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APPLE Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the APPLE next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 174.49 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 180.67 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AnabelSignals
1
TSLA — Bulls, This Is Your Chance to Punish The Club-Footed OnesTesla over the weekend said its first much anticipated Cybertruck came off the electric vehicle maker’s production line in Texas. The debut of the long-delayed, futuristic-looking pickup truck comes in the lead up to Tesla’s second quarter 2023 earnings call. Tesla CEO Elon Musk first introduced the Cybertruck in 2019, but vehicle production has repeatedly been delayed. The truck was initially scheduled for production and delivery in 2021, but Tesla has pushed back the timing since then, citing shortages in sourcing components. In July 2022, Musk set a new production schedule for summer 2023. During Tesla’s first quarter 2023 earnings call, the executive also promised to host a delivery event for the Cybertruck towards the end of Q3. Musk said at Tesla’s 2023 annual shareholder’s meeting in May that the automaker could deliver between 250,000 to 500,000 units per year once production begins. Mass production is scheduled for the end of this year. Analysts will be on the lookout Wednesday during the automaker’s Q2 earnings call for firmer details on production, delivery and specs. While Tesla has attributed Cybertruck delays to standard supply chain issues, leaked documents have revealed other fundamental flaws in the vehicle’s basic design and engineering. In January 2022, a whistleblower leaked 100 GB of files to German outlet Handelsblatt that showed preproduction prototypes had serious braking, powertrain, suspension, sealing and structural issues. The report, which detailed unfulfilled promises from Tesla, reminded many of the first Cybertruck reveal event, when the vehicle’s designer cracked the supposedly unbreakable armor glass windows. As of November 2022, the Cybertruck had over 1.5 million reservations, according to a report from Electrek. Tesla customers have been able to put down a $100 refundable deposit to pre-order since 2019. Tesla originally estimated the truck would start at $39,900 for the single motor and rear-wheel drive model, which would have a towing capacity of 7,500 pounds and more than 250 miles of range. That model is now expected to start at about $50,000, according to Kelley Blue Book. The dual-motor, all-wheel drive version could start at around $60,000, and it should have a towing capacity of more than 10,000 pounds and over 300 miles of range. The priciest version, starting at around $70,000, will have three electric motors and all-wheel drive, a towing capacity of 14,000 pounds and battery range of over 500 miles. Tesla usually changes prices in the middle of a model year, so these prices may shift again before the end of 2023. Cybertruck buyers may be eligible for the U.S.’s $7,500 federal EV tax incentives. Tesla’s pickup truck launch will bring the automaker into another profitable EV segment in the U.S. The Cybertruck will have to compete with electric pickups like Ford’s F-150 Lightning, which is available now with a starting price of around $60,000. Other upcoming pickups include the Chevrolet Silverado EV and the Rivian R1T. The Silverado EV Work Truck starts at $77,905 and can go 450 miles on a charge. Delivery is expected in the fall of 2023. The Rivian starts at $74,000, with deliveries for certain trims starting this summer. Technical picture in Tesla stocks NASDAQ:TSLA indicates that bearish trend is over, and this is the last chance to jump on the footboard of Tesla rocket. Bulls, This Is Your Chance to Punish All The Club-Footed Ones
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PandorraResearch
1
Palantir - Fear Worshippers of The All Seeing EyeI have to say that Palantir is a really difficult chart to read. On the one hand, looking at monthly bars, it's the kind of pattern which indicates new highs are in store. Weekly bars are about the same. Nothing about this says you can short. And its only that there's some divergences on the daily. But those divergences are really meaningful. However, at the same time, although it's up some 220%+ from the bottom, the bottom did take out the IPO low, which is not bullish. And these high prices are coming at a time when the Nasdaq and the SPX may very well have topped, which I address in my latest call: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg Palantir is a company that is ostensibly a key component of the panopticon surveillance network that underlines the International Rules Based Order's version of the Chinese Communist Party's social credit system. At least, this is what rightists would tell you. If you asked the people behind the West's implementation of social credit, they would say they just seek to advance an enlightened society while keeping stability and security under control, and big data collection is crucial to that. Well, if you ask CCP members, they would tell you the same thing, just coated in Marxist jargon. And therein lies the problem. Mankind needs to return to its 5,000 year old traditions, which were reared and established over China's long dynasties, instead of trying to go Big Atheism and reinvent The Wheel. Regardless of if Palantir at its current $37 billion valuation is a part of the future or a part of the past and gone with the wind, the last three months of trading have been totally one directional. Which makes wanting to get short very deadly. However, conditions for a short setup that is at least a scalp were formed with the July high on the 19th. The reason for this is that price swept a key level and was met with a stiff rejection, taking a pivot. All on its own, in the stock market with the way it just likes to go uppy or grind sideways, this makes shorting or puts hard, still. But what we saw is daily candles double bottom at precisely $16.00, with Friday's trading session being yet another big green gainer on the back of such a bottom. And so, as Buffet said, one should be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy only when others are fearful. So the trade is to short somewhere between where we closed on Friday and over $18. When another dump occurs, where it dumps to will tell us everything about the future. If Palantir is truly bullish to more upside, it will preserve the June low at $13.56. If it's really bullish, it should even preserve the July low at $14.62 If it's bullish, but is going to take until 2024 to go higher, we can expect prices under $12. If it's bearish, prices under $11 are the target, with an all time low on deck and about to hit everyone on the face. Which do I think is the most likely? Frankly, probably a dump under $15 and a new high in August. There's no other way to put it or look at it at the moment. For things to be different, you'd need something like a banking crisis to intervene in the markets, a prospect I undertake here: Charles Schwab - The Harbinger Of The Next Crisis? I believe that, all things considered, the risk side of the trade right now is people who are longing this top, regarding it as a dip to buy, expecting more highs. Because people have capitulated, become greedy, and have taken their eyes off the clock. You should remember that you're just standing in an equities bear market rally while central banks have their key rates pinned over 5% and no intention to cut. This is bad news for stocks, and yet people are being told indexes are set to make a new all time high. Repricing to the downside can come violently, aggressively, be gappy, and will give those on the wrong side of the trade no chance to get out. Be very careful.
PLong
by LordWrymouth
4
Apple - So, You've Been Taught To Buy That Dip...Apple has really been, perhaps arguably, the key reason the bear market rally has been as extreme as it has in 2023. Looking back to January, there really has not been even a single genuinely bearish day. But with Q2 earnings as a catalyst, we now have signs of a genuine and significant reversal pattern, and at an all time high. It's very evident on monthly bars. Weekly bars are even more obvious, showing that today, we took the July low, and there's no luft to the bounce. Long is a bad trade and short is now a good trade, is what we're being told. "The trend is your friend, until the end" is a saying with a lot of wisdom. If you can figure out you've ran into "the end" in the first few hours, then you really will be a lucky person. A lot of people may be about to blow their accounts trying to buy that dip, which they've been conditioned to do so like Pavlov's dog and his bell. Apple is a company that's maintained close ties, all these years, to the Chinese Communist Party. You should always remember there is a difference between "China" and "the CCP." China is a 5,000 year old country with a culture of dynasties that were imparted since the Great Flood by the Divine. The CCP is a 100-year-old Red Demon whose existence was arranged to destroy humanity, the Earth, and the Cosmos itself. Xi Jinping has ruled both China and the CCP since 2012, and it's both a blessing and a curse for him. If Xi isn't intelligent enough to go Gorbachev-style and overthrow the Party in the middle of the US night, then Xi will go down in history as the leader of the rogue regime at the end, and will be responsible for everything it has done in history. This includes the 24-year-long persecution of Falun Dafa's 100 million spiritual cultivators. Although the persecution was started July 20, 1999 by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and conducted by the toad's faction all these years, and Xi has been killing and bankrupting the rogue faction's minions in the Anti-corruption Campaign, the problem with being tagged as the CCP's leader is that the head is always the first thing you cut off with the guillotine. So, here's the thing for Apple. I expect Apple to take the $176.93 July low, probably sometime next week, based on how the markets are reacting. From there, we may see a retrace. What this will indicate is that Apple's market, for the first time in 2023, has finally shifted bearish. What this is the canary in the coalmine for is a significant correction. You can actually see this kind of pattern play out strongly in Amazon's monthly bars, which I comment on in their earnings pattern below: Amazon - Greed, Just Like Speed, Kills I anticipated that SPX was due for numbers as low as 4,420~ in the below call: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg And so the setup with Apple is this: Short any bounce, with a target of $174. Then, don't get greedy. Anticipate a bounce into the August 18 options expiry. But that bounce may be no better than a flirt with $190. From there, you can consider it a "Godshort" with a target below the 2022 $124 low. And what I want to say is that if Apple has topped, everything is topped. Everyone is greedy and blinded by greed, buying highs without fear. Buying highs without fear. Buying highs without fear! "We are fearful when others are greedy, and greedy only when others are fearful" is something Warren Buffett is notable for stating. And although Buffett doesn't qualify as any kind of a good man, the Truth is the Truth, even if a toad states it. Be careful. Things are about to change extremely quickly. Can you keep up? Can you enlighten to it? Missing the chance, there may be no further opportunities.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by LordWrymouth
Nasdaq NQ - Is It Time To Sell The Rip?Greed quickly became extreme at the end of July, and the beginning of August has severely punished bulls, who are still buying the dip and buying the dip. The July high on Nasdaq happened to occur along with the Dow and the SPX in that all three indexes swept out the January '22 pivot that amounted to a rejection that ended that unprecedented bull market. Looking at monthly bars, you can see how extreme this '23 bear market rally has been, and how far the Nasdaq is above its long-term trendlines, how the COVID points were never tested on SPX or Nasdaq, but were raided on the Dow... And you get some perspective on the weekly bars. Here's some key problems for bulls: 1. Equities don't like high interest rates. Big money is needed to move markets and that money likes to seek safe yield. When rates are really high, bonds are really cheap to buy, and money tends to flow into them instead of equities. 2. This means equities rallies in high interest rate environments are bear market rallies by definition. Smart money pumps and sells equities to fuel a buying spree in bonds. 