LTC/USDT chart technical analysis (1D)🔷 1. Trend and market structure
🔺 Main channels:
The chart is moving in an ascending channel (orange lines), the lower and upper limits of which have been respected since mid-2022.
The current price (around 78.3 USDT) is in the middle range of the channel, with a downward trend in recent weeks.
🔁 Market phase:
The price is in consolidation in a broader uptrend.
The last upward swing did not break through the previous peak (~135 USDT), which may indicate weakening momentum.
🔷 2. Key horizontal levels (support/resistance)
✅ Resistance levels (green lines):
83.46 USDT – the nearest resistance, currently being tested from below.
95.48 USDT – strong resistance from March-April 2024.
105.19 USDT – a level tested many times in the past.
110.00 USDT – a psychological level.
115.83 USDT – a local high from December 2023.
🛑 Support levels (red lines):
78.30 USDT – currently tested support level.
70.98 USDT – a key defensive level for bulls.
52.03 USDT – strong historical support.
39.78 USDT – the last line of defense, consistent with the lows from 2022.
📐 Dynamic support (orange line):
The lower boundary of the ascending channel – currently falls around 65 USDT and increases over time.
🔷 3. Technical indicators
📊 CHOP (Choppiness Index)
Oscillates near the lower values → the market is starting to leave the consolidation phase.
Potential directional movement soon, most likely downward (due to momentum).
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI below 50, currently around 40–45 → supply advantage.
Not oversold yet, but momentum is downward.
🔄 Stochastic
Well below 20, i.e. in the oversold zone.
Potential for a short-term bounce, but it can also go lower with a stronger sell-off wave.
🔷 4. Technical scenarios
🟢 Growth scenario (long):
Condition: Defending the level of 78.3 USDT and a quick return above 83.46.
Targets:
TP1: 95.48
TP2: 105.19
TP3: 115.83 (upper border of the channel)
SL: below 70.98 USDT
🔴 Bearish scenario (short):
Condition: Break 78.3 and retest as resistance.
Targets:
TP1: 70.98
TP2: 65 (lower channel line)
TP3: 52.03 (large accumulation zone)
SL: return above 83.46
🔷 5. Swing strategy proposal
Long
Entry 78.30–79.00
SL < 70.50
TP1 95.50 TP2 105.00 TP3 115.00
Short
Entry < 77.50 (ret.)
SL > 83.50
TP1 71.00 TP2 65.00 TP3 52.00
🔷 6. Additional comments
It is worth observing the price reaction at 70.98 USDT - this could be a capitulation level or a strong rebound.
The formation on the daily chart resembles a head and shoulders (H&S) - a warning signal for bulls.
Analysis
Bitcoin Daily Update June 22nd 2025Bitcoin daily chart:
🔻 Bearish Signals
1. Break of Rising Trendline:
The price has broken below the upward (orange) trendline, indicating a shift in momentum.
This trendline had previously acted as support, so the break suggests growing selling pressure.
2. Support Levels:
BTC is now hovering just above $99,634, which appears to be a key short-term support.
The next major support is around $93,363 — a break below that could open the door to mid $80K or even $71K (0.786 Fibonacci level).
3. Market Cipher Indicator (middle panel):
The momentum wave is clearly descending, and VWAP (green) is curving down.
The money flow (red) is negative.
Bearish dots and crosses are appearing.
4. Stochastic RSI (bottom panel):
Both %K and %D lines are dropping sharply below the 20 line, suggesting downside momentum is strong.
No sign of bottoming out yet.
🟡 Neutral/Bullish Watch Points
If BTC holds $99.6K and reclaims $100,115 or $104,616, it could neutralize or reverse this bearish setup.
RSI is not oversold yet, so room remains for further downside before any strong bounce.
📉 Summary:
BTC is currently bearish on the daily chart with:
Breakdown from an uptrend.
Weak momentum.
Declining oscillators.
Support tests underway.
If $99.6K fails, eyes shift to $93.3K, and below that, $86.5K–$71.9K as potential zones.
