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Why Apple Stock Deserves a Prominent Place in Your PortfolioApple occupies a significant position in Berkshire Hathaway's investment portfolio, with an astounding value of $165 billion, making up 48% of the allocation as of March 31. Warren Buffett, the highly regarded investor known as the Oracle of Omaha, has expressed his belief that Apple stands apart from Berkshire Hathaway's other businesses. This positive sentiment aligns with Buffett's typical investment criteria, as Apple possesses many of the qualities he looks for in a company. Drawing inspiration from one of the greatest minds in the stock market, investors can greatly enhance their portfolios. Here are three compelling reasons why considering an investment in Apple stock is worthwhile, despite its 39% increase in value this year. While the iPhone continues to be a major contributor to Apple's revenue in the fiscal 2023 second quarter, accounting for 54% of it, the company has been actively expanding its services line in recent years. This segment has displayed impressive growth, with revenue reaching $13.3 billion in Q2 2020 and surging to $20.9 billion in the most recent fiscal quarter. Notably, the services segment is growing at a faster rate compared to Apple's products segment. This shift towards services brings significant financial benefits for Apple. Services enjoy an impressive gross margin of 71%, surpassing the 37% gross margin associated with products. As services contribute a larger share of the company's revenue, they are poised to positively impact Apple's overall profitability. Beyond the financial advantage, Apple's services segment plays a crucial role in fostering stronger customer loyalty. The renowned Apple ecosystem, which seamlessly integrates the company's hardware and software offerings, enhances the overall user experience. With over 2 billion active Apple devices worldwide, owners of these products have fewer reasons to switch to competing platforms. Apple's services, such as Music, Pay, and TV+, contribute to this loyalty by providing additional value and keeping users engaged within the Apple ecosystem. Warren Buffett has often emphasized the significance of pricing power as an indicator of an exceptional company. According to him, a truly outstanding business can consistently raise prices with minimal impact on demand, without the need for extensive deliberation. Apple, holding a significant position in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, demonstrates an impressive ability to command pricing power, making it an attractive investment. Apple's flagship product, the iPhone, has seen price increases since its initial launch in 2007. Remarkably, consumers continue to willingly pay higher prices for the latest versions without hesitation. This exemplifies the strong demand and brand loyalty associated with Apple's products. Furthermore, even Apple's services have experienced price hikes, further reinforcing the company's pricing power. Through a combination of beautifully designed hardware products and its own user-friendly software ecosystem, Apple has established a differentiated offering, allowing it to maintain and strengthen its pricing power. The ability of Apple to consistently raise prices across its product and service lines without significant repercussions on consumer demand is a testament to the company's enduring appeal and exceptional business model. It is one of the key reasons why Berkshire Hathaway maintains a sizable stake in Apple. In a period characterized by heightened economic uncertainty, where concerns over inflation, rising interest rates, and the possibility of a recession loom large, it becomes prudent for investors to prioritize financially stable companies. Apple is a prime example of such a company. Over the years, Apple has demonstrated impressive financial strength and stability. The company's gross margin has expanded from 38.5% in fiscal 2017 to 43.3% in fiscal 2022, while its operating margin has risen from 26.8% to 30.3% over the same period. This growth in profitability is a remarkable trait, showcasing Apple's ability to become more profitable as it continues to grow. This success can be attributed not only to its pricing power but also to the benefits of economies of scale. Apple has optimized expenses and leveraged fixed costs more effectively, which is particularly noteworthy in the consumer hardware industry where financial challenges are common. Yet, Apple has emerged as a thriving outlier. Additionally, Apple generates substantial amounts of free cash flow, reaching an impressive $111 billion in fiscal 2022. The company is proactive in returning capital to shareholders, as evidenced by its stock repurchases amounting to $39 billion in the past six months. Moreover, Apple offers a dividend that currently yields 0.5%, further enhancing its appeal for income-oriented investors. Considering these compelling factors, the arguments in favor of owning Apple stock are exceptionally strong. The company's solid financial performance and stability suggest that it has the potential to be a reliable and enduring presence in investment portfolios for years to come. By following the lead of successful investors like Warren Buffett and recognizing the enduring appeal of Apple's products, services, pricing power, and financial stability, investors can make informed decisions that can enhance their portfolios in the long run.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by FOREXN1
16
Harvesting Alpha with Beta HedgingImagine this. Dark skies, earth tremors and thunder roars. Shelter is top priority. Size matters in a crisis. When the tsunami strikes and lightning splits the sky, investors shudder in fear; But the super seven stand tall, shielding investors from the fury. Dramatic metaphors aside, we truly live in unprecedented times. Risk lurks everywhere. List is endless. Unstable geopolitics. Sticky inflation. Recession expectations. Unprecedented deepening of yield curve inversion. Unfinished regional banking crisis. Weak manufacturing. Tightening financial conditions. Extremely divisive global politics, to just name a few. Despite severe headwinds, US equity markets are roaring. YTD, S&P is up +15% and Nasdaq is up +32%. At the start of 2023, the consensus was for US equities to be in doldrums dragged down by recession. Halfway through the year, markets are at the cusp of one of the best first half for US equity markets in twenty years. This is among the narrowest and top-heavy rally ever. Only a sliver of stocks - precisely seven of them - defines this optimism. This paper will refer to these as the Super Sevens. These are the biggest members of the S&P 500 index. Super Sevens are Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. This paper argues that the Super Sevens will deliver above market returns in the short term as investors seek safe haven from a vast array of macro risks. The paper articulates a case study to demonstrate the use of beta hedging to extract alpha from holding long positions in Super Sevens and hedging them against sharp reversals using CME Micro E-Mini S&P 500 index futures ("CME Micro S&P 500 Futures"). THE RISE AND RISE OF SUPER SEVENS Super Sevens have an outsized impact as S&P 500 is a market weighted index. Merely five of these seven form 25% of the S&P 500 market capitalisation. At $2.9 trillion in market capitalisation, Apple is greater than all of UK’s top 100 listed companies put together. If that were not enough, Apple's market capitalisation alone is greater than the aggregate market capitalisation of all the firms in the Russell 2000 index. Nvidia has been soaring on hopes of AI driven productivity gains. On blow out revenue guidance, it has rallied $640 billion in market cap YTD. That increment alone is larger than the combined market cap of JP Morgan & Bank of America the two largest banks in the US. The heatmap summarises analyst targets & technical signals on pathway for prices ahead: In part 2 of this paper, Mint will cover the detailed analyst price forecasts, technical signals and summary narratives covering value drives and intrinsic risk factors. WHAT DRIVES INVESTOR CONCENTRATION INTO THE SUPER SEVENS? As reported in the Financial Times last week, two broad market trends appear to have fed into this investor concentration. First, Passive investing. When funds merely deliver the performance of an index by replicating its composition, the higher the index weights, the more these passive funds buy into these names. Second, ESG investing. Rising push towards ESG has forced investment into tech and away from carbon-heavy sectors such as energy. Collectively, this has resulted in all types of investors – active, passive, momentum, ESG- all going after the same names. Question is, what happens now? Will the broader market catch up with the Super Sevens? Or will the Super Sevens suffer a sharp pullback? That depends on the broader US economy. Will it have a hard landing, soft landing, or no landing at all? Given market expectations of (a) resilient earnings capacity, and (b) solid growth potential among Super Sevens, we expect that in the near to mid-term the Super Sevens will continue to outperform the broader market. In ordinary times, investors could have simply established long positions in Super Sevens and wait to reap their harvests. However, we live in unprecedented times. WE LIVE IN TRULY UNPRECEDENTED TIMES Risks abound but no signs of it in equity markets. Historically, geopolitical instability, tightening financial conditions, and a deeply inverted curve could have led to crushing returns in the US equity markets. Not this time though. Peak concentration As mentioned earlier, bullishness in equity markets can be vastly attributed to just the Super Sevens. These seven have delivered crushing returns rising between 40% and 192% YTD. The S&P 500 index is market cap weighted. Super Sevens represent the largest companies in the index by market cap and their stellar performance has an outsized impact on the index. Is this a bull run or a bear market clouded by over optimism among Super Sevens? Deeply inverted yield curve In simple words, it costs far more to borrow for the near term (2 year) relative to the borrowing for long term (10-year). The US Treasury yield curves have been inverted for more than a year now. The difference between the 2-Year and 10-Year treasuries is at its widest level since the early 1980s. Inversion in yield curve has historically been a credible signal of recession ahead. When bonds with near term duration yield higher rates than those with longer-dated expiries, this precedes trouble in the economy. Recession. What recession? This period might go into the record books for the most long-awaited recession that is yet to come. For the last 12 months, experts have been calling for recession to show up in 3 months. While manufacturing sector seems feeble, labour market remains solid. Corporate balance sheets are robust. Consumer finances and consumer confidence are in good health. The VIX remains sanguine while the only fear indicator that appears unsettled is the MOVE index which indicates volatility in the bond markets. After having spiked earlier in the year, the MOVE is starting to soften as well. BETA HEDGING FOR PURE ALPHA In times of turbulence, risk management is not an afterthought but a necessity. Hedge delivers the edge. When there are ample arguments to be made for bullish and bearish markets, taking a directional position can be precarious. This paper posits Super Sevens holdings be hedged with CME Micro S&P 500 Futures. Hedging single stocks is nuanced. The stocks and the index do not always move in tandem. A given stock may be more volatile or less volatile relative to the benchmark. Beta is the sensitivity of the stock price relative to a benchmark. Beta is computed from daily returns over a defined historical period. Stocks with high Beta move a lot more than the underlying index. Stocks that move narrowly relative to its underlying benchmark exhibits low Beta. Beta hedging involves adjusting the notional value of a stock