ARKK
$FFTY Forming a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern)?AMEX:FFTY looks to me like it is working on a VCP with volatility shrinking and forming a nice wedging pattern. I like this pattern “IF” or when the market turns positive.
Here are the negative things I see, as of now it is trading below or right at the 18-month AVWAP. It is right at shorter term resistance. It is below the downward sloping wedge trendline. And the RS is still declining.
On the Positive side I see current price is about 11% below the 52-week high. Price is above all the moving averages including the 50 DMA and the 40 Week MA. Price is above the upward sloping wedge trendline.
Here is my trading plan, if the overall market looks good, RS breaks above the trendline and price moves above the 18-month AVWAP I will start with a one-third size position. My stop will be price closing below the 50 DMA. If it breaks out over the wedge downtrend line, I will make it a two-thirds sized position. If it can consolidate without stopping me out, I will build to a full position on any resumption of the uptrend. All TBD.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
AMEX:FFTY The IBD 50 Innovator Fund is comprised of IBD’s picks for high growth stocks. The stocks represented turnover more often than most ETF’s.
ARKK Innovation ETF - Potential Break OutARKK Innovation ETF
I have been in since $45.87 with a small position.
AMEX:ARKK is typically offered with leverage so if you do take a position keep it whimsical and margin high. For me this is a long term, very small position play but we could have a break out here, so i thought i would share.
The chart speaks for itself, price has just raised its head above the high volume traded levels and may be breaking out of a head and shoulders pattern whose target matches the 1.618 fib ext and some prior resistance. A trade structure is here to be played and as always we have a KEY protective stop loss area.
Stops can be placed from $44 - 47 depending on your risk tolerance.
Main Concern: Volume had been descending on the longer term, however, short bursts still have provided a trade opportunity.
PUKA
A clear risk on event is taking placeI multiplied the less risky Dow and Spy while dividing it with a multiple of bio, the Russel and Ark. This shows a clear shooting star candle in development this month which should signal much greater future gains in higher risk stocks and an end to this pullback in the market.
You can see that we had nice rallies the last two times that this has happened on this chart at March 2020 and Feb 2016.
I also noticed some more supporting evidence that this is near the bottom from the dark orange wedge breakout. If you measure the bottom to the peak in 2015-16 you can get an ideal exit target for the wedge breakout. Typically, you would measure from the breakout point, which it hasn't reached at this time, but if you measure from the bottom, you can see that the target has interestingly been reached to an almost exact amount.
We also have the yellow resistance and the peak at March 2020 as a pivot point for all of these lines. Not too critical of a point, I just found that interesting haha.
We also have institutions like black rock capitulating on growth twitter.com
Many institutions were bearish on the market at the bottom of the covid dip.
Finally we have a heavily overbought RSI and stoch on the monthly that also signals a top.
Now the short term future outlook looks bullish on risk to me but I was thinking on potential long term possibilities from there:
I believe that the yellow trajectory is more likely to happen over the blue one at this point to be honest. The blue option just requires too much competence in all global leaders to pull off so it seems unlikely to me and would be frankly miraculous. But it could still happen.
The yellow one would basically give investors an opportunity to exit growth at more reasonable prices before the market continues its tank fest again. And while I have this pivot point at Jan 2024, it could happen much steeper and faster and pivot later this year.
The yellow support line and the blue breakout line are most important to watch and see what option it'll be.
Now would be a good time to short the Nasdaq Index...Short term resistance has been met and the Nasdaq has just recently broken through its short term support. This would indicate to me a correction will follow taking the price of the Nasdaq back down to medium term support.
After this i would exercise caution, any short term bounce may be followed by another breakdown in the medium term support. Then the Nasdaq may head lower into the long term support range which is typical after such a long bull run in tech stocks.
The catalyst for this correction in tech stocks will be for the economy to rollover after the Fed's aggressive rate raising cycle.
ARK Innovation ETF ($ARKK) Approaches Double Top
### Stock Market Update: ARK Innovation ETF ( AMEX:ARKK ) Approaches Critical Double Top
#### Key Technical Level for AMEX:ARKK
The ARK Innovation ETF ( AMEX:ARKK ) has reached a pivotal point on its chart, forming a Double Top pattern at $45.16. This pattern is a crucial indicator in technical analysis, often signaling a potential turning point in the stock's trajectory.
