AND
Bicoin: BTCUSD Reverse head and shoulders now clearerBitcoin Update
The reverse head and shoulders pattern is clearer now..
Right on the breaking point now and therefore vulerable to a
failure here...but it looks good so far...
Because the H and S pattern is clearer it also gives a clearer
measurement target on the upside once 7425 is beaten: 77333
is the minimum measurement implication of this break, if and
when it occurs so it should be worth following.
It would be helpful if it came back to 7350 (if 7350 gives way
at any point it could spike down to 7290 -7280 at absolute
worst so we have be wary with stops, not to get taken out of
a good position on a spike - the worst feeling in world, being
right, but still losing money...that is the worst kind of pain,
the worst kind of loss. Better to be outright wrong!)
Still a battle going on at the neckline now ...if it now breaks
higher from here, obviously that shows real strength
again...follow it. Otherwise we wait and see if we can get in
from lower down at 7350, maybe even 7300 on a spike (put in
order in and see if it gets hit...this is what causes those pin
bars!!!) - but we'l have to leave the stop below 7250 to begin
with if struck to avoid getting hit.
Otherwise we trade breakout on upside when it comes. Good
luck and be careful with stops!
Alphabet:GOOG Long term and short term targetsALPHABET: GOOG THE Alpha Bet
Google goes on and on, creating a wide pair of parallels as it
pushes relentlessly onwards. Only the Regulators can stop
them. If Bitcoin's your favourite girlfriend, Google is your
mum, (or should be, with Facebook as dad).
Looks like Alphabet should push higher towards 1075 where
the upper parallel waits to repel it., or at least halt its
advance for a while - and what's good for Google is good for
world markets usually. (Nasdaq, next comment, is poised to
rocket 280 points provided it opens up and moves higher from
the open, as looks likely at moment, barring disasters
between now and Monday open).
Over the longer term, in a year's time, Alphabet should be
trading between 1450 and 1500, slowly grinding ever higher,
and likely still within the long term controlling parallels shown
on the chart. Stops for long term holders can be raised
to just below 950
Bitcoin possibly returning to <5000$ (short term)Bitcoin seems to form a pretty clear "complex Head and Shoulders" as tought by John Murphy in his book "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets", one of the foundations in education of technical analysis.
As Bitcoin was not able to set a new high, we may now see the start of a correction initiated by exactly that head and shoulders. The decreasing volume from peak to peak (left shoulder highest volume, head less volume, right shoulder least volume) strenghtens this idea. A significant break (1h-candle closing more than 1% under the neckline, increased volume) through the neckline would confirm the h&s and indicate that the price is aiming at <5000$ (pink arrow projecting down the distance head-neckline from neckline as tought by John J Murphy). After breaking the neck, a return to this specific line would be likely before further downward movement. If this happens, I'll open a short position with a tight stop above the neckline which should work as a resistance at this point. As we are still in a strong long term uptrend, Bitcoin breaking through this new resistance is not unlikely. This may be a pretty risky trade, so I'm only going to open a small position and, as I already mentioned, keep my stop tight.
Beyond technical analysis there seems to be a lot of disapointment because of Bitcoin Gold and the connected "free money" (even though something like that does not exist, the market always rebalances). At least I personally am reading a lot of negative comments and nearly no positive feedback. As this was one of the reasons for Bitcoin reaching approximately 6200$ I feel like Segwit2x will not be able to push the price any further and a correction is about to take place (MACD and stochastic RSI on daily basis affirm this statement, unfortunately I was not able to add them up there). After all, everything that goes up has to come down (before moving up even further :) ).
Please keep in mind that I am by no means an expert and this should not be considered investment advice. To be even more clear, I'm in the game for only a few month and this is my first public analysis. So don't be afraid to give me some constructive feedback, I'll be thankfull about that.
DOW and S&P 500: DOWI SPX500 Super-Long-Term AnalysisDow and S&P 500 Super-long-term: How much longer longer, how much farther? Let the past be your guide. Apart from your dog it's the best friend you've got. The trick is to realise it. Chart is a bit of a mess so will upload a second without the BS
Revised | 8.5.17 | JCP | XABCD (Bat) Breakout into Earnings JCP | Overview: JCP has been diverging bullish for months (in yellow), the first chance it had to correct was in Q1, and the corrective move failed into a continuation. Going into Q2 I don't think JCP is going to correct into a bullish trend but will correct into a long sideways moving channel, which price is trading in right now. Price is now trading near the range of the channel which is also a major resistance line. Price formed a stair step pattern within the first 30% of the rally and is now attempting to form another stair step at resistance; confirmation that a continuation will fail is a bearish close outside support of the stairstep. Price has also formed a XABCD (Bat) pattern which is indicating a retracement or reversal. The first target of a retracement is at the .382% line and if price trades through this a close outside the .618% line is confirmation of a reversal with a target at support of the channel. The Sentiment Zone Indicator is not oversold and has room to sell off further, the MACD is rounding to cross the signal line bearish , and the RCGI has already made its bearish crossover and trending bearish . Entries: Speculating a bearish move, enter in bearish if price trades to the range of the stair step, or enter in bearish if price closes below support of the stair step. Stop's: Use the 8 EMA and Daily volatility to help you place your stops.
EUR USD is in Sell Zone [i]Hello, guys again.
This is my technical analysis and I think the EURUSD pair is in SELL ZONE .
So main target these days is resistance level 1.179
If trend will not break this res, the pair will come back and HIT again 1.170
Check my other ideas too.
At 17 August 2017, I published 6 Trading ideas and from this 6 / 5 was profitable and well done.
Thank you and good luck my all followers ;)
Cup and Handle Formation? Looks like a bullish pattern is beginning to form! Just need that handle! :D
BTCUSD H+S pattern, bearish div., 1 HR chartIf we look at this cart we see a couple of trends. Overall, we see an upward movement, to a peak around $4400. As we look at a volume indicator, the RSI, we notice the the very highest peak had lower volume than the peak before it, leading to what is called a bearish divergence, drawn by the red arrow over the bottom indicator. After this there was large volume sell off down to below 4000. This movement dropped below the MA 50 line. We now find a price hovering between MA 50 and MA 100.
Looking on different charts, we see the bearish divergence on the 4HR chart, and the 1D chart. So we should expect the market to turn slightly.
On the 1 hour chart, we start to see a head and shoulders formation, with this 3rd rise in price relating to the 2nd shoulder, after the head. The price went all the way down to the neck line, and rose back up again. With a bearish divergence already in place, this would seem to point to the possibility, that this 3rd rise could lead to a downtrend. If price reaches 3900, we must watch closely.
2 possibilities, the market could react and strong volume could prove resuming the bullish market (most likely). Or, the price does not bounce off this mark, which triggers a sell off. The amount of loss, will be the same amount of gain realized from the neck line to the top of the head *vertical arrow up" / vs the corresponding "vertical arrow down".
Just a thought, the market has been unstoppable in the upward direction, and we might be in for a minor correction. Let me know your thoughts/ what you see!