Bitcoin is starting a 20% crash. Sell/Short nowBitcoin is starting a major downtrend. We have a bearish flag that is ready for a breakdown. Bullish flags are probably the most powerful patterns, and after a breakdown, a massive dump follows, especially on Bitcoin. Bitcoin got rejected from the Fair Value GAP on the daily chart. These gaps are always a strong support or resistance, so pay attention to them. From the Elliott Wave perspective, we have finished the wave (X), and we are ready for a final dump, which can be steep and strong. Where to buy bitcoin? To answer this question, we need to take the Fibonacci extension tool and measure the 1:1 extension, which is a common retracement for a corrective wave.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Ascending Channel
EURUSD → Pre-break consolidation. Lots of news aheadFX:EURUSD is forming a trend change amid the strengthening of the TVC:DXY . Important news is expected today, which can affect the market in different ways.
On D1 we see the formation of a strong accumulation at the dollar index. Earlier and still the dollar index is supported by rather strong comments from the US regulators, which negatively affects the euro. The currency pair in turn breaks strong daily support and is gradually heading downwards. From a technical point of view, the fall may continue as the key area has not yet been tested. On the chart, it is clear that the 1.0700 area is an interesting zone at the moment.
Resistance levels: 1.083, 1.0887
Support levels: 1.082, 1.0724
On H4, support is formed, which restrains the market - 1.082. A breakout and price consolidation below the level could form a bearish momentum that could continue the trend. But, as there is a lot of news today, try to trade safely!
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY → False breakdown and obvious bearish pressure FX:GBPJPY is forming a false break of the resistance at 188.3 and is forming a consolidation, within which it can be seen that the market is under pressure from sellers.
On D1 we see the formation of the global range 188.3 - 179.9. The price is forging a retest of the resistance of the range in the format of a false breakdown. After that consolidation will be formed. So far it is difficult to call it a pre-breakdown consolidation, because on local timeframes the price movement is preparing for a price drop. Local highs are gradually decreasing and the probability of breaking through the base of consolidation - 187.38 level is increasing. In this case there is a probability of starting correction to 185.9, 184.3. Globally the market has no trend, because the price is in sideways movement, and locally it is still bullish, but when breaking through the base of 187.38, the market phase may change.
Resistance levels: 188.3, 190
Support levels: 187.37
Indices of GBP, JPY currencies are standing still, GBP looks more optimistic, but on the background of geopolitics it gives prerequisites for correction, which can negatively affect the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
XRPUSDT → A favorable prospect within the uptrendBINANCE:XRPUSDT is testing trend support after exiting the triangle. Traders' interest in Ripple continues to grow on the unstable fundamental background
On W1 we see a formed bottom, the bulls do not let the price to this area, continuing to cumulate the potential within the framework of gradually rising prices. An uptrend continues to form on the chart, but globally, Ripple is squeezed under strong trend resistance.
On D1, price is testing support and one of the key liquidity areas. There is a chance that price could still test 0.493 in a false breakout format before further upside, but even at current price positions, the market has good potential for further upside to 0.7325.
Support levels: 0.493, 0.420, trend support
Resistance levels: 0.585, 0.648, 0.7325
Since the price movement is limited by a number of reasons both fundamentally and technically by the range boundaries, it is highly likely that the XRP movement will continue from support to resistance
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Why the 42K level is important to usBINANCE:BTCUSD is not reacting to the negative news about Grayscale transfers to exchanges, and and the recovering interest allows the market to redeem the correction a bit.
Pic: Idea: BITCOIN → Why might the price drop to 34K before halving?
The correction phase is not over, as the price has not yet left the boundaries that can confirm the end of this phase.
The market is recovering from a false break of the 40181 range support. Long-squeeze eliminated the buyers' orders in the support zone and within the range the price is testing one of the important 42K levels.
At the same time:
BTC for the second few days did not react to the negative news about Grayscale transfers to exchanges
Flagship absorbed the news that the US government intends to sell the coin for $130 million
Increased ineterest to BTC from traders and investors in China, who are looking for salvation in crypto instead of unstable stock and real estate markets within the country.
Pic: Important level. Demonstration on the chart
Interest in bitcoin is high, but there is quite an important event ahead for the market. Halving is expected in early April and statistically the market is shedding ahead of a possible rally. Whales have an interest to get in on more favorable positions, but at the same time the positive fundamental and technical background attracts investors even at current price levels.
Price positioning relative to the 42000 level will determine the future outlook for the market.
The consolidation of BTC above 42K may form the potential for strengthening the price to the range boundary - 44500, and the consolidation of the price below 42K will continue the decline to retest the support.
Pic: Value of the level for further perspective
When will the correction end?
At the moment this phase is still active, a break of support 40700 - 41K will form a continuation of the decline, which in the medium term may head towards 48K, then 37K and 34K, where there is a huge pool of liquidity from buyers. The market may be interested in liquidating some passengers before further rally.
But, in the current position, the correction phase may be over as the asset still has high interest. Breakout and consolidation of the price above 42K may confirm the market's intentions that it is ready for further growth in the near future, and Breakout and consolidation of the price above 44.5 - 45K will confirm the end of the correction. In this case the further target will be 48.2K and higher.
CME:BTC1! CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Regards R. Linda!
CHFJPY 1H Possible Double bottom in an up trend channelOn this 1H chart for CHFJPY we can notice that the price has been moving in an up trend channel for a while now. Recently it dropped to test the up trend support. At this stage the price is forming a potential double bottom. Monitor it for a potential breakout.
Additional confluences:
- MACD can produce a bullish cross if the price starts going up to complete the Double bottom
- The 2 bottoms are re-bouncing from the 200 EMA
- If the price goes up, in can cross above the 20 and 50 EMAs. Monitor for a bullish cross
Bitcoin - pump to 43777, then crash to 34000Bitcoin is currently going up in the short term, but do not fall for this uptrend. It's clear that the downtrend will continue, and we will see a huge dump to 34,000, probably in March. As per my Elliott Wave count, we have finished a huge impulse wave, and now we need to make an ABC correction so we can go higher to 100,000 in 2025. Wave A is complete; now we are in wave B, the corrective move. Why is 34k strong support? We have a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement on this level and also a pretty huge gap. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
How Much Bitcoin Is in Circulation?
Bitcoin’s total supply is limited by its software and will never exceed 21,000,000 coins. New coins are created during the process known as “mining”: as transactions are relayed across the network, they get picked up by miners and packaged into blocks, which are in turn protected by complex cryptographic calculations.
As compensation for spending their computational resources, the miners receive rewards for every block that they successfully add to the blockchain. At the moment of Bitcoin’s launch, the reward was 50 bitcoins per block: this number gets halved with every 210,000 new blocks mined — which takes the network roughly four years. As of 2020, the block reward has been halved three times and comprises 6.25 bitcoins.
Bitcoin has not been premined, meaning that no coins have been mined and/or distributed between the founders before it became available to the public. However, during the first few years of BTC’s existence, the competition between miners was relatively low, allowing the earliest network participants to accumulate significant amounts of coins via regular mining: Satoshi Nakamoto alone is believed to own over a million Bitcoin.
Mining Bitcoins can be very profitable for miners, depending on the current hash rate and the price of Bitcoin. While the process of mining Bitcoins is complex, we discuss how long it takes to mine one Bitcoin on CoinMarketCap Alexandria — as we wrote above, mining Bitcoin is best understood as how long it takes to mine one block, as opposed to one Bitcoin. As of mid-September 2021, the Bitcoin mining reward is capped to 6.25 BTC after the 2020 halving, which is roughly $299,200 in Bitcoin price today.
USDCAD → Trend change, bullish mood, but...FX:USDCAD is forming a trend change. The completed correction, recovery and formation of a pre-breakout set-up hint at the continuation of growth. But, how will the price behave during the news?
A global trend is forming on D1, which indicates neutrality in the market. The price is moving mainly from the borders of the global range. A reversal pattern is forming against the support and the market is heading towards the resistance area. Bulls are interested in the blue area.
On H4, the level of 1.3528 is formed, a pre-breakdown consolidation is formed relative to the level. Earlier the price overcame the key boundary at 1.3487, which confirms the change of the pattern and the breakdown of the structure. The consolidation of the price at 1.3528 will favorably influence the continuation of growth to 1.3629.
Support levels: 1.3487, 1.3422, 1.3350
Resistance levels: 1.3528, 1.3629
An ascending pattern of price movement is formed locally. The chart indicates a bullish mood and local zones that are worth paying attention to for trading
TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Will the change in trend be confirmed?FX:EURUSD is forming an attempt to change the uptrend amid the strengthening of the TVC:DXY . The price is testing the resistance at 1.0888 in the correction phase.