3.With Fed rates pushing 5.5% and there being no chance of cuts until inflation goes from 4% to 2% sustained on a long term basis, ask yourself what really is the bull case that's going to lead to new all time highs? When you're dealing with multiple fundamental factors that are bearish, but price action is bullish, you absolutely have to be cautious, or else you're likely to get gibed. Moreover, geopolitical problems are really serious. The biggest problem is the situation in Mainland China with a Chinese Communist Party that is about to fall while the Western propaganda outlets report on absolutely nothing of significance. All the talk about "Taiwan War" is to make a pariah of Xi Jinping and his faction of Chinese nationalists. What all the globalists are really preparing for is how to take control of China when the CCP falls. To do this, they need to position a man that has been groomed to take control of the country, and this will be done using the Republic of Taiwan as a proxy. But "the best laid plans of mice and men" is an issue. Overhanging all of humanity's head like the Sword of Damocles is the 24-year persecution and organ harvesting genocide of Falun Dafa's 100 million spiritual practitioners by the CCP and former Chairman Jiang Zemin's faction. Although Xi has been killing toadJiang's toad faction for over a decade with the Anti-Corruption Campaign, the problem is that Xi is still the Chairman of the Party, and all of its sins in 100 years hang over his neck like a noose. If Xi is smart, he'll overthrow the Party Gorbachev style. And if he isn't, he'll go down with it. But either way, when the Party goes, the persecution will become the #1 issue that all of humanity will have to face, for the sin is extreme. Equities markets will not be bullish those days, and you truly will be in a new paradigm. So here's the short term price action on the Nasdaq. End of July and early August price action confirms that the top, for now, is in. This means that dips are no longer buyable. It's only that you can short the rips. This will remain true until a certain downside objective is met, and when this becomes true, that downside objective is pretty much exclusively where an old low is. We have two areas of concern for lower prices. One is the June low at 14,250. Although I don't expect the market makers to take this point before September, it certainly is possible. More significant is the 14,850 pivot from the end of June. This number happens to result in a raid on the psychological 15,000 level, there's a gap nearby, and it can serve as a useful level to bounce for heading into the end of August. Keep in mind that August's monthly options expire on the 18th, which leave a solid 9 trading days remaining before the end of September. While you might feel that these targets are too far away to be realistic, keep in mind that dumping to 14,100 from where markets closed on Friday is really only 8%. 8% on QQQ amounts to like $25 and isn't that big of a deal compared to what some other three digit stuff does in a single day. And maybe you really don't believe it either way. But take a look at Apple, the most important stock on the market. It's showing you all the signs that you'd ever need to see that it's either topped or will raid $200 once before going down: Apple - So, You've Been Taught To Buy That Dip... Same with Microsoft Microsoft - Is The Top Already In? Same with Netflix Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching Knives The scary thing about tops is that the first time you get the sell off, the sell off tends to hurt longs, scare them out, and then you get a bounce that flirts with old highs. And that pattern leads to the "sell low, buy back higher" phenomenon. Which results in people buying the tops, hard, and permabears missing their chance to be short and missing the entire move down. But if you understand what's going on, you can capitalize on the early downside, the early bounce, and Godshort the top and ride the trend down. It's hard to do because of human emotions and the interference of long periods of time. But the wisdom is right here to do it. A potential timeline for the downside to finish is literally as early as Wednesday, because August CPI is on deck for Thursday. Another option is that CPI leads to the blowout under 15,000 and the bounce is into the end of August. Beware the JPM Collar. Expiring September 29, they're long on SPX puts with a strike of 4,200. Just ask yourself if America's most keystone systemically important bank is going to be expiring worthless like retail traders do.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by LordWrymouth
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering IcebergLast week's SPX call was pretty accurate in terms of levels. What was wrong was only the order of operations and timing. ES SPX Futures - Welcome to FOMCmageddon I had felt it made sense for the market maker to sweep out the lows before taking the highs, but the plan was the opposite, and this actually adds credence to the theory that the markets are topping. Something to keep in mind about calls for new all time highs, that we're hearing everywhere now, is that equities generally don't moon in high interest rate environments, and every central bank that matters in the world except for Japan is playing with 3-5%. And nobody is cutting. Warren Buffet said to "be fearful when others are greedy" and it's really a piece of wisdom you ought to take to heart, right now. Something I would like to tell you is that tops and bottoms are, 100% of the time, hindsight calls. There is no way to actually accurately predict a top and a bottom before it unfolds. What you can do as a trader, however, is anticipate that certain levels are the target, and look to see if price action and other covariances and fundamental factors confirm the theory if price trades to that level. Then, using risk management and some rational logic, one can take the position, and shift their bias. If you can read the map and execute, you'll make a lot of money. Otherwise, you can only make money if you're lucky, and few are particularly lucky, since we're all just mortals. There's some problems with the "more uppy for more longer" theory. A core factor is that the beginning of July marked a quarterly shift, and the entire month has been even more up. There are now only August and September remaining. If it's not SPX 5,500 coming this year, the reversal is probably going to be violent, it stands to reason. Another really crucial core factor is the geopolitical situation between the International Rules Based Order, which Washington ostensibly heads, and the Chinese government under Xi Jinping. A really noticeable characteristic of all the clamoring in the propaganda machine is that they never go after "The Chinese Communist Party," they always go after "China" and Xi. You should always remember this adage: "China is not the CCP." You should always remember that when someone is attacking the world's only 5,000 year old culture and nation, the world's largest and most rich in natural resources and talent, they're likely to be Fabians. Although Xi is, and has been for a decade, the leader of the CCP, the most notable thing about him is that he has never persecuted Falun Dafa's 100 million practitioners, who have been subjected to organ harvesting genocide under the edict of former Chairman Jiang Zemin starting July 20, 1999. In fact, Xi has actually protected Falun Gong in Hong Kong, hitting thugs who target the practice's spiritual cultivators with the Anti-corruption Campaign, after the National Security Law and John Lee were installed as Chief Executive. It's notable that John Lee has been denied entry to San Francisco for the APEC economic summit in November by Joe Biden, on that account. All of this is to say the geopolitical chatter you hear on "China" is a disaster waiting to happen with "Taiwan." Speaking of Taiwan, I really believe that TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation) is a significantly potent long to hedge with if the U.S. equities market goes sideways: ]TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long Hedge But "Taiwan War" does not mean that Xi is going to invade. The CCP is heavily weakened from the pandemic and in no position to be attacking an island that will become the Ukraine proxy war, but on a whole other level. If Xi were really an idiot, the IRBO and the Jiang Faction would have been able to kill him years ago. Instead, the CCP is about to fall, and what the IRBO is looking to do is depose Xi and replace him with a submissive and groomed toady from Taiwan, Maidan Revolution style (see Oliver Stone's film Ukraine on Fire). If Xi is smart, he will weaponize the persecution of Falun Gong to defend China and himself, because Wall Street and the world government have been continuously going to Shanghai to train Marxism with the Jiangling toads, which means bloodying their hands in the persecution as "insurance." Google the Neil Heywood story and give it some sober thought. Back to price action and trading on the most important index right now: other risks are that both the Nasdaq and the Dow also took out the same pivot, and reacted in identical ways: Another is that the VIX, which is already anomalously low, but won't print a single digit handle, has printed higher lows, followed by a breakout and retracement: While 10-Year Treasury bonds, important because they represent the "Risk Free Rate," meaning huge, long term money can park cash here instead of taking risk in equities, look like a nightmare. (Rates up = bonds down) It looks like a nightmare because Jerome Powell again said during the Q&A portion of the FOMC press conference that the inflation target is 2% while it's still 3.8% (What's 90% among friends?), that rate cuts aren't coming, and further pausing is totally contingent on economic data being spectacular in favour of deflation. (Is not happening). And all of the above is confirmed by the US Dollar Index's higher time frame candles showing the dump under 100.00 was really just a raid, and we're about to get our upside to 108+ on. So, here's what I expect to happen as soon as Monday: I believe, based on the price action that unfolded Thursday and Friday of this week, that the market makers will take advantage of Monday, July 31 to print the high of the month, breaking the 4,630 level to roughly 4,650. This will kill all the short traders who entered early and shorted Friday, and bring in a great number of breakout traders. I am anticipating (the key word is anticipating!) this will be a major bull trap and price will reverse. The confirmation will be if price does retrace and takes the 4,544 level. If so, this is no longer a dip to buy, and entering shorts on retrace will be difficult because the market makers are likely to reprice aggressively away from their trap at the top. It may seem like a dump to 4,544 compared to 4,557 isn't very significant, being 13 points after all, forming just another "higher highs lower lows" expansion pattern. But what taking 4,544 shows, in reality, is that the biggest money now wants to take sell stops and begin to capitalize on "The Big Short." The first target for August, if this pans out, will be the 4,411.25 level. It looks really far away on the chart, but it's only 200 points. Only 5 percent. Compared to last year's volatility and ranges, it's not really that big of a deal, especially for a while month. You've just been Pavloved to follow the ring of a bell. Moreover, the 4,411 level is also July's low. A factor that I believe may lead to the destruction of the markets is latent malignancy in the banking sector, with Charles Schwab being the standout problem, I chronicle below: Charles Schwab - The Harbinger Of The Next Crisis? A lot of people are going to kill themselves buying