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ASX WTM - Exploratory EMA Strategy: 30-Min Back-TestThis script implements a simple EMA crossover strategy for backtesting purposes on 30-minute intervals. It uses the following parameters: Entry Signal: Triggered when the 118-period EMA crosses above the 150-period EMA. Exit Signal: Triggered when the 18-period EMA crosses below either the 118-period or 150-period EMA. Backtest Results (6M): Net Profit: 1,565.10 AUD (+156.51%) Total Closed Trades: 2 Percent Profitable: 50.00% Max Drawdown: 47.61 AUD (4.76%) Average Trade: 782.55 AUD (78.26%) These results are based on a 6-month period using 30-minute candles and should be taken with caution. This strategy performed well during this period, but past performance is not indicative of future results. Remember, this script is intended for back-testing and exploration only.
ASX:WTMLong
by PPonBIN
ASX futures snap 9-day streak, further downside loomsYesterday I outlined why I was suspicious of the ASX 200 rally, and today I see it has now retraced. The ASX 200 futures market snapped an 11-day streak after forming a bearish pinbar perfectly at a 78.6% Fibonacci level, below the 8,000 handle. Volumes have been declining during the entire ‘rally’ which shows a lack of bullish enthusiasm, and potentially points to a deeper pullback. A bearish trend has developed on the 1-hour chart, and the support zone ~7917/25 has now been respected as resistance. The bias is to fade into rallies towards that resistance zone in anticipation of a move down to 7860.
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
ASX 200 mimics Wall Street's 'risk-on' rally into Jackson HoleOverbought indicators are of little use when markets are obsessed with rate cuts ahead of a key fed speech. Jerome Powell will speak at the Jackson hole symposium and Friday, and expectations for a dovish show are high. And that's helped Wall Street indices extend gains and the allowed the ASX 200 to tag along for the ride. But if this turns out to be a classic 'buy the rumour, sell the fact' tale, traders may need to factor in some of the overbought clues on the daily chart.
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
ASX 200 futures test their luck below resistanceI see a common connection when looking across Wall Street futures, ASX 200 and the Nikkei. They're all retracing higher after a large drop and grinding their way towards resistance levels. And that could appeal to bearish swing traders. ASX 200 futures (SPI) are within their 8th day higher. And as they have only recouped around 2/3rds of the drop rom the fall the record high (and over a longer timeframe than the drop) I suspect a swing high is due. Note Tuesday's doji, and subsequent price action has traded in the upper wick of that doj. A resistance cluster hovers around 7873 - 7900, and we favour fading into any moves towards it with a stop above 7700. Bears could target just above 7700 for a downside target.
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
1
ASX 200 hints at Turnaround TuesdayStock markets took quite the beating on Monday on fears of a US recession, and speculation that the Fed may be forced to cut rates as soon as next week. A stronger-than-expected ISM services report slowed the bleeding before Wall Street indices recouped some of their pre-session losses. Nikkei futures have since risen 10% from Monday's low, which could bode well for the ASX 200. SPI 200 futures saw a false break of the April low and held above the Feb low. A bullish divergence has formed on the 1-hour chart and prices are trying to hold above the weekly S3 pivot. Dips towards 7500 could appeal to countertrend trend for a move up towards 7700.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
1
ASX 200 futures hints at another leg higherThe sharp fall from its record high remains the dominant feature on the daily ASX 200 futures chart. Whilst this is likely to suppress appetite for risk for some time, Tuesday's bullish hammer suggests bears are in need of a break. The false break of the April low has been followed by a higher low and higher high on the 1-hour chart. Prices are now trying to form another higher low, so dips look appealing for bullish setups down to 7555. 7700 is the next upside target near the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio, although there is also a resistance cluster between 7767 to 7794 which also seems reachable. Whether it can extend such a move really depends on appetite for risk elsewhere.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
1
Simple technicals, Northern Star Resources - NST (ASX)Northern Star Resources - NST (ASX) In a long term bullish move, and medium term pullback with a recovery bounce off the 200-day moving average. We are starting to see a possible convergence on the medium-term MACD, which could lead to a recovery in the medium term, if buying continues. Full report details for members at marketmonkey.com.au Please feel free to request more Blue Chip technicals via hello@marketmonkey.com.au 🙈
ASX:NSTLong
by Market_Monkey_AU
Aristocrat Leisure - is price over extended?#ASX #ALL - Aristocrat Leisure Examining #ALL for July, the strength of buying remains moderate to strong, which is continuing to push the price higher towards the end of July. Currently on directional indicators in the Blue Chip stock analysis report (marketmonkey.com.au), the price is over extended for a second month. This over-exuberant buying tends to decline into the third month, when prices often weaken. No convergence as yet with the short-term moving averages, so price is likely to remain bullish in the very short term. Please feel free to request ASX stock analysis via hello@marketmonkey.com.au 🙈
ASX:ALL
by Market_Monkey_AU
