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H&S Pattern appears to have been triggered on XRPIt seems the head and shoulders pattern has been triggered. We are currently at a potential support zone on the 1 day charts 200ma(not shown here) If we can bounce there or at least before the horizontal aqua colored line shown here it will be a very good sign because we will have simply formed a higher low but if we were to reach the projected drop target of the head and shoulders pattern breakdown we would definitely be forming a lower low. Anyone who didn't already get out of their position or short when the 4hr volume indicated the head&shoulders was triggering I would say to wait and see if the 1 day 200ma support fails and even whether or not the priceaction dips below the aqua trendline before shorting at this point you don't wanna fall victim to buying the bottom of this dip.
Short
by DrDovetail
A Bearish and Bullish case for XRPThis idea will be listed neutral because while we still have the very bullish and valid Symmetrical triangle here we have also developed a head and shoulder pattern which is currently now threatening to break the neckline of. Many head and shoulder patterns become fakeouts though so if it is the case that this head and shoulder pattern is a fakeout as well I think that will highly increase the probability of the symmetrical breaking upward like continuation patterns are known to do...Keep a close eye on the head and shoulder pattern though because if it does trigger not only will it initially have the drop target I've posted here in red, but it will also trigger a breakdown of the symmetrical triangle pattern which can dip it the height of the triangle. Do not buy into the head and shoulder pattern prematurely even with it dipping below the neckline best to hodl until we see a bear volume surge to confirm the breakdown. If we break upward the bullish breakout price target is also listed here in green.
by DrDovetail
1
XRP 4hr cup and handle pattern overlapping 1day bull pennantShow here is the 1 day chart bull pennant. I will post the 4hr chart below this to get a better look at the cup and handle. The top trendline of the bull pennant is overlapping with the rimline of the cup and handle pattern...which is currently causing double reinforced resistance...I believe however by the apex of this 1 day bull pennant(next 1 day candle) that we will be able to flip that resistance to double reinforced support and continue our breakout upward. We should know by the next 1 day candle....of course always wise to be prepared for the exact opposite outcome as well.
Long
by DrDovetail
4
SP1! Still a Buy Dips Market - Long and Strong S&P 500 Update SP1! Chart 12:36 Bst 07:36 Est 22nd September The S&P has given back 8 or so points from the high reached at 2945. ideally it will come back to 2935 around the open and bounce again from there to give another entry point. This still looks positive whilst it holds at 2935 and above. S&P 500 Update SP1! Chart 10:10 Bst 05:10 Est September 22nd The S&P has continued its rally overnight and is now probing the next (still sketchy) resistance level at 2945. Still difficult to identify a stop level under this long shot as there's still been no consolidation overnight. Can either close out and take the 27 points profit from 2918 long or raise the stop to 2930 and let it run some more. If you choose to close out the long rather than hang on to a notional stop be ready to follow long again from lower down towards 2930 if we see it later - otherwise be ready to follow long again on a break above 2945 with stops 2 points lower looking for a test of the upper parallel at around 2964 as the next likely point of resistance above 2945, (amended). Resistance potential: 2945, 2964/upper parallel, 3005, 3209. 18:32 Bst 13:32 est September 21st A stellar day for the major markets has seen the S&P blast higher all day - amazing if there's no profit taking towards the close. Even if there is am staying long towards 2946 as we should have a good day tomorrow - at least to begin with before boiling over. Some may prefer to close out because the stop has to stay under the 2916 line otherwise as there's been no correction so far to be able to raise the stop through the day. This break is good and signals further upside to around 2945 initially. But has more in it to 3005 and then 3209 before the year is out. This is obviously best guess from here - we're in deep uncharted waters - but this break looks good for the medium term. 13:06 Bst 08:06 Est September 21th Long story short it's still a buy dips market - it was OK to get long again once the 2913 line was broken to the upside a little earlier today but the stop has to stay under 2910 for now if so. Otherwise take profits at 2919 but be ready get long again once 2920 is broken above. If flat it's OK to wait for the next signal from here which looks like a break above 2920 looking for 2946.
SLong
by sumastardon
Inverted cup and handle spotted priceaction testing necklineIn dark turquoise here I ahve drawn an inverted cup and handle pattern...the price action has sent a wick to the neckline...should we not climb back into the symmetrical triangle by the time this candle closes probability is very high that we could trigger this cup and handle pattern...if so the target drop would be down to the bottom trendline of the weekly descending triangle pattern...I think we could see nice support there around 5845 or so. This may of course though be a bear trap and we still have time to climb back into the symmetrical triangle pattern before the candle closes...try to be prepared for both outcomes.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Inv H&S Breakout confirmed but may not surpass 100maTHe projected breakout is posted here just under 6.7k. At first that seemed like it would clearly allow it to surpass both the 4hr 50ma(in orange) and 100ma(in blue). However the way the 100ma is now starting to tilt upwards could prove to allow it to maintain resistance and get above the projected target price before the price action reaches it....the 4hr death cross is now solidly in effect and would tak a lot more bullish action to reverse. It's possible but until I see the price action surpass the 100ma and both flip the 100ma from resistance to support and solidify that support...than I have to anticipate that the 100ma will provide some solid resistance especially now that the 4hr rsi is nearing oversold levels. Of course still very possible we can get more bullish action to come. For now I'm still neutral but right when the inv head and shoulders was confirmed I was long to the projected target.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
4hr death cross occurred + inv h&s still valid= wait 4 the breakThe 4hr death cross has occurred, however priceaction still hasn't chosen a direction. The inverted head an shoulders is still very much valid. Gonna have to wait for a clear break one way or the other and hodl int he meantime or if you sold sodl. If it continues to simply ove sideways all month somehow then we may very well be experiencing the purgatory phase that occurs right before the follow up bull run. For now, Neutral.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
5
Right shoulder of inverted h&s forming smaller h&s patternNot sure which way this will break but its very important to be aware of the current smaller head and shoulder forming inside the right shoulder of the inverted head and shoulder pattern...the drop target for the this smaller h&s pattern is not enough to invalidate the inverted h&s but there is always a chance for it to fall well past the drop target. Definitely something to keep an eye on. The RSI + stochrsi on the daily, 4hr, and hourly should help give us some indication of which way is more likely. As well as any bullish or bearish divergences.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
PHP downtrend continuation. Great R:R.The Peso continues to decline this month. Since the 10% crash from January to February, the long term trend is in a downwards channel. However I believe that it will once again break below the channel and continue to fall. (Click and drag on the price axis to move the chart). Looking at more short term profits: A Head and Shoulders pattern is forming on the daily chat. This is normally a reversal pattern and not a continuation, however I believe that a 50% retracement of the "head" will still act as resistance, as it has in previous red daily candles. See the black horizontal minor resistance level from the past month as this also lines up. Normally the target of this H&S would be a 1:1 extension of the head to the neckline, however because it will be breaking this important channel, there is no resistance there to hold it so expect a drop fast. Possible resistance level is the black line on the chart. The RSI is not near the oversold level, so still has further to fall. Downsides: -There have not been any noticeable H&S formations on this pairing in the past. -H&S normally signifies a reversal rather than continuation. -The resistance in the channel may be enough to push it back up as this "H&S" is not yet so big. If this fails then look for a short opportunity after a larger structure. Good luck trading.
by Etch1234
Potential Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern on 4hr chartAfter seeing a nice fakeout on the daily of the inverted cup and handle pattern we are now seeing the 4hr chart form both a higher high and at least for now what appears like it will be a follow up higher low...if so the odds are favorable of following that up with another higher high and in doing so very likely we could trigger this currently developing inverted head and shoulder pattern. Though the 4hr chart is looking bullish we must still keep in mind that on the 1 day chart we have a giant bear flag and an inverted c up and handle to tend with...one of these 2 paths will be chosen either the bullish 4hr chart scenario will p;ay out or the bearish 1 day chart scenario. So be ready for either this idea for these reasons will be listed as neutral.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail