Get started

APT

APTUSDT Next target?? APTUSDT is currently testing a key resistance level. A breakout here could signal a significant upward movement, potentially doubling investment in the near future. Always keep Stop loss!! APTUSDT (1D Chart) Technical analysis APTUSDT (1D Chart) Currently trading at $7.3 Buy level: Above $7.5 Stop loss: Below $6 TP1: $9 TP2: $11 TP3: $13 TP4: $15 Max Leverage 3x Follow Our Tradingview Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
10/9 Good news and bad news...Overview: Which would you prefer to hear first? Let’s start with the good news: the AMEX:SPY has updated its all-time high. If you have a 401k or any other pension fund, you’re likely seeing gains. Also, it's hard to argue that a recession is looming when the stock market is booming. Now for the bad news: crypto is down. Normally, this wouldn’t be alarming, as all markets fluctuate. But it's concerning when we see a divergence between the stock market and crypto. Even riskier tech stocks, like those in the NASDAQ:QQQ index, climbed 0.79%. If traders are eager to buy equities, why not crypto, or at least BINANCE:BTCUSD ? Tomorrow, all eyes will be on Jerome Powell as he delivers the CPI and Core CPI data along with initial jobless claims. Given that recent job reports nearly doubled expectations, we predict fewer jobless claims. The question is: will positive macroeconomic data help? On one hand, it means people have money to spend, which could benefit crypto. On the other hand, it could reduce the chances of aggressive rate cuts, keeping liquidity constrained, and preventing speculative assets from soaring. BlackRock continues dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin but hasn’t touched its ETH ETF. When did ETH become so hated? CME fedwatch tool shows an increase in the probability of no rate cut in November, up to 17.2%, while the chances of a one-base-point cut sit at 82.2%. BTC TA: W: BTC needs to close above $61.4k to keep bulls in the game. Unfortunately, after today's drop, BTC fell below this crucial level, breaking the bullish structure it had been building since September 7th. Another important level is $62.7k, the point of control for the entire 2024 bull run, which was rejected yesterday. This week is shaping up to print another red candle, following the previous week. D: While the weekly levels are invalidated, the daily levels still offer hope. BTC bounced from the $60.6k support level, and we haven’t seen four consecutive red days since August. If tomorrow's CPI data hints at a bullish sentiment, we might see a small rally back to $62.1k. 4h: Price is currently closer to the lowest Bollinger Band, indicating it needs to catch up with its moving average. 1h: BTC has reached the Bollinger Bands' moving average, but for a stronger recovery, it needs to break beyond this level on the 4h chart to confirm a bounce. Alts Relative to BTC: TAO, SUI, and APT have reached higher highs, but with lower volumes, suggesting that the bullish trend is losing steam. These gains were likely driven by retail investors, FOMOing into the rally. Meanwhile, FTM is showing bearish MACD divergence on the 4-hour chart and was rejected at its weekly resistance of $0.69. Bull Case: At $60k, BTC is relatively cheap, considering how much adoption and recognition crypto has gained in 2024. Since we didn’t experience a massive sell-off in September and have held up into October, this might be your last chance to buy BTC at a sub-$100k price. Additionally, we’re in the Fear territory on the Fear and Greed Index, which historically offers an 83% chance of profitability if bought during this phase. Bear Case: From a technical perspective, things look bearish. Many key support levels have been invalidated, and the likelihood of the Fed not cutting rates in November continues to rise. Fear and Greed Index: 37 (Fear). Prediction: BTC may rebound to $62.1k before resuming its decline. Expect TAO, SUI, and APT to follow BTC's movements, with a potential drop back to pre-BTC ETF levels, which could see declines of 55-60%. Opportunities: Short TAO, SUI, APT, FTM.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EvgenCapital
APT macro analysis ⏰ <•> DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH 🔎 $11.6 is key 🗝️ resistance 📌 )-( we should have clean break and week close above 📌 + It helps price to complete ✅ 🎯 $18 🎯 $27 🎯 $37 I Already accumulated 60% bag 💰 average price of $5.8 Still I don't think 🤔 u ar later )-( just go in plan )-( use 60% liquid 💰 if risk use 70% Back-up plan set-up 📐 losing yellow 🟡 support 📌 green 💚 flash dump 🩸 $2-3 👀 Best price to average ur liquid 💰 ( #imo max not possible ) Long run expecting target's 🎯 $45 & $85 may be even more target's 🎯 But this just 4-6 month's plan after hitting target's 🎯 i provided new plan 📌 Caution 🚨 if backup plan got executed when u reach 1x ( +100% ) just get back ur liquid 💰 Stay safe 💞 stay blessed
