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Arcs, Circles And Spirals

Exercise against biased thinking 18K 2 monthsMarket is like a chess game, and if you only keep looking at your own side, enemy will get you uncovered. This is an exercise of the kind "What if...". So What if this is the end ? Well on circle fibs there is almost no confirmation, it is looking weak and unfinished so this is spot that could surprise you opponent because it is not expected and this is exactly an exercise to expect the unexpected and get covered. Going long from here would mean some huge unexpected rally just like the path to ATH. So it is a rather long move, something to keep on mind in case it happens.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
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Bear Simulation 1This is a series of studies to try and simulate Bears setups. There is a lot of scenarios, and this methodology is still empirical. So I still don't have magic perfect crystal balls predictions but this is not the target, my target is always to have a base for risk management. To calculate high ratios risk rewards. This is attempt 1, ONLY for a bear market ! This simulation put into conflict the possible end of bear market with 1.618 Circle Fib into the last previous low, if it ever breaks down them this is the fastest confirmation you get that bears market is still ON.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
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Adjusted Bulls Strike backApril started !! With so many harmonics and possible Circle Fibs It was hard to get what would be the bottom with estimates varying between 6.7, 6.6 and 6.5K. My "first" estimate was a long time ago for 6.5K, you can search on my ideas for that, but with market dynamics I really thought It would "forget" old estimates and revert/bounce on a recent estimate. It is always hard, but this time several whales and very big volumes come into action. Let's see how this unfold and hope this is definitive this time.
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Daily Bullish View - "The last hope"Looking at Daily you can see the last attempt to return to mean was rejected but crucially no new low was made. So there is still a chance market could return to mean to test it from the downside and that's the 9.2K bull target last hope. But a new low could be in progress so this a matter of risk reward, you can set a ratio high enough that you will loose near to nothing and still have a chance to revert operation in case of failure. Always use a stop loss, with a preference for a trailing one. Failure to go long here would be devastating without a stop. On the inner 1H TF crossing the MA50 will be decisive and mandatory for a bull run:
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
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