ASX 200 bulls eye 8000The ASX 200 futures contract (SPI 200) snapped a 3-day losing streak overnight, and with Wall Street trying to shed last week's losses and the Nikkei and Hang Seng finding support, we suspect a bounce could be due for the ASX today. The daily chart found support at the 20-day EMA and monthly R1 pivot and closed back above the May high. It is now within 1-2 day's trade form the 8k level. The 1-hour chart shows a liquidity gap between 7950 - 8000, and with bullish momentum behind it we could find that area acts as a magnet to fill the gap towards 8000. Bulls could seek dips back towards the May high for longs up to 8000, although without a fresh catalyst it seems like a tempting area for bulls to book profits.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
2
Liontown Resource OutlookTechnical Analysis Short-term: Watch the $1.00 support level. If it holds, there might be a short-term bounce, especially considering the increased volume at this level. Medium-term: Monitor the $1.25 support and $1.75 resistance levels. Both levels show significant volume activity, indicating strong buying and selling interest. Long-term: Significant resistance is around $2.75. A break above this level, confirmed by high volume, could indicate a potential for higher highs. Macro Analysis The latest quarterly report for Liontown Resources, dated March 2024, indicates several updates and progress compared to the previous financial report. Here are the main changes: 1. Project Completion Progress: The Kathleen Valley Lithium Project is now more than 85% complete on an earned value basis, with the process plant approximately 90% complete. This is a significant advancement compared to earlier stages. 2. Workforce and Construction Hours: The site-based workforce now exceeds 900 people, and approximately three million work hours have been recorded since construction commenced at Kathleen Valley (61204675-1) . 3. Mining Progress: Underground mining has achieved significant progress, with approximately 1,535 total development meters recorded for the March quarter Open pit mining has also advanced well, with 1.1 million bulk cubic meters mined and ore being stockpiled ahead of plant startup 4. Process Plant and Infrastructure: Commissioning of the dry plant commenced in late March 2024, with the crushing circuit energized ahead of schedule Wet plant milestones were achieved, with key areas like flotation piping and electrical well-progressed 5. Financial Position and Funding: Execution of a A$550 million debt package to support the Kathleen Valley project, ensuring sufficient funding through to first production and beyond The company's cash balance was A$358.1 million as of 31 March 2024 6. Business Readiness and Recruitment: Business readiness preparations continued to build momentum ahead of first production, with 258 full-time employees directly employed by Liontown at the end of the quarter 7. Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Activities: Key ESG activities progressed, including the approval of the Kathleen Valley Mining Proposal update and the completion of heritage surveys for infrastructure construction 8. New Contracts and Agreements: The Kathleen Valley Village Services contract was awarded to Sirrom Corporation for three years Significant progress was made on the construction of the 95MW Hybrid Power Station, including the installation of solar panels and live testing of LNG gensets 9. Tailings Storage Facility and Water Management: The Tailings Storage Facility (TSF) cell 1 continues to be filled with raw water to support start-up processing operations These changes reflect significant advancements in project development, financial structuring, and operational readiness compared to previous reports, positioning Liontown Resources closer to commencing production and generating revenue from the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project.
ASX:LTRLong
by monkreet
ASX looks set to retrace from resistanceThe ASX 200 cash market enjoyed its most bullish day in seven on Thursday. But like the SPI 200 futures contract, it met resistance before pausing. The daily chart shows that a double top formed around the June 26 high and trend resistance. And as it's not unusual to see a market retrace against a strong move, and we have an NFP report looming which could suppress volatility, we're looking for prices to retrace lower against yesterday's rally. Bears could target the 20-day EMA between the weekly and monthly pivot point, with a stop above yesterday's high.
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
ASX rally to stall at market price?ASX200 - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the daily chart. RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 7770 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 7725. We look to Sell at 7800 (stop at 7832) Our profit targets will be 7720 and 7700 Resistance: 7775 / 7800 / 7825 Support: 7750 / 7735 / 7725 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:AU200AUDShort
by OANDA
AU200AUD to continue in the upward move?ASX200 - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 7800 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 7850. We look to Buy at 7750 (stop at 7710) Our profit targets will be 7825 and 7850 Resistance: 7800 / 7825 / 7850 Support: 7750 / 7725 / 7700 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:AU200AUDLong
by OANDA
ASX 200 futures looks set for a bullish breakoutThe SPI 200 shows an established uptrend on the 1-hour chart, with a recent bullish engulfing candle forming a higher low around the 20-bar EMA and closing above a retracement line. The RSI remains above 50 to show positive momentum, and there are no obvious signs of a topping pattern forming on the chart. A break above 7907 assumes bullish continuation and brings the 7936 high into focus, a break above which opens up a run for the all-time high. Bulls could seek dips within the recent bullish engulfing candle whilst prices remain above its low, in anticipation of a break above 7907.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex