USOIL - Planning aheadJust my view on what might happen. This chart is just for my own reference, and any trade should not be taken from it.
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Cup & Handle Season: How to Spot an Invalid Cup&Handle BreakoutIt's Cup & Handle Season! There have been multiple cup and handles that have formed all around the altcoin market recently in what I am going to dub as cup and handle season. I'm out hunting for valid cup and handles and while most of them this time around seems like they will eventually be validated....it is easy to get faked out by these patterns and think the top of the cup and even the handle has already formed when in reality the cup is deeper than you originally thought and the handle has not yet occurred. I'm using Cardano as the main example here because it illustrates this fake out quite well. There ahave been a few more of these type of fakeouts around the altcoin market and I will also be posting snapshots of those as well. As you can see here, the inner cup and handle was not the valid cup and handle and where we thought it had broken the neckline a few things occurred at that point that signaled to us that it actually hadn't broken the neckline. First and foremost we didn't get a huge boost of bull volume that needs to accompany such a breakout in order for it to be valid. This volume boost should occur after 3 consecutive 4hr candle closes above the rims neckline. 2nd, we got nowhere near the top of the dotted projected price target line, and 3rd where we turned around and the price started falling back down there was a candle tip on the left side of the cup that we could connect a horizontal trendline to and form a new higher neckline of our cup making the cup deeper and the projected price target breakout higher. You always want to consider on the left side of your cup, when charting your cup and handle, whether or not there are any potential candle tips above where you are charting that could eventually be the real rimline of the cup, and keep those in mind if these kind of fake breakouts occur so you know exactly where to readjust your top trendline. Anytime you see these potential higher spots on the left side of the cup it's always wise to have a good temporary exit strategy because once you readjust the line to fit the higher candle tip on the left, you want to do it right around the time that the top of the cup has just finished forming, that way you know you can short and that some dipping in price will have to ensue in order for the handle to form, because since the new top of the cup has just been found the handle has actually not formed yet. The 2 best places to enter a position during the formation of the handle are 1. at the bottom of the handle which is usually going to be around about half the price of whatever the projected breakout price target will be, or 2. right after it breaks upward out of the handle and starts heading towards the neckline. When trying to guess where the bottom of the handle will be, keep in mind that valid cup and handle patterns handles do not dip further down than half the size of the cup, also let a few candles on the handle develop first to get an idea of the trajectory its following...once you have that take those trendlines to about half the cup and handles breakout price target is set at and odds are good you will be able to buy in very close to the bottom of the handle for optimal profits. Waiting till it breaks out of the handle is also a good strategy as well because, you don't have to spend as much time in the consolidation period as buying at the bottom of the handle which can leave you waiting quite awhile for the handles breakout to occur sometimes. The good thing about these fakeouts, is you can still make profit on them during the fakeout, and if you know what to look for you can then turn around and exit those positions until the bottom of the real handle and then continue to make profit on them. This fake out can happen multiple times on one cup as well. ..but if you know what to look for you'll be prepared & only make profits off both the fakeouts & the real breakout. Thanks for reading and good luck!
Good Incline and then Gradual declineHey guys, I'm pretty new here, so please take what I say with a grain of salt.
I propose that Bitcoin is making a very large cup and handle, with it's current rate of rising and looking at the past performance. We can see that BTC will go upwards 10k+ and then bounce off the resistance and slowly decline, possibly down to the middle portion of the cup.
Nano next in line to break above handle & flirt w/ cup neckline good entry point here on nano....it wille ventually break above this neckline.
bitshares cleared for takeoffLoaded up on bitshares 3 days ago and some more earlier today. Glad I did looks like it will hit its target sooner than later. Once it does I will start to ladder out profits and shift them to other alts that are on the verge of triggering...only leaving my foundational long term holding percentage of bitshares in after i've laddered out a few different levels.
Zen Cash's handle is another cup and handle. Double C&H?Every cup and handle that's materialized across the alt market the past week or so has had its own distinct nuances in its cup and handle....Zencash's handle actually appears to be another cup and handle. So it is esentially a double cup and handle. This should help it break above the rim line o it's bigger cup and handle with more authorrity than some of the other cup and handles who have poked their price actions head above their rim line and then bounced back under it. One thing I'm noticing in many of these current cup and handle patterns, is that the lowest point of their handle is approximately 1/2 the price point as their projected breakout target...meaning if you could buy in right at that point you'd have solid odds of doubling your investment on a lot of these cup and handles within a very short time. Of course this is simply a hypothetical observation and in no way shape or form meant to be taken as financial advice. You make your own choices there. So good luck and thanks for reading!
NEO triggers cup and handleNeo is looking rather bullish. Be cautious however because some people believe it may be also in an inverted cup and hande chart pattern as well which leads to a bearishdrop...if that were the case then the current regular cup and handle we are in and its breakout would be actually forming the upside down cup and handles handle. For now though it's gonna be moving bullishly up and a good one to be holding right now...but also wise to prepare for any sudden drastic 180 degree turns to the downside that could validate the inverted cup and handle.
Stella flirting w/the rimline of cup throwing bullwicks above itShouldn't be much longer before Stellar triggers it's cup and handle as well...likely a good entry point here..the upside is around 75% gains if it reaches the projected breakout target. I've noticed each alt's cup has it's own unique individual bowl shape and its own unique handle similar to the others but fun nuances between them...some have broading desending wedges for handles, some have symetrical triangles, others even have diamond bottoms...rather beautiful in the geometric way the each unfold. Good luck in whichever trading decisions you choose for yourself. *not financial advice*
H&S AND A BIG ALT FOMOFriends
When I see the chart at 1 or 2 minutes, I examine the relationship between volume and price with a magnifying glass. What I observe is a predominance of bearish muscle strength over the bullish forces. I see it not only because of the red volumes bigger than the green ones (3 to 7 times more powerful), but I also see it because of the effort it takes for the green volumes to be able to go up in price at key moments. A lot of green volume for little price increase. That means that the bulls are holding back the price.
At the same time and from a broader perspective, I see that just at this moment it seems that we are going down, the main ALTs have had incredible price increases creating a great FOMO.
What I believe is that the bears' war booties will be all the FOMO of the ALTS (many exchanges do not have ALTS / U $ S stop lose, they only have stop loss ALT / BTC). The whales know it and there the trap to keep their money.
I also see that the whales do not want to go to 12K because at those levels the sharks and dolphins (which are not now) come into play so that it would be more difficult for them to manipulate the market. Now the whales manipulate it because they are alone.
My analysis is a mixture of indicators and psychology because we must not forget that TA is a human psychological game above all things.
Only for educational purposes.
If you are agree with my idea, give me a Like :)
ADA breaks the rim of its cup and handleSSIA the break up from the handle would've be the most ideal entry point but with ladder in more from here for my own personal strategy of course with this being non faniancial advice and everything. Good luck in whicher method you decide to choose. There will be several more cup and handles to break in the coming days all across the market...its kinda like an Easter egg hunt. Best of luck keeping your eyes on all of them closely enough to catch when different ones trigger.
Super 'Cup and Handle' is forming. Interstellar travel possibleHi everyone,
I want to share with you the option of a super pattern forming . It's called 'Cup and Handle'.
The link here will provide you with a reference image: i.imgur.com
To me it looks like we are forming a round bottom and the possibility of forming a cup and handle should be taken into consideration.
If this pattern works out we should rally to 11.8k, get rejected, go down to around 10k to grab dynamite and obliterate 11.8k for revenge.
Beyond that point interstellar travel will be possible.
Please take note that this is just a scenario. Do your own research. Never put your fate into 1 trader.
Greetings and goodluck,
Vincent
BTCUSD Saturday Buy-Points and Updates09:20gmt 04:20est Saturday Buy Points and Updates
If you went long again off the retest of the lower parallel it's
held good overnight but has reached the underside of the
neck-line of the small head and shoulders created yesterday
and could have been closed out for 300 or so gain by now.
If still long the nearest support is close by at 9077 so no point
in closing out now.
But it must hold up from here to avoid further weakness back
to 8899 line again.
Failure to do so will trigger another short with stops above 9100.
The overall pattern is still delictely poised with bulls holding
sway above the 9077 line and bears still roaming the zone
underneath 9077. Bullish above the line still and flipping into
bearish territory below it.
More as the move develops...
Bitcoin Bitstamp Update 09:52gmt 04:52est
Bitcoin has rallied from the 9077 line precisely and shot
higher - local resistance at 9389 which should cap the rally in
near term where day traders will likely close out but the
pattern is looking positive - as before- bulls hold sway above
the 9077 dividing line and bears below.
If you bought off the lower parallel for the swing higher and
are still long can stay that way though expect some
downwards movement to arrive soon if so.
Bitcoin Bitstamp Update 12:43gmt 07:43est
Coming back to the 9175 support line and the lower parallel.
