Arcs, Circles And Spirals
ANALISA PAIR NZDCAD 23-27 DIS, 2019FUNDIMENTAL:
Bank Of Canada menekal polisi kewangan manakan RBNZ mengamalkan Loose Policy dan tahun 2019 telah Cut Rate sebanyak 2 kali kepada 0.75% berbanding BOC kekal rate pada 1.75%. Secara kasarnya matawang CAD kuat berbanding NZD. Jadi carilah PELUANG SELL NZDCAD.......dimana nak SELL haha teknikal akan bagitau. Jadi gunalah apa sahaja teknikal daipada naaked chart, SND, SNR, trendline, channel, BBMA, FIBO......dsb
TEKNIKAL:
1. BBMA:(MultiTimeFrame)
Mn : ReEntry SELL
Wk : MHV SELL
D1 : MHV SELL
H4 : Extr SELL
H1 : MHV SELL
FIBOCIRCLE:
MN: Reject Level 11
WK: Reject Level 786
D1 : CRS Level 160-235
H4: CRS reject level 11
ENTRY/SL/TP sila rujuk petak BIRU, MERAH dan HIJAU.........
Happy Trading!!!!
ANALISA USDCAD 16-20 DIS, 2019FUNDEMENTAL
FED dan BOC masing-masing dengan IR 1.75%. FED tiga kali Cut Rate 2019 dan BOC kekal IR 1.75% dgn KEKAL Polisi Kewangan (Tight Policy). Pair USDCAD dijangka membuat BEARISH untuk LONG TERM.
TEKNIKAL ANALISA: (BBMAOA)
1. WK1 : CAK SELL
2. D1 : RE SELL (Jumaat Lepas)
3. H4 : MHV BUY
KESIMPULAN:
Cari Peluang SELL USDCAD..............dimana nk ENTRY. Gunakan apa sahaja teknikal yg ADA. Kuatkan Margin Kuatkan MM dan jaga EMOSI. Happy trading....
ANALISA PERGERAKAN USDINDEX BAGI 16-20 DIS, 2019FUNDEMENTAL
USD masih mengekalkan UP trend walaupun tahun 2019 telah memutuskan mengamalkan Loose Policey. FED telah membuat pemotongan IR terakhir kepada <1.75% sehingga hari ini. Minggu lepas FED mengekalkan IR pada kada tersebut. Antara major currency USD dan CAD dijangka akan membuat pengukuhan. Bank of Canada dan Fed masing-masing menumumkan IR semasa pada kadar 1.75%. Bagi tahun 2019 sehingga hari ini BOC belum membuat pemotongan IR berbanding Fed sudah 3 kali pemotongan.
TEKNIKAL ( BBMAOA)
1.WK1 : MHV Buy
2. D1 : EXT Buy
3. H4 : MHV Buy
KESIMPULAN :
USDINDEX dijangka akan membuat lonjakan ke atas dan meneruskan pendakian. Longterm USD masih mengukuh dan mengekalkan momentum UPTREND.
Cari Peluang SELL pair XXX/USD dan cari peluang BUY pair USD/XXX. Dimana nk masuk ENTRY.......gunakanlan ILMU TEKNIKAL masing-masing. Kuatkan MARGIN dan Kuatkan MM. Happy trading..........
PAIR AUDUSD....ANALISA TEKNIKAL 16-20 DIS,2019FUNDEMENTAL ANALISA :
AUD telah memotong Interest Rate Sebanyak 3 Kali pada tahun 2019 dan 2020 pula ada laporan mengatakan RBA akan memotong lagi dari 0.75% kepada 0.50% . Dijangka AUD akan terus melemah pada tahun 2020. AUD dijangka akan membuat BEARISH TREND berterusan sehingga 2020. Justeru Pair AUDUSD akan meneruskan DOWN TREND (Bearish)....T.Kasih to Ahmad Faizuddin (Mentor Perdagangan Malaysia 2019-2020)
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BBMAOA
MN : RE SELL
WK1 : MHV SELL
D1 : EXTRM SELL
H4 : CAK SELL
ENTRY: Tunggu candle membuat formation RE di TF H4 atau pasang PO SELL layer daripada Mid BB hingga Top BB.
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FIBO RETRACEMENT (FiboCircle)
D1
CS Daily telah reject LEVEL Strong Support (63.8%) dan candel telah tutup dibawah level tsb.
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SNR + EQ CHANNEL
D1
CS Daily reject strong SNR dan membuat shadow yg panjang.
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KESIMPULAN:
Sedia sekurang2 dua Strategi Dagangan untuk SELL AUDUSD:
1.SELL 1: SL kotak Merah, TP kotak Hijau
2.SELL 2: SL kotak Merha, TP kotak Hijau
Litecoin has Rally Potential! (LTCBTC)Hello traders. Be advised that LTCBTC approaches this 3.618 fib circle having shown strong reaction to the 3.0 before.
Now, we have potential again for a reaction to trigger a short, but sharp rally in LTCBTC.
Just something for you all to keep an eye on, if LTC is your thing.
Good luck traders.
BITCOIN TO 100K?THE FUTURE OF CRYPTOS|PREMIUM[Long-Term]ANALYSISBTC|USD : Series Cryptocurrencies [ Part 1 ]- Aug 21st 2019(8-9 minute read)
EDIT : The Fibonacci spirals always get distorted when posting. Check the last update for the correct Fibonacci Spirals setup.
Truth being said, despite that I initially started with trading solely in bitcoin, I have not been actively analysing/trading bitcoin for the past couple of months. But, it's time for some really deep, thorough and accurate long-term analysis . Why now? The fact is that an increasing number of corporate portfolios are starting to including cryptos in their composition. Mostly done because of diversification benefits . Before I get into the monster of a chart above, I will start by analysing the Weekly Bitcoin chart .
The wave 1 buildup was really illogical to me and apparently to many other traders based on EW. The expectations were that it would top at around 10k, but once it broke 10k, it snowballed all the way up to 14k . However, right now things aren't looking so bullish. In the very short-term it seems that it is starting to build up for a Wave 2 . As it can be seen from the chart, the strong support currently is the 21 weekly EMA(light blue line) . This trendline is also one of the best indicators for momentum . 2 Consecutive closes below the EMA would imply a momentum shift , followed by perhaps a formation of Wave 2. Sometimes a correction, can be quite healthy for the long term buildup. The EW labelling in the chart, for now it is quite far fetched. Now, before I get into the monthly chart, have to say that the Weekly pitchfork is much more realistic .
The best way to analyse macro time frames is by contrasting some of the most significant fundamental factors . Both the bullish and the bearish scenarios are labelled. As it is labelled on the chart, one of the reasons for the current spike can be said to be the May 2020 Bitcoin Block Reward Halving . Contrary to the typical FIAT concept - Bitcoin is based on a deflationary/scarcity concept . This is the primary bullish factor in favour of bitcoin.
ibb.co
There are 2 Fibonacci Spirals . The Purple one is smaller for obvious reasons. It is much easy to climb from 1.2k to 20k than it is from to climb from 20k to 100k+. Hence, the Purple Spiral is based on the Fib Golden ratio(0.618) used in the calculation. What also fueled run of the Green spiral is the good economy enabled by the US recent Tax Reform. This may not be the case in the buildup for the Purple Spiral(See link #2-The Vix). In addition to the Spirals, the essence of the chart is the long term Macro Pitchfork. If the Pitchfork is carefully analysed, it fits practically every single candle/pattern within its bands. Even the current buildup to Wave 1(14k) on the weekly, stopped at the Median(Red line). I haven't seen a similar Pitchfork on tview yet. I could also say the same thing about the Spirals. The orange cycle lines on the bottom are just a cherry on top of the wholeness of the chart.
To conclude this analysis , Am I Bullish on Bitcoin ? - Not yet . From the chart, one can say that everyone should be invested in Bitcoin since the targets for the next 2-3 years are in the range of 100k-150k. What am I looking for? A cross over the current closing monthly resistance of around 14k or 2 candles above the grey line. The Monthly Ichimoku cloud hasn't turned bullish yet which is another worthy factor of mentioning. Currently I'd say that bitcoin is in a neutral market . What I am really fearful about, is a regulatory action from the governments. When they stepped in and intervened with quasi Facebook's Libra idea , I interpreted this as a warning. Next time Bitcoin breaks above 20k, it will attract quite a lot of attention . The regulatory status-quo is the best environment for Bitcoin to be in. This will hurt bitcoin, but it will absolutely annihilate the altcoin market (my old NEO Chart, See link#1) . Even if such action occurs, I am quite optimistic that there are other coins that fit in the niche of Monero , which will continue to prosper.
(Share your charts and give me some feedback people, don't be shy! If you disagree, that's even better; it'll just make up for a great discussion in the comments)
|Step_Ahead_oftheMarket|
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-----> I will attempt on doing more long term TA's on altcoins when I have time. Send me a chart of your altcoin with a short news update.
1. NEOBTC |NEOUSDT : The Altcoin Bearish Markets' story since the start of 2018
2. PART 1-VIX: Volatility Index
Full Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references or use of my content for private or corporate purposes- contact me through any of my social media channels. Wish that tview had a copyright/IP protection option, but it is what it is.