Long
by raj5_7_5
Alikze »» APT | Forming a head and shoulders pattern - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Forming a head and shoulders pattern - It is moving in an ascending channel in the daily time frame. - After the touch neck line and also the failure of swing and poleback to it, it has continued its growth up to the ceiling of the channel. - Currently, an AB=CD pattern is formed. - In addition, a head and shoulder pattern is also observed in the daily and weekly time frames. - Therefore, it can have another growth in the middle of the channel after a temporary correction, up to the area of ​​the width and roof of the channel. 💎In addition, it can continue its growth until the next supply zone after the failure of the supply zone and pullback to it. 🚨 Note: The support area of ​​6.25 is the validity area of ​​the analysis, if the candlestick stabilizes below the area, the bullish pattern will be invalidated. 🚨 »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:APTUSDT
Long
by alikze
APT - The signal is crystal clear.#APT/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + APT has clearly bounced from the support zone, and we are now seeing a defined trend. + The price is moving towards the next resistance around $18. + This presents a clear opportunity to capitalize on the trend and maximize profits. --------------------------------------------------------------- VectorAlgo Trade Details ------------------------------ Entry Price: 9.13 Stop Loss: 6.43 ------------------------------ Target 1: 10.84 Target 2: 12.96 Target 3: 15.23 Target 4: 18.57 Target 5: 26.78 ------------------------------ Timeframe:1W Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount Leverage: 5-10x --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
Long
by VectorAlgo
APT Long Spot Position (Inverse Head and Shoulders Breakout)Market Context: APT is breaking out from an inverse head and shoulders pattern, holding the 200 EMA as support while flipping previous resistance. The key resistance level to clear is $9.8, which could trigger rapid price expansion. Trade Setup: Entry: Dollar-cost average (DCA) between $8 and $6.8. Take Profit: First target: $9.8 Second target: $12 Third target: $14 Stop Loss: Daily close under $6. This setup looks solid for a breakout continuation if resistance is cleared. #APT #Crypto
Long
by Richtv_official
9/24 Markets on Edge: Is the Bull Run Here to Stay?Overview: It might seem like the markets have been rallying for the last four trading days, following the recent interest rate cut. The AMEX:SPY formed a bullish spinning top candlestick pattern on Friday and Monday, followed by another green candle on Tuesday. We remain in a bullish trend with no clear signs of reversal. However, it's worth noting that we still haven’t reached a new all-time high and haven't posted a solid green candle engulfing previous ones. The AMEX:SPY hasn’t even surpassed the highest trading price recorded last Thursday. Essentially, we're hovering at the market's peak, deciding whether to kick off a new bull cycle or face a potential downturn. NASDAQ:QQQ also closed positively, but the candlestick pattern is similar to SPY. On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve reported the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index, which tracks housing price increases in 20 major U.S. cities. While housing is still appreciating, it’s doing so at a slightly slower pace than anticipated. In July, it rose by 5.9% year-over-year, compared to an expected 6% and the previous reading of 6.5%. The primary driver of home prices is borrowing costs, particularly reflected in mortgage rates. Typically, a 1% increase or decrease in mortgage rates correlates with a 10% change in property values. As interest rates decrease, so do mortgage rates, influencing home prices. Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates dropped from 7.22% in May to 6% in mid-September, translating to a 12.2% increase in housing prices. Therefore, the Case-Shiller Index could see a significant rise, especially if the Fed cuts rates twice more by year-end. The Consumer Confidence Index, distinct from the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, also dropped to 98.7 in September, nearing the bottom of its narrow range over the past two years. This is the steepest decline since August 2021, with all five components of the index deteriorating. Consumers’ views on current business conditions and the labor market have turned negative. Additionally, expectations for future labor