Pic: Dollar index consolidation between MA-200 and MA-50
If we pay attention to the dollar index, we can see that it has been standing still during the week. Most likely, tomorrow's news: Initial Jobless Claims, GDP, CDGO may push the index to start moving. But, in any case, the medium and long term potential is determined by the Fed's decision on the interest rate, which at the moment they do not dare to lower.
The currency pair is breaking the trend support, testing the low and forming a correction. For the market, from a technical point of view, the target of 1.0756 has appeared. The currency pair is likely to test the resistance at 1.0888 - 1.095 before further falling to the range support.
Resistance levels: 1.0888, 1.0950
Support levels: 1.083, 1.0756
Correction after a trend change is a standard formation. The price can test the area in the format of a false breakout and after maintaining the liquidity to direct the price to a new target.
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → Consolidation. What's next? Growth or decline?FX:EURJPY tests resistance and forms a false breakout, but now the price is stuck inside the range and forms consolidation on which the further scenario depends.
On D1 the price stops at one of the intermediate resistance levels - 161.4. Euro as well as Japanese Yen are getting weaker against the general background, the strong fall of Japanese Yen will squeeze the currency pair and apparently the growth of the pair after the correction may continue.
On H4 the price tests resistance and forms a false breakdown, after which it forms a range between resistance 161.4 and the downtrend line (blue dotted line). It can be assumed that consolidation will continue until the price goes beyond it. Thus:
1) against the backdrop of the rising trend, we have a chance to see a retest of resistance from the previously broken trendline, which could lead to a breakout of 161.4 and further strengthening of the pair.
2) As the price has returned to the channel boundaries, the correction may extend all the way to the uptrend support, but after the breakout of the zone: 160.0
Support levels: 160.0
Resistance levels: 161.4
The further scenario at the moment depends more on who wins the market as part of the fight within the consolidation. The bulls should consolidate above 161.4 to continue rising and the bears below 160.0 to continue the correction.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin will continue to crash to 33 500, then pump to 100 000Bitcoin is crashing, that's clear, but will this downtrend continue? It is very likely that it will. Why? We can see that the price already touched the top of the parallel ascending channel on the weekly chart and got rejected from it. What's more, we complete the impulse wave, and we are already in the corrective ABC pattern, which should be a zig-zag style. There is still an unfilled fair value gap between 30k and 34k.
How deep can Bitcoin dive? It is always good to take the Fibonacci retracement tool and look for the 0.382 and 0.618 levels. We need to take into consideration a support trend line of the ascending channel, which is a dynamic support that changes over time, but it's near the 0.618 FIB. Also near the 0.618 FIB, we have the end of the specified FVGAP.
January is usually not the best month for the price of Bitcoin. Usually the big pumps start in April; we have more than 2 months of possible downtrend. Currently, I am very bearish on Bitcoin and expect lower prices.
AUDUSD → Change of mood and retest of a strong level FX:AUDUSD broke the uptrend earlier and is testing the strong historical level of 0.65800. Against the backdrop of a rising TVC:DXY , the Aussie could lose ground and head towards downside targets.
The dollar is strengthening and may show growth for the second week in a row thanks to the signs of stability of the American economy and cautious comments of central bankers' representatives on rate cuts, the index is seeing a clear recovery phase, which negatively affects the currency pair.
Technically, AUDUSD breaks the level of 0.65800 and tests it as resistance. There are 2 scenarios that can develop in relation to the level: the first one includes the continuation of the correction if the price breaks 0.65800 and consolidates above it. The target will be the resistance at 0.6666. And the second scenario is the bears' task to hold this level against the background of changing market sentiment. From 0.65800 a decline to 0.6523 is possible with the subsequent breakout and fall to 0.6352. Moving averages show a downward signal.
Resistance levels: 0.65800
Support levels: 0.6523
The trend is changing, bears are more serious, which may affect the pair's pricing. With greater probability I am waiting for the realization of the second scenario.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Bullish Outlook for January 2024INDEX:BTCUSD is currently inside its bullish channel. My target is $51k still the same as my previous outlook.
RSI is showing exhaustion on the daily chart but i still expect it to hit the upper channel trendline first before a pullback. It is a one last push before a relief pullback.
Hopefully when the price of Bitcoin drops, Ethereum and the rest of altcoin will still rise. That signals altseason because the money flows from bitcoin to altcoin.
USDCADUSDCAD is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this bullish confluence the next leg high could go for new HH.
What you guys think of this idea?
Amazon - Massive Resistance AheadHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Amazon.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
With the quite obvious and expected channel breakout in 2016, we saw a rally of more than 500% towards the upside on Amazon. This pump was followed by a retracement back to a previous support level before we saw another bullish reversal. If Amazon breaks back above the structure mentioned in the analysis, market behaviour is bullish and I will be looking for longs.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
EURUSD → Fundamentally, the dollar is strongerFX:EURUSD is declining and forming an attempt to break trend support. Fundamentally, the TVC:DXY is strengthening on the background of the Fed's position, which negatively affects the base currency - EUR.
On the high timeframe we see that the dollar continues to strengthen after a long consolidation. The Fed is not going to give up and is trying to insure itself before a possible interest rate cut, which may come in spring-summer 2024. This scenario may strengthen the dollar to local highs, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair.
EURUSD broke 1.088 testing the trend support, technically, the breakout has already occurred, the price may take a small correction and retest the support, after which it may head towards the lower boundary of the range - 1.0756. Consolidation of the price below the trend support will confirm the bearish position, which will be a favorable scenario for sellers.
Support levels: 1.078, 1.0756
Resistance levels: 1.0888, 1.10
Fundamentally, the dollar is stronger than the euro, which will obviously have a negative impact on the currency pair. We expect confirmation of the scenario (consolidation below the support) for further opening of sales.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Consolidation after support breakoutOANDA:NZDUSD continues to consolidate in a narrow range as uncertain sentiment is also seen in the dollar index amid a challenging fundamental environment.
The TVC:DXY has been consolidating below resistance for two and a half weeks, which in standard practice is a strong downside signal as resistance cannot be broken.
NZDUSD pair broke uptrend support earlier and consolidation is forming in the selling zone between 0.6250 and 0.6208. But, it is important for us to wait for the confirmation of the sell signal, which will be the breakout of 0.6208 and the subsequent consolidation of the price below the level, which will open for us the target in the form of support at 0.6086. Moving averages also indicate consolidation, which may be followed by a distribution phase.
Resistance levels: 0.6250, 0.6366
Support levels: 0.6208, 0.6180, 0.6086
There is a high probability that the currency pair on the background of the subsequent weakening of the dollar index can still break the support and head towards the target indicated by us.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP - Best time to buy is right now, here is whyXRP is currently sitting on the main support of the ascending parallel channel. This is definitely a great opportunity to buy cheap XRP. We have a leading diagonal wedge as wave (1) followed by a sharp correction wave (2). Wave (3) should be in progress. You can be sure that XRP is a big deal for huge institutions such as banks. They are already investing a lot of money into implementation of this cryptocurrency. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, the XRPL uses a unique Federated Consensus mechanism as its method of validating transactions. Transactions are confirmed on the XRPL through a consensus protocol, in which designated independent servers called validators come to an agreement on the order and outcome of XRP transactions. All servers in the network process each transaction according to the same rules, and any transaction that follows the protocol is confirmed right away. All transactions are public and transparent, and anyone can operate a validator. There are currently over 150 validators on the ledger, operated by universities, exchanges, businesses, and individuals around the world.
Through the Federated Consensus mechanism, all verified transactions can be processed without a single point of failure as no single participant makes a decision independently. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
ETH → Strong both fundamentally and technically BINANCE:ETHUSD reacted more violently than BTC to the long-awaited btc-etf news. But why? The price tested the high at 2717 and formed a false breakout, leading to a correction amid bitcoin's decline.
ETH technically looks stronger than BINANCE:BTCUSD . We can judge from the chart and strong bullish momentum and not a big pullback. The reason for this is the expectation of bids for the spot ETH-ETF. The chances that these applications will be approved by the SEC have increased after their extreme positive decision towards the flagship cryptocurrency market.
Technically, ETH is forming a false breakout of 2650 resistance and forming a correction. Since the price is trading within the ascending price channel, the target in our case could be the support area: 0.5 fibo (2447 level), or even 0.618 fibo (2383 area). The moving averages on W1 indicate a strong accumulation that may move into the distribution phase.
Resistance levels: 2650, 2540, 2586
Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.5 fibo, 0.618 fibo
Fundamentally and technically, ETH looks good to continue to grow in the medium term, which may start after the retest of the support area
Regards R. Linda!