....
🔻 Primary Trade Setup (Bearish)
⚙️ Type: Short Position
⏰ Timeframe: Daily
📉 Strategy: Trendline break and momentum continuation
Entry:
Below $99,500 (confirmation of trendline breakdown & continuation)
Targets:
1. Target 1: $93,363 — Previous support level
2. Target 2: $86,500 — Next horizontal support
3. Target 3: $71,949 — Major 0.786 Fibonacci level (high confluence)
Stop-Loss:
Above $100,600 (to avoid fakeout wicks)
Or tighter: $100,150 (for smaller R:R)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R):
Entry: ~$99,500
SL: ~$100,600 → ~1.1% risk
TP1: ~$93,300 → ~6.2% reward
R:R ≈ 5.6:1 (to TP1) — solid risk profile
🔄 Alternate Plan (Bullish Reversal Setup)
⚙️ Type: Long Position (Only IF price reclaims broken levels)
If BTC reclaims $100,600 and closes above $104,616, trend could resume up.
Entry:
Break and daily close above $104,616
Targets:
1. $110,616 — recent resistance
2. $112,000 — psychological + historical zone
Stop-Loss:
Below $100,600
Invalidates upward breakout
📊 Indicators to Watch:
VWAP: Still pointing down (bearish bias)
Money Flow Index: Still in red (risk-off)
Stochastic RSI: Resetting near bottom — could support bounce later
Much love and appreciation,
– chevs710
HelenP. I Euro will break resistance level and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. On this chart, we can see how price initially moved inside a triangle formation, forming higher lows from the trend line and testing the resistance zone multiple times. Eventually, price broke out to the downside, falling sharply and breaking through the lower boundary of the triangle and also the trend line, signaling a shift in market sentiment. After touching the support zone and forming a temporary bottom, the pair started climbing back up, but this movement was more of a correction than a trend reversal. Price respected the trend line from below and followed it upward, but failed to break significantly higher. It managed to push above both support 2 and support 1 levels, which now act as resistance. Currently, EURUSD is trading inside the resistance zone, where previous reactions have led to strong bearish impulses. Given this behavior and the recent false breakout, I expect the price to rebound from this area and break back below support. My goal is set at 1.1350, anticipating further downside movement as the bearish structure remains valid. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Beyond the Headlines - Gold Outlook June 16-20, 2025Beyond the Headlines: Gold's Ascent Amidst Global Shifts & Key Technicals 🌐🚀
Everything about the last week can be found here:
OANDA:XAUUSD 💰📈
We all know what's going on, I believe. Israel struck Iran 💥, and this conflict will likely take a bit before things cool down. 🥶
---
## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰
### Israel / Iran
Since June 12, Israel launched "Operation Rising Lion," targeting Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz and Esfahan – over 128 killed, Iran claims. 🇮🇷 retaliated with missile and drone strikes on Haifa and Tel Aviv, killing at least 10. 🚀
**Outlook:** 🔥 Tensions are spiraling. Without urgent mediation, full-scale regional war remains a real risk. 💣
### India / Pakistan
Since the May ceasefire, few clashes have occurred. However, both navies increased readiness, signaling potential escalation at sea. 🚢
**Outlook:** ⚖️ Peace is fragile. A strategic dialogue is key to avoiding a renewed border or maritime conflict. 🙏
### Gaza Conflict
Between June 7–15, Israeli strikes killed at least 41 Palestinians, including 8 near an aid center in Rafah. Over 55,000 total deaths, and famine is looming. 💔
**Outlook:** 🆘 Gaza remains a humanitarian catastrophe. Global pressure for access and a ceasefire must intensify. 🕊️
### Russia / Ukraine
June 13–15: Russia returned the bodies of 1,200 Ukrainian soldiers in a rare POW swap gesture. 🤝 Fighting remains intense in Sumy and Toretsk; Russia hit a major oil refinery. 🏭
**Outlook:** 🕊️ While symbolic moves continue, no peace is in sight – battlefield outcomes will shape diplomacy. ⚔️
### U.S. - China Trade War
The U.S. hiked tariffs to 55% on key Chinese goods. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 responded with 10% on U.S. imports. Talks yielded a partial truce, but military-use rare earths remain unresolved. 💻