market conditions, business conditions, and income have all worsened. While this drop is significant, it’s not as severe as during the Dotcom Bubble or the Subprime Mortgage Crisis. Fidelity and Bitwise are slowly dipping their toes into the BTC ETF market, while Grayscale and BlackRock remain on the sidelines. The ETH ETF remains untouched. It’s possible that the recent surge in buying is driven by retail investors. We might need to reconsider the importance of ETF metrics, as they’ve become just another market participant without any apparent insider knowledge. For instance, BlackRock made its largest BTC ETF purchase between February 27th and March 14th when BTC's price ranged from $51K to $73K. On March 12th, they purchased $849 million worth of BTC at a closing price of $71.4K, leaving them in a loss since then. Weekly : This week’s BINANCE:BTCUSD candle is above the Bollinger Band moving average, but it’s still intersecting the $64 k weekly level. If this price holds, it could signal a major bullish trend. For now, it’s still leaning bearish. Daily : Tuesday’s price action pushed us above the weekly $64 k level. The daily candle appears stronger compared to the previous four spinning tops. RSI is approaching overbought territory but hasn’t crossed the 70 mark, and there are no MACD divergences. 4-Hour : The bearish MACD divergence persists, now visible in RSI as well. Three consecutive candles are holding above $64K. Lower timeframes will reveal how many attempts were made to break this level and if previous resistance has turned into support. The price is at the top of the Bollinger Bands. 1-Hour ): On Tuesday, September 24th, at 10 AM, there was a decisive candle indicating an unsuccessful attempt by American bears to break the $62.9K level. The VR VP point of control is precisely at this level, with significant bullish buy orders absorbing the selling pressure. Volume nearly doubled to 1.1 million on Coinbase, compared to an average of 278k. Subsequent candles showed higher volume and a higher low. Once the selling pressure was absorbed, the price began to rise and broke the resistance level. Since the breakout, the price has tested the old resistance level three times but successfully rebounded, closing higher above the Bollinger Band moving average. This breakout was confirmed by a CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) bullish divergence, available on TradingView. It shows the difference between buying and selling pressure in the market, especially on the 1-hour timeframe. During the 10, 11, and 12 AM candles, a higher low was formed compared to the previous price low, but the CVD indicated a lower low. This suggests that even with immense selling pressure, buy orders were absorbing the sell orders, pushing the price higher. Alts Relative to BTC: While major market indices and BTC might appear flat and indecisive, altcoins are experiencing explosive growth. Since the rate cut, the following alts have surged: TAO: +70% SUI: +50% APT: +37% NEAR: +30% RNDR: +30% Alts had ample room for growth as many collapsed faster than BTC. In early September, SUI and NEAR reached their "BTC ETF approval" price levels from January 10th, while APT hit its 2023 bottom price. It still has another 9% to go before reaching its BTC ETF price. Bull Case: BTC holds $64 k, all selling pressure is absorbed, and liquidity floods the market, especially after China joined the rate-cutting spree, reducing their rate from 2.3% to 2.0%. Bear Case: It could all be one big bull trap, with deeper economic issues globally leaving people with less disposable income to gamble on speculative assets. Fear and Greed Index: 52.83. Increasing but still in the neutral zone. There's a notable divergence: check the Fear and Greed Index chart on CoinMarketCap. The last two lows were on August 5th and September 6th, yet BTC posted a higher second low, indicating irrational fear in the market. Keep an eye on this divergence for future reference.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