A buy here with stops below the line - or can wait for small
dynamic above price to be broken above and the 9224 line
reatken again by the bulls to add or for a safer buy anew.
Has to break below 9175 line by over 15 points to flip back to
negative again back to 9077
13:23gmt 08:23est
Can raise the stop on this long to just under 9200 now and let
it run towards the upper parallel for day traders and to
uppermost larger parallel for swings.
*For Bitcoin updates in real time over the weekend please see
link at top left of main page
BTC Rising WedgePotential rising wedge broke Bearish on BTC with a potential Head and Shoulders forming. Just a pattern to watch.
The 4 hours is currently creating a tighter range forming lower highers and higher low's. A break of this pattern will dictate the momentum for the following days.
If BTC break's 9751 we are looking at resistance 10K physiological and 11600
BTC forms another higher low; double bottom trajectory adjustedI didn't bother shorting this recent minor correction dip because 1. We didn't form a lower low first and foremost and 2. We maintained support at the 4hr 50MA buy/sell line (in orange). I did however have to slightly widen the trajectory of the double bottom Eve trendline(in pink) to make room for that extra red 4hr candle...which has pushed the projected date for when price action should meet the neckline of the double bottom back a few days to May 3rd. So far just a minor road bump, and we are still well on course to validating it. As I said in my previous idea I'm noticing a reoccurring fractal all throughout many altcoins right now that I think may give us a clue of what to expect after we were to trigger the double bottom and hit its upward projection. I wanna make sure before I bother putting a hypothesis like that out there, that I make sure we are out of the bear woods first (which I believe we are) but I will still wait for one o my next couple of upcoming ideas I post to go into more details about my thoughts on this. For now I'm just happy to see the Eve line we've been following all month is still in tact and glad the bulls still hold the reins.
Storm's Cup and Handle has Tremendous Upside.We can't be certain Storm'ccup and handle will trigger...but in the current context of the market probability is very high that it will and the upside is huge...the cup is so deep that even at its downward slanted angle Storm will; likely double in price. Of course this is just an assumption based on technical analysis and meant to be my own personal strategy not any sort of financial advice for I as alwayts am no financial advisor. Best of luck with whatever strategy you choose to implement for yourself.
Stellar's Cup & Handle is Nearing its NecklineAn agressive trader would enter here a conservatie one would wait for 1 hr hour close above the neckline. In context with every other cup and handle that have been triggering around the market the risk/reward ratio right now is very good to ladder in fractionally ahead of tim with smart stoplosses....always most wise to wait for the breakout and a 4hr close above though. Keep an eye out and you make your own decisions because this is not financial advice.
Nearing the neckline; being squeezed between 4hr Tline & 50MAPrice action is currently being squeezed between the 4hr buy/sell line(50ma) and the 4hr tline(8 EMA) and should shoot one way or the other soon enough. I expect a break upward even though it's currently forming a bear flag(which usually breaks down). A break below the bearflag could take us as far down as $7938 but if we go up then we could hit the neckline of this double bottom pattern by the 29th of April. Even though the bearflag(in red) which tend to break downwards has formed, that bear flag has formed inside a falling wedge(in tannish green) which have a tendency to break upwards. Often times these patterns become bear patterns cloaked in bull patterns or bull patterns cloaked in bear patterns. A break up from the wedge would only result in a projected uptrend target of $9238 which would continue skimming along the top surface of the eve trendline(in pink)'s current trajectory....however breaking up from the bearflag could have enough momentum to take us to $9874. It all depends on which pattern is more valid. They may both be valid. If either pattern breaks up the trajectory of the Eve line does not change and we would have a current projected date of April 29th as when we could reach and test the neckline of the Adam & Eve double bottom...If we broke downward, that would put us under the 4hr buy sell line and also give us a lower low which would mean a shorting opportunity, taking us all the way down as far as $7938 and significantly changing both the trajectory of the Eve trendline, and also which date it would reach the double bottom's neckline. As long as one is prepared for both potential outcomes, both outcomes can be a solid opportunity and fortunately neither will nullify our double bottom pattern. For a multitude of reasons I think probability favors a break upward, once the 50ma and the t line are done squeezing the price action I anticipate the 50ma teams up with the eve trendline and should have enough combined support to shoot the price action above the t line. So for now I am still long, but I will be ready to short should the opposite outcome occur. You of course make your own decisions as this is only my personal strategy and in no way meant to be taken as financial advice. Good luck and thanks for reading!
