Ethereum - Big overview of the bear market.
The bears are in full control because ETH is below the two major trendlines and also below the 200-day moving average.
We have a FTX GAP between 1545 and 1352. This gap was caused by a huge panic sell-off of traders due to the collapse of the FTX exchange and by CZ Binance, who tweeted that he was not going to buy FTX as he wanted. This gap can be filled, but of course it doesn't have to.
Also, there is a 0.618 FIB at 1415 + the top of the yellow trendline + the 200-day moving average, which is another strong resistance. The bulls need a lot of strength to break this zone, and even if they are able to do it, there is another white trendline, which is the top of the parallel channel at around 1800. It's hard to say if the bulls will be motivated enough to break it.
I don't want to be bullish about this strong resistance, but we can definitely touch it, no problem. At this moment, my trades are only short-term swing and intraday trades, so I am not thinking about buying any coins for the long term.
I still think the bear market will continue in 2023 because other coins look extremely bearish, including Bitcoin.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
As you can see on the chart, the price is moving in two parallel descending channels. The top trendline of the first white parallel channel has only two touches, so the third touch should be rejected strongly.
This is a bearish Elliott Wave count, and we are currently at the 3rd wave of the 5th wave. I suggest continuing lower to complete this impulse wave.
I would love to buy ETH for around 250 - 300. I believe it is possible to get there, based on other assets such as stocks. TSLA, META, NTFLX, etc. are experiencing the biggest crash in history. And ETH is also, basically, in the IT sector.
If ETH drops below the key resistance of 1073, I expect a huge flash crash to the bottom of the descending channel.
Overall, I am bearish, and we may definitely see some relief rally. But don't get rekt by the main resistance I mentioned earlier.
Look at my idea about SOLANA (exponencial growth) in the related section down below.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Ascending Triangle
📈 4 Common Bullish Patterns🟢 RISING THREE
"Rising three methods" is a bullish continuation candlestick pattern that occurs in an uptrend and whose conclusion sees a resumption of that trend.
This can be contrasted with a falling three method. The first bar of the pattern is a bullish candlestick with a large real body within a well-defined uptrend.
🟢 FALLING WEDGE
The falling wedge pattern occurs when the asset’s price is moving in an overall bullish trend before the price action corrects lower.
Within this pull back, two converging trend lines are drawn. The consolidation part ends when the price action bursts through the upper trend line, or wedge’s resistance.
🟢 BULL PENNANT
A pennant is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend line.
Pennants, which are similar to flags in terms of structure, have converging trend lines during their consolidation period and last from one to three weeks.
🟢 ASCENDING TRIANGLE
An ascending triangle is a chart pattern used in technical analysis. It is created by price moves that allow for a horizontal line
to be drawn along the swing highs and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle.
Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns. The breakout can occur to the upside or downside
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📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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Can $ESAB go higher from here?Notes:
* Moving up on the right side of its IPO base
* Good earnings
* Breaking out of an ascending triangle with higher than average volume
* Has a 50 day UD ratio of 2.26 and a 15 day UD ratio of 5.27; indicating that there's been a ton more buying short term
* Has a solid relative strength in the sector and against the SP500
* Showing an early entry relative to its 50 day line
* Printed a pocket pivot, indicating institutional demand
Technicals:
Sector: Industrials - Metal Fabrication
Relative Strength vs. Sector: 2.87
Relative Strength vs. SP500: 14.88
U/D Volume Ratio: 2.26
15 Day U/D Volume Ratio: 5.27
Base Depth: 77.73%
Distance from breakout buy point: -16.17%
Volume 21.39% above its 15 day avg.
Trade Idea:
* Now's a great time to jump in as it's close to its 50 day line, printed a pocket pivot and breaking out of its ascending triangle
* If you're looking for a better entry you may look around the 48.1 area as it may retest that level for support
Some resistances to keep in mind are $49.2 and $51.3. There may be sellers in these areas.
Forget about chart patterns! Hello, my dear friends and happy New Year!
I wish you to be healthy and reach all your goals in trading and not only! Never give up on this difficult way which we are going to overcome together!
Today we have a very important topic. How to use Elliott waves instead of classical chart patterns. This is the natural exposure why the chart patterns are garbage. I remember my third year at university when we have the trading lessons. Our teacher gave us a lot of useless knowledges about support, resistance and chart patterns. I have not understood why it should working and it was not soo intereting subject for me. That’s why I returned back to trading much later using self-education. Now I have the clear understanding why Elliott waves is the best tool and why it’s working. Most of traders even don’t understand that chart patterns is just the special case of Elliott waves. That’s why today I decided to explain you how you can change the first one to the second one. Let’s go!
Double Top(Bottom)
On the chart above I drew the different types of double tops. Generally we have 3 types of this pattern
Double top with the second top higher than the first one. In this case we can interpret it in two ways. It could be the classical waves 3, 4, 5 and the corrective wave A at the ending stage. In this case we can anticipate waves B and C. Also it could be the irregular correcton ABC inside wave 4 (rarely in wave 2). In this case we should wait for the wave 5 after that. Traders usually execute short position on the neckline breakdown and suffer when the wave 5 smashed their stop-loss. They are wondering why double top does not working.
Double top with the equal highs has the same possible outcomes. The only one difference that correction called flat instead of irregular.
Double top with the second top lower than the first one. Here is the most common variant is the end of the ABC correction. In this case we have the low potential for shorting the market becuase the new impulsive wave to the upside can hit all stop losses.
Head & Shoulders
This is the easiest pattern for analysis. The right sholder usually is the wave 4, the head, obviously is the wave 5 and the right shoulder is the wave B. On the neckline breakdown we have the shorting potential only in the rest part of the wave C. You could correctly count waves and short that the bearish reversal bar of the wave 5 or, as a last resort, at wave B potential top. Shorting at the neckline has sence only if you are sure that the wave B was the the wave 1 of the impulsive wave to the downside if higher degree and now the market is in wave 3. We have to learn how to count waves in a correct way. I would recommend you to read the Trading Chaos book by Bill Williams because it has the best explanation how do waves work.
Triangles and Wedges
This part is common for all types of triangles (ascending, descending, symmetrical) and wedges (falling and rising). This patterns have the similar structure. If we faced with one of these patterns we have 4 possible scenarios.
Triangle in the downtrend after the wave 3. In this case triangle is the wave 4, which is represented as the triangle correction. This correction type consists of 5 waves A, B, C, D and E. When the wave E is finished market will continue it’s move in the direction of a trend, printing the wave 5.
The same, but in the uptrend.
When the market showed us the 5 waves cycle to the upside and the correction is in progress. Triangle can appears in the wave B. In this case the price will continue the corrective move in the wave C after it’s finished.
The same with the downtrend.
Guys, of course there are much more types of chart patterns. For example, tripple tops and bottoms and so on. The purpose of this article is giving you another view of the market structure and to motivate you studying the Elliott waves theory. Believe me, it has much more potential than it seems on the first glimplse.
Best regards, Ivan
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BTC QUICK UPDATE! NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick BTC update.
BTC is still struggling to break the $17k resistance level and is currently trading around $16.8k. Price has been stuck in this range for the last few days because of Christmas. Now we might see some volatile move but the question is in which direction? Let us try to find this in this analysis.
According to the chart, BTC is forming an ascending triangle in a 4hr time frame and currently rejecting from the triangle's upper trendline. IMO, BTC breaks down this triangle and the price might hit the $16.2k-$16.4k level before any upward move. After hitting the $16.2k level, if the price holds there then we resume the uptrend.
Invalidation Level:- Any 4hr candle close above $17k
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Also, share your views in the comment section.
Thank You!
Acending bottom formation scenario ''IF'' the BTC bottom is inHi @everyone,
Like mentioned in previous published ideas we showed you to always be prepared for multiple scenario's
In our previous trade plan we showed an possible 'SHORT' swing trade setup for BTC with targets below previous low.
In this chart we show (incase of an invalidation on the short swing setup) how we could approuch the market ''IF'' BTC already bottemed out. And will see an Acending bottom formation showing up like in this example.
This is aswell an possible trade plan based on a potential scenario where we still have 0 conformation on that it will play out,
But.... ''IF'' this scenario could play out, we are well prepared for it.
A scenario is a guide with rules for conformations, and invalidations. No mather wich scenario will play out ( becease there to are many of them ) aslong you are prepared on the most of them you are able to make better and saver decisions in your trading.
Just Always have a plan and trade based on a position out of strenght, but also having a plan B,C,D etc.. just think like an piece of code --> if this...--> then that--> if this not--> then this..
Enjoy this possible scenario thread,
Quantistic
Bottem formation scenario BTCHi @everyone,
In this post we compared the ADA previous bearmarket fractals with the current BTC bearmarket.
Incase BTC has already bottemed out we could trade this scenario.
We shared the acending bottemformation scenario already in a previous post, for more details check this post.
Regards,
Team Quantistic
STLA - Ascending triangle - Long termOn the weekly timeframe of the STLA chart, we can see an ascending triangle forming. An ascending triangle is a bullish formation.
It's interesting to watch this asset during 2023 for the price to break out of the triangle to the upside. The breakout-line is shown on the chart. When this happens the pattern gets confirmed and trade can be entered by taking a long position. This is a long-term trade.
See all further details on the chart.
Good luck!
BTC QUICK UPDATE!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick BTC update.
After the bearish CPI data, BTC bounced nicely and touched the $18k level. Currently, it is in the resistance zone. I am expecting a retracement from here.
Expecting it to touch the $16.8k-$17k level from here where the lower trendline of the triangle lies. Today is another important event which is FOMC. So we might see some more volatile moves.
Invalidation:- Any 4hr candle close above $18.2k will invalidate this scenario.
Let's see how FOMC impacts the price today. I'll keep updating you.
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Also, share your views in the comment section.
Thank You!
ANT Bullish - ascending triangelHello my name is Fredy and i from CryptoJourney group this is my first analys after a long time so this is one of the most bullish pattern ever! Invert it looks good very good!
Hit me like if you agree and check others analysis !
Bitcoin Ascending Triangle on the DailyIts not enough to find a pattern that looks good, but a more complete understanding comes from multiple patterns and indicators confirming eachother.
you can see from my previous ideas on bitcoin that I'm always looking for patterns
on as high of time-frames as possible.
ETH: BIG MOVE SOON!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick ETH update.
ETH is trading inside an ascending triangle and the triangle is getting squeezed so we see a big move soon. Now the question is what's the direction of this big move (Upside or Downside)?
As of now, ETH is still trading inside the triangle so we have to for a breakout or breakdown for a clear direction of this move. If It breaks out the triangle then we might see ETH at $1500-$1600 and if it breaks down the triangle then we see another retest of $1000
What do you think about this?
Share your views in the comment section.
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Thank You!
Gold: Ready to Shoot?Gold and Silver is money, everything else is credit – JP Morgan
Primary Uptrend
This guy is not just flaunting these assets but the primary trend in this chart unearths the truth behind his statement. Really strong trend since our childhood – of course not fully visible due to data limitations. A furious rally started since March 2020 dip and took it to 56191 from 38400 (46%) in just 20 weeks – perhaps the fastest one in absolute terms.
Harsh Reaction
Like any other bull run, this one also faced a harsh reaction from August 2020. Wiped out almost one-fifth of the gains (21% from top) in a 33week time period. Comparing to Mar2020 rally to the top, this reaction was bit slower in terms of time duration. 46% in 20weeks verses 21% in 33weeks.
More than just a Pullback
Gold pulled back near 50000 mark and created a psychological resistance zone . The pullback gained momentum after breaking this zone and retested all time high zone. This spike was more than just a pullback.
The Second Reaction
The second reaction started from March 2022 and ended near the prior psychological level 50000. So, resistance turned into a support. This reaction took 28 weeks but the reaction was just 12% from the March top. Comparing with the Aug2020 reaction, this one lacked momentum on the downside – as reaction was smaller in approximately same time period.
The price-time analysis of both the reactions suggest that this time sellers were not very active and buyers were busy in accumulation at lower levels. Small and time consuming reactions with sharp rallies are good omen for investors.
A Rally in Momentum
The current rally from Sep end 2022 is very swift. The price may face some hurdles near major resistance zone of 56191 to 54789. If the higher low trend persists, there may be further congestion. Theoretically congestions lead to expansions and the bullish nature of the ascending triangle congestion (see chart) signals expansion in the upward direction.
If that happens, an immediate target for the triangle could go around 67000.
Thanks for reading.
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OIL to 62! This has never happened in history!
USOIL is breaking down! The trendline from 2020 has been destroyed by the bulls recently, and we can free fall to 61.76 without any problems.
On the monthly chart, you can see a falling wedge, and all patterns should be retested. This is a chance to retest the wedge on the breakout point at 61.76 or even lower at the trendline.
This chart is totally brutal, and I am very happy to see such huge volatility. What goes up should come down in the same way.
Oil was traded at negative levels in 2020, which has never happened before in history. Why did it crash? There are a lot of speculations. For example, they wanted to wipe out all the long positions on the futures market, so it was a huge manipulation. Why not? Tell me in the comment section right now!
The breakout point of the trendline + the POC of the previous structure + double bottom + high liquidity zone make 61.76 a strong resistance.
No one is providing you with such a strong and detailed analysis as me. Don't forget to share this analysis!
If you do not buy oil at 61.76, then I am not saying anything! There are lots of stop-loss orders below this swing low that need to be taken.
If we take a look at the recent 2 monthly candles, we can see "shooting star" + "bearish engulfing" candles. This combination is extremely bearish; the likelihood of further decline is high.
Check out my related ideas about GOLD and EURUSD in the related section down below! It is critical; you must see it!
For more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD - Wall Street doesn't want you to know! Huge dump.
GOLD is currently very close to an extremely strong level, which is the previous swing high from August 2022!
The market will probably want liquidity above this swing high. I expect price to break this level and touch the top of the parallel ascending channel.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, a classic impulse wave is almost done. This is a simple pattern that may work in confluence with other indicators.
What do you think about gold? Let me know in the comment section, because I look forward to your opinions!
I recommend you short gold once we break the previous swing high or once we touch the top of the channel again. Of course, you can set a limit order or wait for some reversal pattern at the critical point on lower timeframes.
I hope this analysis will help you with your trading decisions! Keep in mind that this is not a trade setup. There is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Where should you place your profit target? You can use my level, which is the breakout point of the previous trendline (1681.94). You can also long gold here in the future once the price reaches this important point.
Wall Street doesn't want you to know that 99.9% of gold is paper gold in the form of contracts. You may say that the physical supply of gold is limited, which can be true. But they can "print" an infinite amount of paper gold backed by fiat.
For more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
FUTU - Breakout for Big Jump (150% Gain)Futu - a Chinese online brokerage & wealth management platform has finally broken its resistance of accumulation zone forming an ascending-triangle chart pattern.
This stock has tremendous potential. Let's know why:
1. Accumulation Completed
Futu entered accumulation stage (stage 1) somewhere in December 2021 following a steep fall inline with general market decline. Its growth was contained. But after a long accumulation period of about 1 year it has finally broken its accumulation zone with ascending triangle pattern, and has swiftly entered advanced stage (stage 2). One word of caution here: Buying volumes are not so high, but golden cross is imminent.
2. Earnings
Futu's revenues, which had slowed down in FY-2022, have again geared up with PQ growth of 11% in the recent quarter. Likewise, net income has grown 17%. These increases are not so high as they were in the previous years when Futu did mind-boggling growth, but mild gains are quite possible. Moreover, as it is a fast growing brokerage platform, its growth will resonate with the general market growth.
ETH - Trade Plan Buyers are advised to wait for a bullish breakout of the accumulation triangle, and form a bullish pennant pattern and go long till the projected staff of the flag.
Sellers are advised to wait for a bearish breakout of the triangle, and formation of a ascending wedge pattern and go short till the projected price of base of the wedge.
CHZUSDT - LONG - ADAM & EVE Hello Hello Traders .
By looking at the charts we can see an Adam & Eve pattern. A lesser known bullish reversal pattern is Adam & Eve double bottom. The pattern usually followed with a large up swing or trend higher after its second eve bottom. In this particular case the Adam & Eve pattern can also be considered as an ascending triangle pattern.
For the entry of this trade you should wait until the price breaks out on the upside of the pattern. After this happened the target could be targeted.
All further details are shown on the chart.
Make big profits.
Good Luck .
Bitcoin - Cheat sheet (road to 3k, levels)
Everyone will call you a cheater for these levels because you can very well predict massive short-term bounces! I will never give you a zone. I will give you levels that are exact to the dollar!
You can use these levels if you are a swing or intra-day trader, but also if you are an investor and you want to buy Bitcoin cheap. These levels are for everyone!
I expect a massive bounce from 10254 USD. You can use this level for a 30% - 50% profit with a stop loss of 8700 USD. You can be sure that I will be a buyer at this level. I don't want to miss this opportunity.
The question is, how long do we have to wait for prices to reach these levels? It doesn't matter; it can be this year, next year, or even in a few years. The sooner the better because you probably do not want Bitcoin to be stuck in some range between 14k and 20k for another year, but it's possible.
I believe 6435 is very likely if bitcoin fails to hold the 0.618 FIB. A simple pattern for Bitcoin is: if BTC fails to hold the 10254 area, then 6435 is the next support. If BTC fails to hold the 6435 area, then 3516 is the next support. If Bitcoin fails to hold 3516, then we can see a huge capitulation wick below 3000 with strong buying activity from whales. If BTC fails to hold 3000, then sorry, you have been scammed, and maybe BSV is the real Bitcoin. But I don't want to speculate on this topic of BTC vs. BSV at this moment.
The previous all-time high, set in 2017, is now extremely powerful: 19798. We can go here in the short term before continuing in the dump. So do not fall for any fake pumps. The DXY index will go much higher after a correction.
Many stop-loss orders have been placed below the previous swing low: 9825. I believe the market is going to wipe out all orders below this level.
I wish you massive profits at these levels! I don't want to wish you good luck because trading is not about luck.
19798: 2017 ATH resistance (major)
12468: Start of the volume area high (VAH) + swing high (minor)
10254: 0.618 LOG Fibonacci retracement (major)
9343: Point of Control (POC) + GAP (major)
7293: GAP (minor)
6435: POC of the previous triangle + swing low (major)
5303: Volume profile node + triangle 4h POC (minor)
3782: POC of the previous triangle + swing low: (minor)
3156: Ultimate bottom of the impulse wave: (major)
XRPUSD - Long - Ascending TriangleOn the chart we can see an ascending triangle. This is a bullish pattern when the pattern get validated. The pattern gets validated when the price breaks out of the upper line of the triangle. Only enter the trade when this happens.
When this plays out a 20% increase can be possible. Take profits when the price hits the targets.
All further details are shown on the chart.
Goodluck!