9/23 Crypto Faces Gloomy October.Overview: The AMEX:SPY closed higher last week, but Thursday’s candlestick pattern resembles a bearish abandoned baby. What’s more concerning is the weekly chart showing a bearish MACD divergence—while the price keeps hitting all-time highs, both the MACD and signal lines are trending lower. Has this divergence played out already, as seen in the first week of August, or is it still ahead of us? You may have noticed that we only have two more rate cuts left for the year. Why not three, with three months remaining? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets only eight times a year. There’s no meeting in October to give time for economic analysis and to avoid overreacting to short-term fluctuations. Conveniently (for bears), September and October are typically weak months for markets. Remember, FTX collapsed in November 2022, bottoming out the crypto market in November-December. The next FOMC rate cut is expected on November 7th, leaving BINANCE:BTCUSD bulls on their own for the next 44 days. However, this cut is not guaranteed. If inflation remains high or increases, the cut could be postponed. Rate cuts are a quantitative easing tool used to support a slowing economy—not one that’s running at full speed. This Friday, the FED will release the PCE index, which could influence their decision. The CME FedWatch Tool currently shows a 55.2% chance of a one-basis-point cut and a 44.8% chance of a two-basis-point cut. In recent letters, we suggested a price increase in late September. Now might be the time to take some profits and wait to see if we can break resistance and establish a new bull trend, or if this is the peak before a downturn. Weekly: BTC closed the week with a strong green candle, slightly above the Bollinger Band Moving Average (BB MA) but still below the highs of late August. The trend remains bearish. Daily: We’re overdue for a correction back to the BB MA, with targets at $61.4k and $60k. The price is hovering around the major resistance level of GETTEX:64K , which is also a key monthly level. The last three days have formed three consecutive dojis, indicating market indecision after 15 days of bullish momentum. Breaking this resistance without first testing the $61.4k support is unlikely. 4-Hour: Weekend price action shows BTC reaching its peak between Thursday and Friday night, pulling back by 2.6% before U.S. bulls prevented further losses. Despite pushing higher on Sunday, Asian bears applied pressure again. Bearish divergence between the price peaks and the MACD-signal line suggests a potential downturn. 1-Hour: At 10:00 a.m. NYC time, BTC posted a big green candle, supported by strong U.S. buying. However, since Monday midnight, the price has been dropping, while the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) line remains green and positive. This indicates that despite strong buying pressure, hidden sell orders are absorbing the demand, suggesting: Absorption by Sellers: Large sell orders are preventing the price from moving up. Distribution Phase: Larger market participants may be offloading positions while smaller traders buy, creating an illusion of demand. Potential Reversal: This could signal a potential reversal if the selling pressure eases. Altcoins Relative to BTC: ETH has outperformed BTC, along with NEAR, TAO, APT, AR, RNDR, and AAVE. SUI, BNB, and FTM showed weaker pumps, while SOL appeared the weakest. Bull Case: If the Fed’s two-basis-point cut doesn’t lead to higher inflation and jobless claims continue to rise, it could boost speculative assets. Other central banks around the world may follow suit, increasing global M2 money supply. Bear Case: Until the next Fed rate cut, there’s little to support BTC’s current price against bearish pressure. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 50.64—neutral sentiment. Overall, the market remains in a delicate balance, while weekly trend is still bearish.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
9/21 SP500 Retraces from ATH; Crypto Market Faces Weekend RisksOverview: The VANTAGE:SP500 closed slightly lower yesterday, printing a red candle after reaching an all-time high. The NASDAQ:QQQ didn’t show much divergence and failed to close above its August 22nd high. ETF flows indicate another day of retail investors buying BINANCE:BTCUSDT , while BlackRock remained inactive. No buying of ETH ETFs either. Weekly: Bitcoin’s price didn’t move much and stayed in the same range on the chart. It continues to hover around the GETTEX:64K weekly resistance level, but so far, has been unable to break above it. Interestingly, this price rejection at GETTEX:64K mirrors a similar pattern observed on August 25th. Unlike the previous rejection where wicks extended above the resistance, this current attempt hasn't even breached the level. With a solid green week behind us, there’s a high probability of a Sunday sell-off as traders might take profits ahead of the weekend. Daily: The daily chart shows a clear rejection from the GETTEX:64K resistance level. If this marks the local top, it will be a lower high compared to August 25th, indicating potential weakness in the bullish trend. The weekend could see some selling pressure as traders lock in gains. 4-Hour: RSI has been in the overbought zone and is now cooling off, but no MACD divergences are indicating a trend reversal at this point. The trend remains upward, but caution is advised. 1-Hour: No visible divergences in either RSI or MACD, suggesting no immediate signs of a trend reversal. Altcoins Relative to BTC: No significant divergences were observed in the altcoin market relative to BTC. However, some coins are showing strong performances, like SUI and APT. Bear case: We've reached a peek, and from now its bear territory. Fear and greed index : 49.76 and started to flatten out the curve. Prediction : Sell off on weekend. Opportunities: TAO broke out of its resistance level. Correction down to $361 level is expected.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
