XAUUSDStrong trend movement up, then range. This movement is considered another rise for me as an analysis of 3469, 3506, but any political news, especially from a press conference, is unexpected and the analysis may end up falling. Today we have important news, which is the US interest rate decision and a press conference.
Analysis
EURO - Price can start fall to support line of pennant patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside triangle, where it declined below $1.1310 level, but then made upward umpulse.
Price exited from triangle pattern and broke the $1.1425 level, after which it entered to pennant pattern.
In pennant, Euro reached the resistance line, after which it turned around and in a short time declined to the $1.1310 level, breaking $1.1425
Then the price some time traded between these two levels and later dropped to the support line of the pennant.
But recently it backed up and now traded very close to resistance line of pennant, so, I think it can rise a little.
After this movement, in my opinion, Euro can start to decline to $1.1300 support line of pennant.
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GOLD - Price can make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow.
In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range.
After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant.
In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level.
Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant.
Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level.
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HelenP. I Gold will drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price has recently formed a narrowing wedge structure after a strong impulsive rally. The price reached a significant peak and then started consolidating, forming lower highs with fading bullish pressure. What we now see is a classic sign of price compression within a pennant pattern. Currently, the market is testing the key resistance zone between 3360 - 3380 points. This area aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge, and the price has already reacted to it multiple times. Buyers were unable to break through convincingly, indicating a potential exhaustion of momentum. Meanwhile, the lower boundary is represented by a dynamic trend line. Given this structure, I expect Gold can decline toward the support trend line and possibly reach 3300 points, my goal. The combination of horizontal resistance, trend weakening, and pattern tightening supports a short bias. Given the recent lower high, the rejection near resistance, and the wedge formation, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro will exit from pennant and grow to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how the price, after a strong upward impulse, the price entered into a consolidation phase, forming a classic upward pennant pattern. Throughout this structure, the price repeatedly respected both the support line and resistance line, tightening inside the pennant while still holding above the support level at 1.1300. This zone, between 1.1280 and 1.1300, marked as the buyer zone, has acted as a strong floor multiple times. Every touch to this area sparked bullish reactions, and most recently, we can see the rice once again starting to grow after dipping into this zone. On the upper side, the resistance level at 1.1430 coincides with the breakout target of the pennant, and also lies just below the seller zone, making it a logical TP 1 area for bulls. The current price action suggests that after a minor pull-back, the price may test the lower pennant edge and then rebound, potentially initiating an impulsive breakout toward 1.1430. Given this structure and the strong base forming around 1.1300, I expect Euro will grow upward toward my TP 1 at the 1.1430 level, thereby exiting from the pennant. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges⚠️ Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges
Gold (XAU/USD) is facing a pivotal moment after a dramatic correction from $3,435 down to the 3,360s, triggered by a combination of surprising policy moves and rising macro uncertainty.
🧭 Macro Recap: Why Did Gold Drop?
🇨🇳 China unexpectedly cut interest rates by 10 basis points ahead of a key trade dialogue with the US.
➤ This supports global liquidity sentiment but simultaneously strengthens the USD in the short term.
💵 DXY surged, taking advantage of China's rate cut — adding pressure to gold.
⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in South Asia (India–Pakistan) resurfaced but failed to lift gold.
➤ This hints that the current correction is more dollar-driven than risk-off in nature.
🏛️ All eyes now shift to FOMC later today, where Fed policy will dictate gold’s next major move.
Will Powell surprise markets with dovish signals, or does this China cut hint at coordinated central bank play before a wider easing cycle?
📊 Technical Outlook – Gold in Volatile Expansion
Despite the macro volatility, gold continues to respect key liquidity zones and high-volume clusters on the chart. However, momentum is broad and inconsistent — requiring traders to react to confirmed breaks, not early assumptions.
