moves addition to bullish trend line and internal structure. Now at the moment, I am looking at the trend line as a major attraction point in the current moment. Some opinions may say that it's more correct to sell down lower from the trend line, and that might be correct. Although, at this moment, price has yet to have a proper pullback after a clean breakout below. It might honestly just be too obvious that it'd go down lower after retesting trend line, so in my opinion, I think the most clear entry right now is to buy now at a low point, might as well be called a liquidity pool. So right now in this strong trend change, the next obvious major potential for move is going to be back at trend line. The next obvious move will be even more obvious, so then it might also be lacking stability, but until then, my focus here is to buy within a potential deep pullback.
FX:US30Long
by CyberFxTrader
EURNZD: Steep Channel continuation setupEURNZD continues to rise within a steep ascending channel, maintaining a well-structured sequence. No signs of exhaustion are evident yet, as bullish momentum remains strong and price action continues to respect both the midline and lower boundary of the channel. This ongoing strength suggests that buyers remain in control, and unless we see a clear shift in structure, such as a break below channel support or loss of momentum, the trend remains intact. 🟢 Trend Bias: I remain bullish on EURNZD while price stays within this channel. Any pullbacks toward the lower channel boundary or previous breakout zones may offer continuation opportunities. 🎯 Target: My upside target is 1.983 , which aligns with the projected upper boundary of the ascending channel and makes a good technical target if the structure continues to hold. 🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown below the channel with follow-through would challenge this bias and signal the possibility of a deeper corrective move. For now, the structure favors trend continuation over reversal. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TrendDiva
35
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 15-Minute Chart The price is currently showing signs of bullish momentum after forming a Break of Structure (BOS) around the 3297 level, which is also marked as the Stop Loss (SL) area. After retesting the demand zone (highlighted in purple), the price has started to push upwards, suggesting a potential reversal. A bullish price path is projected, with expectations of higher highs. Key Levels: Entry Zone (Support): Around 3297 (SL zone) Resistance Zones: First Resistance: 3309 Second Resistance: 3314 Final Target: 3320 If the bullish momentum continues, the price is expected to break above the minor resistance levels and reach the target of 3320.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sniperfx05
1
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 7, 2025 Trade Setup: The chart shows a bullish trade setup based on a potential reversal from a "Weak Low" support area around 3304. After forming a BOS (Break of Structure) and a small consolidation (highlighted box), price is expected to move higher. Entry: Long position initiated slightly above the consolidation zone. Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3304, just below the recent weak low support. Target (TP): Final target at 3326, where a key resistance level lies. Key Levels: Support Zone: 3304 (Weak Low) Resistance Levels: 3317.5 3222.9 3326.2 (Final Target) Market Structure Notes: CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates potential shift to bullish momentum. Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way to the target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sniperfx05
Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025FX_IDC:XAUUSD 📰 The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. 📈 Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future. **Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** 🕊️ ceasefire negotiations. Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty 🌫️ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter 😬, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout". Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 💥 Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow. Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. 🚀 Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. 🙏 The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" 🎉 He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.🤝 Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory – a common move to satisfy their citizens. 🏅 Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close – but it's a welcome outcome! 🙏 **Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** 💹🏛️ The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. ⬇️ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market. The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. 🎤👨‍⚖️ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. 🤷 However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! 😮 ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 India / Pakistan Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week. Outlook 🔮: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions. Gaza Conflict Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked. Outlook 🔮: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access. Russia / Ukraine Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages. Outlook 🔮: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains. U.S. – China Trade War A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors. Outlook 🔮: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI. 🌐 Global Trade War Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented. Outlook 🔮: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism. Trump vs. Powell Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him “stubborn” and demanded immediate easing. Outlook 🔮: The Fed’s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow. 📈 U.S. Inflation Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth. Outlook 🔮: A rate cut later in 2025 is possible—if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive. ## Technical View 📐📈 **Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400. **ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:** * **Market Structure:** The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside. * **Order Blocks:** Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range. * **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range. * **Liquidity Pools:** Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone. * **Session Analysis:** The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines. * **Smart Money Concepts:** Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase. **Gann Analysis:** * **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:** The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25²) and support at $3,249 (57²). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July. * **Gann Levels:** * Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59²) * Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025 **Fibonacci Analysis:** * **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):** * 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance) * 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone) * 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level) * 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance) * 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest) * **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):** * 127.2%: $3,245 * 161.8%: $3,195 * 261.8%: $3,095 * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025. **Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:** * **Key Institutional Levels:** * Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional) * Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster) * Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone) * Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area) * **Volume Profile Analysis:** * High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area) * Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone) * Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330 **Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:** Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250. **Cycle Timing Analysis:** * **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):** Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle. * **Medium-Term Cycles:** The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation. * **Seasonal Patterns:** July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally"). **Trading Strategy & Levels:** * **Bearish Scenario (Primary):** * Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone. * Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150. * Stop Loss: Above $3,380. * **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):** * Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation. * Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400. * Stop Loss: Below $3,230. **Key Events to Watch:** * **US PCE Data:** Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release. * **Fed Communications:** Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold. * **Geopolitical Developments:** Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand. **Conclusion:** The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement. **Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** 🗓️🌍 🗓️ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT) * ** Sunday , June 29, 2025** * 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5 * ** Monday , June 30, 2025** * 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5 * ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025** * 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9% * 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4 * 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M * ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025** * 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K * 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M * ** Thursday , July 3, 2025** * Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) 🇺🇸⏰ * 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4% * 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K * 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K * 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2% * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7 * ** Friday , July 4, 2025** * All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day 🎆 **Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** 🔮💰 Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.🔽 However, fresh news can always flip the script! 🔄 As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. 🤞 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
HelenP I. Gold can correct to trend line and then bounce upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that gold has formed a broadening wedge pattern with several touches of the trend line, which acts as a dynamic support. After a strong drop, the price found support near the 3295 level and rebounded, forming a local upward movement. However, bulls have not yet shown a strong impulse, and the price is still trading below the resistance zone between 3390 and 3400 points. Currently, the price is hovering just above the trend line, and appears to be testing this support again. I expect a short decline, possibly to the area around 3295 - 3285 points - that’s the key support zone. If this area holds and we see a bounce, it will confirm that buyers are still active and ready to push the price up again. In this case, we could see gold continue moving inside the wedge pattern and aim for the upper resistance. My goal is set at the 3390 level, right near the wedge's upper border and strong resistance. This target matches the local highs from previous attempts, and if bulls gain momentum, they may try to break through this zone. But for now, I remain cautiously bullish and expect gold to bounce off the trend line and move upward toward the resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
12
MANA - move in support and then shoot at 150%Price Prediction: Short Term (1-3 Days): The price may continue to move within the falling wedge, maintaining a downward trajectory. However, there is a high probability of testing the lower boundary of the wedge ($0.1900 USDT). If the price holds above $0.1900 USDT, this could signal a corrective rally toward the $0.2750 USDT level. Medium Term (1-2 Weeks): If the price successfully tests the lower boundary of the wedge and rebounds upward, this could lead to a reversal of the pattern and the start of an uptrend. The target levels after a wedge breakout would be $0.3863 USDT (previous local high). In case of an unsuccessful test of support ($0.1889 USDT), the price may continue to decline toward deeper support levels (e.g., $0.1500 USDT). Long Term (1 Month+): If there is a successful reversal of the falling wedge pattern, this could mark the beginning of a sustained recovery. Target levels could extend beyond $0.3863 USDT, such as $0.5000 USDT or higher. However, if the downtrend continues without reversal, long-term targets could be significantly below current levels. Trading Recommendations: Long (Buy): Entry: After a successful test of the lower boundary of the wedge ($0.1900 USDT) and a subsequent bounce upward. Take-Profit: $0.2750 USDT → $0.3863 USDT → $0.5000 USDT. Stop-Loss: Below $0.1889 USDT (to protect against further declines). Short (Sell): Entry: If the price fails to break above the upper boundary of the wedge ($0.2750 USDT) and begins to decline. Take-Profit: $0.1900 USDT → $0.1500 USDT. Stop-Loss: Above $0.2750 USDT (to protect against a bullish reversal). Conclusion: At the moment, the asset MANA is in a downtrend, forming a falling wedge. This creates potential for both a corrective rally and a continuation of the decline. The key event will be the test of the lower boundary of the wedge ($0.1900 USDT). A successful test could lead to a reversal of the pattern and the start of an uptrend, while an unsuccessful test could strengthen the downtrend.
