XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHARTXAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy limit order at 2,726.30.
Set your stop loss at 2,722.30 below the previous low ($4.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,736.30 ($10.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
Analysis
Italy 40: Trend Breakout34,820~ was a major level for the Italy 40 index. This level held since June 2024 and I saw price breach above it just near the end of last week.
As I look for the trading session ahead, further upside potential is expected provided that price is able to remain supported above this level.
ADR: 40
SL: 40
TP: 80
GBP/USD idea short Hey everyone i have a possible idea to go short on gbpusd on the daily timeframe.
It goes like this the rising wedge pattern has been broken and is on the right track to a head and shoulders pattern if the pattern is nicely formed then go to a lower timeframe to follow the bearish trend.
Wishing everyone a good trading week!!
#bearish #headandshoulders #short
NAS100USD shows volume up (↑)Trading is all about repeated patterns, and the most unlikely pattern are the one that goes against the trend. Either way it might just be a 50% chance of being right, but then once you're right, the chances of your trade to make a big move is even higher. Now the repeated pattern on this chart is determined by volume, it is recently showing repeated movements up with more volume up on each repeated move. The first line shows a potential pattern and the second white line shows the next point which a repeated move will go unless there's a reversal which are not showing at the moment.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will fall to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some days ago, the price declined almost to support 2 but soon turned around and started to grow. In a short time, BTC rose to support 1, which coincided with the current support zone, and some time traded near, after which it dropped to support 2. When the price fell, it broke the 62000 support level and some time traded below, after which it quickly rose back and trades higher. Later price broke support 2 again and fell to the trend line, after which it turned around and started to move up. Soon, the price reached support 2, broke it, and then made a correction to the trend line, after which rebounded and continued to move up. Later BTC reached support 1, broke it, and rose one more, but a not long time ago it turned around and started to decline. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will fall to the trend line, which is located inside the support zone, and then continue to move up. For this case, I set my goal at 69000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Stan Weinstein Theory on NetflixThe 4 Market Phases
Stan Weinstein describes the evolution of stocks in four main phases:
- Phase 1: Accumulation
The market is flat after a prolonged decline. Smart investors start buying.
- Phase 2: Uptrend
The price breaks a key level and rises above the 30-week moving average, which is rising. This is the ideal phase to buy.
- Phase 3: Distribution
The market stabilizes after a rise. Big investors sell, and the moving average stabilizes. This is the beginning of the end of the uptrend.
- Phase 4: Downtrend
The price breaks a key support, the moving average goes down. Avoid buying or selling to limit losses.
Key Indicators
30-week moving average: In an uptrend, the price is above. In a downtrend, it is below.
Volume: Increasing volume during breakouts confirms the strength of the trend.
Weinstein advises buying early in Phase 2 and selling early in Phase 4 to follow major market trends.
Analysis made in collaboration with @Yannick1961
HelenP. I Euro can break trend line and then continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price some days ago rebounded from the resistance zone, which coincided with resistance 1 and started to grow. In a short time, EUR rose to resistance 2, which coincided with one more resistance zone (1.1170 - 1.1140), and even rose a little higher, but soon turned around and declined below. Next, the price some time traded below resistance 2, after which it later turned around and rose back to the resistance zone (1.1170 - 1.1140). Price some time traded in this area, until it reached the trend line, after which price started to decline. In a short time, the EUR broke the resistance level (1.1140) and continued to decline near the trend line. Later price reached the resistance zone (1.0925 - 1.0900) and soon broke resistance 1, after which made a retest and then continued to move down. At the moment price trying to break the trend line, and I expect that EURUSD will break this line, reach the resistance level, and then continue to fall to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 1.075 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside rising channel, where it soon broke 2-nd ($1.1090) resistance level.
After this movement, price some time traded between resistance line of channel and with resistance area.
And last time it bounced from resistance line and broke $1.1090 level, thereby exiting from rising channel too.
Next, price continued to move down inside falling channel, where it broke 1-st ($1.0950) resistance level recently.
Now price continues to fall near resistance line of channel, and I think Euro can rise a little higher resistance line.
Then price will turn around and continue to fall to $1.0760 support line of falling channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
BITCOIN - Price can make correction and then continue to riseHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to wedge, where it at once declined from resistance line to support line.
Also, it broke $58900 level, but later BTC backed up and broke this level one more time, after which made a correction.
Then price in a short time rose to $65800 level, and even entered to support area, but then bounced down.
Price exited from wedge and then started to trades inside triangle, where it fell to support line first.
After this movement, BTC started to grow and soon reached $65800 level, broke it, and now trades close support line.
Possible, price can exit from triangle, fall to support area, and then bounce up to $71500
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURUSD Bullish trade idea from 1.08071 - 1.07841.EURUSD Bullish trade idea from 1.08071 to 1.07841.
The Price already tested the zone at 1.08137 and pushed back with price rejections and a strong confirmations candle.
As per the DXY (Dollar Index) last fall will also positively affect the price; the proper setup will also have a proper stop loss behind the 1.07816 level because last time market moved a fake breakout of structure in August 24 which also mentioned.
The target level will be 1.10013 to 1.10654.
When taking an entry on the Euro, please place a stop-loss and take 1-2 % risk on your account balance.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 18, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD broke its four-day losing streak, trading near 1.0840 during the Asian session on Friday. However, the US dollar (USD) received support and hit a two-month high of 103.87 on Thursday, helped by a good US retail sales report, which fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may go for a nominal rate cut.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 90.8% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in November and a 74.0% chance of another cut in December.
U.S. retail sales rose 0.4% month-over-month in September, exceeding both August's 0.1% increase and market expectations for a 0.3% increase.
Initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell by 19,000 in the week ended October 11, the largest decline in three months. Total claims fell to 241,000, well below the 260,000 expected.
However, the euro faced downward pressure following Thursday's decision by the European Central Bank (ECB).
The ECB cut its main refinancing operations rate and deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3.40% and 3.25%, respectively.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0860, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
Buy GBP/NZD BreakoutThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2.1480
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2.1600
2nd Resistance – 2.1675
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2.1385. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Audjpy signalAfter the release of strong employment data from Australia, the AUD/JPY currency pair increased by more than 100 dollars. Considering the interest rate differential between the two countries and the lack of further rate hikes in Japan, the likelihood of the first scenario is higher. The second scenario is more likely if the market becomes risk off, leading to the rise of safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen. In that case, we would expect to see a decline in the AUD/JPY pair down to the bottom of the triangle pattern.
Target for the first scenario (long trade): 101.425
Target for the second scenario (short trade): 99.705
Tesla (TSLA): Stuck in a Range after Robo Taxi rumors fizzledAfter being stopped out on our second entry in Tesla, it's time to take another look, although it has been quite uneventful since the big rise on the Robo Taxi rumors back in July. It was a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” event, showcasing how markets tend to price in events well ahead of their occurrence. Musk's statement that Cybercab production could begin "before 2027" is also seen as highly questionable, given his history of missed deadlines.
Tesla recently got approval from local authorities near its gigafactory in Berlin to move forward with its three-stage expansion plan. Despite protests from locals, this approval allows the company to start building infrastructure for storage facilities, a battery cell test lab, and logistics areas. All of this will take place on land already owned by Tesla. Whether this expansion will be beneficial or problematic for the company remains to be seen in the coming months.
Currently, we still have our limit order from $177 running, and things are looking alright. To better illustrate the situation, we added a fresh chart of Tesla’s range, which clearly shows the situation. After reclaiming the range middle in July, Tesla briefly dipped below but rebounded perfectly from $183, a critical POC (Point of Control). Since July, Tesla hasn’t made any new higher highs, nor has it made lower lows, placing the stock in a tight range. If Tesla loses the range middle, we could see a drop to $183 or even $160. On the upside, breaking above the range high would be essential for further momentum.
It's crucial to focus on higher time frame levels and avoid getting caught up in short-term news or noise. We’ll continue to monitor Tesla’s key levels and update you if any significant movement occurs. 🤝
Here's What We Need for the Bull Run to Begin!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
I always keep an eye on USDT.D to gauge the overall sentiment of the crypto market.
📚 As long as USDT.D remains within the descending triangle, expect a ranging market.
🏹 For a Bull Run to be confirmed , USDT.D needs to break below the lower boundary of the triangle and the 5.2% mark. (daily candle)
In this scenario, BTC would break above $70,300 (weekly candle), potentially leading to a movement toward the $100,000 round number.
Currently, USDT.D is hovering around a strong support zone, so we expect the bulls to take over in the short term, pushing the price up to the red supply zone and the upper orange trendline.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin can make correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a few days ago entered to wedge, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the support line of this pattern. Also, the price broke the 59000 level, which coincided with the buyer zone, but later BTC turned around from the support line and in a short time rose to this level and broke it. Then it made little correction to the buyer zone, after which continued to move up to the 65300 current support level, and even entered to support area, but soon turned around and fell below, making a fake breakout. Price tried to grow, but failed and dropped to the support line of the wedge, which coincided with the 59000 level, and then made a strong impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge pattern. Also, BTC broke the 65300 level, after which made a retest inside the support area, and now the price trades near the resistance line of the wedge. So, in my opinion, the price can make correction to the support area at first and then it will rebound up, exiting from the wedge. Next, I think, it can continue to grow, therefore I set my TP at 71K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro can reach resistance line of channel and then continue fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago entered to downward channel, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline. In a short time price reached the 1.1030 level and some time traded inside the seller zone, after which broke this level. Next, the price fell to the support line of the channel and then tried to grow, but later failed and fell to the current resistance level, which is located inside the resistance area. Euro some time traded near this area and later continued to decline, thereby breaking the 1.0900 level. Then the price some time traded below this level and not long time ago continued to move down. Now EUR fell more and continues to decline inside the downward channel, so, I think that the price can rise to the resistance line of the channel and then rebound. After this, the price can continue to decline to support line of the channel, for this case, I set my TP at 1.0750 points, which coincides with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can exit from wedge and fall to $2625 levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price fell to $2625 level and then bounced up to $2665 level, after which started to decline inside channel.
In falling channel, price some time reached $2665 level, but couldn't break it and later Gold fell below $2625 level.
Price exited from falling channel and started to grow inside wedge, where it broke $2625 level one more time.
Later price made a gap and made correction to support line of wedge, after which bounced up to resistance line.
Also, price broke $2665 level, and at the moment it continues to grow near resistance line of wedge.
So, I think, Gold can rise a little, exiting from wedge, and then bounce down to $2625 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 17, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is down to 149.400 despite the US Dollar (USD) strengthening during Asian trading on Thursday. Later on Thursday, US retail sales data will come to the fore, which is estimated to rise to 0.3% in September from 0.1% in the previous reading.
The US economic data showed a resilient economy, with inflation rising slightly more than expected in September. This, in turn, could boost the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen (JPY). LSEG calculations put the probability of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in November at nearly 100%, while the probability of the Fed pausing and keeping the federal funds rate in the target range of 4.75-5.0% is just 0.2%.
Nevertheless, ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. election could strengthen safe-haven flows, which would favor the yen. A plan for Israel's response to an Iranian attack this month is ready, CNN reported. U.S. officials expect it to happen before the U.S. presidential election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said separately that Israel opposes a “unilateral ceasefire” in the war with Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon.
On Friday, investors await national consumer price index (CPI) data for September for a fresh boost. The CPI excluding fresh food is expected to fall to 2.3% in September from 2.8% in August.
Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 150.000, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
Sell ETH/USDT Channel BreakoutThe ETH/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2620, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2488
2nd Support – 2410
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2700. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.