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Anchoredvwap

BA VWAP bounce LONGBA on the 1H chart put in a double top. Given the heavy volumes on the volume profile, BA was shorted heavily at the top. Those shorts have rode the profit train down to the mean VWAP. At this point they are buying to cover and taking profit and are joined by new buyers. BA has reversed and pivoted up. the MACD is confirmatory. Volume is adaquate and steady albeit without any spikes. BA is a low mover. Price has about 5% upside to the double top and POC line of the volume profile. This is most suitable for a call option trade to follow this megacap up. Please leave a comment if you would like to query my ideas as to a good option for this trade.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
ARK - Cathie Wood flagship ETF rising again LONGARKK double topped about July 19 and July 31st then downtrend until Fri Aug 18th, On this past trading day, the technology market moved higher lead by TSLA and NVDA. ARK reversed and started the retracement of the trend down. I see ARK targeting 45 in the mid Fibonacci levels and potentially beyond that to 47.8 being the base level of the double top. The stop loss is the pivot low on Friday as ARKK awaits a momentum boosting cross over the mean anchored VWAP. The two TF RS indicator shows the lower TF in green well over the 50 levels with the high TF black line lagging. The ZL MACD shows more confirmation. ARKK looks good to enter now. I will zoom from the 2H to the 30 minutes to find an optimal entry. I may take a large stock position and supplement it with a single put option for insurance against downside potential. I seek a 12-14 ROI on the stock trade and some multiples of that on a 2 to 3 week put option.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by AwesomeAvani
KO a dividend king a top holding of Buffett LONGOn the 1H chart, KO is well positioned having bounced up from the dynamic support of the deviation line under the mean VWAP and now approaching the POC line of the volume profile over the past month. the dual time frame RS indicator shows lines in the mid-range between oversold and overbought. I believe KO will cycle up towards the dynamic resistance of the upper VWAP lines. I will take a long trade here targeting first 62.25 just below the first upper line for 60% of the trade and then 63.15 for the remaining 405 of the trade. The limit entry by buy stop at 60.1 while the stop loss is under the POC line @ 60.85 the stop loss minimal magnitude sets up a very good risk to reward ratio. I will take several call options as well. Leave a comment if you would like to know those details. While much of the market is sideways or maybe looking to drop, i see KO as diversified and global in its business insulated from currency fluctuations and a consumer staple and so a solid fortress from the chaos now available on a relative bargain sale in keeping with the philosphies of Warren Buffett.
NYSE:KOLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
DLTR reverses up on pre-earnings move LONGDLTR has earnings in 3-4 trading days. On the 30 minute chart it has been sideways and maybe a little down for this past week which is par for the course given the general market. In the last trading day, price bounced up from the lower of the two Bollinger band set at 2.618 standard deviations below the mean basis band. The ZL MACD lines are upgoing and crossed over the zero-line. The ADX lines both negative direction and positive direction are flat and ad the zero level. The BB Oscillator demonstrates the bounce at the Friday morning open. I will take a long trade in DLTR in the next three days anticipating that trader interest and a little greed will push the price higher. I may take a call option as well. If you want to know which call I may have an interest in taking, please leave a comment.
NASDAQ:DLTRLong
by AwesomeAvani
DE falling into undervalued territory / Favorable Earnings LONGDE on the 4H chart is now setup for a long trade. It is now positioned just above a long term anchored VWAP to which a stop loss can be set just below @ 390. DE was falling before favorable earnings and has not yet reversed. I see this as an opportunity to trade an industrial blue chip taking entry well below fair value and so a bargain. I will get a mixture of a handfulof stock shares and a single option 4 months to expiration. The target is selected to be 445 at the upper Bollinger bands confluent with the second deviation line of the anchored VWAP. This is about 13% upside- while the option's profit potential is substantially higher. If you would like to know the details of the call option leave a comment. ( if this idea is of interest considering liking and following :)
NYSE:DELong
by AwesomeAvani
Hawaiian Airlines HA Reversal LongHA is on a 30 minute- chart. A Head and Shoulder pattern is drawn. It is assymetrical with an ascending neckline extension. An anchored VWAP is added. Price is currently in the deeply oversold zone near to the -2 standard aWVAP line. I see buyers and money flow coming in at this level. The stop loss is 9. The first target is at 10.7 and so about 15% upside in the area of the mean VWAP. The second target is the confluence of the July 10 pivot , the ascending neckline of the pattern and 2 deviations above aVWAP ( the thinnest red line) at the area 12.5. This is about 35% upside. I will take this swing long trade and investigate a suitable call option as well.
H
by AwesomeAvani
FORD watching for a reversal from deep oversold LONGFORD on the one hour chart has been trending down with dynamic support from anchored VWAP lines. However the zero lag MACD is showing some bullish divergence with upgoing MACD and signal lines in parallel from a cross under the histogram which converted red to green. There was an associated spike in volume in the range of 3x the mean. The last earnings report only a few weeks back had a significant beat on the top line. I will place FORD on my watch list for next week. I likely will take a long trade on Mondday 8/14 with planned targets on the chart based on VWAP standard deviation line levels. I am especially interested to see if FORD will go on a bull run and fill the volume void from 14.25 to 15. If profits are taken off 40%, 40% ane 20% this trade could realize 20% in profit.
NYSE:FLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
BNKU- Triple Leveraged Bank Sector LONGOn the hourly chart, BNKU fell from a head and shoulders in late July , crossed under VWAP lines in a VWAP breakdown and pullback before an inverse head and shoulders type reversal now underway. The zero-lag MACD is confirmatory. I will take a long trade here. Projected stop loss and targets ( TP1-40% TP2 40% and T3 20%) are on the chart. I see this as a very safe trade with an estimated 12% overall profit expected. I am in a WFC trade and looking at ETFs DPST and KRE as well
BLong
by AwesomeAvani
VALE a junior miner can rise on the Gold bullrunNYSE:VALE as a junior miner could be reaosnably expected to follow spot gold. The bottom line is quite simple. With fixed costs to mine gold, VALE can easily expect to increase its margins when stop gold rises will above the breakeven on a spreadsheet. The 2H chart shows price has descended into the support of the long term anchored mean anchored VWAP line after a VWAP breakdown. The PMO and ZL MACD are confirmatory for a consolidation sitting on dynamic support. Overall, the analysis is that of VALE setup to make a reversal for a bullish move reflecting the gold run at large. I will take this trade long now.
NYSE:VALELong
by AwesomeAvani
2
TUP the newest meme fundamentally dead LONGTUP on the 30-minute chart has some decent technicals. Based on anchored VWAPs one set for 8/1 and another 8/3, TUP has pulled back into solid support at the two mean VWAP lines. Volume has been steady. It is in the middle of the fair value zone and under the POC line of the volume profile. Analysis of that profile is that price should seek the POC as if a magnet. there is could be pushed up or repelled down depending of the relativity of the dynamic of buying and selling pressures interplay in that zone. I see TUP as having 20% upside for sure on the retracement of the trend down. An additional leg up and over the POC line is possible or even probable but not a certainty.
TLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
I want to buy either AMZN or a leveraged gold ETF like JNUGSo my question is which one is better right now? To anwer that question, I set up a daily chart of the ratio of the prices with a volume profile and anchored VWAP for context and analysis. I have found that the ratio had a pullback into the support of an anchored VWAP band below the higher and to the POC line where a bullish contnuation resumed. On the RSI both the low and high RS lines are in a healthy midrange. HA Candlesticks are fairly wide-ranged and rising from a base at the POC line. My conclusion is easy, buy AMZN now. If or when rather AMZN cools off, incrementally sell out of it perhaps to add to the leveraged gold ETF. I am a long term gold bug but need to trade in the moment, and AMZN right now has far more glitter.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
TMV leverage inverse ETF for treasuries SHORTTMV on the one-hour chart tested two standard deviations above the mean VWAP in both late May and early July it fell to one standard deviation below VWAP but then rose sharply into beyond the two standard deviations line ( thick red ) ascending into a YTD high. I believe that this is due to the recent federal debt creditworthiness downgrade. The threatened rise of BRICS reserve currency and potentially adversely affects the value of the dollar ( DXY) while supporting gold prices. I see this as a good continuation play no matter the overextension of price. Both the dual MTF and the zero lag MACD however suggest a pullback. The mass flow indicator does as well. As a result I will look at TMF to go long trusting the indicators to give me a directional bias.
AMEX:TMVShort
by AwesomeAvani
SOFI Swing Trade RecapSOFI as a fin tech company has been volatile. Besides the issues of student loan forgiveness, the federal adjustments of the intrabank overnight rates and inflation inparting the budgets of its customers, the landscape has landmines and its litterd with signs of fiscal damage. Knowing it had upcoming earnings and perhaps some greed competing against fear with traders. I took a trade and the closed it on earnings. Here are the particulars. !. the 30 minute bare chart is overlaid with a double set of Bollinger Bands. The settings are not the default. If you want them, like the idea and then ask. A linear regression line with a period of 28 is added. The volume is underneath. Finally a MACD indicator in a lower pane. 2. For the entry, on July 27, late in the session, price fell outside the lower bands and then came back inside them after printing a red Doji bar and a little surge of selling volume above the running mean. There it was a simple easy entry. Price crosses over the regression line. MACD lines crossed under the histogram. 3. The swing trade progressed and price action progressed. On the mornings of the report release traders were freaked out. Was the beat good enough ? Volatity was over the top. after a bit of a drop, volume came into the trade in a big way and price followed the lead of volume ( serious money flow). Price shot higher and got beyond those BB upper bands with hugh volatility topping wicks. Once price got back inside the bands I exited. 4. This trade yielded more than 25% in 3 day pretty good for just a little effort. Of course stop loss was moved every time a 2% rise occurred the stop loss was moved up 2.2% getting closer and closer to price gradually. 5. Price dropped into a full pullback within a couple of hours. I would have liked to play the downside but I was overextended on the number of trades I was managing. 6. As an afterthought, price is now doing what is called a lower bollinger band walk, That is to say, it is increasingly at risk to reverse and start uptrending. Price is under the middle BB and a little under the mean VWAP. It is begging to reverse. I am waiting for an entry on that and the wait will not be long. ( By the way a certain someone, you are a smart trader and you will most certainly know I uploaded this idea for you).
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by AwesomeAvani
TSLL - a leveraged TSLA ETF sitting on dynamic support LONGTSLL moves more than TSLA as it is leveraged. TSLA is volatile for a large cap and TSLL is TSLA high octane verison. TSLL on the anchored VWAP bands has bescended into the undervalued and oversold zone supported by teh thin red line the second standard deviation below VWAP. It hit a pivot high in early July hitting the thin red UPPER VWAP line about the, I analyze a reversal is coming with the final leg down coinciding with the general market moves this week. Price is obviously below then mean VWAP and the POC line. I think the rubber band effect and bargain buying will propel it upward as may and short sellers liquidating their positions. I will take a trade of a fiar amount of stock shares as well as entertain some call options. If a trader is curious to my levels of interest leave a comment.
NASDAQ:TSLLLong
by AwesomeAvani
SVXY rises on returning greed or trader confidence LONGSVXY runs inverse to UVXY- it was trending up for weeks but fell off the cliff with the VIXX spike on the fed news of the debt rating downgraded ( like the US posting an earnings miss) a 7% adjustment in almost no time. The analysis now is the red candlestick pattern is that of inside bars, a Doji then a green bar and a red. The zero-lag MACD has had a line cross under the histogram showing bullish divergence coming into that indicator. Price has come to rest for support on the one standard deviation line below the mean VWAP. From this analysis I will take a long trade targeting the POC line of the volume profile 87.5 as the final target for 66% of the trade after taking 33% off at the mean anchored vwap at 85.85 The stop loss today's pivot low of 82.85. This offers a very favorable risk to reward as trader positive sentiment recovers.
CBOE:SVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is NVDA done correcting? LONGNVDA shot up on earnings two months ago and more or less went sideways until mid July when it trended up for a week and then reversed downward. On the 2H chart, I have placed both a VWAP anchored to the earnings date as well as a volume profile. Price is currently above the 0.5 Fib level as well as at one standard deviation above the mean VWAP and above the POC line of the volume profile. The mean VWAP and POC are confluent at about 422. I suspect that it is at this level that volatility will be the highest and at where buyers will step in to open a trade shares of NVDA that have been oversold and are undervalued. Because of that, I will place NVDA on my watchlist for a long trade when it trends down approaching 422. The stop loss will be 418 or about 1% while targeting the recent double top of 475 and so a zone of horizontal resistance confluent with dynamic resistance in the red line of two standard deviations above the mean VWAP. Confirmation of an upcoming reversal is the histogram of the zero-lag MACD going red to green. NVDA has had a great run this year (220%) and its heavy presence in the AI megatrend bodes well for a good continuation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AwesomeAvani
25
FORD fell after good earnings - now reverses LONGFORD on the 2H chart double topped in mid July and then descended as it had reached the second deviation line above the mean anchored VWAP. It continued the fall had a bit of pre-earnings run up and then paradoxically fell with very decent top and bottom line earnings. If you know why please let me know. After earnings and the fall, FORD reached the long-term mean VWAP and reversed as can be seen on lower time frames. I see this as a VWAP bounce, the favorite place for institutional traders to make their trades. A volume profile and its POC line find the highest trading volumes of the time interval. the MACD and Price Momentum Oscillators are confirmatory with reversal signals. I will take a long trade here. The stop loss will be 13 below VWAP. Targets are 14 (25%) 14.5 (50%) and 14.85 (25%). This is a simple trade with $0.25 risk which will be eliminated once price gets to $13.5 making it risk and stress-free. I have an options trade in mind. Comment if you want my specifics.
NYSE:FLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
BULZ - Technology ETF ( AI revolution )LONGBULZ is a 3X leveraged version of the Cathie Wood ETFs. As shows on the 2H chart BULZ broke out of the fair value channel of the anchored VWAP bands in bullish momentum Not a coincidence. In three months it has gained over 110% or 35% per month compounded. The MACD indicator shows the lines peaking over the histogram a cross of them is pending. The mass index indicator shows a signal into the reversal zone and falling as if about to trigger. This is a VWAP breakout at its best. It jumped 7 % in one day and now needs a pullback reset. My trading plan is simple. I will watch for a pullback to the blue line one standard deviation above the mean VWAP. I expect a bounce off that dynamic support. The trade will be a long-duration one until the technology sector cools off. Any future pullbacks to the blue VWAP will have an incremental add to the position. Any pops in price over the second VWAP line above the mean ( a line not visible here) will be used to signal a sell of a portion of the position. All in all, this will compound realized profits while underway.
AMEX:BULZLong
by AwesomeAvani
SOFI vwap crossover earnings 2 days LONGOn Friday the 28th SOFI had a good day. I am looking for more of the same going into earnings. It dropped through the middle VWAP bands and remarkably rebounded. Great volatility to be exploited. Some consolidation at the +1 Standard Deviation band is normal and healthy. SOFI as a financial technology has been honing its margins in a challenging environment. I see a long trade here and will take it being careful to take profits quickly and pay attention to the earnings release. A stock trade on an the intraday basis is considered. A 1 % stop loss is good enough since price is sitting on dynamic support. The target is 10.0, the pivot high of mid-July, This is 2.5% for a modest quick trade with a risk of 1 for a reward of 2.5. Just a basic trade at a good entry.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by AwesomeAvani
OPEN OpenDoor a Penny Real Estate LONGOPEN has earnings upcoming on 8/3. An analysis of the 4H chart with overlays shows bullish momentum in the set of zero lag EMA lines as well as upgoing anchored VWAP landlines. Price crossed over the mean VWAP ( thin black) and the POC line of the volume profile one month ago. The MACD shows bullish momentum since July 24th. The dual RSI indicator shows the low time frame green line rising and then crossing the steady higher black time frame line the past trading day and both being at the 60 level. OPEN is a long trade setup with earnings around the corner. I will take it.
NASDAQ:OPENLong
by AwesomeAvani
SBUX upcoming earnings opportunity LONGSBUX fell going into earnings in early May and continued down all of May then pivoting into a slow climb on this 2H chart through the lower anchored VWAP bands until the present where it is about to cross the mean VWAP lines as signaled by an engulfing green bar after a Doji. The dual time frame RSI lines have both near the 50 levels with the lower in green slightly above the higher in black. I see SBUX rising in the earning upcoming this week. The target is the ascending trendline in black at about 104 for a quick 2.5% ROI in 2 days. I will play this with some call options contracts striking 102 expiring August 11th. I will take half of them off with a 50% unrealized profit and let the remainder run until 8/9 to avoid acceleration of time decay.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by AwesomeAvani
NVDA Breaking Out from Consolidatiom LONGNVDA has been in consolidation for two weeks. On the 1H chart, yesterday, the MTF RSI indicator shows that the lower TF RSIc rossed over the 50 level and then crossed over the higher TF RSI a clear and convincing sign of rapidly increasing relative strength. Price is in a VWAP breakout now having crossed from the mean VWAP anchored into mid- June and up crossing over the one and two standard deviation lines. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross under the histogram occurred in the after-hours trading on Tuesday evening. Price has crossed over the POC line of the visible range volume profile yet another sign of bullish buying pressure and momentum. Overall, my analysis is that NVDA is set up for a long swing trade which I will take today.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AwesomeAvani
5