9/12 Market Momentum Continues, But Is Bitcoin About to Peak?Overview: Another positive day, courtesy of Lord Jerome Powell. Initial jobless claims aren’t exceptionally low, but not alarmingly high either. Year-over-year, the Producer Price Index came in lower than expected—1.7% versus 2.2%. Overall, this week’s data indicates a cooling economy, exactly what the Federal Reserve has been aiming for. The equities market responded positively, posting its fourth consecutive green candle. ETFs are buying BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin again, but after closer inspection, it's mostly Fidelity doing the buying. Meanwhile, Blackrock and Grayscale remain on the sidelines—bearish. Oh, and no one’s buying Ethereum. W: Bitcoin is still trading within its old range. This week will likely close green, not far from today’s price. D: For the fifth day in a row, Bitcoin is testing the weekly level of $58.2K–$58.4K. It's also nearing the Bollinger Bands' Moving Average. This could either mark the start of a new bull run or be the highest BTC will reach for a long time. Pick your side before next week’s expected volatility or wait to avoid the turbulence of potential interest rate cuts. 4h: Breakout attempts are becoming clearer, and the price is now above the Bollinger Bands' Moving Average, signaling a possible continuation of the bullish trend. 1h: MACD shows a bearish divergence. Bearish. Alts relative to BTC: No significant divergences. Bull case: The macroeconomic situation has improved, and there are no significant reasons for large sell-offs. Whales are sitting on their investments and aren’t selling, reducing downward pressure. Bear case: The general public remains skeptical about crypto, and retail purchasing power is weak. Most retail investors have already been burned during the recent months of market chop, limiting new liquidity. Fear and Greed Index: 33.3. Where’s the enthusiasm? This isn’t how a bullish wave begins. Bearish. Prediction: Bitcoin could continue trading within its current range for another week. Opportunities at W and 4h divergences of major alts: BINANCE:APTUSDT is trading at levels last seen in October 2023 and is 44% lower than its BTC ETF price. In the short term, it’s unpredictable, but we believe it’s a good candidate to start Dollar Cost Averaging now.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Aug 29Overview: The FRED:SP500 experienced another day of indecisiveness. However, for the first time during this established range, it closed in red for two consecutive days. NASDAQ:QQQ followed a similar pattern. Both indices showed higher volume than the previous day, confirming the downtrend. Buckle up for the opening price on September 3rd (Monday is Labor Day in the US). GDP growth came in strong at 3%. Does this seem like a shrinking economy? Could there be a recession if the Fed doesn’t pour gasoline on this fire? It’s starting to look like 2 rate cuts instead of 4 by the end of the year. BTC ETF has been selling for three consecutive days—on the 27th, 28th, and 29th. On the 27th, we saw a big red candle, but the market was able to absorb all that selling pressure without dropping lower. However, it's a bearish sign that even at the relatively low price point of $60k, the ETF crowd doesn't seem confident in COINBASE:BTCUSD ETH ETF trading was halted, with no buying or selling activity. Are they bracing for a big move, or is this the bottom? W: Old range, nothing new. Bearish. D: On Thursday, bulls tried to push it higher and correct the crash that occurred on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. However, we are holding the range support, and the recent dip resulted in higher lows and higher highs. Mildly bullish. 4h: Sitting at the point of control line (from volume profile). It wants to break above the BB MA for the second time this week. Mildly bullish. 