Long
by Bar-Pump
BITCOIN - Price can drop from resistance area to $103000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago, price entered a pennant pattern, where it at once made an upward impulse from support line. Then the price reached $98700 level and soon broke it, after a small correction, and then continued to move up. Later BTC rose to the resistance line of the pennant, but soon turned around and started to decline, breaking $110000 level. Price little corrected and then tried to bounce back and failed, after which it fell to $98700 level and then started to grow. In a short time, BTC rose to a $110000 resistance level and tried to break it again, but recently turned around and started to fall. Now, I expect that BTC can grow to the resistance area and then drop to $103000 support line of the pennant. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by WalterMoon
20
HelenP. I Euro may soon reverse and test support near $1.1655Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, EURUSD has been climbing steadily within an uptrend, bouncing multiple times from the trend line and making higher highs. However, despite the recent bullish structure, the pair is now showing signs of slowing momentum. The price is approaching a possible turning point near the top, and the latest candles show hesitation. Now the pair is trading near 1.1790 and still staying above the trend line, but I believe it may rise a bit more and then break down below the trend line. Once this structure is broken, I expect sellers to take control and push EURUSD toward the nearest support zone between 1.1655 and 1.1630 points. This zone acted as a key level in the past and may serve as the next area of interest for buyers. Given the extended movement and potential loss of bullish pressure, I remain bearish and expect EURUSD to move down to retest support. The level of 1.1655 is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by FirstNameHelen
4
Gold will exit from pennant and then rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Recently, the price formed a pennant pattern after a sharp bullish impulse from the buyer zone (3275–3285 points). That upward movement started after the price bounced off the strong support level (3285) and broke out from the wedge structure formed earlier. This bullish momentum indicated strong demand near the lower boundary, reinforcing the current market structure. Now, the price is consolidating inside the pennant formation, slowly approaching its apex. At the same time, we are still above the support trendline and close to the upper border of the pattern. This suggests a possible breakout to the upside. I expect that gold will soon exit the pennant and start rising again toward the resistance level at 3385, which also matches the seller zone (3385–3395 points). This area previously acted as a major reversal zone, so if price reaches it, I will consider locking profits at that point. Given the breakout structure, recent bounce from the buyer zone, and current bullish consolidation, I remain bullish and expect GOLD to continue growing toward TP 1 at 3385. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
10
EURO - After movement up, price will drop to support lineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it some time traded below the support area and soon bounced up. Price broke $1.1455 level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, after which it turned around and made correction movement. Next, price some time traded near $1.1455 level and then bounced and continued to move up inside the channel. In a short time Euro rose to $1.1700 level, which coincided with a support area, and some time trades between this level. Then the price broke this level and continued to move up, until it almost reached the resistance line of the channel and started to fall. Now, I think the Euro can rise a little and then continue to fall to $1.1610 support line of the channel, breaking $1.1700 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
14
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 4, 2025 EURUSDEvents to pay attention to today: 12:00 EET. EUR - Producer Price Index EURUSD: On Friday, during the Asian session, the EUR/USD pair is trading in a narrow range around 1.1760. The main currency pair is showing sluggish dynamics amid the US holiday (Independence Day). The US dollar (USD) is maintaining its recovery, triggered by better-than-expected non-farm payrolls (NFP) data for June. Data released on Thursday showed that the US economy added 147,000 new jobs, exceeding expectations of 110,000. The better-than-expected NFP data brought some relief to the US dollar, but this is unlikely to continue as the report shows that private sector hiring is losing momentum. Private employers added 74,000 jobs in June, well below the three-month average of 115,000. This scenario is unlikely to ease the position of several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, including Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, who advocated for lower interest rates at a policy meeting later this month, citing potential risks in the labour market. In the eurozone, the sharp appreciation of the euro (EUR) has raised concerns that inflation could fall below the European Central Bank's (ECB) 2% target. According to a senior ECB official, ‘the ECB may have to make it clear that too strong a euro could be a problem, as it could cause inflation to hover below target,’ reports the Financial Times (FT). Trading recommendation: SELL 1.17700, SL 1.18000, TP 1.16900