the dip and getting stopped out and buying the dip again and getting stopped out again, if this all transpires according to the thesis. And people who don't use stops are going to get gapped down on. And those gap downs will be runaways that don't come back this time. Equities bulls are going to get gapped on like every day and have Barstool Sports Dave Portnoy '22-style meltdowns. However, if all of this does not transpire and price continues to reach over 4,700, then we can only say that the target the market makers really aspire for is ALL the liquidity over the 2021 all time highs circa 4,800. What we have is dueling possibilities, one far more likely than the other: topping being a lot more likely than a new all time high because the the environment is one where the Fed Funds Rate is going to be 6%+ by year end. But we need price action to confirm the theory. All of the above is my gift to you, as readers, followers, and even trolls. Our human race and this Planet Earth may really be in for an "early autumn" this year. The implications will shock not only the equities markets, but every aspect of our daily lives. I wish you all a bright future, but you have to believe and execute before you can see and harvest fruit. It's up to the individual to cultivate their hearts and minds accordingly.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by LordWrymouth
9
Apple -> Correction Already Over?Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Apple 💪 Starting on the monthly timeframe you can see that after Apple broke out of the clear triangle formation in confluence with the bullish moving averages, Apple created a strong rally of 30% towards the upside, breaking major resistance. On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple is already approching previous resistance which could be acting as support and after the retest of the 0.382 fibonacci retracement level we could see at least a short term bullish bounce. But Apple stock is still creating bearish market structure so there is also a chance that Apple stock will just break below the current support level - If you are looking for longs though I would simply wait for a break aboce the bearish daily trendline and then enter a long position. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by basictradingtv
23
SIGNS OF WEAKNESSHi Guys, MrBanker is here. SP500 had been in a long uptrend starting from June 2020. During this period, the trend was succesfully tested 7 times. However, that trend has changed after exactly 19 Months. - This was the first sign of weakness in the trend. Additionally, the price-action broke below 200D EMA since FEB 2020. - This is the second sign of weakness . Currently, there is a trading war between bears and bulls, therefore, 200D EMA is tested again to validate a bullish or bearish trend. I cannot judge the direction of the trend based on this analysis but there is an obvious bearish sentiment in the markets. Trade Safe, MrBanker
TVC:SPXShort
by Mr_Banker
Apple 🍏 - what´s next?Hi Traders, Apple crashed over 10% within the last days😱😱. What to expect next? In our opinion this might be a good chance for all longterm investors. If you take a look at the rallye since march it was surely time for a consolidation and buyers took simply their profit on news. For now the price is a the highs from 2022 which might be a supportive zone. So we think its more a chance than the beginning of a big Apple crash. Wish you great trades! Team tegasFX
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by tegasFX
Apple: Almost ripe for the picking 🍏The Apple price has fallen significantly and has meanwhile dipped into our green target zone. Thus, we think that it is currently in its green wave (4), whose end it should slowly dedicate itself to. Afterwards, it then goes uphill for him, why placing long orders is worthwhile. Alternatively, it would go even further downhill should the price fall below the upper target zone. According to this scenario, which we assign a probability of 34%, the price would have to fall into our second target zone.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by MarketIntel
Apple Inc. : Potential Harmonic; Bearish ConsolidationAAPL has been on the rise ever since it broke above the descending Bullish Dragon Trend Line and confirmed the middle of the Trading Range as support, but as it's risen, both the PPO and RSI have been consolidating tightly within the Overbought Zone which also aligns with the PCZ of a Bearish Deep Gartley on the PPO; just recently, price has hit the HOP level of a Potential Bearish Shark pattern. If we start to see the RSI and PPO come down sharply from the Overbought zones and closer to the 50 levels, then we could confirm a safer Bearish Entry with the stop marginally above the HOP level and target the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci Retraces below.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by RizeSenpai
1
Paypal - Going Long In a Bear Market?Paypal is an antiquated business model. The problem is, the Federal Reserve just launched FedNow, which is like a bank-to-bank Central Bank Digital Currency. Most CBDCs will come in the future, and they will target retail/consumers, and Paypal will no longer be useful for transferring money. In Canada, where I am, Paypal is already primarily worthless, because the company that handles debit card payments, Interac, set up, many, many years ago, a service that allows us to send money to each other from our banks via email. Both people and businesses use it extensively. It's fast, easy, instant, and free, so why bother with Paypal? CBDCs are a problem for humanity, because they are the collar, leash, and chains that enable Party West's implementation of their favourite role model, the Chinese Communist Party, who deployed full scale social credit under the guise of "Zero COVID." The CCP and its 24-year persecution against the Falun Dafa spiritual believers launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, are something absolutely essential for mankind to reject, oppose, and eliminate. They aren't things for you to rack your brains thinking about importing so that stimmies can be collected from a central authority. If you want a future, we need to return to mankind's traditions, human, divinely imparted tradition and culture, and dispose of the garbage that is Marxism, atheism, the Theory of Evolution, and the doctrine of struggle. The fact that Paypal is being replaced by CBDCs is awful evident on monthly candles, which give you absolutely no reason to believe there's going to be any kind of Meta/Tesla/NVDIA-style reversal of fortune. But what's really notable about this stock, which I have criticized extensively on Twitter as not being a long, is the weekly bars, since April, actually indicate a long trade scalp is set up. That scalp setup has not been present for even one second, until today's post market earnings dump back to $68. The thesis is simple. Since Paypal has filled ALL of the gap, and over a long period of time, it indicates for lower prices to come, some objectives over previous highs are most likely in order. The most premium level for this to occur would be the January high at $88. But a failure swing somewhere over $84 would also be a heck of a trade. Where to long? Tomorrow's dump may be too early. The most perfect would be $65, under the flat bottom lows. But you may or may not get it. The problem is, how long does it take Paypal to mark up into the $80s? We don't have that much time to play with the JPM collar being long 4,200 SPX puts expiring September 29. And the markets are looking like they intend perhaps one more upswing before doom, which I cover here: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg In any event, markets correcting violently and VIX pushing highs hard may put a painful and abrupt end to rallies across all classes. But it seems we may have a rally ahead. And with all the factors combining, buying Paypal between Thursday and Friday in a price range between $68 and $65 is a trade. If it doesn't go up, then the trade isn't confirmed. But you might have to wait at least a month to see if that comes true. What you don't want to and can't see is the $58 low taken out. When Paypal is done taking out short sellers who didn't take profit at $58 and want to ride to zero, I believe the next target is the $45 level. And then this thing goes the way of Bed Bath and Beyond and Blockbuster. Be careful. What lies ahead in the remainder of 2023 will be hard to navigate. And 2024 might be an entirely unpleasant experience for all.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by LordWrymouth
Amazon - Greed, Just Like Speed, KillsFirst, I understand that Amazon had an excellent earnings report, whether analyst estimates were gamed to the downside and it was easy to beat notwithstanding. What you have to be really careful of right now is the excess greed that abounds in the markets. Greed is the thing that kills accounts the fastest, and when you blow your account, there won't be any use for TradingView anymore, and nobody will be able to have fun until you can save up to reload. I am not saying any kind of bearish commentary on Amazon, although you should have reservations on this company because a lot of its business model is just to serve as an export faucet for stuff made in the Chinese Communist Party's land. And you have to be careful with anyone whose business is tightly knit to communist China, because the International Rules Based Order is chattering disaster about "de-risking" from China. Because the narrative about "Taiwan Invasion" really means that the CCP is close to falling and everyone is thinking about how to take control of that country. But to take control of China, you need someone Chinese, which means you need a handpicked appointment from the Republic of China who will serve the globalists. All this, and the 24th year of persecution against Falun Dafa by the CCP's Jiang Zemin faction just completed on July 20. In 1999, Jiang began a full genocide and organ harvesting campaign against 100 million spiritual believers, and it's persisted to this day despite Xi Jinping never participating. In fact, Xi's Anti-corruption Campaign has been hitting the corrupt officials involved in the persecution ever since he took power in 2012. Consider that the next time you see the media going off about what a Mao Zedong Xi Jinping is. Amazon's monthly provides some clarity. The most notable thing is that the 2021-2022 distribution bars during the rest of the market's bull run indicates a proper and clear topping pattern. And despite that, price never took out the most critical of lows, the COVID pivot at $81.30. Instead, it spared it by 13 cents. Because numerology. What it means is that long term, $80 becomes a target. What's notable about price action before today's earnings report pump is that Amazon maintained the July low, albeit barely. And this creates three weekly lows of equal "support." Which also becomes a target. Bear in mind, with Nonfarm Payrolls also being tomorrow morning, you may get yourself a trade setup that looks something like what happened to AMD on Wednesday: AMD - Greed Doth Bad Habits Breed When its ER came in hot in premarket and at open, and turned into a huge sell off and red day: So the point with this call is to say that the August '22 $146 pivot may really hold. And if it doesn't hold, it might just get raided. Which makes buying the top tomorrow morning something that isn't a particularly intelligent thing to do. Worse, it means that buying the dip may be trading in the wrong direction, while selling the dump's retrace might actually be an optimal short entry. Just keep in mind that we may have as much as another 2-3% of downside left in the SPX before we retrade towards/take out the tops: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg If the markets really get blown to pieces heading into the end of Q3 in accordance with the JP Morgan collar, stuff like Amazon is going to head to a 5-handle by next year. SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' You'll know the truth, in my opinion, when Amazon breaks the $125 flat bottoms, price won't come back, just like what happened with Netflix: Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching Knives What I really want to tell you all is that life still seems stable, it seems like all there is to worry about is making money and entertainment. But our world may very well change overnight, with no warning at all. And what we've all done while the cards were still face down will be what determines who wins the pot and who loses their stack.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by LordWrymouth
Apple -> Massive Breakdown And Now?Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Apple 💪 Starting on the monthly timeframe you can see that after Apple broke out of the clear triangle formation in confluence with the bullish moving averages, Apple created a strong rally of 30% towards the upside, breaking major resistance. As I mentioned over and over again the weekly timeframe looked quite overextended so I do expect even more short term bearish pressure before a reversal will be quite likely. With Apple's gap down of -5% on Friday my last analysis, linked below, perfectly played out but there is no reason why Apple stock should reverse immediately so be careful and don't jump into longs too early. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by basictradingtv
41
A traders’ weekly playbook – inflation takes centre stage againAfter a solid tightening of financial conditions over the week we watch to see if the negative tone spills over into the new trading week. On the week, the NAS100 fell close to 3%, with Apple closing below its 50-day MA; a factor that had been acting as a solid trend filter since late January. Instead of buying dips, could we be looking at selling rallies now in Apple, which in turn, could change the structure of equity index? The US500 eyes channel support, and its own 50-day MA – we see equity volatility on the rise, with the VIX into 17% - a close above 20% would be welcomed by most day traders and would almost certainly open better shorting opportunities for those happy to trade a two-way price. EU equity has fared slightly worse, with the GER40 -3.1% for the week. We start the week with a modest downside skew in the risk for equity. We saw big volatility in 10 and 30-year US Treasuries, largely as a function of additional supply that the private sector will be asked to take down over the coming quarters. The USD benefited from higher long-end Treasury yields, although after Friday's reversal in 10yr Treasury yields I now see modest downside risk in the USD – that said, any sell-down in the USD should be modest. The AUD remains the weak link in G10 FX – I am biased for EURAUD higher, and AUDCHF lower, but would be selling rallies in the latter. China’s data flow this week matters for the AUD, and if USDCNH can squeeze higher it will help push the Aussie lower. Gold printed a bullish outside day on Friday, and those long will be hoping for a squeeze through $1946.74 for a rally into $1966, possibly even $1981. Crude looks well supported, and a test of $83.46 looks likely. US CPI remains the marquee risk this week and there are some signs the risk is for an above-consensus print, which would not be taken well by risk assets – if bond and rates volatility can lift because of the CPI print, then it will spill into increased movement in equity, FX and commodity markets and affect our trading environment. Expect the unexpected and keep an open mind – it will serve you well in these markets. The marquee event risks for traders to navigate: US CPI (10 Aug 22:30 AEST) – The marquee event risk of the week. The market looks for both headline and core CPI inflation to increase by 0.2% MoM and one can assume a range of 0.15% to 0.30% MoM as a guide as to how the USD could react to the data. The year-over-year (YoY) pace is eyed at 3.3% (up from 3%) for headline CPI and 4.8% (unchanged) for core CPI, respectively. The market should pay more attention to the MoM metric, with used vehicles and airfares likely to weigh on the basket. Core services are expected to rise 0.34% MoM and could influence the USD and risky assets. By way of a guide, the Cleveland Fed Nowcast model estimates core CPI coming in at 0.4% MoM, which is above consensus and if correct should see the USD trade higher. It would likely see expectations of a hike from the Fed in November priced closer to 50% (currently 30%). China CPI/PPI inflation (9 Aug 11:30 AEST) – the consensus is we see China’s CPI print pull into outright deflation, with consensus expectations set at -0.5% YoY. PPI inflation is expected to