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3390 → 3402 → 3416 → 3425 → 3432 → 3444 → 3468
🔻 Support Levels:
3365 → 3356 → 3332 → 3314
🎯 Trade Strategy – 7 May 2025 (FOMC Day)
🟢 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3355
SL: 3350
TPs: 3360 → 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3376 → 3380
🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Opportunity)
Entry: 3332 – 3330
SL: 3326
TPs: 3336 → 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3358 → 3365
⚠️ Key BUY Level: 3314 – 3312
This is a critical level for bulls — aligned with 0.5 FIBO retracement and previous demand flip zone. However, a move here could invalidate structure and signal deeper bearish pressure. Use caution.
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3430 – 3432
SL: 3436
TPs: 3425 → 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3400
🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Risk Short)
Entry: 3468 – 3470
SL: 3474
TPs: 3464 → 3460 → 3455 → 3450 → 3445 → 3440 → 3430
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold remains range-bound but extremely reactive to macro news.
Today’s FOMC meeting could be a game changer. Whether the Fed maintains its current stance or signals dovish pivot will determine the direction for the rest of the week.
🎯 In times like this, it’s not about picking tops or bottoms — it’s about trading the reaction and protecting your capital.
✅ Stick to SL.
✅ Let price confirm.
✅ Be prepared for high volatility spikes.
Good luck, traders — and stay sharp.
Bullish or bearish? (Read description). As of May 7, 2025, the XAU/USD (gold) market is experiencing fluctuations influenced by a combination of geopolitical developments, economic indicators, and central bank policies. 
⸻
📉 Recent Market Movements
Gold prices recently declined by 1.3% to $3,383.88 per ounce, retreating after nearly a 3% rise the previous day. This drop comes amid growing optimism over U.S.-China trade negotiations, diminishing the appeal of safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, markets are focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy decision expected later in the day, with the central bank likely to hold interest rates steady while maintaining flexibility due to uncertainties from the trade war. 
⸻
🔮 Outlook for XAU/USD
Despite the recent pullback, the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish. Goldman Sachs projects that gold will continue to outperform silver due to sustained central bank demand, which has structurally elevated the gold-silver price ratio. Currently, the ratio stands at approximately 102, up from 84.7 a year ago. Factors such as slowing Chinese solar production, high recession risks, and robust bullion purchases by central banks contribute to gold’s stronger performance. Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish outlook on gold, forecasting a base price of $3,700 per ounce by year-end and $4,000 by mid-2026. 
⸻
📊 Technical Analysis
A key resistance level is observed at $2,660, with support around $2,600. A breach below this support could lead to further downside towards
$2,500.  
⸻
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor
• Federal Reserve’s Policy Decisions: Anticipated rate cuts could influence gold’s appeal.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts may drive demand for safe-haven assets.
⸻
✅ Conclusion
While short-term fluctuations are expected, the long-term prospects for XAU/USD remain positive, supported by strong demand from central banks and geopolitical uncertainties. Investors should monitor key economic indicators and central bank policies for potential impacts on gold prices.  
⸻
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 7, 2025 EURUSDEURUSD:
EUR/USD failed to hold on Tuesday, marking a new short-term consolidation range near the key 1.1300 mark as traders wait for a reason to move. The key event this week is the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate announcement in the middle of the week, which has pinned investor sentiment to the pole for now.
The Fed's upcoming rate decision on Wednesday remains the focus of markets this week. While many expect the Fed to maintain current rates, investors will be closely monitoring comments from policymakers, especially Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, for any signs that the shift to a rate-cutting cycle may occur sooner than expected.
Recently, the Fed has been facing increasing pressure to lower interest rates. Market participants have consistently sought lower funding costs, and the Trump administration has been particularly vocal in insisting that the Fed must cut rates to ease the cost of servicing US debt. However, this stance runs counter to the Fed's dual mandate of promoting full employment and controlling price stability, which President Donald Trump does not appear to be taking into account.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1350, SL 1.1330, TP 1.1440
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Setup (read-caption)📊 Chart Overview:
Asset: Unspecified (likely XAUUSD or a crypto asset).
Timeframe: Looks like 4H or Daily.
Tools Used:
EMA 50 (🔴 Red Line) — 3,283.978
EMA 200 (🔵 Blue Line) — 3,185.603
Resistance & Support Zones (🔴 Highlighted boxes)
Price: 3,335.415
🔍 Technical Analysis:
🟩 Trend Direction:
📈 Uptrend Confirmed: Price is above both EMA 50 and EMA 200 → Strong bullish momentum.
✅ Golden Cross: EMA 50 is above EMA 200, confirming long-term bullish bias.
📌 Key Levels:
🧱 Main Support Zone (🟥 Bottom Box - ~2,950–3,050):
Historical strong bounce zone.
Acts as a bullish base in case of a deeper pullback.
🔄 Mid Resistance/Support (~3,180–3,260):
Now acting as support after price bounced above it.
Also aligns with EMA 200 ➕🟦 – adds confluence.
📌 Main Resistance Zone (~3,300–3,380):
Current area of consolidation.
If broken, price likely to retest upper resistance.
🚧 Top Resistance Zone (~3,450–3,500):
Target area if bullish breakout continues.
✈️ Next take-profit zone for bulls.
🧭 Market Forecast:
🔁 Retest Expected: Price might pull back slightly to the main resistance area (~3,300), retesting previous resistance as support.
🚀 Upside Potential: Upon successful retest, price is projected to head toward the upper resistance (~3,480).
📉 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks back below 3,260 and EMA 50, expect a dip toward 3,180 or even the main support zone.
📈 Summary:
Bias: ✅ Bullish
Watch for:
🔍 Retest of 3,300 zone
✅ Breakout above 3,380
❌ Breakdown below 3,260 invalidates bullish scenario
NATRIUM | Investing | Why BILL GATES is Betting on NATRIUMBill Gates is betting big on Natrium - should you be, too?
Natrium is this next-generation nuclear reactor design that's attracting a lot of attention from people like Bill Gates and other major investors. What's particularly interesting about it is that it combines a fast reactor with a built-in molten salt "battery." Essentially, it can generate a steady output of power and then provide an extra boost during peak demand by drawing on its stored heat. This design aims for greater flexibility in meeting fluctuating electricity needs.
The technology is a joint development by TerraPower, the company co-founded by Bill Gates, and GE Hitachi. They're presenting it as a zero-carbon power source capable of reliably backing up intermittent renewables like wind and solar, ensuring a consistent supply of clean energy.
The excitement from investors like Bill Gates appears to be driven by the need to address climate change and secure reliable energy supplies. They view Natrium as a way to deliver large-scale, carbon-free power while potentially overcoming some of the limitations of older nuclear reactor designs. Gates has emphasized the enhanced safety features and potential for lower operating costs. Furthermore, Natrium's specific design to complement the intermittency of solar and wind, through its energy storage, is a significant draw for investors looking at future energy solutions. The substantial public and private investment, including government funding and bipartisan legislative support, also signals strong confidence in this technology.
The description of TerraPower as a "Bill Gates-backed" firm developing this multi-billion dollar demonstration plant highlights the high-profile nature of the project. The fact that corporate partners, such as the data center company exploring Natrium for their power needs, are also getting involved indicates a broader recognition of its potential beyond just government initiatives.
Compared to traditional nuclear reactors, Natrium offers some potential advantages. Its sodium coolant operates at near-atmospheric pressure, simplifying safety compared to the high-pressure water systems in older designs. This allows for natural heat dissipation in case of issues, reducing the risk of large steam explosions. Another key aspect is Natrium's potential for more efficient fuel utilization and reduced long-lived waste generation. The design aims for better fuel efficiency and a smaller volume of long-term radioactive waste compared to current light-water reactors.
Natrium's primary advantage over wind and solar is its dispatchability. Unlike the intermittent nature of renewables, Natrium can provide power consistently, 24/7. The integrated energy storage allows it to complement renewables by absorbing excess energy or releasing power during periods of low renewable output. This firm grid support is a significant benefit for utilities concerned about grid stability and the variability of renewable sources.