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BNB/USD (4h interval)🔍 1. Chart structure Instrument: Binance Coin / USD (BNB/USD) Interval: 4 hours 📐 2. Technical formations 🔸 Breakout from the descending wedge formation The descending wedge (orange lines) is a bullish formation - it suggests a potential breakout upwards. The breakout occurred dynamically, with a large breakout candle (confirmation of the formation). The goal of breaking out of the wedge is usually the height of the entire formation - this is marked with an orange arrow. 📈 Breakout range (target): around $697–710 🟢 Potential next targets: 697.83 (local resistance/projection result) 710.73 (main wedge height projection) 728.12 (strong resistance from history) 📊 3. Supports and resistances 🟥 Support zones (red rectangles): $648.5–637.5 – previous resistance, now tested as support after the breakout. $608.5–592.5 – strong support from previous lows. 🔼 Currently, the price has tested the upper support zone (648–637), reacted positively and continues to move up. 🟩 Resistance levels (green horizontal lines): 679.88 USD – local resistance, first target after breaking out of the wedge. 697.83 USD – projected range from the formation. 710.73 USD – full technical range of the breakout. 728.12 USD – strong resistance from history, may be a long-term target. 📉 4. Trends and support lines Purple upward trend line – currently the price is above, which confirms the short-term upward trend. Its break may lead to a retest of 648–637 USD. Only below this zone can a larger correction be considered. 📈 5. Stochastic RSI indicator Currently in the overbought zone (above 80). Possible temporary cooling – signal for local correction / consolidation. It is worth waiting for the indicator to go down to around 20 to re-enter the long. ✅ 6. Scenarios 🔼 Bullish (base) scenario: Staying above 648–637 USD. Maintaining the uptrend line. Continuation to 679.88 → 697.83 → 710.73. 🔽 Bearish scenario: Breaking the purple trend line. Returning below 648 USD → going down to the 608–592 zone. Negation of the breakout from the wedge. 📌 Final conclusions Breaking out from the descending wedge is a strong pro-growth signal. The price behaves in accordance with technical analysis, testing the previous resistance as support. Currently, the retest and consolidation phase is underway – maintaining the trend line and the level of $648 will be key. The medium-term target is $697–710.
CRYPTO:BNBUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Bitcoin will drop from resistance level and fall to 103500 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Some days ago, price entered the pennant, where it turned around from the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level, and dropped to the 103500 support level. Then it bounced and tried to grow, but soon failed and dropped below the 103500 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and reached the support line of the pennant. Following this movement, BTC experienced an upward impulse, breaking the 103,500 support level and subsequently exiting the pennant pattern, before rising to the resistance level. Price broke this level and then started to decline inside another pennant pattern. In this pattern, the price dropped top 103500 support level again and then tried to bounce back, but failed and continued to decline. In a short time, it fell to the support level, broke it, and then fell to the support line of the pennant. Next, BTC turned around and repeated an impulse up to the resistance line of the pennant and exited from this pattern. Then it rose to the seller zone, where it rebounded from it and fell, but recently it rebounded and started to grow. Now, I expect that price will reach the resistance level and then drop to the 103500 support level. For this case, this level is my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
13
