Apple MovesA new update for Apple. We hit all of our targets with "Bitten Apple" chart. We saw this bounce coming. The market sold off too steep too fast, and we can always expect a pull back on these steep sell offs. This bear market rally may continue for a few more days before another wave of selling resumes.
The data supports a bear market and recession. The data release of autos, housing, jobs, retail, consumer sentiment, inflation, wholesale inflation, personal debt, and revolving debt shows that the economy is quite sick, even sicker than we are told.
With this in mind, we can paint a picture of continued slowing retail and as some analysts predicted, we will start seeing earnings taking hits more and more.
Apple is below its MA, which is expected. It seems that there is resistance at $141 area, although if we do break the Bollinger price basis like it did in late May and early June, we should see $3-4 move above it, so $145-$146 before another sell off. MACD for the 1M is still bearish. We are no where near a bottom. Quantitative tightening will continue and balance sheet reduction is just begun this month.
APPL
Apple H&S PossibilityLatest update for Apple. We may see some sort of recovery in July, which may see markets across the board move up. If we break the selling trend, it will have created a head and shoulders when selling continues downward. Again, this is a possibility, as selling might intensify.
Atlanta Fed has revised their Q2 GDP down to -1.0%, putting the US in recession. This is in addition to a worse than expected Retail, Consumer Sentiment, Consumer Confidence, ect. We'll see.. for now, we're neutral on this. MACD is VERY bearish for the 1M.
APPL, 10d+/-14%falling cycle -14% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
Apple -> The Bulls Are StrongHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple stock just recently perfectly broke above a key previous weekly resistance area exactly at $155 and now after this break all of this previous resistance is turned support.
You can also see that we have a long term downtrendline coming in exactly at $165 which is turned very strong resistance again, so I am now just waiting for a retest of the $155 support area and then I do expect a move to retest the $165 resistance line.
On the daily timeframe you can see that my last analysis on Apple (linked below) already played out nicely, I am now just waiting for a minor break and retest of the current resistance area before I then do expect more continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
We do not recommend holding any shares of Apple stockBased on my analysis, it appears that holding shares of Apple (AAPL) may not be advisable at this time. The current price is facing strong resistance, and there is limited upward pressure to push the price higher. Therefore, I recommend avoiding AAPL in your portfolio as the price is expected to decrease to $137, which is a significant support level. It is important to note that breaking out of the $147 resistance level may prove challenging for AAPL in the near future.
Appl trade ideaHello friends!
In this idea, I am describing the reasons based on which I am considering trading in one direction or the other.
The resistance level is a mirror image;
The price has been approaching this level for three days;
There is a parabolic rounding before the level;
There is an accumulation of energy before the level for a breakthrough;
The stock looks better than the S&P500;
Yesterday's close was below the level (a good signal).
This idea is for intraday trading. At the time of writing this idea, the pre-market is below the level.
Assuming the price opens below the resistance level of $153.35 and slowly moves towards the level,
I plan to buy on the breakthrough. I have indicated the risk-to-profit ratio.
Target: $156-$157.
Be careful, the market is currently very unstable, only enter from strong levels and with stops!!!
Profit to all!
What impact will there be after bankruptcy for SVB?
The main reason for SVB's problem this time is liquidity. The banking industry is different from other industries, where the importance of liquidity is far greater than profitability. In the past few decades, there have been too many banks that have experienced extreme risks due to liquidity issues, and SVB has fallen into the same trap.
The management was aware of the bankruptcy, as the CEO cashed out $3.6 million in stocks two weeks before disclosing the losses. The exaggeration was that a few hours before the announcement of bankruptcy, the company still distributed bonuses for 2022 to its employees. It is a stark contrast between those who received the bonus and thinking about how to spend it, and those who cannot withdraw their deposits and are worried about the situation.
The market is concerned about the possibility of systemic risk and a Lehman-like crisis. As discussed earlier, based on the data, the liquidity risk of large banks is manageable, and the Federal Reserve is providing a backstop. However, there are around 5,000 banks in the United States, and more than just SVB may face liquidity risks in a high-interest rate environment.
(Based on the data, there is a significant amount of unrealized losses for the four largest banks in the United States. The risk depends on the ratio of "hold-to-maturity investments/total liabilities." The ratios for the four banks are 22%, 12%, 12%, and 17%, while SVB's ratio is as high as 47%. Overall, the risk appears manageable.)
The bankruptcy of SVB has the deepest impact on technology companies, as Silicon Valley Bank was set up to provide financing to technology companies, so many technology companies also keep their cash in SVB. Many companies have already disclosed the amount of their deposits in SVB over the weekend, and the impact on the technology industry is indeed significant.
In theory, the money in SVB is safe because the asset problem is not significant, but due to the mismatch of terms, it takes six months or even a year to pay, which is a huge pressure for some technology startups. Those who have started a business know that every day they wake up, they have to pay rent and salaries, and liquidity is the core support for company operations.
Hedge funds in the United States have already begun to look for opportunities to enter this time-limited money-making opportunity. Today, a hedge fund proposed to buy the startup company's deposits in SVB at a price as low as 60% of face value. It is indeed taking advantage of the situation to buy at this price, and if the asset confirmation is no problem, the portion due in a year, which is a 5% discount rate, is highly likely to be recovered by more than 90%.
The bankruptcy of SVB has had a significant impact on financial assets, and the US stock market has fallen for two consecutive days mostly because of this. The US bond yield has also fallen for two consecutive days, and the flight to safety sentiment is beginning to spread.
In the final analysis, the reason for SVB's bankruptcy this time is the Federal Reserve's rapid rate hike. Many contradictions will be highlighted in a high-interest-rate environment. The United States may still be relatively stable, and the greatest volatility may be in Europe and emerging markets.
The follow-up is to pay attention to whether there will be further impacts and the Federal Reserve's further actions. The Federal Reserve has confirmed that it will hold an emergency closed meeting of the Federal Reserve System Board of Directors at 11:30 am local time on Monday, and we await the outcome of the meeting.
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APPLE SELLPeace be upon you, merchants. Apple stock is negative. with a fracture. Double BOTTOM. It is a strong model and was unable to break a very strong resistance. At the price of 156. There is the possibility of re-testing. The price is 150. And re-disembarkation. to the level of 143. what do you think
AAPL STOCK BEARISH OUTLOOKNASDAQ:AAPL
HI , TRADER'S .. As you can see in chart That price did breaout from Channel down
Price Now reached 4HR Order Block or resistance level
market Can retrace back to 139$ to retest Channel down upper trendline
Sell Entry Is active Until Target Level
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HSY who doesn't love chocolate for Valentine's Day As a leading manufacturer of chocolate and sugar confectionery in the United States, Hershey Co. is poised to generate significant profits during Valentine's Day with its well-known brands such as Hershey's, Reese's, Twizzlers, and Kit Kat. Despite the recent controversy surrounding the missing "tips" on its Hershey's Kisses, the company's holiday-themed packaging, such as heart-shaped boxes, is expected to boost revenue even further. In 2018, Hershey Co. recorded annual revenue of $7,791 billion, a 3.67% increase from the previous year. According to the company spokesman, Valentine's Day ranks as Hershey's fourth largest season, following Halloween, Easter, and Christmas. going to do a live stream to talk more about the chart
#FLWS its that time of the year Flowers are still a favored gift choice, with the National Retail Federation (NRF) reporting that 35% of those surveyed plan to give flowers to their Valentine. Companies such as 1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS), which offers nationwide shipping, may experience an increase in business, as suggested by Kealy. Despite a dip from its 52-week highs, FLWS's stock price remains attractive.
Although the popularity of jewelry gifts has declined, according to NRF, it still commands the highest average cost per person at $30.34, totaling $3.9 billion in spending. The US Census Bureau data shows that the estimated value of jewelry and silverware shipped by manufacturers in the country was $6.5 billion.
🍏 Apple Inc Prepares For 18% BounceWe have the same candlestick pattern we just looked at on the VeChain weekly chart here on Apple Inc.
This is a Dragonfly Doji, which becomes a reversal signal when it shows at support.
This week starting green supports the previous candlestick.
This can signal that the AAPL stock is getting ready to grow.
We are targeting 18%.
NOTE: This chart setup is invalidated on a move and close below 124, which is the previous week wick low.
Namaste.
APPLE Bullish breakout or Bearish Reversal APPLE is at a trend line resistance level very import from 144-150
IF apple reaches this level this means it has broken a strong trend line and can continue to push for Bull run
If it cant cross the 144-150 resistance then I'm afraid it will also continue to do a bearish reversal as per FIB level strong resistance as well
APPLE STOCK MID TERM ANALYSISGoing short on Apple here. By far the most overvalued company in the stock market right now, with a 2T market cap.
Below I will mention multiple indicators suggesting Apple will go through a big correction in the upcoming months:
1) Apple's P/E ratio is 22.57 (Stock is approximately priced in 22x it's actual worth)
2) Chart looks very bearish, with the broken trend line going for a retest here at around $137-140.
3) Along with Microsoft, it's the only tech giant that hasn't corrected 50+% over the last 12 months.
4) Earnings come out on the 25th of January, and the overall economic outlook suggests things could be slowing down for $APPL
5) LAST BUT NOT LEAST, APPLE IS A COMPANY THAT HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY RELIANT ON CHINA/TAIWAN, AND ANY WAR OR ESCALATION THAT COULD BREAK OUT BETWEEN THE TWO NATIONS WILL BE DEVASTATING FOR APPLE,
Timestamped Market Overview 1/1/23 Short Version of DXY and VIX 8:24-9:24
DXY 0:14
VIX 4:45
APPL 9:25
HSI 11:11
NASDAQ 12:10
BTCUSD 14:18
MARA 16:00
PHUN 16:47
NVDA 16:58
PYPL 18:15
TSLA 18:55
Closing words (Will be interesting to see where the dollar opens) 19:43
Overall I think things look fairly bullish. At least in the ability to regain some of the loses from the past two weeks.
My big issue as always, is that the dollar is dropping more and more and stocks just are not going up as much as they need to in order to counterbalance. If the DXY hits 98-100 and bounces, then it wont be pretty for stocks if they haven't positioned themselves from a technical/chart perspective.