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Amazon AMZN - Manufacturing SupportAmazon is a company I frankly do not like anything about. I feel it's like the North American version of the Chinese Communist Party's Aliexpress and roughly exists to rely on a network of fake reviews to push junk made in the CCP's factories through North America for the purposes of letting the Party keep people employed so they don't rebel and to allow the regime a financial lifeline. I personally make a point of buying elsewhere under all circumstances and have found no reason to use Amazon. The prices aren't even good anymore. However, when it comes to trading, I don't care. I care about price action, because I believe that the price action fractal reflects the combined knowledge of all market participants. If it was a buy and hold kind of market, I would stay away from it, but I think Amazon is actually presenting a major opportunity manufacturing support at the COVID-low double bottom and has produced something you go long on profitably. In early November, I made a strong call on Amazon amid the price action following the Q3 earnings dump that ended up working out for a ~15% gain. AMZN Amazon - Realistic Expectations In Both Doom and Gloom The long opportunity at present is even larger, and is primarily based on the fact that I believe that indexes are set for an 8-10%+ jump before we see the real nightmare of 2023 from a broken global economy unfold before our faces and the happy days never come back. SPX500 / ES / SPY - Enjoy the Party While It Lasts The basis for the idea is simple. Markets at large do not seem to want to go down. Amazon ran its November post-earnings dump low and has consolidated above the 2020 COVID hysteria panic dump low. Additionally, Friday's NFP dump was met with a sharp 5%+ reversal, leading to Amazon closing the week above the $85.88 low. The MMs still have not ran the bottom, which indicates they're long from the COVID low and this point will be saved for future considerations once they're short. The most obvious target for an upside area for the purposes of selling short is the gap at $105, which the previous bounce most notably, conveniently, and only slightly missed. A run to this area already amounts to 25% gain on a time horizon that I would expect is within the period of now to February FOMC. But additionally, AMZN has a breakaway gap in the $120s that it can target, should that $105~ gap fill and Amazon acts like META has and not retrace. However, should a pump not transpire in either Amazon or the indexes in general, the best case scenario for Amazon is $75-65. Should this unfold, it may either take a long time for recovery; It may also never recover. With any long trade, I have to caution readers that the situation in Mainland China under the Communist Party is very severe, as the world's largest and most important nation has been sacked by Wuhan Pneumonia for the last three years. The situation is not getting better, it's getting worse. The amount of people and high ranking Party members who have perished is scary, so much scarier than the little bit that comes out from behind the Great Firewall's censorship system. Should the flames of the pandemic suddenly accelerate one day and cause the fall of key CCP cadres, up to and including Xi Jinping, you should always remember that 6:00 PM Beijing time is right before the NYSE 7:30 open, and thus all long trades are at risk of a significant and unprecedented gap down. *Sighs* ... Human beings tend not to believe anything until they can see it. So long as their prejudices believe something is "not possible," they won't even consider it can happen until it starts unfolding before their very eyes. However, then it's already too late. The problem with Wuhan Pneumonia is the English-language propaganda machines ("media") will not report the truth of the situation in Mainland China and will help the Party cover up the pestilence until the plague is so serious that the Party collapses and nobody can keep a lid on the real disaster befalling the Central Kingdom. When that day comes, it will imperil more than your PnL and the state of your portfolio. It's simply just too critical that before that day comes, you do your part to reject and oppose the Chinese Communist Party and the Marxist-Leninist ideals and systems it has spread throughout the world. For when that day comes, it will be too late for regret. Hope for the future lies in the present. Just your choices in the present. It's a test of your heart and soul.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by LordWrymouth
1
🍏 Apple Inc. Resistance, New Products, New Update, Old One BustSo Apple released new computers... Great. They also released a new update for the operating system... Yey! Right after the update, my computer has become useless and I am feeling inspired to buy a new one... Tricky. All updates always work great but this time, the urgent "security update" somehow makes the computer ultra buggy and slow... 🍻😌😉 Anyway, the downtrend has been broken but strong resistance lies ahead in the form of EMA300 and MA200. Looking at past history, these levels always fail as resistance but a peak is reached soon after... Will it be different this time? How is this stock likely to behave in the near future? Ahhh, tough questions. Initially, I would immediately say that a peak is soon to follow and then lower prices but then I am aware that the entire financial market moves as a whole. I am aware of the global-financial situation from multiple perspective and have a well defined picture as to how everything is supposed to move. The problem is that my entire study and research is mainly based on cryptocurrency... The chart signals are saying higher so we say higher until the charts change. There is no point in speculating, we would never buy here, we would only buy early January and at this point we would be just watching how things develop... It is too risky to jump in after the move is already on going but... Trading is trading and there is always risks involved. So, the first support/stop-loss comes at 143. Above this level strongly bullish short-term. Any trading above EMA10 also quite bullish and that's 140. If it goes below EMA10 it would also go below the August downtrend line and so the bullish bias short-term would be lost. Still, on a wider perspective, the bulls remain alive as long as the early January low holds. My guess is that it can continue higher, retraces in-between is just noise, after a new multi-month high a strong correction, this correction ends in a higher low and then it goes back up again at which point we have to look at the chart again. Here we are looking at 4-6 months in the analysis above. I don't know how this information reads... Easy, convoluted, messy, I don't know... But if I had similar information when... Never mind. Thanks a lot for taking the time to read and for your continued support. Namaste.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by MasterAnanda
1
Google vs Apple; How Android will kill Apple.Fact; - Apple (iPhone, etc.) is entirely (100%) sourced from China; - Google (Android) is 100% sourced from S. Korea & Japan. 1) Considering the abject population collapse - and massive DE-industralization!! - of China, it will take YEARS for Apple to relocate it's entire supply chain. (To N. America?) E.g. Apple will be lucky to bring out a new iPhone every other year - even that being overly optimistic. 2) Barring an outright armed conflict between S. Korea and Japan (very unlikely) Google's supply chain should be just fine, mostly unaffected by the coming Chinese de-urbanization and de-industrialization. (... which China will be forced to endure in order to feed the *** 800 million Chinese ***, which is what will be left in that country, by 2035.) When will this purported Chinese population collapse and total de-industrialization begin?? ... You are in it! (It is well worth to pay attention to it because it will (continue to) be spectacular!!) Simultaneously, the technical picture is also very favorable for the upside, in this spread.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by Nemo_Confidat
2
Apple Analysis 24.01.2023Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:AAPL
by basictradingtv
39
Apple forming inverted head and shoulders?Apple - Short Term - We look to Buy at 135.18 (stop at 129.88) Bespoke support is located at 134.40. Levels below 135 continue to attract buyers. Prices have reacted from 124.17. A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming. We look for a temporary move lower. This is currently an actively traded stock. Our profit targets will be 148.88 and 150.88 Resistance: 145.00 / 150.00 / 155.00 Support: 140.00 / 138.00 / 134.40 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by VantageMarkets
3
Apple | Fundamental AnalysisOver the past two decades, Apple has been one of the most valuable stocks on the market and during that time has become the most expensive company in the world. It has conquered the mobile computing era due to the success of the iPhone and supplemented its device business with a highly profitable ecosystem of services built around the App Store. Like other stocks from the tech sector, however, Apple couldn't escape the 2022 market downturn, and the stock lost more than 25%. Speaking about the prospects, investors are hoping for a rematch. But can Apple succeed? Let's take a look at what to expect from the iPhone maker in 2023 and whether the company can outperform the market. In its latest earnings report for its fiscal Q4, Apple reported strong results. Revenue increased 8% to $90.1 billion, and earnings per share rose 4% to $1.29. Nevertheless, the company's management refused to give precise estimates amid the tension in the global economy. For the key fiscal Q1, which is Apple's biggest of the year as it follows the release of its latest iPhone model, management declined to give earnings guidance because of uncertainty but said it expects revenue growth to slow compared to the September and December quarters. Management also projected a 10 percentage point currency windfall, although the dollar has decreased remarkably since it issued that forecast. It's worth heeding CFO Luca Maestri's comment about the uncertainty. As a manufacturer of high-end consumer electronics, Apple is sensitive to the global economy, and a recession is likely to affect demand for its products. Consumers may delay upgrading to the latest iPhone model or switch to one of the cheaper models. Apple was much smaller during the last recession in 2008-2009, but its growth slowed considerably, slowing from 35.3 percent in fiscal 2008 to 12.5 percent in fiscal 2009. In a statement warning of the slowdown, the company did note that demand for the iPhone 14 was strong, a sign that the company may continue to grow during the year. Apple usually keeps its product updates and releases secret, but this year there will be some big changes. As per Bloomberg, the company is expected to unveil a mixed reality headset later this year, possibly at the Worldwide Developers Conference in June, and it could be priced as high as $3,000. Unlike all the new products the company has released in the past few years, this device has the potential to propel Apple if the meta-universe becomes popular. Given the company's leadership in consumer electronics, it looks to be a favorite in this area, despite the efforts of Meta Platforms, which is investing billions in Oculus and its VR technology. Moving forward in its quest to develop more of its chips in-house, the company is also creating a new team to develop the wireless chips it previously bought from companies such as Broadcom and Skyworks. This project could take years to implement, but in the long run, it will likely save Apple on costs, differentiate its products and gain more control over its supply chain. Right now, Apple stock is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22, which is about as cheap as it has been since the pandemic began, and only slightly more expensive than the S&P 500. Given the company's dominant brand, competitive advantages, including an installed base of about 2 billion devices, and a high-margin services business, there are many reasons why the stock should trade at a premium to the broad market index. Whether Apple can outperform the market in 2023 will likely be defined by the overall economic state. If the global economy continues to slide into recession, Apple is likely to suffer, especially if its profits decline. The good news, however, is that analysts' expectations are low, with revenue and earnings-per-share growth expected to be in the single digits. If stocks can beat those forecasts, and if the economy shows signs of recovery, Apple has a good chance of outperforming the market this year. Over the long term, a broad economic moat and solid demand growth should support the company's growth and its ability to return cash to shareholders.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by FOREXN1
17