Gold Ready to Explode Ahead of NFP and Trump’s “Super Bill”?Gold Ready to Explode Ahead of NFP and Trump’s “Super Bill”? | Global Macro Focus 🌍 MACRO UPDATE – What the World is Watching: Gold continues its bullish trajectory as the USD weakens sharply following last night’s disappointing ADP jobs report (-33K vs expected +99K). This soft labour data has fueled further speculation that the Fed could begin rate cuts as early as September, with a 90% probability now being priced in. In the political arena, Donald Trump’s recent statement that House Republicans are aligned to push forward a so-called “Super Bill” has triggered fresh uncertainty around US fiscal policy. This could elevate safe-haven demand for gold, especially if it leads to increased tensions over debt ceilings or government spending. With the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) due later today and the UK and US markets heading into a long weekend, traders should brace for heightened volatility and liquidity gaps. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – What the Charts Are Saying: Overall Trend: Bullish structure remains intact as gold breaks and holds above 3365. EMA Setup: Price trades above EMA 13/34/89/200 – signaling strong upside momentum. Fair Value Gap (FVG): 3374 – 3388 area remains an unfilled FVG zone; possible magnet for short-term price action. Key Resistance Levels: 3365, 3374, 3380, 3388, 3393 Key Support Levels: 3343, 3335, 3325, 3316, 3304 Trendline & Structure: The ascending trendline from 3316 remains unbroken, providing a potential bounce point if price corrects. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS – Strategic Zones to Watch: 🔵 Buy (Short-Term Scalp): Entry: 3335 – 3333 SL: 3329 TP: 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 🟢 Buy Zone (Swing Perspective): Entry: 3316 – 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 → 3336 → 3350 → 3360 🔴 Sell Scalp (Reversal Zone) Entry: 3374 – 3376 SL: 3380 TP: 3370 → 3360 → 3350 ⚠️ Sell Zone (High-Risk Rejection): Entry: 3388 – 3390 SL: 3394 TP: 3380 → 3370 → 3360 🔎 NOTE FOR GLOBAL TRADERS: With UK markets partially closed and US session shortened ahead of the Independence Day holiday, liquidity may be thin and volatility could spike unexpectedly. Always place stop-loss and avoid emotional entries near key resistance. 💬 Do you believe gold can break and close above the FVG zone (3388) before the weekend volatility hits full throttle? Let’s discuss.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap?EUR/USD – Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap? 🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK – EURO CLIMBS WHILE USD TREADS ON UNCERTAIN POLITICAL GROUND: EUR/USD is trading just below the 1.1700 mark as investors remain cautious about the US dollar's long-term credibility. Growing concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence — should the “Trump 2.0” scenario unfold — have weighed heavily on USD sentiment across global markets. Meanwhile, the Euro is gaining support thanks to a relatively hawkish tone from the European Central Bank (ECB). Policymakers appear reluctant to ease policy prematurely, which supports the Euro through expectations of prolonged higher interest rates. However, with no major catalyst in play yet, traders are watching closely for mid-tier US data and any upcoming statements from ECB officials that might set the tone for the next directional breakout. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H4 TIMEFRAME: Market Structure: EUR/USD remains in a well-defined ascending price channel. However, the pair is now testing the upper band near the 1.1804 resistance, a key liquidity zone where sellers previously stepped in. EMA Alignment: Price is trading above the EMA 13/34/89/200 cluster — a strong sign of sustained bullish momentum. Momentum Indicators: RSI is hovering near 70 — potential overbought territory. ADX remains above 25 — confirming trend strength but signaling caution at extended highs. FVG (Fair Value Gap): A visible unfilled gap between 1.1600 and 1.1640 could act as a magnetic zone for price to revisit before the next impulse move. 🔹 Key Resistance: 1.1804 – 1.1835 🔹 Key Support: 1.1640 – 1.1600 (gap zone) 🔹 Major Demand Zone: 1.1499 – 1.1515 🎯 TRADE PLAN: Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias): Entry: 1.1600 – 1.1640 Stop Loss: 1.1550 Targets: 1.1750 → 1.1800 → 1.1850 Scenario 2 – Buy Deep Pullback: Entry: 1.1499 – 1.1515 Stop Loss: 1.1450 Targets: 1.1640 → 1.1700 Scenario 3 – Countertrend Sell at Key Resistance (High Risk): Entry: 1.1804 – 1.1830 Stop Loss: 1.1860 Targets: 1.1720 → 1.1650 📌 Strategic Insight: EUR/USD may be setting up for either a breakout continuation above 1.1800 or a temporary reversal to sweep liquidity from the lower zones. Momentum favors bulls, but chasing highs without confirmation is risky. Focus on clean retracements and volume-supported entries. 💬 If EUR/USD drops back into the 1.1600 zone, will you load up for another leg higher — or wait for confirmation of trend strength? Share your view in the comments!
Short
by MMFlowTrading