How to use MAD Indicator to capture trend and reversals?Market Anomaly Detector (MAD): Real-Time Performance Analysis
Overview
The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator efficiently identifies market momentum shifts and volatility breakouts, clearly marking bullish and bearish opportunities . This real-time chart demonstrates the practical efficacy of MAD in capturing timely market entries and exits.
Indicator Functionality
Mainline (Blue Line): Static reference indicating general market context about the trend (non-trading but act as support and resistance sometimes.
Upper Band (Green Line):
Buy signal when price closes above, indicating potential bullish continuation.
Sell signal triggered if price closes back below, indicating bearish reversal.
Lower Band (Red Line):
Sell signal when price closes below, confirming bearish momentum.
Buy signal activated if price closes back above, signaling bullish recovery.
Performance Insights (from attached chart)
Timely Bullish Signals
Strong bullish signals clearly marked with green backgrounds as price closed decisively above the green band, capturing rapid upward momentum.
Reversal entries triggered effectively as price reclaimed and sustained above the lower red band, indicating bullish recovery.
Accurate Bearish Entries
Precise bearish signals generated consistently upon the price closing below the lower red band, accurately capturing sustained downward movements.
Price rejection at the upper green band confirmed bearish reversals, signaling timely market exits.
Volatility and Momentum Clarity
Contraction phases reliably indicated reduced market activity, clearly distinguished from momentum-driven expansions.
Band expansion highlighted impending volatility, providing actionable insights for traders.
Key Takeaways
✅ Accurate bullish/bearish signal generation at key band interactions.
✅ Consistent reliability in pinpointing volatility-driven market shifts.
✅ Effective filtering of market noise, ensuring clarity in real-time analysis.
✅ Strong alignment of signals with subsequent market trends and reversals.
This performance snapshot reinforces MAD's utility as a robust analytical tool for traders navigating complex market conditions.
Anomalies
No Brainer Mid-Long TermEmphasizing the mid-long term reward outweighs the near-term risk here using statistics in confluence with wyckoff and corrective structure:
Here is what I see, accumulation began early 2022 and attempted a spring in April, but NVAX just didn't have the near-term catalysts it needed to follow through with a sign of strength (especially in the general corrective market environment of 2022).. so it began a new accumulation phase at lower levels. :
- I use control charts that I designed in R, which help me gauge the stability of the current price levels w.r.t. moving averages over near- to mid-term periods (long term NVAX is cyclical and that is a whole different monster, requires more sophisticated time series and beyond the scope of this post). The 4 different CCs in the pasted image in this chart are 4 different relationships that have provided me, in general, with good results when all 4 are consistent in their interpretation. What is important here is that for NVAX to continue trading at current levels would be an anomaly, statistically.. however, if it maintains these levels for extended periods then they would become the new norm (the latter is least probable here)
- downside risk near-term before NVAX become an extreme anomaly (which has 98% bounce rate, current level around 86%-93% bounce rate) is the 20-26 range
- near term tendency of price is to bounce to 52-63
- generally there is an equal and opposite reaction when a name gets this unstable down it will over compensate on the move up. Overcompensation range that I am actually expecting (catalyst will be approval, or whatever they conjur up to pump it, idc): 67-73
** Using confluence with ARIMA time series, wyckoff expectation of seeing an SoS here off this new spring that is forming, and dynamics of control charts (I use these to confirm accumulation or distribution as well), it would make most sense to see an over-reaction bounce soon centered around some hyped news to around 67-73, followed by a pullback into the stable range around 52, and then continuation from there. The yellow paths are just illustrative, solid line near term trajectory, dashed line the general mid-term expectation for price action.. again, illustrative for now.
The Importance of Relativity. Strange Drift on BTCUSDT hourlyMy previous post stated a Long strategy on this same indicator. One must keep in mind this is a position for a long (1D candles) time-frame. The position here is on the hourly (1H candles) timeframe. With an optimized Strange Drift (SD) indicator configuration for the 1h (Sortino ratio > 3; Sharpe Ratio > 0.5), the position for this shorter timeframe will be contingent on whether or not the SD crosses below the 0 line. If so, the indicator would give a Short strategy. One may check the update of the indicator by clicking on the chart and the arrow.
Anomaly Detected! Signal picked up in October 3rdHi everyone I've been quite busy. Long story short I've let some of my experimental indicators run and this one in magenta, called "Strange Drift" (SD), has had quite good stats; for the 1D timeframe, current Sortino ratio is ~ 2.6 with a profit factor of 6.00 . The number of trades is quite low because I designed the indicator to pick up anomalies. Some of these last for a while. The last 2 up-trend anomalies picked up lasted 7 months and 2 months. Currently, SD picked up a signal 4 days ago, after which $BTC shot up to relatively high values. Given the duration of the previous 2 longs with this indicator, this up-trend period may be long-lived as well.
There's anomaly on the daily Gold futures chart - $F_GCI have found an anomaly on the daily Gold ( GC ) chart. $1600 is my expected level. However i am not going to trade it as it's very risky if we consider the momentum and the current conjuncture.
$1600 is my expected target.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial or investment advice...
Trade safe,
Atilla Yurtseven
MSFT Bullish: Price Action analysis13/11 Candle shows selling pressure overwhelming buying (No anomaly)
12/11 Candle shows increasing selling from previous day (No anomaly)
11/11 Candle shows selling pressure (No anomaly)
10/11 Doji with normal volume (Anomaly)
9/11 Gap up with wide candle body but normal volume (Anomaly)
Pattern: Potential Bullish Pennant
Global view: MSFT will continue its direction upwards after a shaky sell off in October.
Action: Observe for reverse of current direction to confirm bullish movement. Might bounce off of 106 price area.
The Sell-Off-GAME! Do we repeat the past? #WEEKEND-OVERVIEW!Hey tradomaniacs,
quick an overview of S&P500 for you.
This year, we consistenly "crashed" to buy @ 200MA and 61,8% Fibonacci-Retracement.
Does the market want to buy-in before the saisonality beginns?
#Christmas
#Black Friday
Or is it truely a reaction of the overheated market scared to see more rate hikes since almost 70% of investors are "ALL-IN" in shares?
We will see! :-) Hope this inspires you.
Happy rest of the weekend and good trades tomorrow
Irasor
Trading2ez
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