High Risk Play: ACHR Pullback to 9.50-9.75 Before EarningsCurrently holding 20 puts at 9.50 strike expiring 21-FEB-25.
I'm looking at capturing a decent pullback from 10.35 close on Friday to around 9.50-9.75 before 21-FEB due to retracement levels, strong support and resistant levels, and the two most recent catalysts:
1. Blackrock's entry announced on 11-FEB-25 at the 8.50 level. This was announced before earnings so as to not hamper the massive gains expected to come from the 27-FEB-25 report.
2. There is no announced reason as to why the underlying is rising to 10.35 before earnings. I think this is a pump before a general market pullback.
Overall I'm bullish on ACHR and will aim to enter $10 calls before 21-FEB-25 provided the underlying does what I am praying for :)
Archeraviation
$ACHR ARCHER AVIATION SCORES 300M BOOST BLACKROCK JOINS THE RIDEARCHER AVIATION SCORES $300M BOOST—BLACKROCK JOINS THE RIDE
1/7
🚀 $300M just landed in Archer Aviation’s pocket! Major institutional investors like BlackRock are backing Archer’s quest to dominate the eVTOL game. Ready to see why this funding is a big deal? Let’s go! ⚡️✈️
2/7 – WHAT’S ARCHER BUILDING?
Midnight Aircraft: Designed for short urban flights (~20 miles) with rapid turnarounds.
Targets commercial operations by 2025, battling congestion & pollution. 🌆
Hybrid Approach: Electric + other propulsion to boost range and expedite FAA certification.
3/7 – BLACKROCK’S INVOLVEMENT
Big Vote of Confidence: World’s largest asset manager sees serious potential. 💪
Aligns with green investing—eVTOLs can slash emissions compared to helicopters. ♻️
Could draw more partnerships and capital to Archer’s runway.
4/7 – WHY COMPOSITES & BATTERIES MATTER
Composites: Lighter & stronger materials = extended range & higher efficiency. 🏋️♀️
Batteries: High-energy density is critical for flight duration & payload. 🔋⚡️
Archer’s push here signals they’re tackling the industry’s biggest hurdles head-on.
5/7 – FINANCIAL & STRATEGIC IMPACT
Stronger Balance Sheet: $300M for R&D, testing, manufacturing. 💼
Timing is key: Archer eyes FAA approval soon—this cash could speed up that process. ⏱️
Competing with Joby, Vertical Aerospace, Lilium—the race is on! 🏁
6/7 Are eVTOLs the future of urban travel?
1️⃣ Absolutely—Game-changer for city traffic! 🏙️
2️⃣ Maybe—Need more proof and better tech. 🤔
3️⃣ Nope—I’m still skeptical about costs & safety. ❌
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – INDUSTRY CONTEXT
Market could hit $1.5T by 2040 (Morgan Stanley). 💰
Key markets: US, UAE, Japan, India—Archer is eyeing them all. 🌏
eVTOLs promise faster, greener commutes, but hurdles remain: regulations, infrastructure, battery tech.
Strengths: Archer’s recent $300 million funding, strategic partnerships, and regulatory progress position it well to compete in the eVTOL market. Its focus on composites and batteries aligns with industry needs.
Weaknesses: High R&D costs, limited manufacturing capacity, and lack of commercial revenue highlight financial and operational challenges.
Opportunities: The growing eVTOL market, international expansion, and defense applications offer significant growth potential.
Archer Aviation (ACHR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Archer Aviation NYSE:ACHR is a trailblazer in electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, aiming to transform urban air mobility (UAM) with environmentally friendly, high-tech transportation solutions. Positioned at the intersection of aviation innovation and sustainability, Archer is set to unlock massive market potential.
Key Catalysts for Growth
Urban Air Mobility (UAM) Market Boom:
With the UAM market projected to grow exponentially, Archer’s eVTOL technology positions it as a frontrunner in urban transportation solutions.
Increasing urbanization and the push for decarbonized transport drive demand for advanced air mobility solutions.
Strategic Partnerships:
Stellantis Partnership: Accelerates Archer’s manufacturing scale, leveraging Stellantis’ automotive production expertise to ensure efficient mass production.
Anduril Industries Collaboration: Expansion into hybrid VTOL military aircraft opens a pathway to tap into lucrative defense budgets, creating a diversified revenue stream.
Financial Backing:
Archer’s $430 million equity infusion from blue-chip investors bolsters its balance sheet, enabling sustained investment in R&D and manufacturing expansion.
Regulatory Advancements:
Progress toward FAA certification supports Archer’s goal of launching commercial eVTOL services by 2025, further enhancing market confidence.
Defense Opportunities:
Developing military-grade hybrid aircraft provides entry into a stable and high-margin sector, aligning with national defense priorities for innovation and sustainability.
Market and Financial Outlook
Revenue Potential: As Archer scales production and initiates commercial operations, revenue growth could accelerate rapidly, supported by early-mover advantages and a growing addressable market.
Diversified Portfolio: Balancing urban air mobility and defense projects mitigates risks while enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Investment Thesis
Bullish Case:
Archer is uniquely positioned to benefit from the convergence of urban mobility innovation, sustainability goals, and defense modernization.
Entry Point: We are bullish on ACHR above $8.00-$8.20, reflecting a solid technical setup and strong fundamentals.
Upside Target: Our price target is $17.00-$18.00, underscoring confidence in Archer’s ability to execute on growth opportunities in the UAM and defense sectors.
🌟 ACHR—Pioneering the Future of Sustainable Aerial Transportation. #UrbanAirMobility #Sustainability #DefenseInnovation
ARCHR can bounce of 50SMA Archer aviation is clearly getting support at 50 SMA. Yes it has had a parabolic jump in the last weeks, but the drop after the news on the 500 million USD is contrary. I think people just sold the news. But the same happened to #sofi and I think will happen to this stock as well. The PT for this is over 12 by most analysts so I believe this is a good swing trade.
Archer Aviation ($ACHR) Clears Regulatory HurdleArcher Aviation Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:ACHR ) has achieved a milestone that underscores its commitment to safety and operational excellence. The company announced on February 8, 2024, that it has received its Part 145 certification from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), positioning itself as a frontrunner in the burgeoning electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft industry.
FAA Certification
The granting of Part 145 certification is a testament to Archer's unwavering dedication to meeting the highest standards of safety and compliance. This regulatory approval empowers the company to conduct specialized aircraft repair services, ensuring that its fleet maintains peak performance while adhering to stringent FAA regulations. Such certification is indispensable for commercial aviation operators like Archer, as it authorizes them to perform crucial maintenance tasks on aircraft components, including airframes, essential for ensuring the safety and reliability of their operations.
Adam Goldstein's Confidence
Adam Goldstein, Founder and CEO of Archer, expressed his confidence in the company's vision, stating, "This is a major vote of confidence from the FAA on Archer’s promise and potential for operating a full-scale urban air mobility service in cities across the country." Goldstein emphasized Archer's commitment to working closely with regulatory bodies worldwide to ensure the safety and readiness of its aircraft, heralding a new era of sustainable, low-noise, and cost-competitive urban air travel.
Archer Aviation's Vision
Archer's innovative approach to urban mobility aims to transform the way people commute, offering an alternative to the congested roadways and lengthy travel times associated with traditional transportation methods. With its piloted, four-passenger aircraft, the Midnight, Archer ( NYSE:ACHR ) envisions slashing commute times from 60-90 minutes to a mere 10-20 minutes, providing commuters with a swift and efficient mode of transportation.
The significance of Archer's Part 145 certification extends beyond regulatory compliance; it underscores the company's commitment to fostering trust and reliability within the aviation industry. By adhering to rigorous safety and quality benchmarks, Archer ( NYSE:ACHR ) ensures that maintenance and repair services are performed by authorized experts, bolstering the safety and security of airline operations and passenger travel.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:ACHR is in a Bullish Flag Pattern indicating further Surge or breakout. We can see it consolidating at the $4.59 support and aiming towards a new Resistance level.
Conclusion
Archer's successful attainment of Part 145 certification marks a pivotal moment in the company's journey toward commercialization, setting the stage for the realization of its ambitious urban air mobility vision. As Archer ( NYSE:ACHR ) continues to collaborate with regulatory authorities and advance its technology, the prospect of widespread adoption of electric air taxis inches closer to reality, promising a future where urban travel is not only faster but also more sustainable and accessible than ever before.