1h: Broke above BB MA, with an upper target of $60.05k. Bullish. Alts relative to BTC: For many ALTs ( COINBASE:SOLUSD , COINBASE:NEARUSD , BINANCE:ARUSD , COINBASE:RNDRUSD ), Thursday was a red day, creating a divergence with BTC. This is bearish for the overall crypto market. If we have three days of the market going down, and on the fourth, BTC is recovering, we want ALTs to recover with it, not continue the sell-off. Bull case: We are holding our levels strongly, and more accumulation is happening at this level. The Cumulative Volume Data (CVD) indicator suggests that even with more aggressive sellers present, the price is still able to rise, meaning some market participants are buying up those sell orders. Bear case: Same as yesterday—the bulls are weak, and the price continues to revisit the support level until it’s broken. Fear and greed index: 46.45. No change. Prediction: Short-term zigzag, long-term bearish. Opportunities, at W, 4h divergences of major alts: With BTC not knowing where to go, any ALTs technical analysis will be useless. Just like our previous prediction of COINBASE:APTUSD correction due to the MACD divergence and head-and-shoulders pattern didn’t play out, and it still bounces off the weekly resistance level.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
#APT/USDT#APT The price is moving within a descending channel pattern on the 4-hour frame and is expected to break upwards after it has adhered to it to a large extent We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is expected to break upwards and we have a trend to stabilize above it We have a major support level in green at a price of 4.86 We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 which supports the rise Entry price 4.80 First target 5.68 Second target 6.28 Third target 7.10
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
3
Aug 23Overview: Wow, what a 24 hours it has been. At one point, BINANCE:SUIUSD was up 21.6%. Yesterday, we mentioned that "some long positions can be taken with a properly tight SL" once a new trading range was established. On August 21st, we wrote, " BINANCE:ARUSD , BINANCE:APTUSD , BINANCE:TAOUSD showed better price action in the last couple of days. They will likely continue trading higher next week, as BTC stays within its range." But let's break it down step by step. VANTAGE:SP500 posted a green candle, closing the week on a positive note. However, that candle was within the shadow of yesterday’s red candle, making it neutral rather than bullish. Additionally, Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole wasn't particularly dovish. It was seen as a signal that the Federal Reserve is prepared to maintain a restrictive stance on monetary policy to ensure inflation is brought under control, even if that means keeping interest rates higher for longer than the markets might prefer. BTC saw a massive $252 million in ETF flows from tradfi investors. And what did early Grayscale Trust adopters do? They sold $35.6 million worth of it. We’re left wondering how much of that $35.6 million was clients simply converting expensive GBTC into cheaper BTC fund, or if they sold for good. Unfortunately, even on-chain analytics won’t reveal that. ETH ETF? No chance... Tradfi investors don’t seem to grasp smart contracts. They sold $5.7 million worth, even during a significant BTC rally. Whales and other professional market actors are well aware that September is historically volatile and often brutal. Will they start selling and closing their positions in the last week of August, or will they wait until the first or second week of September, right before the expected interest rate cut? The big question is, do you want your portfolio to end up in a meat grinder? W: Yesterday’s BINANCE:BTCUSD wick went higher than the BB MA, but after a pullback, it settled nicely right at the precisely drawn W level of $64k. If bulls can keep it above the $63k level, we can start talking about a new bullish sentiment, but as of now, we are still in a bear market. No divergence. D: The $61.8 level was taken by bulls six times, and on the seventh attempt, they gathered enough strength. BTC rebounded after a crash, forming a nice bullish pennant. However, it has now reached the upper bound of the Bollinger Bands. Definitely not a time to go long—keep an eye on MACD or CVD divergences. 4h: RSI is above 70, but no MACD divergence yet. 1h: No divergences. Alts Relative to BTC: If BTC grew by 6%, BINANCE:APTUSD is up 9%, COINBASE:RNDRUSD is up 10%, BINANCE:NEARUSD is up 12%, and BINANCE:SUIUSD is up 20%. Is SUI gearing up to be 3rd favorite smart contract platform after SOL? Will be looking closely. Some of these started to rally 2-3 days ago. BINANCE:ETHUSD and BINANCE:SOLUSD performance was more underwhelming, posting only 5.4% and 7%, respectively. Are they so beaten up that fewer people want to touch them? Where’s the ETF crowd? Leave your thoughts in the comments. Bull Case: Bulls are able to hold the important W level in anticipation of rate cuts. Reaching that level has already happened; now it’s just a matter of staying there. If Panama, Brazil, and Paraguay announce Bitcoin as legal tender, following in the footsteps of El Salvador and the Central African Republic, this could fuel further bullish sentiment. Bear Case: The trend continues without a reversal. The Fed doesn’t cut rates quickly enough, and corporate earnings reveal weakness in consumer spending. Whales and insiders start selling and shorting in late September, causing the market to drop in October—a month historically tough for crypto (cough, cough... FTX). 