Expected Key Points Apple 11 May 2022Apple 11 May 2022
The current implied volatility is at 40.54%/year
So that converted into daily is 2.55%
The yesterday close price was on 154.5
So based on that our
TOP 158,5
BOT 150,5
This channel has a 79% change to sustain based on the last 3006 candles
At the same time with 89% we can affirm that the price is going to be above
TOP 154.9
BOT 154.1
From fundamental point, today we have CPI release and this marks a huge volatility moment
From volume point, current POC is around 154.37
We can expect now with close to 70% that the market is going to end up between
TOP 154.9 - 158.5
BOT 150.5 - 154.1
APPL
Weekly Prediction 9-13 May Apple Iron CondorApple
9 - 13 May
The weekly VXAPL-> Volatility Index for APPLE
Implied = 39.02
In this we have to standard it for weekly session
39.02 / sqrt(52-> 52 weeks in a year) = 5.41%
My historical product is telling me with 1.5x coficient that the expected movement for this week
E Volatility = 39.39 / sqrt(52) = 5.46%
With this data, from my calculations, when EV > VIX, there were a 86.6% chance that the market
stay within the bottom and top created with the ranged from the E Vol
So for next week this range for us is going to be
TOP - 166
BOT - 149
Lets look into an iron condor oppotunity for trading:
165Call Sell - 167.5Call Buy
149Put sell - 147 Put buy
This is giving us at the current moment a 0.26 expectancy
So taking into account from 621weekly candles, that 82% of the times the market stay within our top/bot channel,
Our profit margin would be 82% * 0.26 - 18%*1 = 4.2ROI after 100 trades
Oooh no AAPL is also biting the bullet
NASDAQ:AAPL
Looks like Apple can't keep up the fight and it's about to take a dive as well.
News:
Apple doesn't seem to be able to take a break from lawsuits. But realistically, the lawsuits have not really impacted the price. So, I'm not too concerned with the EU lawsuit.
Charts:
EMA ( Exponential Moving Average ): Price action just finally joined the rest of the stock market below the 200 EMA (discount buying opportunity) Price is also below 20/50/100/200 EMA and are all pointing downwards! And yes, the death cross occured on April 28th; last week. How long would the 20 EMA stay below the 100 EMA? We are yet to find out.
TTM Squeeze: Squeezing to the bottom and to make matters worse, the price action is breaking a major support line (super trendline; at the bottom of the Rising Wedge pattern).
Fib Levels: If the price crosses below .618, then there is a huge possibility that we will see the price at the 1 fib ($144).
Candle Stick: A 3 black crow in the making; very bearish.
RSI: At 37, and slow stochastic pointing down, there is a probability that it would touch 30 which also mean that the sell momentum is still hot! But it is not yet over sold. I would would not be selling my shares because of the upcoming Dividends. I got in this for the faucet as well.
Pattern: The current candle closes green, it would be a double bottom but I'm not sure that will happen. Longterm, we have a Rising Wedge but in the short-tem it's a descending triangle? I don't know mann... Apple is putting up a good fight.
History: Forget it, best stock in the market!
SELL APPLE TODAYGOOD EVENING,
1)we are above the VWAP .👌
2)the right order and strong condensation of the 4EMA.👇
3)bull divergence confirmed by STOCHASTIC .💪
4)protected by the last resistance. 💪
all these indicators say buy in a loud voice.
+ if it breaks the resistance buy at 182
+ if it bounced sell at 174
so BUY and open your wallets.🤑
GOOD LUCK.❤️
Breaking down APPL once again to the T!! Last years NASDAQ:AAPL analysis on my Tradingview was perfected to the T in detail. I'm glad to know that a lot of my followers took profit following my entries & exits.:) Go check it out on my page if you still haven't!
After hundreds of request since last year. I have decided to go ahead and make another breakdown for 2022.
**Disclaimer**
Before entering a trade three types of analysis should be performed.
Fundamental Analysis = The study of financial statements and economic news. (Overall Trend)
Technical Analysis = The study of chart history. (Entry & Exit Strategies)
Sentimental Analysis = The study of the markets current psychology and traders psychology.(Instinct)
After performing the three analysis below are my results:
NASDAQ:AAPL
Fundamental Analysis = LONG (BUY)
Technical Analysis = SHORT-TERM SELLING (Pull back into our LONG positions)
Sentimental Analysis = Market is taking a breather due to USD valuation increasing.
To better explain:
This means that right now momentum is headed downwards technically but the overall trend is up fundamentally.
So since we know the overall trend is upwards but we are currently headed downwards it creates the perfect timing to use our Fibonacci Retracement tool. A tool that is used to find important entry and exit levels in a trending market. Which is traditionally applied to the low & high of a trend. Here were my results:
As you can see in the chart above we have already retraced lightly down to the 23.6% fib level. Markets are showing a bit of a slowdown in momentum as US dollar decides it's next move. If momentum continues downward we can eventually see an amazing bargain price at the following fib levels below.
MY SUGGESTION:
Place LONG orders totaling anywhere from 0.5-5% of your total trading capital on each retracement level below:
(SPREAD THOSE POSITIONS!!)
23.6% = $172.50 (BUY) *Currently prices are around here*
38.2% = $166.00 (BUY)
50.0% = $155.50 (Great trade opportunity) (BUY)
61.8% = $119.15 (What i consider the PERFECT IDEAL TRADE) (BUY)
78.6% = $148.00 (ABSOLUTE BARGAIN!!) (BUY)
Take profit 1: $177.00 Secure about 10-25% of profits in this zone
Take profit 2: $182.94 at the previous ATH . (All Time High) Be patient and trust the process. Take some more or all profits at this level as well. This monster of a tech stock will most definitely return to break more records in the upcoming months when the continuation wave arrives. If not just stand back, take notes and analyze price action.
Take profit 3: $193 This would be the first take profit from the Fib Extension.
If you guys enjoyed this break down please drop a LIKE/COMMENT & make sure to go hit that FOLLOW button. Cya' Soon!
Apple Trend Briefing - 24th March. 2022When looking at a combination of indicators on the 15-minutes chart that best represents Apple's recent volatility, A kind of resistance line was found. When examining the minimum threshold for MACD and RSI, it shows strong support at the $151 level. Using the red line as a stepping stone, stock prices are currently active around the yellow line.
Apple at Trend Line? Apple - Short Term - We look to Sell at 165.65 (stop at 170.37)
We look to sell rallies. 50 1day EMA is at 164.00. Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance. The next barrier is the trend of daily lows at 150.00.
Our profit targets will be 150.18 and 141.15
Resistance: 165.00 / 170.00 / 182.00
Support: 150.00 / 140.00 / 135.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
What happens when FAANG rises more than 5 times by 2000 days? Disclaimer: These assets are not for new traders or those who don't tolerate ULTRA HIGH risks. I don't recommend this trade (also I don't recommend any other trade). This is just my market view on the current moment. It could be TOTALLY WRONG. If my view changes in the future I am not obligated to update this idea or publish a new one.
APPLE - Purple War Zone!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
AAPL is overall bullish trading inside the brown channel and now approaching the lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
Moreover, the green area is a "Resistance turned into Support".
So the highlighted purple circle is a very strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support in green and the brown trendline.
As per my trading style:
I will be looking for potential bullish reversal setups on lower timeframes (like a double bottom, trendline break, and so on...)
Unless AAPL breaks the green zone downward aggressively with many big bearish candles, then it will become resistance again and we will be looking for sell setups on its retest.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich