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APPLOVIN’S Q4 2024—$APP BLASTS OFF WITH AI-AD SURGEAPPLOVIN’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:APP BLASTS OFF WITH AI-AD SURGE (1/9) Good evening, Tradingview! AppLovin’s Q4 2024 earnings hit—$1.37B revenue, up 44% YoY, crushing $1.26B estimates 📈🔥. AI-powered AXON drives a 37% stock pop. Let’s unpack NASDAQ:APP ’s monster quarter! 🚀 (2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS • Q4 Revenue: $1.37B, +44% YoY ($953.3M Q4 ‘23) 💥 • Ad Revenue: $999.5M, +73% YoY • Apps Revenue: $373.3M, -1% YoY 📊 • EPS: $1.73, beats $1.24 est. • Net Income: $599.2M, +248% YoY (3/9) – BIG MOVES • Stock Surge: +37% post-earnings (Feb 13) 🌍 • Buybacks: $2.1B retired 25.7M shares in ‘24 🚗 • Debt Play: $3.55B notes issued Nov ‘24 💸 • Q1 ‘25 Guide: $1.355-1.385B, tops $1.32B est. (4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN • Market Cap: $175B (Feb 13) 🌟 • Trailing P/E: 116 vs. TTD (50), META (33) • Growth: 44% YoY beats TTD (26%), META (19%) • 1Y Stock: +1,000%, 2Y: +3,000% Premium price, growth screams value! (5/9) – RISKS TO FLAG • Valuation: 116 P/E—high stakes, no misses 📉 • Debt: $3.51B vs. $567.6M cash—leverage looms ⚠️ • AI Rivals: Google, Meta eye AXON’s turf 🏛️ • Regs & Economy: Ad spend cuts lurk (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Growth: 44% revenue, $599M profit soars 🌟 • Margins: 62% EBITDA, $2.1B FCF in ‘24 🔍 • AXON: 73% ad surge—AI’s the champ 🚦 NASDAQ:APP ’s a profit powerhouse! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Apps dip (-1%), $3.51B debt 💸 • Opportunities: E-commerce ads, AI edge, acquisitions 🌍 Can NASDAQ:APP turn risks into riches? (8/9) – NASDAQ:APP ’s Q4 stuns—where’s it headed? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI keeps it soaring. 2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance. 3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation bites back. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY AppLovin’s Q4 dazzles—$1.37B revenue, $599M profit, stock blazing 🌍🪙. High P/E, but AI growth shines. Debt and rivals loom—gem or peak?
NASDAQ:APPLong
by DCAChampion
AppLovin (APP) AnalysisCompany Overview: AppLovin NASDAQ:APP is a mobile marketing leader, providing developers with tools for user acquisition, ad optimization, and analytics. The company also benefits from its owned apps, such as Monopoly GO!, which contribute 30% of its revenue. Key Catalysts: AI-Driven Revenue Expansion 🤖 AI plays a pivotal role in AppLovin’s success, driving 80% of its revenue growth. This AI advantage helps optimize user engagement and ad targeting, boosting overall platform efficiency. Mobile Gaming Growth 🎮 The mobile gaming industry is projected to grow at an 8% annual rate through 2027, positioning AppLovin to benefit as a key player in game monetization and marketing solutions. E-Commerce Ad Expansion 🛒 AppLovin’s new e-commerce ad pilot could generate FWB:30M -$50M in Q4 2024, with a self-service platform launch in mid-2025 targeting the $200B+ global e-commerce ad market. Analyst Confidence 📊 Oppenheimer has reiterated its Outperform rating, with a $480 price target, citing AppLovin’s earnings potential, robust ad revenue streams, and growing monetization avenues. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on APP above the $380.00-$400.00 range, supported by AI adoption, ad growth, and entry into e-commerce advertising. Upside Potential: Our price target is $650.00-$670.00, reflecting AppLovin’s potential to expand its revenue base across multiple high-growth sectors. 📢 AppLovin—Driving Innovation in Mobile Advertising and Game Monetization. #AppMarketing #AI #MobileGaming
NASDAQ:APPLong
by Richtv_official
From Market Underdog to Tech Titan| AppLovin’s Explosive Growth AppLovin: Making Ads Great Again, One Algorithm at a Time AppLovin Corp, a prominent software company valued at $57 billion, offers an advanced mobile marketing platform. Over the past year, its stock price has surged by an impressive 500%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 39% increase. The company’s financial growth is equally remarkable, with a year over year revenue boost of 40%, a 188% jump in operating profits, and a 300% surge in net income in its latest quarterly report With 40% of the company held by insiders and a shareholder friendly stance that includes share buybacks, AppLovin presents a compelling investment opportunity. Additionally, its valuation remains competitive relative to other software companies, supporting my "buy" rating. From Ad Nerds to Tech Lords, AppLovin’s Secret to Winning Over Wall Street AppLovin operates a comprehensive software platform that helps clients achieve crucial KPIs, such as revenue growth and business expansion. Leveraging AI, its software platform stands out as a powerful tool for advertisers, providing capabilities like automated marketing, customer engagement, and monetization. It’s built to optimize targeted content delivery to the most suitable audience, supported by analytics and monetization features that drive maximum value. At the core of AppLovin’s technology is AXON, an AI engine that powers AppDiscovery. This feature matches advertiser demand with publishing opportunities through a sophisticated real-time auction algorithm, shifting from traditional waterfall systems to an intelligent, programmatic approach. AppLovin has positioned itself as a leader in the future of advertising, driven by its cutting-edge AI capabilities. I believe there’s immense growth potential here that the company is just beginning to explore. Performance In the third quarter, AppLovin reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase, moving from $864 million to $1.2 billion. This marks its highest-ever quarterly revenue and extends its streak of sequential topline gains to seven quarters. For the first nine months of 2024, AppLovin saw a 43% year-to-date revenue increase, largely fueled by a 76% rise in software platform revenue. This growth was driven by AppDiscovery, whose installations surged by 39% in Q3, underscoring its strong appeal to advertisers. Beyond software platform growth, AppLovin’s in-app purchases and advertising revenues also increased modestly by 3% and 7%, respectively, despite challenging comparisons, supported by a 53% boost in advertising impressions. The company achieved record operating cash flows of over $550 million in Q3, alongside significant margin improvements across gross, operating, and EBITDA levels. These gains highlight the company’s explosive growth and underscore the stock’s 500% rise over the past year. Given AppLovin’s strategic success and positive advertiser response, I anticipate ongoing improvements in cash flow and profit margins. With over $3.3 billion spent on share buybacks since 2022—$980 million in 2024 alone—the company continues to reward its shareholders while capitalizing on its profitable AI-driven platform. Valuation Although APP’s trailing P/E ratio of 74.52 and PS ratio of 19.33 might appear high compared to the IT sector averages, a comparison with peers in the Application Software industry reveals a different perspective. In a peer group of large software companies, APP ranks third in EV/Sales ratio at 18.65 but also boasts a forward topline growth rate of over 24.1%, placing it among the top performers. This high growth potential appears to justify the stock’s premium, positioning it attractively in terms of PS ratio relative to anticipated growth. Despite recent heavy buying, APP remains an appealing value investment. As long as it maintains its relative positioning, I continue to view the stock favorably. Risks Despite my optimism, I recognize that AppLovin’s momentum could be part of a broader AI-driven market surge, raising concerns about a potential AI bubble. If the market faces a downturn similar to the dot-com bubble, APP could experience a sharper decline than its peers, especially given its relatively weak balance sheet. Additionally, with an RSI of 96 signaling heavy overbuying, there may be potential for a future correction. While APP’s 500% rise is impressive, it could be vulnerable if the market undergoes a broader correction Conclusion Advertising is on the cusp of an AI driven transformation, and AppLovin is well-positioned to capitalize on this shift with its powerful AI-enabled platform. Despite the stock’s impressive 12-month performance, there’s still significant growth potential
NASDAQ:APPLong
by moonypto
2
Revisiting The 2021 Stock Picker Bull MarketThe charts of companies like Applovin, Carvana, and Twilio are all companies that, at one point, were high flyers during the 2020/21 bull market. However, they are also poster child's for its subsequent collapse. But then again, pay close attention to the charts that I've shared here... something is brewing. Applovin: A Sudden Vertical Surge Starting with Applovin (far left panel), the stock has gone vertical recently and what's most fascinating about that is the simple fact that the naysayers who were saying it was a bubble have been blown out. Not only has it reclaimed its prior all-time highs, but now it's also soaring to new heights as one of the year's best performers. Carvana: Rising from the Ashes? In the middle chart, Carvana’s chart is equally jaw-dropping. Once the poster child for pandemic-era excesses, Carvana’s bubble famously popped in 2022. The steep decline appeared terminal for the company’s stock price. Yet here we are, with Carvana now climbing back a significant chunk of its losses. In my view, this rebound reflects an emerging trend: the market’s willingness to forgive past excesses. Twilio: From Bust to “Interesting” Finally, Twilio’s chart (far right panel) shows a similar recovery story. After its epic collapse in 2022, Twilio found itself trading in the bargain bin. Now, the stock is seeing renewed interest. While the rise isn’t as steep as Applovin’s or Carvana’s, the pattern of recovery is unmistakable and it's why I am writing this post: is something brewing? Are these companies for real? Can they print money for investors, emerge into new sectors, build new products, and expand? It seems that the builders are clearly emerging. I write all of this to say the following – I believe there are a basket of stocks that are falling into this category and as we had into 2025, you should have your watchlist ready. I will soon be publishing my extensive watchlist on this subject. Stay tuned!
NYSE:CVNA
by scheplick
1