#### Strategy for Long Positions
For those currently holding long positions in AMEX:ARKK , this level presents a strategic opportunity to take profits. As the ETF approaches this significant double top formation, realizing gains at this juncture can be a prudent move, considering the potential for a trend reversal implied by the pattern.
#### Guidance for Short Sellers
For investors specializing in short-selling, the approach requires a bit more caution. If considering a short position in AMEX:ARKK , it's advisable to wait for a clear indication that the stock is responding to the double top formation. This could be a pierce through the $45.16 level or even a definitive break below it. However, a key tactic is to observe the stock's behavior over the following two trading days. Entering a short position is ideally done after witnessing two consecutive days of downward
$ARKK Inverse Head & Shoulders PatternThe ARK Innovation ETF ( AMEX:ARKK ) is currently displaying an inverse head and shoulders pattern on its chart, a formation typically indicative of a potential bullish reversal. However, for this pattern to remain valid, it's crucial that AMEX:ARKK does not close below the key level of $34.72 on a weekly basis. A weekly close below this price point would invalidate the pattern, suggesting a potential shift or continuation of the bearish trend.
Arkk Bottom Today or next week, think it could be very closeI'm getting the same vibes Gold did when it had a fake breakdown which is now very bullish. Everyone on the timeline is making fun of Cathy and saying how bad Arkk is, it's all over the place. Think this lines up with the charts. $29 ish should be an amazing confluence for a major bottom. I think we will get a fake breakdown of the March 2020 lows which will be very bullish.
ARK - Cathie Wood flagship ETF rising again LONGARKK double topped about July 19 and July 31st then downtrend until Fri Aug 18th,
On this past trading day, the technology market moved higher lead by TSLA and NVDA.
ARK reversed and started the retracement of the trend down. I see ARK targeting
45 in the mid Fibonacci levels and potentially beyond that to 47.8 being the base level
of the double top. The stop loss is the pivot low on Friday as ARKK awaits a momentum
boosting cross over the mean anchored VWAP. The two TF RS indicator shows the lower TF in
green well over the 50 levels with the high TF black line lagging.
The ZL MACD shows more confirmation. ARKK looks good to enter now. I will zoom from the 2H
to the 30 minutes to find an optimal entry. I may take a large stock position and supplement it
with a single put option for insurance against downside potential. I seek a 12-14 ROI on the
stock trade and some multiples of that on a 2 to 3 week put option.
Palantir and Arkk Comparison 57% ProfitPalantir SPLTR & SARKK Comparison
These charts are so similar. Arkk looks like it is about to repeat Palantir's 57% move
- RSI positive divergence
- Head and Shoulder reversal bottom
- Price above 200 day MA & the POC
AMEX:ARKK appears ready to break away from the H & S.
Your stop should be placed just under the H & S baseline.
Are you in?
S&P 500 Favors Breakout. Bears and Recessionists = MisanthropesThe bears enjoyed their cycle to the maximum, peak fear is behind us.
Observe your favorite pundits to determine if they have shifted their perception yet. Many have not, Many remain Bearish and are greedily awaiting one more Deep Indiscriminate Sell Off.... they will likely wait forever.
The first rule of any technology used in a business is that automation applied to an efficient operation will magnify the efficiency. The second is that automation applied to an inefficient operation will magnify the inefficiency.
Long SPX = Long Human Innovation and Business Ingenuity!
TSLA Swing Trading PlanWhile trading off a 2H chart, I have marked pivots with vertical lines. Pivot points are also
supported by findings on the three indicators- the price-volume trend, the stochastic RSI
and the normalized MACD. The trade plan is quite simple. Upon a pivot low I will buy 3 shares.
The actual entry will be made more precisely on the 15 minute chart. Upon a pivot high, I
will sell one share to realize that profit. Likewise, the actual exit will be made more precisely
on a 15-minute chart. This more or less is a modification of a zig-zag type strategy. Staying on a
2H chart will avoid chasing minor trends and allow trend following of the super trend. In doing
so , the trades will be less frequent but will better accuracy and perhaps better gain. For
risk management. I will not buy any shares when there is any risk in the trade at all or any
of the indicators are even remotely suggestive of bearish divergence or overall trading
volume day on day seems to be decreasing.
$ARKK - The Growth Story will PUSH higherAMEX:ARKK moved nearly 8% higher since I shifted my focus towards small-cap potential in my initial post. Price is currently testing supply and approaching my target of $45. In anticipation of a potential market pullback next week, I may consider trimming my position. However, I'll continue to monitor the market closely and keep an eye on the gap fill above $46.41.