For utilities transitioning away from coal, Natrium offers a carbon-free, relatively direct replacement in terms of power output. It also has a smaller land footprint compared to large-scale wind or solar installations.
There are inherent challenges with a first-of-a-kind system like Natrium. The prototype is still under construction, lacking a proven operational track record. Construction and licensing processes could face delays and cost overruns. Critics also raise valid points about the actual safety and cost-effectiveness compared to projections. The use of sodium coolant, while offering safety advantages, also presents risks due to its reactivity with air and water, requiring robust containment systems. Regulatory scrutiny will undoubtedly be extensive.
And fuel supply is a critical uncertainty. Natrium requires high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU), which is not currently widely available. Disruptions in the supply chain and limited existing production capacity pose a significant risk to the timely and cost-effective operation of Natrium plants.
Looking ahead, Natrium is being considered for deployment in regions needing reliable power to complement renewables and to power energy-intensive industries. The long-term vision involves integrating Natrium with renewable energy sources to create a more stable and decarbonized grid.
The speculative outlook for Natrium in the next 5-10 years is heavily dependent on the successful completion of the Wyoming demonstration plant. If it meets its targets, it could pave the way for wider adoption. However, the timeline is ambitious, and challenges related to fuel supply and regulatory approvals remain. A successful demonstration could trigger significant investment and adoption in the coming decades, positioning Natrium as a key player in the energy transition.
If you're interested in investing in companies involved with TerraPower's Natrium reactor, several publicly traded firms are integral to its development and supply chain:
🔧 Engineering & Construction
KBR Inc. | (NYSE: KBR)
KBR has formed a strategic alliance with TerraPower to commercialize and deploy Natrium reactors globally. The collaboration focuses on creating a replicable contracting framework to reduce financial risk and ensure cost transparency in deploying Natrium technology.
terrapower.com
⚛️ Nuclear Fuel & Components
BWX Technologies Inc. | (NYSE: BWXT)
BWXT has been awarded a contract by TerraPower to design the Intermediate Heat Exchanger for the Natrium demonstration project. This component is critical for transferring heat within the reactor system.
Centrus Energy Corp. | (NYSE American: LEU)
Centrus Energy is collaborating with TerraPower to establish domestic production capabilities for high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU), which is essential for fueling the Natrium reactor.
⚙️ Manufacturing & Industrial Partners
Doosan Enerbility Co., Ltd. | 034020.KQ (KOSDAQ)
Doosan Enerbility is supplying critical components for the Natrium reactor, including the core barrel and internal supports.
HD Hyundai | 329180.KQ
HD Hyundai is manufacturing the reactor vessel for the Natrium project.
🌍 International Collaborators
SK Inc. | 034730.KQ
SK Inc., a South Korean conglomerate, has invested $250 million in TerraPower to support the demonstration and commercialization of the Natrium reactor.
Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP) | 15760.KS (KOSPI)
KHNP has entered into a strategic collaboration with TerraPower to support the Natrium project, leveraging its expertise in nuclear power development.
OTHERS:
1. Mirion Technologies (NYSE: MIR)
Mirion is supplying the Radiation Monitoring System (RMS) and Nuclear Instrumentation System (XIS) for the Natrium Reactor Demonstration Project in Wyoming.
2. GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV)
Through its subsidiary, Global Nuclear Fuel–Americas (GNF-A), GE Vernova is partnering with TerraPower to establish the Natrium Fuel Facility in Wilmington, North Carolina. This facility aims to produce high-assay, low-enriched uranium (HALEU) fuel essential for the Natrium reactor.
3. NuScale Power Corporation (NYSE: SMR)
While not directly involved with the Natrium project, NuScale is a prominent developer of small modular reactors (SMRs), a category that includes Natrium. The company's advancements in SMR technology contribute to the broader nuclear energy landscape.
4. Southern Company (NYSE: SO)
Southern Company is collaborating with TerraPower on the development of a molten chloride fast reactor (MCFR), a separate advanced nuclear project. Their involvement in advanced nuclear technologies aligns with the innovations seen in the Natrium project.