price based on its beta. Using beta-adjusted notional, hedging then involves taking an offsetting position in an index derivative contract to match the notional value. TradingView publishes beta values computed based on daily returns over the last 12 months. The following table illustrates the beta-adjusted notional for the Super Sevens based on the last traded prices as of close of market on June 16th. Beta hedging using CME Micro S&P 500 Futures enables investors to precisely scale their portfolio exposures to the index. A small contract size enables investors to manage risks with finer granularity. CME allows conversion of micro futures into a classic E-mini futures position, and vice versa. Round the clock liquidity combined with tight spreads and sizeable open interest across the two front contract months, investors can enter and exit the market at ease. BETA-HEDGED TRADE SET UP In unprecedented times like today, markets may continue to rally or come crashing. To harness pure alpha, this paper posits a spread with long positions in Super Sevens hedged by a short position in CME Micro S&P 500 Futures expiring in September 2023. This trade set-up gains when (a) Super Sevens rise faster than the S&P 500, or (b) Super Sevens suffers drop in value but falls lesser relative to S&P 500, or (c) Super Sevens gain while S&P 500 falls. This trade setup loses when (a) Super Seven falls faster than S&P 500, or (b) S&P 500 rises faster than Super Seven, or (c) S&P 500 rises while Super Sevens pullback Each CME Micro S&P 500 Futures has a multiplier of USD 5. The September contract settled on June 16th at 4453.75 implying a notional value of USD 22,269 (4453.75 * USD 5). Effective beta hedge requires that notional of the hedging trade is equivalent to the beta-adjusted notional value of single stock. Given the beta-adjusted notional value of USD 2,561 for single shares in Super Sevens and the notional value for each lot of CME Micro S&P 500 Futures at USD 22,269, the spread trade requires: a. A long position in 26 shares each across all the Super Sevens translating to a beta-adjusted notional of USD 66,576. b. Hedged by a short position with 3 lots of CME Micro S&P 500 Futures which provides a notional exposure of USD 66,807. The following table illustrates the hypothetical P&L of this spread trade under various scenarios: MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by mintdotfinance
3
Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning SignalFrankly speaking, the pattern that would make the most sense for the markets with the situation in the world at present is that the ATH on Nasdaq, Dow, and SPX are taken before the end of '23. However, there are a number of problems that indicate despite the extreme greed, bear capitulation, and bull euphoria this may not happen. One of the biggest fundamental factors is comments made by Jerome Powell at the last FOMC press conference, where for the first time in 15 months, a pause on rate hikes was induced. The small one is Powell made sure everybody understood that the pause was for June and June alone and not to be misconstrued as a policy change. The big one is that Powell plainly stated in answers to reporters that rates will not be cut until inflation comes down significantly, and that he expects this to take years. What this really means is that in order to have inflation really come back down, you need '08 GFC/'20 COVID demand destruction to unfold, but arguably on a bigger and more dramatic scale. What can cause a bigger and more dramatic worldwide calamity? There are only a few things, and none of them are pretty. Will they happen before election year? During election year? On top of this, with the Treasury General Account refill being the catalyst that finally impacts the reverse repo facility, liquidity is coming out of the markets, not going in. So the fundamentals of the markets and economy are actually worse now at 15,500 in many ways than they were at 10,000. But fundamentals never matter in the linear way people expect, and that's why you get 50% rallies on tech when tech as a sector is primarily worthless. So here's the technical breakdown of the NQ. On weekly and monthly bars, Nasdaq has gone up in a straight line since '23 opened. The low of the year was set in the first week of January. This is generally bullish and means we can expect new highs. However, all of these fundamental turns in the feng shui of the economic mood have occurred right as the Nasdaq was pushed back to the distribution block that formed the '21 top. This area also happens to be the 79% Fibonacci retracement level, and the entire bull run has been composed of a parabolic trend angle of better than 70 percent. Price now trades far away from every trendline there is. In fact, the delta between the '22 LOY and the trendline composed of the '18 volmageddon and '20 COVID lows is a staggering 13 percent. From where we are now it's 6,000 points. It's too parabolic, and it's happening inside of a fundamental tightening cycle, when China's economy and society is in huge trouble, and also a time when oil and natural gas look as if they're about to go town. This area between where we are now and the '22 top is an area of huge resistance. The intention, or "the plan," if you will, may very well be to send it back to the trendline with new highs being incurred only on the back of a Donald Trump 2024 Presidency. Trump winning '24 won't be quite the "W" for rightists and conservatives and the religious that they think it will be. In fact, Trump is an ass and may usher in an era of globalism, so make sure you vote for Ron DeSantis or RFK. If you ask me, the biggest fundamental tell in this is the USD. The tells are subtle, but February was a gap rebalance, and April was a higher low that also formed a double bottom. All on its own, I generally feel that's bearish. But May formed a higher low, and all while equities were mooning. And on top of that, the DXY stopped during the height of the '22 collapse, at under the 115 psychological level. Nasdaq never swept the 9,xxx level. Moreover, VIX and VIX futures are printing 13 and 14 handles, figures usually reserved for the most bullish of economic conditions. Not economic conditions where the indexes are still trading at lower highs and almost all of the core equities are still trading at just a blip. Bears have been calling for a crash for months. But how many are not only about to miss the opportunity after getting hurt, but start actually buying the dip? If Nasdaq can't make a new high and run away by July, then 9,500 is coming and it's going to come fast. You better believe it.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by LordWrymouth
5
APPLE Made a new All Time High! Can it extend the gains?Apple Inc. (AAPL) just made a new (historic) All Time High (ATH) today by breaking above $183.00 and is simply extending the rise on the Channel Up pattern that started on the January 03 2023 market bottom. At the same time it has already hit our short-term target (165.00) and is near completing our final target of 190.00. This is the target set we called for on our last Apple analysis on March 06 (see chart below): The basis of this target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from the Right Shoulder of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that priced the January bottom. The 1D RSI however has reached a level, the 76.50 Resistance, which since last August has caused two rejections. We do expect a rebound on the 4H MA50 (yellow trend-line) but if broken, be ready to add buys on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) which has been holding as Support since January 25. The long-term Support from now on is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which is traditionally the Support on new multi-month rallies such as the current one. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
N
by TradingShot
Apple -> Make It Or Break ItHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple stock is still retesting the previous all-time-high which is roughly at the $185 area and which is still acting as resistance. You can also see that weekly market structure is still bullish, however Apple stock is a little bit overextended towards the upside after the recent 50% which was created over the past couple of weeks, so I do expect some short term rejection but then the longer term continuation towards the upside. On the daily timeframe you can see that Apple stock is again approaching the previous reversal area at the $185 level from which we already had a harsh rejection towards the downside, but Apple stock might also be able to create a new all-time-high, so I am now just waiting for a clear direction and then I will upload another analysis for you. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by basictradingtv
41
Apple Vision Pro Product Will Add Value To AAPL Stock I wanted to share some exciting news about Apple’s latest Apple Vision Pro product. This new device boasts some seriously impressive specs, including a high-resolution display and a powerful processor. But what sets it apart is its unique way of interacting with virtual reality. Instead of relying on clunky controllers, the Apple Vision Pro uses advanced eye-tracking technology to allow for a more natural and intuitive experience. This could be a game-changer for the VR industry, which has struggled to gain widespread adoption due to its high cost and complex setup. With the Apple Vision Pro, we could see a new wave of interest and excitement in VR, which could translate into big profits for investors. So, I encourage you to consider investing in Apple long-term. With their track record of innovation and success, I believe they have the potential to revolutionize the VR industry and bring it into the mainstream. Thank you for your time and consideration. Have a wonderful day! Please let me your thoughts via a comment.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by bryandowningqln
Get Ready to Experience the Power of Apple's iPhone 15!Are you ready to witness the next big thing in smartphones? Brace yourselves, as Apple's upcoming iPhone 15 will take the tech industry by storm! With its groundbreaking features and cutting-edge technology, the iPhone 15 puts the company in a massive position of strength. The rumors are already spreading like wildfire, and it's no surprise that Apple fans worldwide are eagerly waiting for the launch of this revolutionary device. From the sleek design to the advanced camera system, the iPhone 15 promises to be a smartphone game-changer. As an Apple enthusiast, I cannot wait to get my hands on this incredible device. And I strongly encourage you to consider investing in Apple, as the iPhone 15 will be a massive success. With Apple's reputation for delivering innovative and high-quality products, there's no doubt that the iPhone 15 will exceed all expectations. So, get ready to experience the power of Apple's iPhone 15 and join me in investing in this incredible company. Let's be a part of the revolution and witness the future of technology. Thank you for your time, and I look forward to your thoughts.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by bryandowningqln
5
CAPP: The New Apple VR Hype Coin of 2023CAPP is poised to become a significant cryptocurrency for the future of VR development. It has already garnered the attention of renowned companies like NVIDIA, known for their substantial contributions to VR technology, including Cappasity. The initial rollout of Apple Vision Pro will primarily target businesses, with subsequent versions intended for customer use. These later versions are expected to be more affordable, starting at a beta price. Anticipation is high that this development will ignite a new wave of excitement in the VR industry, and Cappasity stands a good chance of experiencing increased trading volume and price action as a result. Currently, Cappasity is listed on Kucoin, but with the potential for greater trading volume, it may be listed on additional exchanges in the near future. Cappasity is adding to the important APPLE development list with NVIDIA.
CLong
by Goldenbreakout
2
When the Dollar Breaks This Supply Zone, It Will Bring Pain!With the stock market already trading near the 2031 fair value target of $434.98, it's a wonder how far out investors are willing to bet on S&P 500 earnings. Apple and Meta found some resistance near their average analyst targets, and now we have to figure out what comes next. For me I see t least a 50% retracement for the S&P 500, which sits around $412 per share. A strong dollar and other potential catalysts from the economic landscape could also lead to SPY falling lower. I have a fair value range between $370 and $400. Take a listen to the Equity Channel Podcast on Apple, Amazon and Spotify for more information on trading and investing.
TVC:DXYLong
by D1Finance
AAPL VR-Headset cause EXPOLSION Rally😎Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉 Apple AAPL recently made a new ATH after its introduction of VR Headsets. From technical indicators, we can see that there is still a lot of buying strength in this rally which could likely result in the price going even higher. We use the trend-based Fibonacci Extension to get a possible target at roughly $220. _________________________________ A bit more on the Tech: The Apple Vision Pro AR headset is expected to offer advanced features, high-quality display, and immersive experiences. It is rumored to have a sleek design, lightweight build, and premium materials. The headset may incorporate both augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) capabilities, providing users with a wide range of interactive and immersive experiences. One of the key concerns with this technology is the pricing. The Apple VR headset is expected to be relatively expensive, potentially limiting its accessibility to a broader consumer market. Another concern is the potential for motion sickness or discomfort during extended use, which has been a common challenge with VR headsets. The introduction of Apple VR headsets can potentially change the way we do things in the future. Firstly, it can revolutionize entertainment and gaming experiences, offering users a more immersive and realistic environment. Additionally, it can have significant implications for industries such as education, training, and communication, providing new ways to learn, collaborate, and connect with others remotely. Overall, the Apple VR headsets hold the promise of delivering cutting-edge technology and innovative experiences, although there are considerations regarding affordability and user comfort that need to be addressed. Would you get one? _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We appreciate your support ! CryptoCheck
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by CryptoCheck-
44
APPLE (AAPL) Analysis - W3 develop Save time. Technical Analysis in just a few words. Daily Timeframe. AAPL is currently developing a bigger 3rd Wave on the upside. Long term direction: LONG It looks like Wave 3 is still unfolding on the upside. A correction will come soon, then a final Wave 5 will push on the upside (probably by the end of the year). That's it. Have a nice day! DISCLAIMER: The ideas shared in this context are strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial or legal advice. Each individual bears full responsibility for their own trades and decisions.
CAPITALCOM:AAPLLong
by YExplore
Get your 'headset' around Apple's key reversal dayWhat costs $3500 and leaves the user vulnerable to being pranked from ‘friends’ whilst wearing it? Yes, Apple’s augmented reality headset, which comes in ~3x more than one made by Meta. You can read up on all its features and Apple’s latest announcements elsewhere. As what we’re focussing on today is that Apple’s stock closed lower on the day it unveiled its latest anti-social device. And the fact it occurred after a false break to a fresh record high should also serve as a ‘reality’ check to bulls. At least over the near term. Sure, the daily chart is clearly in an uptrend. But it has hit a stumbling block at its previous record highs set in 2022. Moreover, RSI has reached overbought and the day closed with a key reversal bar – which is a bearish outside / engulfing candle on high volume, which suggests all is not well at these highs. Furthermore, the OBV indicator (on balance volume) has failed to break above its own cycle high despite prices continuing north which suggests potential weakness to the underlying trend. From here, bears could either seek to fade into minor rallies within the key reversal day, and set an initial downside target around 157.77 gap support. A break beneath which brings the 170 handle / 172.15 HVN (high volume node) into focus for bears.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by CityIndex