**Outlook:** 🔧 Tech remains the battleground. Without progress on critical materials, the trade war may deepen. 📉
### Global Trade War
The OECD revised global growth downward due to rising tariffs from the U.S. targeting 🇨🇳, 🇲🇽, 🇨🇦. Global trade volume is expected to shrink by 0.2–1.5%. 📉
**Outlook:** ⛓️ Supply chain disruption is spreading. Global trade will stay under pressure without coordinated policy. 🌍➡️🌍
### Trump vs. Powell
Trump labeled Powell a "numbskull" for not cutting rates, suggesting he might "force something" if re-elected. 🗳️ The Fed maintains policy independence ahead of a critical June decision. 🏛️
**Outlook:** ⚔️ Political pressure on the Fed is mounting. Expect more friction as the election cycle heats up. 🔥
### U.S. Inflation
CPI rose 2.4% YoY in May (from 2.3%); Core CPI held steady at 2.8%. Monthly growth was modest at 0.1%. Key rises were seen in healthcare and vehicle prices. 🚗🏥
**Outlook:** Inflation is stable but sticky. 🚦 The Fed will likely hold rates steady until clearer disinflation signals appear. 📊
---
## Technical View 📐📈
### Market Structure:
Gold shows a clear **bullish market structure** with higher highs and higher lows. ⬆️ Recent price action suggests we're in a strong uptrend with institutional buying pressure. 🏦
### Key Levels:
* The chart shows a significant low around the **$3,245 area** (marked as "Low") which could act as a key institutional support level. 💪
* The current high near **$3,446** represents a potential institutional resistance zone. 🛑
* Look for potential **order blocks** around the **$3,380-$3,400 range** where price consolidated before the recent breakout. 🧱
### Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
There appear to be several gaps in the price action during volatile moves, particularly during strong rally phases. These could act as future support/resistance areas. 📉📈
### Gann Analysis:
The price movement shows strong adherence to Gann principles:
* The rally from the low follows a steep angle, suggesting strong momentum. 🚀
* Key Gann angles would place support around the **$3,300-$3,320 zone**. 📐
* The current price near **$3,436** is testing natural resistance levels based on Gann square calculations. 📏
### Fibonacci Levels:
From the significant swing low to the current high:
* 23.6% retracement: ~$3,395 📉
* 38.2% retracement: ~$3,370 📉
* 50% retracement: ~$3,345 📉
* 61.8% retracement: ~$3,320 📉
The golden ratio levels suggest key support on any pullback would be around the **$3,370-$3,345 zone**. ✨
### Institutional Levels:
* **Weekly/Monthly Levels:** The **$3,400** and **$3,450** areas appear to be significant institutional levels based on round numbers and previous price action. 🏦💰
* **Smart Money:** The accumulation pattern before the breakout suggests institutional participation. 🧠💡
### Cycle Timing:
Based on the timeframe (appears to be 30-minute bars from May 26-June 15):
* We're seeing approximately **3-week cycles** in the major moves. 🗓️
* The current rally phase appears to be in its mature stage. 🌳
* The next potential cycle turn could be approaching, suggesting caution for new longs at current levels. ⚠️
---
### Trading Considerations:
* Watch for rejection at current levels near **$3,446**. 📉
* Key support confluence around **$3,370-$3,345** for potential re-entry. 🎯
* Volume and momentum divergences would be critical for timing any reversal. 📊🔄
Other indicators tend to show bullish scenario enhancements. 🚀
Gold has formed a ** Standard Bullish Flag pattern ** over a time from early April till today. 🚩🐂
Also, the structure of a ** reverse Head & Shoulders ** is existing and has broken the neckline! 🔄🗣️
Another indicator is an existing "** Ascending Bull Flag **." ⬆️🚩
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Dow Jones potential down side moveDow Jones is showing some sign of wanting to go short with also the potential dollar strength coming into the markets and the bond yield markets having a bullish trend for the last couple of months. Dow has reach a full fib extension and we could see some form of retracement continuation.
BTC/USD (4-hour interval)📈 BTC/USD
🕒 Interval: 4H
1. General trend
We are observing a medium-term downtrend.
Since June 10 (middle vertical line), the price has been systematically creating lower highs and lower lows.
Current price: approx. USD 102.625.
2. Formation and Price Action
🔻 Left side of the chart (May 20 - June 10):
Volatility, no clear direction, but local highs are formed in the area of USD 111,000 - 112,500.
Consolidation from May 27 to June 2.
🔻 Right side of the chart (after June 10):
A clear breakout from the consolidation downwards.
A potential correction or continuation of the downward movement is currently forming.
The last candles suggest a strong downward impulse, and the current candle has a long lower shadow – a possible demand reaction.
3. Technical levels
📉 Resistance:
$112,400 – local peak from June 10.
$109,000 – $109,500 – area of previous consolidations.
$107,000 – lower limit of previous support.
📈 Support:
$102,000 – currently tested level.
$100,000 – psychological support level.
$97,000 – potential range of further declines.
4. Stochastic RSI (oscillator at the bottom of the chart)
The indicator currently shows the intersection of the %K and %D lines in the oversold zone.
This may suggest a short-term upward rebound – but in the context of a downtrend, this may just be a correction.
5. Candles and price action
The last candle has a long lower shadow and a close close to the maximum – this may indicate buyer pressure in this zone.
No confirmation of a reversal – only the closing of a bullish candle and a breakout above USD 103,500–104,000 may give a signal of a larger rebound.
6. Scenarios
✅ Bullish scenario (short-term):
Rebound from the USD 102,000 zone.
Test of USD 103,500–104,000 (local resistance).
If broken – a move towards USD 107,000 is possible.
❌ Bearish scenario (continuation):
Breakout of support at USD 102,000.
Movement towards the psychological level of 100,000 USD.
Possible escalation of declines on increased volume.
7. Signals to watch
Price behavior in the area of 102k USD - a key place to react.
Volume indicators (not visible here) could confirm the direction of the movement.
Will stochastic RSI give a full buy signal? (%K line above %D, both coming out of the oversold zone).
USDCHF 15M ANALYSISThe analysis of my next trade works like this
Our entry is: BULLISH
(1) The 4H trendline broke
(2) We retested the 4H support
(3) We wait for a break and retest of our most recent 15 minute support
(4) We comfirm the bullish direction with our volume indicator (we want to see big volume that surprasses the 20 ema that is included in the volume indicator) and a bullish candlestick close.
IF YOU LIKED THE ANALYSIS PLEASE DROP A FOLLOW
BTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break LevelBTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break Level: Will Bitcoin Rebound or Slide Further?
Bitcoin continues to hover near a critical support level after last week's sharp drop. With rising macro uncertainty, shifting institutional flows, and growing interest in crypto regulation, BTCUSD is showing signs of a potential reversal — but traders should proceed with caution.
🌐 Macro Outlook – Debt Pressure, ETFs & Election Talk Fuel Uncertainty
US fiscal stress is building: Analysts warn that the United States could see interest payments exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — more than its defense or healthcare budget. This puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider fiscal tightening instead of rate cuts.
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are slowing: After a strong start in early 2024, institutional flows into spot BTC ETFs have cooled down recently. Hedge funds and asset managers are waiting for more clarity on economic policy.
Pro-crypto narratives gaining traction in US politics: With elections approaching, political figures are floating proposals to use Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset and encourage crypto-based financial infrastructure.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains volatile. A weaker dollar could support crypto, but stronger-than-expected inflation data may fuel further caution.
📉 Technical Analysis (BTCUSD – H1 to H4)
BTC is currently trading within a medium-term descending channel, and has recently tested the key support zone near 103,108.
A potential V-recovery pattern is forming. If buyers can hold this zone and break above 104,184, the price may target 106,047 and eventually 107,586.
However, EMA clusters (50–100–200) on the H1 chart are still pressing downward. A confirmed bullish reversal would require a breakout above 105,200 with strong volume.
✅ Suggested Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 103,100 – 103,300
Entry: On price reaction with confirmation candlestick
SL: 102,600
TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586
🔴 SELL ZONE: 107,500 – 107,800
Entry: Only if price rejects resistance at upper channel
SL: 108,200
TP: 106,000 → 104,500
⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting in the current range to reduce false breakout risk.
💬 Final Thoughts for Indian Traders
The current market is caught between macroeconomic caution and long-term crypto optimism. Bitcoin is holding near its lower range — a zone that historically triggers upward momentum.
For Indian traders, the key is to wait for clear structural confirmation and respect technical levels. Let price and macro alignment guide your decisions, not emotion or hype.
Plan the trade. Trade the plan. Protect your capital.
EUR/USD - H4 - Triangle Formation (31.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern.
1. Wait for Breakout with Good Volume
2. Conformation in short Timeframe Must
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Fundamental Updates :
Dollar mixed on tariff uncertainty, U.S. President Donald Trump to battle a U.S. trade court ruling that blocked most of his proposed tariffs.
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Energy giants surge: Top 5 stocks to watchJune 2025 was marked by heightened volatility across the global energy sector . Amid fluctuating oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, and ongoing industry transformation, major oil and gas companies delivered mixed results. Let’s break down the key drivers behind the moves in Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil.
Here are the five leaders that set the tone this June :
1. Shell: Steady growth driven by strategic adjustments . The stock climbed 7% thanks to a pragmatic dividend policy and a $3.5B share buyback plan. LNG Canada project developments also boosted investor confidence.
2. TotalEnergies: Strong performance backed by green energy push . Shares rose 5.5% after the acquisition of a renewable energy portfolio and a dividend increase. Conservative production forecast (+3% for 2025) and investment in clean energy kept demand strong.
3. BP: Recovery supported by oil price rebound . BP added around 7% on oil market stabilization and a new share buyback program. Although production declined due to asset sales, higher profitability in the oil segment offset the drop.
4. Chevron: Notable gains fueled by new projects . Chevron advanced 7.5% following the launch of the Ballymore field in the Gulf of Mexico. Expanded buyback and dividend plans further attracted investors.
5. Exxon Mobil : Stable upward momentum from production expansion. Shares jumped nearly 10% as Q1 profits reached $7.7B. Liquefied natural gas development and output growth targets energized traders.
FreshForex analysts believe the rally in energy majors may continue in the near term. Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil remain strong picks for active investors.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct to trend line and start move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can observe how the price developed a gradual upward trend, respecting the trend line as dynamic support multiple times. After each interaction with this line, the price showed a consistent pattern of rebounding and continuing its upward movement. Recently, the price faced a notable correction, which pushed it back toward this trend line once again, a critical zone that has proven its relevance as a support area. Upon touching the line, the market reacted with a bounce, signaling that buyers are still active and defending the structure. The price began to climb again, regaining some momentum, though it hasn’t yet managed to break the previous highs. Now BTCUSD is hovering near the ascending trend line, preparing for what could be another retest. If the trend holds, we may see a short-term decline toward this line, followed by a bullish rebound. I expect the price to push higher from this level, targeting the resistance zone near 108300, which also acted as a rejection area in the past. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
HelenP. I Gold can rise to resistance level and drop to $3325Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a steady climb, the price began to lose momentum and eventually corrected back to the trend line. This zone acted as dynamic support and initiated a new wave of upward movement. However, unlike the previous impulse, the price started consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, signaling indecision and weakening bullish pressure. Now the structure is tightening near the resistance zone, where the price has already been rejected multiple times. The market appears to be preparing for another interaction with the resistance level around 3430. Given the overall context, fading bullish energy, repeated rejections, and the triangle formation, I expect the price to test the resistance one more time before reversing downward. My goal is the trend line support, which aligns with 3325 points. This zone offers a logical area for the price to move next, especially considering the limited momentum above and the growing risk of breakdown inside the triangle. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold may exit from pennant and rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The price previously made a strong impulse upward, forming a downward pennant, but this move lost steam after touching the seller zone around 3430 - 3440. From there, the market reversed and dropped sharply below the support level, even creating a visible gap. Didn’t last long, the price recovered quickly and made another strong move up, breaking out of the downward pennant structure. Since then, Gold has been trading inside a new formation, an upward pennant, where both support and resistance lines are gradually converging. This setup suggests growing pressure and the potential for a breakout. Currently, the price is hovering near the support line of this upward pennant. In my opinion, we may see a small correction to test this support, followed by a bullish rebound. If the structure holds, Gold could break out upward and head directly toward the 3430 resistance level, which matches the upper boundary of the previous seller zone — this is my TP 1. Given the strong impulse structure and continuation pattern, I remain bullish and expect further growth after this local retest. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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BITCOIN - Price can continue grow inside flat to $109000 levelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago, the price entered a wedge, declining below the $103500 level and then making a strong impulse up.
Next, price broke $103500 level one more time and rose to resistance line of wedge, after which started to decline.
BTC broke $109000 level and started to trades inside a flat, where it declined to support level and then bounced up.
Price rose to resistance level, which is top part of flat, and then at once dropped back and started trading close.
But some time later, price bounced from this level and started to grow, and even now it continues to grow.
So, I think that BTC can make a small correction movement and then continue to grow to $109000 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
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Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?XAUUSD – Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?
After weeks of muted movement, gold is coiling within a bearish channel — but a fresh warning from Goldman Sachs may be the trigger that changes everything. With concerns mounting over America’s fiscal future, gold could be preparing for a decisive shift.
🌐 Macro View – Goldman Sachs Sounds the Alarm
🔺 Goldman Sachs recently issued a critical warning:
US national debt is expected to exceed WWII levels, with interest payments topping $1 trillion by 2025, outpacing spending on defense and healthcare.
If urgent fiscal reforms aren’t implemented, the US could face a tightening cycle that slows GDP growth without reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio.
The root causes? Excessive spending, rising interest rates, and deep political gridlock.
📌 For global investors, this type of uncertainty is often bullish for gold — especially as a hedge against both inflation and US dollar instability.
📉 Technical Outlook (Updated – M30 to H1)
Gold is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, with sellers firmly in control.
Price is currently hovering around the pivot zone at 3,338.42, with a possible short-term bounce toward 3,368.04, the upper edge of the channel.
EMA ribbons (13–200) are sharply aligned to the downside, signaling strong bearish momentum.
If the price fails to break above 3,368, the next key support zones lie at 3,325.78, and potentially 3,309.25, where unfilled fair value gaps (FVG) await.
✅ Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308
Stop-Loss: 3303
Targets: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 →
🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323
Stop-Loss: 3318
Targets: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420
Stop-Loss: 3424
Targets: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398
Stop-Loss: 3403
Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370
💬 Closing Thoughts – A Volatile End to the Week?
With US markets returning from a bank holiday and macro pressure rising, volatility could spike to close the week.
✅ Stick to disciplined SL/TP levels. Avoid premature entries and let price confirm direction.
Gold remains technically bearish — but the global debt narrative could turn this market on its head.
Prepare. Observe. Strike only when the structure aligns.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened slightly against the US dollar during Friday's Asian session and moved away from the monthly low reached the day before. Data released by the Japanese government showed that the annual consumer price index (CPI) in May remained well above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) target of 2%. This confirms market expectations that the BoJ will raise interest rates again and is a key factor driving the moderate growth of the JPY.
Meanwhile, ongoing trade uncertainty and further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment, further strengthening the JPY's status as a safe haven. In addition, the moderate decline in the US dollar (USD) is pulling the USD/JPY pair back towards the psychological level of 145.000. However, expectations that the BoJ may keep rates unchanged until the first quarter of 2026, as well as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish pause earlier this week, may limit the pair's losses.
Market participants are paying extra attention to upcoming economic releases from the US, including inflation and labor market data, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy trajectory. If the statistics prove strong, this could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the yen. However, the continuing weakness in the global economic recovery and high Japanese inflation continue to support expectations of a gradual tightening of BoJ policy, creating an ambiguous outlook for the USD/JPY exchange rate in the short term.
Trading recommendation: SELL 145.400, SL 145.700, TP 144.300
USD/JPY(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
145.32
Support and resistance levels:
146.35
145.96
145.72
144.93
144.68
144.30
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.72, consider buying, and the first target price is 145.96
If the price breaks through 145.32, consider selling, and the first target price is 144.93
Potential Gold LongWith Volatile Markets and constant War Developments
XAU/USD has experienced higher than NORMAL volatility.
Given price can RESPECT this short term trendline, we may have a Target of 3,500 in sight.
2 weeks of Bullish Momentum now followed by a beautiful retracement & Strong Wicks below.
SL - 3,355
TP 1 - 3,440
TP 2 - 3,470
TP 3 - 3,496
Euro can fall to support area and then rebound upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price, after a period of sideways trading, the price started to grow gradually and formed a consistent bullish structure. The trend was supported by regular bounces from the support line, confirming the bullish sentiment. At some point, price made a temporary drop below the support area, but this move was short-lived; bulls quickly stepped in, and the pair recovered. After that, EURUSD returned back into the channel and began forming higher highs and higher lows again, confirming the continuation of the trend. Right now, the price is declining slightly and approaching the support area again, which is located between 1.1455 and 1.1430. This zone has shown itself as a strong support during previous moves and is now being retested from above. Given the current structure and the upward channel in play, I expect the Euro to rebound from this support area and continue growing toward the 1.1580 points - that’s my current TP 1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD pushing away from 2025 highsAfter creating a new 2025 high last week, MARKETSCOM:EURUSD is now in a slight correction mode. Will the bears take control from here? Let's have a look.
FX_IDC:EURUSD
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Detailed technical analysis of the ETH/USD chart🧭 General Context (1D, Long-Term):
The chart covers the period from approximately September 2023 to June 2025.
ETH/USD has gone through a complete cycle: growth → decline → correction → potential consolidation/accumulation.
🔹 Market Structure (Price Action)
🔸 Trends:
November 2023 – March 2024: strong uptrend, ETH reaches highs around $4,000+
March 2024 – February 2025: clear downtrend ending with a local low around $1,600
February 2025 – May 2025: dynamic rebound – probable trend change (new higher low + higher high)
May – June 2025: currently consolidating between ~$2,400–2,800
📉 Key Support and Resistance Levels
Type Level Notes
🔴 Resistance ~2,800 – 2,900 Local high, many candles with shadows rejected from above
🟡 Resistance ~3,200 – 3,400 Beginning of strong declines from 2024
🟢 Support ~2,300 – 2,400 Local lows in June 2025
🟢 Strong support ~1,600 – 1,800 Final market low of March 2025 (possible accumulation phase)
📊 Technical indicators
✅ Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart):
Currently in the oversold zone (~0–20) → may signal a potential bottom / buying opportunity
Red-blue lines are starting to wrap upwards → possible rebound
Recent crossovers of the indicator corresponded to local price movements
🔍 Technical formations
⚠️ Possible formations:
Double Bottom: February–March 2025 → classic trend reversal formation
Rising Channel: from March 2025 to present – prices are moving in a slightly rising channel
Current consolidation may be a bull flag (continuation after the increase)
📌 Summary – scenarios
🟢 Bullish scenario:
Breakout of resistance ~2,800 → possible test of levels 3,200 – 3,400 USD
Confirmation of a higher low → continuation of the uptrend
Stochastic RSI in the oversold zone → potential for an uptrend
🔴 Bearish scenario:
Drop below 2,300 USD → possible return to the area of 1,800–1,600 USD
Breakout of the structure of higher lows
Confirmation that the increase was only a correction
🧠 Final conclusions
Currently, ETH/USD is in a key decision zone: after a strong rebound, the market is resting.
Stochastic RSI suggests a potential upside impulse, but requires confirmation by a breakout of resistance.
For traders: 2,800 (resistance) and 2,300 (support) are worth watching.
For investors: 1,600–1,800 could be considered a long-term accumulation zone.
BTC – Bullish bias under review: 102k/103k supports in focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum : Dominant on all major timeframes (1D, 12H, 6H, 4H). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator signals STRONG BUY except on 15min (neutral).
Support/Resistance : Structurally key pivot zone 102k–106k; major supports 102k/103k. Potential breakout above 106k (swing target 109k).
Volumes : Normal across all timeframes. No excess signals, no accumulation/capitulation peaks.
Multi-TF Behaviors : Horizontal consolidation with bullish dominance. Short-term bearish divergence on 2H–15min, micro-TF in correction only, no panic.
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Strategic Summary
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Global Bias : Solid bullish structure as long as 102k/103k hold. “Risk On” maintained by sector outperformance.
Opportunities : Entries on pullback/main base 103k–104k; breakouts to watch above 106k.
Risk Zones : Clear invalidation <102k, potential rapid flush to 97k–88k; keep strict stop-loss below 102.5k.
Macro Catalysts : FOMC, Fed projections, Middle East geopolitics keep volatility high, but no shock. Price action leads near-term strategy.
Action Plan : Swing buy on confirmed support, dynamic hedge post-news, monitor volumes/closures on key pivots.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D : Bullish momentum, major supports intact (102k/105k). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY, stable volume, no excess. Healthy structure for long swings.
12H : Positive bias, range 102.6k–106k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = STRONG BUY.
6H : Presumed accumulation 103k–106k, momentum still strong. No volume weakness.
4H : Range oscillation, structural support test at 103k. Sector outperformance, neutral volume.
2H : First sign of short-term weakness. Divergent with higher TFs but no panic.
1H : Technical rebound towards 104.8k possible as long as 103k support holds.
30min : Short-term trend remains bearish (trend 30min = down). Correction/purge ongoing.
15min : Neutral momentum, supports being tested. No panic or melt-down observed.
Summary : Strong bullish confluence on higher TFs, temporary divergence on micro-TFs. “Range with bullish bias” scenario as long as 102k/103k holds the structure.
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Macro and Fundamental Analysis
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FED/FOMC (June 18) : Rates unchanged, “data dependent” guidance. Raised volatility but no risk-off shift.
Market Sentiment : BTC technical structure holds, moderate post-FOMC volatility.
S&P500 : Above all key moving averages. Sector momentum (software, uranium, semis) remains dominant.
Energy Level : Weak oil = little macro pressure against BTC.
Geopolitics : Israel–Iran escalation / US posture reinforced. High FX/oil volatility but BTC resilient (>102k), no panic on record.
Economic Calendar : Closely watching BoE & SNB, but low BTC impact odds.
Implications : Post-news phase = ideal for range trading, no rupture event expected within 48h.
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Strategic synthesis & R/R guidance
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Long on pullback 103–104k, swing targets 106/109k. Optimal R/R (>2.5) if stop 102.5k (D Pivot Low).
Invalidation area : Clean close <102k or heavy downside volume (capitulation via ISPD/volumes).
Risk Management : Dynamic stops, partial hedge post-FOMC during macro volatility.
Conclusion : Bullish structure preserved. Range trading scenario dominant, no extreme signals or panic. Actions: support watch, technical buy on confirmed pullback.