Appleshort
Apple Potential Selling SoonTaking a look into Apple, we have some indicators that we may see some selling here soon. It has formed a descending channel.
Indicators:
- MACD is in an average area of a bullish move before a sell off.
- RSI slightly surpassed the last high of Aug 2022 but it is still not overbought yet, we simply have room to head down if it does.
- MFI (Money Flow Index) seems to have peaked and is slightly sinking.
Comments:
We're still waiting on Apple earnings which have been pushed to May 5th for some reason. We do see a head and shoulders have formed. If we do see a sell off which would need to start soon in order to confirm the prediction, we should see a bounce in the HKEX:138 - HKEX:142 area about a month or two into selling, before heading back down. You can confirm this by looking blue arrows. The bounce typically happens in the same timeframe and percentage down after the selling has begun. Further more, this has been the longest bounce since the selling started in early 2022. This rally has about exhausted itself, especially in the face of decaying economic data.
For giggles, I overlaid the Feds Balance Sheet and amazing coincidence when the sheet explodes up, equities also exploded up. The balance sheet rises ALWAYS precedes the markets going up. Tale tale that when Apple started to sell off Feb 23rd, the balance sheet grew THEN Apple's stock prices started to rally yet again. But, as we can see the balance sheet has begun unwinding. Amazing seeing how markets have been weaker and weaker, ending in the red or flat. I believe this is a tale tale sign of another wave down.
There is more talk of banking issues, and now commercial real estate issues. Let's see what transpires by summer. The Fed all but confirmed a recession and blamed it on the banking crisis.
APPLE BUYHello, great opportunity to invest in Apple shares. There is a high probability of going up. With breaking the strong resistance at 156. With a model forming. bullish flag.Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank yo
Apple -> Short Term TopHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple stock is currently approaching a quite massive previous weekly resistance area at the $175 level which is now turned strong resistance once again.
You can also see that over the past couple of weeks, Apple stock had a rally of about 35% towards the upside without any noticable correction, so I am now just waiting for a short term rejection away from the resistance area and then I do expect more continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that Apple stock is still creating bullish market structure and moving averages are also massively bullish, so I am now just waiting for some consolidation and bearish pressure before I then do expect a short term dump away from the resistance area.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
APPLEAAPL looks on Distribution after tim cook buy back $90B of its stock, are they saving the stock market? its No, its just a show for the wallst guys to follow the new investors to buy there stocks.
This is not a financial advice. Nothing is new in this stocks, looks odd on their new products redesigning the camera to make a new name. whats next? iphone 15 5 cameras maybe. lol
Trade base on your own decissions.
Follow for more
APPLE MASSIVE SHORTApple is currently at the top of a rising wedge and has developed three counts of bearish divergence on the daily time frame. It has also completed a bearish cypher reaching the 0.786 on what seems to be a confirmation high.
The weekly time frame also shows that it has reached the resistance which has held on 4 previous occasions
I AM currently short with 75% of the position I want to take on this. I will add the other 25% at a higher price or I will enter at the break of the wedge. For now I only plan on closing the short at a price above 176, but it depends how we get there so I will update in the comments.
Apple H&S PossibilityLatest update for Apple. We may see some sort of recovery in July, which may see markets across the board move up. If we break the selling trend, it will have created a head and shoulders when selling continues downward. Again, this is a possibility, as selling might intensify.
Atlanta Fed has revised their Q2 GDP down to -1.0%, putting the US in recession. This is in addition to a worse than expected Retail, Consumer Sentiment, Consumer Confidence, ect. We'll see.. for now, we're neutral on this. MACD is VERY bearish for the 1M.
Time to SHORT Apple ....! very likely bearish momentumShort Apple @CMP
TARGETS - 127 / 120
SL - 163
Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational m technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple stock is currently having rejection from previous weekly resistance area which we had at $160
In my last analysis, linked below, I explained all the reasons for which I do expect a breakout, now I am just waiting for a retest of this previous resistance which is now turned support and then from there I do expect more continuation towards the upside.
Apple -> Could It Be More Obvious?Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe Apple stock is currently retesting a quite obvious previous resistance area which is turned resistance once again.
Just recently we also had a bullish ema crossover, which is always considered a bullish sign, so from here I do expect a short term rejection away from the support zone and then the longer term continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe it seems like today's candle will close with a massive rejection wick, indicating selling pressure so it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term rejection away from this resistance area.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
APPLE SELLPeace be upon you, merchants. Apple stock is negative. with a fracture. Double BOTTOM. It is a strong model and was unable to break a very strong resistance. At the price of 156. There is the possibility of re-testing. The price is 150. And re-disembarkation. to the level of 143. what do you think
COLLAPSEIt has been a year since I contemplate the evolution of prices, analyze patterns every day, compare indicators, technical and fundamental signals, watching speculation in full swing, levers reaching new records, states with the help of central banks flooding the market with liquidity.
Some have asked for my news, here it is.
In January 2018 they laughed at me when i called the explosion of the crypto bubble, now i think the US market top is near. Buying stocks now is crazy. Shorting it is always risky, but here we are.
Since their creation, markets have soared and then collapsed : I don't see why this time would be any different.
To discerning eyes a graph is enough I don't need to say more.
Wish me good luck, I wish you too.
If you want to thank me, criticize me, insult me or question me in the comments space is all up to you.
Apple -> Is This The Top?Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
From a weekly timeframe Apple stock just recently tested and already rejected a very obvious previous weekly resistance area which was turned resistance once again.
You can also see that we are having a bullish weekly ema crossover, however I personally think that we will retest the next support area at $135 before then creating the continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe I am now just waiting for a clear break and retest of the previous support zone which would then be turned resistance before I then do expect a next short term impulse towards the downside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Google vs Apple; How Android will kill Apple.Fact;
- Apple (iPhone, etc.) is entirely (100%) sourced from China;
- Google (Android) is 100% sourced from S. Korea & Japan.
1) Considering the abject population collapse - and massive DE-industralization!! - of China, it will take YEARS for Apple to relocate it's entire supply chain. (To N. America?) E.g. Apple will be lucky to bring out a new iPhone every other year - even that being overly optimistic.
2) Barring an outright armed conflict between S. Korea and Japan (very unlikely) Google's supply chain should be just fine, mostly unaffected by the coming Chinese de-urbanization and de-industrialization. (... which China will be forced to endure in order to feed the *** 800 million Chinese ***, which is what will be left in that country, by 2035.)
When will this purported Chinese population collapse and total de-industrialization begin?? ... You are in it!
(It is well worth to pay attention to it because it will (continue to) be spectacular!!)
Simultaneously, the technical picture is also very favorable for the upside, in this spread.
APPLE STOCK MID TERM ANALYSISGoing short on Apple here. By far the most overvalued company in the stock market right now, with a 2T market cap.
Below I will mention multiple indicators suggesting Apple will go through a big correction in the upcoming months:
1) Apple's P/E ratio is 22.57 (Stock is approximately priced in 22x it's actual worth)
2) Chart looks very bearish, with the broken trend line going for a retest here at around $137-140.
3) Along with Microsoft, it's the only tech giant that hasn't corrected 50+% over the last 12 months.
4) Earnings come out on the 25th of January, and the overall economic outlook suggests things could be slowing down for $APPL
5) LAST BUT NOT LEAST, APPLE IS A COMPANY THAT HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY RELIANT ON CHINA/TAIWAN, AND ANY WAR OR ESCALATION THAT COULD BREAK OUT BETWEEN THE TWO NATIONS WILL BE DEVASTATING FOR APPLE,
Is Apple about to be 'bitten'?Apple is one of the companies whose stock price is overvalued, and the company is facing several severe issues:
1. Big tech layoffs. If US tech is doing quite poorly and companies are laying off people, they probably won't buy new equipment or software. The fired tech workers probably won't be buying stuff for themselves either, and neither will those that see their colleagues fired.
2. Apple's production in China faces significant problems due to lockdowns or because the 'employees' are revolting. These disruptions hurt the reliability of Apple, as well as its image. Unfortunately, many employees are working and living in awful conditions, which is being exposed. Many ESG funds that hold Apple could end up having to dump their shares based on these concerns.
3. Some US politicians are increasingly worried about the connections between Apple and the CCP. With Apple 'threatening' to remove Twitter from its Appstore while supporting the CCP in an era where tensions between US and China aren't great, we could see Apple face more pressure to move away from China. That could increase their costs significantly while also disrupting production even further.
4. As retail consumers are affected by inflation and high-interest rates, they will spend less on buying new stuff, and many devices/apps aren't necessary. At the same time, Apple has been raising its prices due to increased costs (of production), which might further incentivize customers not to purchase their products/services. As if these weren't enough, some of its new products aren't that much of an upgrade to the previous versions.
5. As the world is moving closer toward open source and open technologies/marketplaces, the 30% tax on the Apple app store looks worse and worse by the day. Based on the above, the free market and politicians in the US might try to break Apple's monopoly, which could initially lower its revenue.
6. Current Apple valuation is 3.4x that of the entire crypto market (stablecoins excluded). This is just too large.
AAPL is trading below all its major moving averages, has broken its old uptrend, and has plenty of room to move down toward that major gap at 96$. Most major US companies have fallen more than 30% and have filled many significant gaps, yet Apple has not. Therefore it is possible to see the stock price go down to those levels in the next few months.
Twitter-Apple feud all in Elon’s headTwitter owner and Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk told a Twitter Spaces conversation on Dec. 3 that Apple has fully resumed advertising on the social media platform.
Musk noted that the iPhone and Mac manufacturer is Twitter's largest advertiser. Its return to full advertising on the platform follows a meeting between Musk and Apple CEO Tim Cook, wherein they "resolved the misunderstanding," which could have escalated tensions between the companies to the point where Apple would remove Twitter from its App Store.
Near the end of November, Musk tweeted that Apple has "mostly stopped advertising on Twitter" with a question whether the company hates "free speech in America." Musk also claimed that Apple threatened to remove Twitter from its App Store without an explanation, following it with a Twitter poll asking if Apple should "publish all censorship actions it has taken that affect its customers."
Following his meeting with Cook, Musk said his counterpart was "clear" that Apple never considered removing his company from the App Store.
Twitter's advertising problems beyond Apple
Even before the tensions with Apple, Twitter has been faced with other companies pulling out or reducing ad spending on the platform, particularly following Musk's takeover of the social media company in late October.
Musk's plans to revise Twitter's system of handing out blue check marks for verified account through an $8 monthly payment did not sit well with many companies after initial rollout resulted in a number of impersonation incidents that affected brands on the site. There were also worries regarding the new owner's approach to content moderation and account suspensions, among other issues.
Musk has since paused the verification program, with plans to revive it once concerns with imposters have been resolved. The next phase of the verification system is expected to include color-coded check marks that will distinguish the verified accounts for companies and government officials from those for individuals.
Roughly 90% of Twitter's revenue is generated through advertisements. With big brands including General Motors, General Mills, Mondelez, Volkswagen AG's Audi and Pfizer Inc. deciding to pause their ad spending in recent weeks, it is no wonder Twitter is scrambling to avoid further retreat from happening.
In an effort to retain advertisers, Twitter has ramped up its incentives offering to the point where it will match an at least $500,000 spending increase commitment with a "100% value add", up to a $1 million cap, various media reported, citing an email from the company. It is being pegged as the "biggest advertiser incentive ever" on the social media platform and is valid for advertising that runs before the end of 2022, according to people familiar with the matter.
To alleviate some concerns, Musk had also been reassuring advertisers both publicly and privately that Twitter will remain a safe space for brands. He also encouraged companies to publicly air their concerns about the site by tweeting at him.
Inv Cup and handle for Apply to $100Inverse Cup and Handle has formed on Daily with Apple.
The price has broken below the brim level
The moving averages are all bearish 200 <21 <7 -
The first target is $100
CONCERNS
There are bullish signs with global stocks, which might cause a fake out.
We can also see a weak break below the brim level, which could make this analysis wrong.