2013: After a strong first half, Bitcoin saw a correction in September before resuming its rally towards the end of the year. 2017: Bitcoin experienced a notable dip in September, partly due to regulatory concerns in China. However, this was followed by a rapid recovery and an all-time high in December. 2021: After strong growth earlier in the year, September saw a decline due to regulatory fears and macroeconomic factors, although the market rebounded in Q4. Fear and Greed Index: 55.87. Remember—you only buy in 'Fear' territory, which is below 40. Prediction: We might see some altcoins grow a bit more, but overall, BTC is likely to post a Doji candle next week. Opportunities: On W and 4h charts, we continue to see many major altcoins in the RSI danger zone. Wait for Saturday’s price action and potential divergences to prepare for a Sunday sell-off.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Aug 22Overview: The S&P 500 corrected by 1.17%, as more turbulence is expected in its attempt to break the all-time high (ATH). The chances of a 1.73% rise on Friday are slim, but we still have one more week of a relatively calm August to set some bull traps. Thursday saw a correction for BTC, but it managed to hold the crucial $60.2 level, attempting to break it three times. This establishes a new range of $60.2 to $63.1, where some long positions could be taken with a properly tight stop-loss (SL). Over the last three weeks—specifically on Sunday, the 4th, 11th, and 18th—BTC has closed with red candles, highlighting the strength of the bears, who appear to be preparing for the upcoming week by selling BTC. There's no indication this week will be any different, so consider holding long positions until Sunday, then look into taking profits or even shorting. Weekly (W) : For the fourth week in a row, we’re holding the $58.2 level. Wicks are attempting to push lower, but the bulls remain strong. This still allows some room for a bullish scenario if we can break and hold the $63.1 level. However, with a potentially difficult September ahead, there's little to suggest extreme optimism towards this risky and still relatively alternative asset. No divergence observed. Daily (D): The main event on the daily timeframe is BTC’s escape from the daily range and breaking the Bollinger Bands moving average (BB MA). However, if we consider more recent daily levels, the trading range widens, and BTC has yet to break out of it, with resistance at $61.6. No divergence observed. 4-Hour (4h) : No divergence or signs of a reversal. BTC is approaching its sixth attempt to break the $61.6 resistance. 1-Hour (1h): Showed some weakness in its attempt to break and stay above $61.6, as bears activated and pushed it down. It’s now trading below the BB MA. Alts Relative to BTC: Altcoins have been pumping at twice the rate of BTC. NEAR, SUI, APT, TAO, and FTM are all up by 4-7%. This growth is expected to continue through Friday and into the weekend. Bull Case: Same as yesterday. We believe BTC has found its bottom, and once more liquidity flows into the market, possibly following an interest rate cut, BTC will rally. The combination of the last week of August, followed by a small correction, could lead to further gains. Bear Case: The economy may be in worse shape than anticipated, and even with four interest rate cuts by the end of the year, we could still be in a recession. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 48.45, slightly lower than yesterday’s 49.59. This is surprising, given that BTC has been on the rise for the last three weeks since the crash. Prediction: Expect growth in the last week of August, followed by a slump in the first two weeks of September, and then a downturn. Opportunities: On the weekly (W) and 4-hour (4h) charts, watch for divergences in major alts like BINANCE:NEARUSDT NEAR, BINANCE:APTUSDT APT, BINANCE:ARUSDT AR, $BINANCE:RNDRUSDT RNDR, BINANCE:TAOUSDT TAO, and BINANCE:FTMUSDT FTM. All have RSI above 70. Wait for Friday to see if MACD divergences emerge as this initial push weakens and they approach weekly resistance levels.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital