AFG.ASX_Bearish Braekdown Trade_ShortENTRY: 1.445
SL: 1.59
TP: 1.36
- ADX>25
- Daily RS -ve
- Daily FFI -ve
- Weekly RS -ve
- Weekly FFI -ve
- Moving averages are aligned.
- Stoch RSI near 70.
- Breakdown on 10 Jun 2022 and moved down to form a range.
- Entry based on today breakdown from range and >3% rebound off 10EMA with volume .
ASX
ASX 200 drills lower thanks to commodity stocksAustralia’s main share index, the ASX 200, closed lower on Wednesday by 0.5%. This fall could have been a lot worse If not for technology and financial stocks mitigating the rout in other major Australian sectors.
Australian Securities Exchange’s Metals & Mining Index fell by a massive 5.6%. Heavyweights in the mining sectors, Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO), Newcrest Mining (ASX: NCM), and Fortescue Metals Group (ASX: FMG) lead the way, falling by 7.4%, 6.6%, and 4.9%, respectively.
The ASX Energy Index also declined by 5.8% as crude oil prices plummeted 9% overnight Tuesday. Two of the most significant index drivers, Woodside Energy (ASX: WDS) and Whitehaven Coal (ASX: WHC), slumped by 6.9% and 3.7%, respectively.
Virus and lockdown concerns appear to be the main factors suppressing commodity and energy stocks in Australia.
Domestic tech stocks did briefly push the ASX 200 into green territory intraday but were ultimately overcome by the strong headwinds of commodity stocks. The big tech winner of the day was Zip Co (ASX: ZIP), rising by a phenomenal 12.8%. Financials were also up by 0.9% as three of the "Big-four" seek to benefit from the Reserve Bank of Australia lifting its benchmark interest rate by another 50-basis points.
On the technical side, we can see on the daily chart that the ASX200 has been on a clear downtrend since April.
The index is currently moving in a tight range between 6700 and 6560.
A break above the resistance at 6700 could potentially retest the 6810-level area, creating a lower high of the downtrend before continuing to the downside. In consideration of the long-term scenario, a close below 6560, depending on market sentiments, could eventually drive the index down to the 6000 psychological support level.
The ASX 200 might struggle to maintain short-term upside movements. At least until China moves past its Covid concerns and lockdowns in the country no longer threatens to sideline its commercial operations and consumer demand.
TPW.ASX_Bearish Pullback Trade_ShortENTRY: 3.29
SL: 3.89
TP1: 2.60
TP2: 1.90
- ADX>25
- Daily RS -ve
- Daily FFI +ve
- Weekly RS -ve
- Weekly FFI -ve
- Moving averages are aligned.
- Breakdown on 7 Jun 2022 and moved down followed by a pullback to near support-turn-resistance area (4.09) before moving down again.
- Entry based on today >3% rebound off 10EMA with volume .
VR1NEWS CAT
30 Jun - Good sales update min TCV of $19mil cash in bank.
Lower volume play so caution is key here. Not my fav setup as the candles are not full and kinda gappy which kinda indicates its thinly traded.
Option A or Option B..
The trigger is a breakl of falling resistance line and confluence is the stock getting back above vwap, 10 day ema on 5min chart also a reclaim of the "RL" range low marked on the chart.
It could also fall to crap but im not interest until we break falling res.
trade safe..
LLLCurrently in price discovery and the Volume on this is decent.
Nice full bodied candles on lower timeframes means is being actively traded.
I looking for a retest of the original breakout marked in blue range "LTRH and "LTRL" lower timeframe range high and lower time frame range low.
A break above the falling resistance line will be key trigger, i may bid the LTRL range low with tight stops if we get a flush down.
Another trigger will be a break of falling res line and reclaim of the upper range LTRH.
Let see what next weeks brings.
lithium stocks are rebounding which bodes well for the thesis.
360.ASX_Bearish Breakdown Trade_ShortENTRY: 2.43
SL: 2.91
TP1: 1.83
TP2: 1.68
- ADX>25
- Daily RS -ve
- Daily FFI -ve
- Weekly RS -ve
- Weekly FFI -ve
- Moving averages are aligned.
- First breakdown on 14 Jun 2022 followed by retracement to near support-turn-resistance area and 10EMA.
- >3% rebound off 10EMA on 22 Jun 2022. But would like volume to be higher.
- Entry based on breakdown ATL today.
ADH.ASX_Bearish Pullback Trade_ShortENTRY: 2.24
SL: 2.42
TP: 2.09-2.11
- ADX>25
- Daily RS -ve
- Daily FFI -ve
- Weekly RS -ve
- Weekly FFI -ve
- Moving averages are aligned.
- Breakdown on 20 May 2022 with a pullback to support-turn-resistance area (2.40) before moving down again.
- Entry based on today >3% rebound off 10EMA with volume.
MP1.ASX_Bearish Pullback Trade_ShortENTRY: 6.53
SL: 7.41
TP1: 5.36
TP2: 4.81
- ADX>25
- Daily RS -ve
- Daily FFI -ve
- Weekly RS -ve
- Weekly FFI -ve
- Moving averages are aligned.
- Breakdown on 21 Apr 2022 with volume before going into range and pullback to 20EMA.
- 30-31 May 2022 bearish engulfing candle near 20EMA and then went below 10EMA on 1 Jun 2022.
- Entry based on today >3% rebound off 10EMA with volume.
ASX Extremely Oversold Friday Afternoon Short SqueezeLooking for sellers to take profit and bargain hunters to squeeze this heavily sold Australia stock index into the close Friday or for Pop higher Morning if US stocks can Bounce.
In large sell offs Friday are profit taking days for sellers and this naturally causing some buying as they close short positions and in the fallout there are some stocks that are bought on dips that help the whole index rally.
Some good news would help but technically its sets up some excellent 3-1 and 5-1 risk rewards.
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
“Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based o n a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party."
Long Santos #STO #ASX # ASX200 # Trading #breakoutHi all,
An ascending triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern.
Continuation patterns are expected to lead to the continuation of an existing trend.
While the ascending triangle is considered a bullish continuation pattern, exceptions are quite possible. It’s not infrequent to see it develop in downtrend conditions.
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically, upward breakouts are more likely to occur, but downward ones seem to be more reliable.
Price is in an interesting area here.
Strong resistance around 8.4
Depending on your strategy offers a great RR.
Regards,
ASX.BSE Base Resources ASX .BSE Base Resources
Target longer term to fill out the flat corrective formation= also known as double top
Projection is 1.00 Fibonacci expansion and it fills out pretty nicely as a scenario. If all goes well of-course.
Progression upward from this point is the key performance indicator for the trade to be successful.
BRL.ASX_Bullish Breakout Trade_LongENTRY: 1.350
SL: 1.200
TP1: 1.485
TP2: 1.605
- ADX>25
- Daily RS +ve
- Daily FFI +ve
- Weekly RS +ve
- Weekly FFI +ve
- Moving averages are aligned
- Brokeout previously on 14 Apr 2022 and 2 May 2022 with volume/
- Entry based breakout today and on >2% rebound off 10EMA with volume
DMP.ASX_Bearish Breakout Trade_ShortENTRY: 75.45
SL: 82.29
TP1: 70.60
TP2: 66.31
- ADX>25
- Daily RS -ve
- Daily FFI -ve
- Weekly RS -ve
- Weekly FFI -ve
- Moving averages are aligned.
- Breakdown on 23 Feb 2022 and in range contraction since then.
- Entry based on today breakdown from range, >3% rebound off 10EMA and down-trendline with volume
ASX200 support remains from 6910Hi all, this morning, it's hard not to notice 6910 support on the ASX200 daily chart. Sellers once again breached the level but have again been unable to hold the break with buying developing in today's cash session.
We see this level as key support as it has held firm since April 2021. Green circles show the amount of times sellers have been unable to break the level since April. Interestingly, we've seen four moves higher after a level test. Today's idea is not a buy or a sell, it's more of a heads up.
We will be watching this level to see if any further ideas develop.
FLT:ASX The current situationA friend owns FLT . He was looking for some information as to whether he should hold (without disclosing his entry price), so here's my explanation.
Note : It makes it a lot easier to 'tell someone whether they should hold or sell' if I know the entry price. Why? Because trading profitably is about consistently cutting your losses quickly, and holding on to (or even doubling down during a pull back buy opportunity) your winners. If you do just that right, you can win with a very low ratio (E.g. Picking only 40% calls, correctly etc.)
The case for:
FLT's price is currently above it's 55 EMA (my favourite EMA to use - see orange line), and we're talking MONTHLY EMA.
It's also just breaking out, and holding (so far) above the downwards trend line.
Furthermore, during this blood bath going on (for many many stocks, ASX or not), it's holding above it's upward diagonal trend line.
If you look at the 55 Monthly EMA, and both trend lines mentioned above, you'll notice that as long as the price holds above ~$17.60 approximately, it's still a HOLD (if in already).
Would I be actively buying here? Depends. If there's nothing else to buy, maybe take a small pilot position here, however given the VIX is peaking and the entire market is a bit crazy, it's hard to tell.
Fibonacci levels* = DEF do not hold under $16.00. High risk of strong support there that, if breached? GNITE
Some questions (and risks) to fundamentally consider:
Could there be further international lockdowns? This would be bad (unless FLT focuses on local and domestic travel, which may be allowed)
Petrol prices' effects on flights and operating costs? If Ukraine/ Russia war continues, as well as other issues, and petrol keeps going up = this could be bad
Recession risk? If people are losing jobs (Carvana for example, even though the car market is ridiculous = can't get stock. So what do they do? Lay off people and buy online auction platform.**) they're less likely to take holidays for obvious reasons.
*Fibonacci levels drawn, using 'all time high' price and 'all time low' price (this is how I draw my fibonacci levels - they stay objective this way, and are applicable whether you're looking at a normal chart or log chart - so that's good!)
**This is why I refused to sell EVAuctions and other car domain names I own btw (for anyone who knows me and is reading this LOL). I saw this coming.
Thanks for reading!
[ Tendie.com coming soon ]
NXL.ASX_Bearish Breakout Trade_ShortENTRY: 1.1501 (average)
SL: 1.285
TP: 1.055
- ADX>25
- Daily RS -ve
- Daily FFI -ve
- Weekly RS -ve
- Weekly FFI -ve
- Moving averages are aligned.
- Breakdown with high volume today from range since 21 Jan 2022
- Entry based on today breakdown from range >3% with volume