________________________________
Sources: Recent industry reports and news articles and TerraPower press releases provide the data above. Also put together with the help of AI.
world-nuclear-news.org, ans.org, gatesnotes.com, scientificamerican.com, terrapower.com, reuters.com
Bitcoin can bounce from support line of channel to 98500 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price of Bitcoin has been in recent price action. The asset had been confidently moving inside an upward channel, building structure through higher highs and higher lows. Each upward impulse was supported by pullbacks to the support line, showing continued buyer pressure. The latest breakout above the support area confirmed a bullish continuation, and the price entered the seller zone, where it faced resistance. Despite multiple attempts to break through, the price repeatedly turned around, forming a tight triangle pattern within the upper boundary of the channel. Currently, the price has broken down from the triangle, but it still holds above the channel's lower line. Given that the channel remains intact and there's no strong breakdown of the structure, I expect the price to rebound from the lower boundary and continue climbing toward my TP 1 at 98500, which aligns with the resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Bitcoin may continue to grow inside upward channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After bouncing from the lower boundary of the ascending channel and reacting strongly from the support zone near 92000, the price continues to respect the bullish structure. This level, which also aligns with the dynamic trend line, has acted as a powerful area of interest for buyers. Every touch to the trend line has resulted in a reversal to the upside, and this time may be no different. Previously, we saw a clear upward impulse that formed the base of the current trend channel. Then the market entered a consolidation with smaller pullbacks and held the 93000 zone with confidence. The recent retracement toward the trend line and support area is forming a higher low, which confirms buyer strength and sets the stage for another bullish leg. Given the strong support zone, the presence of an upward channel, and the steady bullish structure, I expect BTC to resume its upward move. My current goal is 99000 points. All elements signal bullish continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After forming a local bottom around the 3190 - 3210 support zone, the price has rebounded and is now testing the upward trend line once again. This level has consistently acted as dynamic support throughout the recent bullish structure, confirming its relevance and strength. Buyers have shown clear interest in defending this area, and the reaction near this level further strengthens the bullish sentiment. Notably, the market is recovering from a correction phase that followed the previous local peak near the 3350 - 3370 resistance zone. Price has moved within a wide range, creating opportunities for both accumulation and further upside. The chart also shows how Gold is forming a higher low, which supports the continuation of the current trend. If the trend line continues to hold, I expect the price to move toward the resistance area, with my goal located at 3350 points - the key breakout level. Given the price reaction, support structure, and trend confirmation, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/GBP Wedge Breakout (06.05.2025)The EUR/GBP Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8476
2nd Support – 0.8463
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btc . may . w1 . waiting for lower pricesThe squeeze of shorts saw MayOpen pump through the resistance zones finally.
Friday 2pm, gave us the ladder entry to SHORT an SFP just before the weekend.
short . entry . 97368 . tp1 taken . ride the trend
Monday showed no volatility, no trades taken.
Too low to SHORT, too soon to LONG. I'd rather:
SHORT higher - add to position size.
cmVAL . pw0.5 . pwVwap
entry . 95347
tp1 . 90216 . +5.3%
tp2 . 88600 ish . +7%
LONG intraday
cwLow around 2pm and ride this for an intraday LONG into entry SHORT
entry . 93454
tp1 . 95347 . +2%
EurCad = ascending channel + symmetrical triangleHere we have something that to me looks like a combination of a symmetrical triangle and an up ascending channel. It is currently evolving within, and I think it will continue to do it a bit more, especially now that is successfully broke above the symmetrical triangle. It might look like it already has broken out prior, but it wasn't fully formed. Nearer the end, it can be seen that price bounced back and forth within the triangle two times, and accurate. Now that it's broken above, I know of a potential idea which is to buy from a pullback into the level marked which I believe is demand zone.
I also think it can be normal for price to be traded as a break below and selling an ascending channel. But I think in this case it is being held up in a stronger format with support from triangle which might guide its meaning to a different turn.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 6, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY:
The Japanese Yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, albeit without any follow-through selling. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) ‘restrained’ guidance last Thursday, Japan's rising inflation and prospects for continued wage increases leave the door open for further policy tightening by the central bank. In addition, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy and rising geopolitical tensions continue to act as tailwinds for the safe-haven yen.
Meanwhile, the prospect of more aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) is not helping the US Dollar (USD) attract meaningful buyers and is helping to limit the upside for the USD/JPY pair. Traders also seem unwilling to wait for more signals on the Fed's policy outlook before positioning for the next leg of directional movement. Thus, the main focus will be on the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting, which starts this Tuesday and which will give the dollar a fresh impetus.
Trading recommendation: BUY 143.90, SL 143.60, TP144.80
USD/CAD - Wedge Breakout (06.05.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3893
2nd Resistance – 1.3928
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XAUUSDWe have two scenarios in the analysis: either a rise in the form of a trend, a staircase, or a deep correction and taking the buy zone. We wait for the deep correction of the market and taking the buy zone. However, if it rises in the form of a staircase, we will renew the entry, but in the event of any entry, geopolitical situations end the analysis and we analyze another analysis or another renewal.
Silver Analysis: Bearish Continuation Toward $31 Support ?🧠 Chart Context & Setup
Chart Type: Candlestick
Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red) — 32.814
EMA 200 (Blue) — 32.559
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 33.600 – 33.950
Price faced repeated rejection in this zone, confirming it as a valid supply/resistance area.
Support Zone: 30.600 – 31.100
Marked as the next potential demand zone, aligning with previous accumulation and reaction levels.
Current Price: ~32.618
Just below the 50 EMA and slightly above the 200 EMA.
🔄 Market Structure
The market experienced a strong bearish impulse in early April, followed by a bullish correction that reclaimed the 200 EMA.
Multiple internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps were taken before forming a potential lower high (LH) at the resistance zone.
The recent bearish move broke below the EMAs and previous structure, indicating a possible shift back to bearish momentum.
📉 Bearish Scenario Outlook (Most Probable as of Now)
The chart shows a projected lower high formation, likely leading into a continuation of the bearish move.
If price fails to break back above 32.800–32.900, we could expect a sell-off toward the support zone (30.600–31.100).
This move aligns with:
Breakdown below EMAs
Failed bullish continuation
Rejection from a strong resistance zone
🧭 EMA Analysis
EMA 50 > EMA 200, but the price is now sandwiched and showing signs of weakness.
If price sustains below both EMAs, momentum is likely to favor bears in the short to medium term.
⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch
Any strong bullish engulfing candle reclaiming the 33.000 zone could invalidate the bearish thesis.
Fundamentals like USD volatility, inflation data, or geopolitical tension could impact Silver drastically.
✅ Conclusion
The chart currently suggests a bearish continuation setup, with the potential for price to revisit the $31.00–$30.60 support zone after rejecting resistance. A retest of broken structure around 32.700–32.800 might provide an ideal entry for sellers.
Silver – Bearish Move Toward Support🧠 Market Overview:
Instrument: Likely Silver (based on file name).
Chart Context: The price is currently trading below both the 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), indicating bearish momentum and a possible shift in market structure.
📊 Key Technical Components:
🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
50 EMA (32.614) is above the 200 EMA (32.526) but both are above the current price.
This crossover is recent and could indicate the beginning of a larger downtrend if confirmed by continued price action below both EMAs.
🔹 Market Structure:
POI (Point of Interest) marks a previous swing high where selling pressure emerged.
The chart shows internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps both above and below consolidation areas, hinting at smart money manipulation to grab liquidity before making a move.
🔹 Resistance Zone:
Clearly defined between approx. 33.4–34.0, where price was rejected after a failed attempt to break higher.
Multiple rejections from this zone show strong selling pressure.
🔹 Support Zone:
Sitting between approx. 30.8–31.2.
Price previously consolidated here before a bullish move, making it a likely target for a return test or a potential bounce.
📉 Bearish Scenario & Projection:
The price broke below a short-term structure and failed to hold above EMAs.
The current price action shows a bearish pullback likely to form a Lower High (LH).
The projected path shows a pullback to previous support-turned-resistance, followed by a breakdown targeting the support zone.
✅ Bias:
Short-term bias: Bearish
Medium-term bias: Bearish, unless price reclaims the 200 EMA and consolidates above the resistance zone.
🔍 Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook:
Price below EMAs (dynamic resistance).
Failed higher highs with liquidity sweeps (indicating smart money selling).
Clear market structure shift to the downside.
Anticipated retest of support zone around 30.8–31.2.
XAU/USD Market Outlook – Key Levels & Scenarios (May 2025)📊 Market Overview
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – likely
Timeframe: 🕒 4H or Daily
EMAs:
🔴 50 EMA = 3,281 (short-term trend)
🔵 200 EMA = 3,179 (long-term trend)
🧱 Key Zones
🔺 Main Resistance Zone (🚫 Supply Area)
📍 ~3,320–3,400
🔍 Observation: Strong rejection zone with multiple failed attempts. 🚧 Price struggles to break and hold above here.
⚖️ Mid Support & Resistance Zone
📍 ~3,200–3,250
🧭 Current Action: Price is consolidating here. This is a key decision zone. A bounce or breakdown will likely decide the next big move. 🤔
🟦 Main Support Zone
📍 ~2,980–3,030
🛑 Observation: Major demand zone. If price falls here, it might attract buyers 👥 for a potential rebound.
📉 EMA Analysis
🔴 50 EMA is above 🔵 200 EMA → Trend still technically bullish ✅
🟡 BUT: Price is currently below 50 EMA, showing short-term weakness ⚠️
⚡️ 200 EMA is nearby (~3,179): Acting as dynamic support — a critical bounce zone! 🛡️
🔮 Scenarios
🐂 Bullish Path
✅ If price bounces from 3,200 support zone and reclaims 🔴 50 EMA:
🎯 Target: Retest of 3,320–3,400 🔺 zone
📈 Confirmation: Strong candle closing above 3,281 🔴 EMA
🐻 Bearish Path
🚨 If price breaks below 3,200 & 200 EMA:
🕳️ Expect drop towards 2,980–3,030 🟦 zone
📉 Confirmation: Candle closes below 3,179 with weak retest
✅ Conclusion
📍 Key Level to Watch: 3,200
⚖️ Market Sentiment: Neutral → Bearish bias unless price reclaims 50 EMA
🔒 Risk Tip: Avoid longs until price confirms bullish structure again 🔐
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Technical + Fundamental OutlookTechnical Outlook
Gold is currently trading inside a descending channel and has reached the midline, which is acting as dynamic resistance.
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3310 – 3320 (aligned with the midline of the channel) – price has not yet confirmed a breakout above this zone
Next Bullish Targets: 3350 – 3358 / 3385 – 3390
Support Zone: 3270 – 3280 (potential bullish re-entry area)
🟣 All key price levels are marked on the chart with light purple lines for clarity.
🟠 RSI is near 65, showing bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory, signaling a possible short-term pullback.
🔁 Likely scenario: A minor correction toward 3270–3280 followed by continuation toward 3350+ if support holds.
Fundamental Context
The ISM Services PMI came in stronger than expected (51.6 vs. 50.2 forecast), reflecting economic resilience in the U.S. This typically supports the USD and weighs on gold, but:
Rising tariff threats from Trump raise recession concerns.
Services Prices Index rose to 65.1, signaling growing inflation pressures.
These inflation concerns may impact the Fed’s upcoming rate decisions.
Central bank demand and geopolitical risks continue to support gold medium-term.
Summary
Despite being inside a descending channel, gold is showing short-term bullish strength. A confirmed break above 3320 could open the way toward 3350+. Otherwise, a pullback to the 3270–3280 area may offer the next setup.