print -4%, which is a slight improvement from the -5.4% seen in the June data. USDCNH will be the FX cross to watch, and a break of trend resistance could see 7.2500 come into play, which would support the USD vs other FX pairs. US PPI (11 Aug 22:30 AEST) – coming a day after US CPI, the market sees PPI inflation at 0.7% YoY (from 0.1%) and core PPI at 2.3% YoY (2.4%). The outcome could shape expectations of the core PCE deflator inflation print due on 31 Aug. Mexico central bank (Banxico) meeting (11 Aug 05:00 AEST) – all 20 economists surveyed by Bloomberg see rates on hold at 11.25% - the CPI print could influence expectations here. Mexico CPI (9 Aug 22:00 AEST) – the market sees the July headline CPI inflation coming in at 4.78% (from 5.06%) and core CPI at 6.66% (6.89%). With some 177bp of cuts priced into Mexican rates markets over the coming 12 months, a weaker CPI print could further increase these expectations and see USDMXN break key resistance at 17.4000. Japan Labor cash earnings (8 Aug 09:30 AEST) – the market sees wages increasing 3% (from 2.9%) – there is the possibility of JPY volatility on this data point, especially if the 10yr Japan govt bond (JGBs) rises above 75bp – however, unless it’s a blowout number I would have no issues holding JPY or JPN225 exposures over this data point. The consensus view is Japan should start to see more aggressive disinflation through late 2023 and into 2024. Japan BoJ Summary of Opinions (7 Aug 09:50 AEST) – essentially these are the minutes from the recent BoJ meeting, where we saw the BoJ allowing some increased flexibility in YCC, placing a new hard cap at 1% for the 10yr JGB - we will explore how close the decision was. It’s hard to see this really moving the JPY, but it is an event risk for JPY traders. China trade balance – I have little concern about holding exposures over this data point and the market has no confidence in forecasting China trade numbers, and so we seldom see much initial reaction. This time around the market sees a FWB:68B trade surplus, with imports expected to fall 5.5%, while exports are eyed down 12.6% - again, watch the reaction in the CNH, as the yuan will likely drive the AUD and NZD. China new yuan loans and M2 money supply (no set time through the week) – given there is no set date or time for this data this is not one to position for. After last month's blowout loan figure of CNY3049b, the market expects moderation in credit at $755b and M2 money supply at 11%. Market pricing on rate expectations – what’s priced and the step up/down per future bank meeting Corporate Earnings Australia – on the week we hear from companies such as QBE (10 Aug), Newcrest (11 Aug) and CBA (9 Aug), with CBA the ASX200 stock to watch. The share price has pulled back 5% from $107.09 since 27 July, underperforming the broader ASX200 in the process. This time around. the market implies a 2.7% move on the day of reporting so it could get lively for traders of both CBA and the AUS200 (given the influence CBA could have on the financial sector). The consensus is we see 2H23 cash earnings of $5.014b, paying out a dividend of $2.22. We look closely at CBAs Net Interest Margins (NIM), with the market seeing NIM at 2.02% (-8bp from 1H23). Guidance on margins will be key, with deposit competition heating up and higher wholesale funding impacting. We look out for intel and guidance on asset quality, volumes, and it’s capital position. Any outlook in the report or the earnings call on RBA policy, demand for loans and any views on the economy could move the dial. HK – Alibaba (10 Aug) – Alibaba hit us with Q1 earnings and the second biggest weighting in the HK50 will be hoping the share price breaks back above HK$ 100 – can the commerce giant make it 5 quarters in a row where they rally on the day of earnings? The market is pricing (through options pricing) a 5% move on the day, so it could get lively. US – Berkshire Hathaway, UPS, Walt Disney, Nvidia (23 Aug) Germany – Siemens, Bayer Central bank speakers Fed – Bostic *2, Bowman *2, Harker*2 BoE – Huw Pill (8 Aug 02:00 AEST) RBA – Schwatz speaks (8 Aug 09:05)
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
$AAPL- WEEKLY CHART LOOKS READY BOOM$AAPL is going to do some serious moves in the coming weeks. Class A Hidden Bullish Divergence on the oscillators with positive momentum starting to build with the follow through price action IE MACD Divergence. Targets are $200, as this would be typical psycological resistance and $210. As soon as we can crack above point B and claim new support, we are off to the races and will see upward price action. Retraced to the common .382 - .500 ranges, as this is tpyical when the market/price is in a uptrend. Very clear, cut and dry TA if you ask me. Tech Stocks/Crypto Market is awaking from the long and exhausting piss poor peformance and wants to run upward again. Buy before the FOMO nerds get in ;)
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by BShellhammer
AAPL: Breakout of EMA-50 to the downside since January 23, 2023.The break of the EMA-50 to the downside represents a major correction as since January 23, 2023, the EMA-50 has been dynamic support where the price touched it on March 1, 2023, and then came very close on March 13, 2023. After these dates, AAPL remained distant from EMA-50 until today, when it made the downward breakout making a gap and closing at 181.99 below EMA-50. On the other hand, the relevant FIBO levels are 38% at (169.25) and the most important 50% at 160.78 coinciding with SMA-200.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by serpenttrading_