BTC ShortGoing to get real UGLY when this thing breaks down,
CRYPTOCAP:BTC #ETH CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Two tests of lower HTF Range low,
Lower time frame Buy side liquidity has already been raided.
Price looking for Sell Side liquidity ??
ASX
COH - ascending triangleCochlear recently broke down from range highs/distribution. It appears to be printing an ascending triangle, a continuation pattern suggesting further downside ahead. I am looking to fill a short around 232 or on the breakdown.
What goes up comes downI am just not sure what has caused this extraordinary price drop, when apparently it was looking like it was just recovering from down trend - if anyone knows please comment .
May be it’s just natural price correction in market, looking at today’s price action, buyers were able to take it up in first two hours up to $125.84, till that time it’s was all buyers hardly any sellers but later it’s was all sellers and price couldn’t hold and closed below opening price altogether 18.40% down.
If this is just some weird correction without any fundamentals changing, then I think price should come down to round $105 range.
Keeping a watch on this stock, leaving my notes here for community discussion.
Please note it’s not a trading advise by any means, please do your own research.
The swing low could be in for the ASX 200 (XJO)The ASX 200 suffered its worst day in 10-week on the final day of May, thanks to weak China PMIs and month-end flows. The first day of June posted a very minor (almost sheepish) gain, but with a positive lead from Wall Street and SPI futures higher by ~0.66% overnight, the ASX is expected to extend its rise from the lows.
The fact that the lows formed around a 61.8% Fibonacci ratio 7070 support level alongside a bullish RSI divergence could bode well for bulls over the near-term. From here the bias is bullish above last week's low and for a move to the 7200 area, within the channel. But as the channel appears to be corrective in nature then we also see the potential for it to head for (and break above) the 7300 highs.
But as we're a period of the year notorious for fickle price action and lower trading volumes, traders might be wise to remain nimble and seek smaller moves unless a large macro theme arrives worthy of expecting broad-range expansion for global markets.
ASX to find sellers at trend line?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We look to sell rallies.
We look to Sell at 7220 (stop at 7270)
Our profit targets will be 7095 and 7065
Resistance: 7305 / 7435 / 7600
Support: 7120 / 7010 / 6825
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
ASX in a trend of lower highs.ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 7210 (stop at 7260)
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
Neckline comes in at 7133.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 7210.
Our profit targets will be 7085 and 7010
Resistance: 7215 / 7435 / 7600
Support: 7010 / 6825 / 6660
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
(ASX: $SPQ)
ASX:SPQ Potential move to Z2 (Zone 2), due to increasing bullish volume, interest from retail, and organisational bodies.
I don't think we'll see major moves in share price until we get some interesting market news.
Top 20 Holders have remained the same over the last 2 years, current price reduction represents retail investors cutting losses. Despite having positive market news in April, sophisticated investors did offload some of their shares, not for a huge profit, but in order to buy back in at a lower price.
ASX:SPQ Recently raised $4M AUD to proceed with further drilling and exploration projects. Options have been released with an execution price of 0.06c before Nov 24.
This can be viewed positively, as the company is confident in its short to medium term capability, and is expecting to please investors.
The top 20 Holders own roughly 31% of market share, considering they have remained the same over the last 2 years, we can be confident that they aren't going to dump huge volume on us retail investors.
We can use the RSI to visualise how the institutions are maintaining a level of support at this key level, hopefully pulling us out of this 3 stage downtrend.
I'll try and update this Idea as we get more information from the company in this exciting time!
It could be now or never for ASX 200 bullsI suspect it could be a case of now or never for ASX bulls.
Whilst it suffered its worst day in 9-weeks on Thursday, this could be part of an ABC correction and the 200-day MA is nearby as a probably support level, even if it breaks lower today. Futures markets shows heavy volume occurred around yesterday's lows (bears piled in around the lows) yet sentiment could rise if a debt ceiling deal is reached as reported, forcing a short-covering rally.
Yesterday’s low sits around a 50% retracement and 61.8% projection level, and there is a volume cluster around 7122 during the strong rally which could provide support. Furthermore, RSI (2) is oversold.
The bias is bullish above 7090 (below the 200-day MA) and for its next leg higher to begin.
AU200 to see a temporary move higher?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Previous support level of 7129 broken.
Short term bias has turned negative.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 7190 level.
We look to Sell at 7190 (stop at 7230)
Our profit targets will be 7090 and 7010
Resistance: 7215 / 7305 / 7435
Support: 7010 / 6825 / 6660
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Sympathy bounce for the ASX 200?Whilst prices are expected to open lower, we’re on guard for a small countertrend bounce. A bullish hammer formed on the daily chart at the lower Bollinger band which found support at the 50% retracement level and 200-day EMA. A bullish divergence has formed on the RSI (2) within the overbought zone. A break above yesterday’s high could potentially see it retest the 7275 low, or the monthly pivot point around 7300.
If we managed to bounce that far, we'd then look for signs of weakness for a potential swing trade short, given weak sentiment for global stocks and the tendency for stocks to underperform around this year due to "sell in May and go away" seasonality.
A break of yesterday’s low assumes bearish continuation.
Shares - ASX - Paladin. Ascending triangle get longShares ASX - Paladin. Paladin appears to be bottoming out. Possible double bottom. So we have a reversal pattern as a starting point. We then started forming an ascending triangle with resistance at 0.66. RSI on the triangle is stronger suggesting the triangle should breakout to the upside. We have a dragonfly doji recently also suggesting bullish price action.
RSI is higher as the triangle forms.
Volume is low as the pattern forms especially on the sells.
STO has dropped to 14 on the recent low so it is primed for a bounce.
Entry. More risk adverse traders would enter on the break up of the 0.66 range. Less risk adverse traders enter at the bottom of the ascending triangle. Pretty much now. I bought now.
Target 1 is 0.75.
Stop loss 0.57.
Current price is 0.615.
ASX.GNG GR Engineering FirmWest Australian based engineering firm designing and constructing mine processing facilities for some of Australia's biggest mining companie s.
Huge growth potential shown in the 1W chart.
ST
from here we should rely on support around the 1.60 area.
I think we should swing somewhere in the region of 2.00 which is the 0.382 retracement of wave a-c
GL1 (ASX) - Potential swing set up long Following the impulsive movement up since the March 23rd low, the chart formed an expanding flat which is followed by another smaller expanding flat. The longer the build up, the bigger the potential down the track. Usually a bigger impulse (after the flat) followed by consolidation is more desirable. If you look further back at the market structure, this ticker has reached $3.
Have a tight stop here whatever you're trading style if you jump in without further confirmation signals. (I would use a 5-7% stop loss).
I am only looking at charts here, not fundamentals.
$LPI long (B wave potential here)LPI has experienced an impulsive 25% drop after Chile announces that it will nationalise its country's lithium supply. Private companies will be forced to work with the state to develop the local industry. I have not looked in depth into Chile's lithium industry and the potential long term consequences but the market demonstrated how it felt about the announcement. SQM fell 17% and Albemarle fell 9% (both in the top 5 largest lithium companies in the world). It is no surprise th
From a charting perspective, this looks like a clear running flat but could also become an expanding flat down the track. The impulsive C wave down could also be interpreted as the end of a new A- wave. This could mean that there B wave potential here for a swing.
CXO ( potential swing trade long - April 2023)CXO looks to be forming a running flat in the short term. C-wave is incomplete so a little patience is required before considering an entry. Any move to the golden zone will need to be scrutinized. The 92c and 89c level represent sturdy resistance and support zones. Could also possibly become an expanding flat in the future. A tight stop loss here (5 to 7%) is required if there is a decision to play.
ASX to find support at recent swing low?ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 7316 (stop at 7266)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias has turned positive.
We look to buy dips.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 7310 level.
Our profit targets will be 7436 and 7466
Resistance: 7435 / 7600 / 7815
Support: 7305 / 7215 / 7120
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
QPM LONG (ASX)QPM's debt financing is making progress. An important milestone was reached with a German supplier collaboration agreement as well as German Funding support. German companies Plinke GmbH and Andritz Separation GmbH & Siemens LTD have agreed with supplying a significant proportion of capital equipment required for the TECH PROJECT. Germany's Export Credit agency provided a tied loan guarantee of 500 million and Kfw IPEX confirmed an interest in providing 250 million.
QPM currently has A$1.4 billion in conditional debt funding. Investors await the potential debt commitments of K-Sure and other commercial banks. Investors also await an equity component here. QPM has done exceptionally well despite the economic climate but it is important to be objective as their 2.1b capex total remains a significant hurdle. A high level of risk is still involved here (despiting Stephen Grocott and his team continually derisking this project!). I have personally reduced my holdings out of concern of current macro conditions.
From a charting perspective, QPM has been in a deep downtrend since October 2022. QPM has experienced reprieve after the german supplier collaboration on the 4th of April. Without it, the ticker was in the doldrums experiencing a death cross on 7th December 2022. Any impulsive movement above the top trendline (15c to 17c) alongside a corrective flat in that range will constitute a buy signal. Any movement like this would probably coincide with further debt financing progress. Can Stephen Grocott and his team bring this home?
ASX to find support at previous swing high?ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 7270 (stop at 7220)
Previous resistance level of 7272 broken.
Our short term bias remains positive.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 7390 and 7420
Resistance: 7435 / 7600 / 7815
Support: 7305 / 7215 / 7120
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
PLS Long (ASX)The C wave from March 2023 demonstrates bearish movement from falling lithium spot prices and a bearish macro environment. The C wave movement has turned this from a running flat to an expanding flat . Interesting to watch market psychology is at play here as participants sold PLS down despite a 1.2 billion in profit and a maiden 11c dividend paid out. Prices reached as low as $3.5 during this period. This could either be a completed expanding flat or the C wave in this flat could actually be the beginning of a new A wave. As demonstrated by the 2016 to 2020 corrective flat, prolonged consolidation lead to a 35 bag movement.
Regardless of whether it's the beginning of a new A wave or the end of an expanding flat, consolidation is healthy. Expect short term upside too. PLS long for the next decade.
** Note: During the end of March 2023, Albermarle attempted to acquire LTR. The big players are accumulating despite bearish sentiment.
ASX to see a limited rally?ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 7160 (stop at 7210)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 7175.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 7020 and 6980
Resistance: 7145 / 7320 / 7600
Support: 7000 / 6860 / 6660
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
ASX crucial support continues to hold back bears.ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 6910 (stop at 6860)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
The trend of higher lows is located at 6881.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 7050 and 7145
Resistance: 7145 / 7320 / 7600
Support: 6860 / 6660 / 6405
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CXO LONG (ASX)Moved from a running flat to an expanding flat . Spot lithium prices have fallen 34% in the month of March, highlighting a slowdown in demand caused by contractionary monetary policy. The spillover effect onto major banks indicate a stronger possibility of further downside which may lead to a recession during summer (US). Downside is clearly linked with a number of macro factors including Fed induced banking crisis (SVB) and dropping lithium spot prices. Lithium stocks have dropped significantly in March 23 so will be expecting more corrective movement for now.
The world is moving towards electrification and CXO is now a producer. My forecast is that CXO will exceed $2 in 12-18 months .
$TIE
Looking for a push above monthly open and acceptance.
"Range low" has to hold for this trade to work out.
Consolidation above monthly open is bullish signal for me to trade into Blue Box as target 1 and onto 2
Worry about target 2 if we hold the first Blue box.
Yellow highlighter indicates liquidity and stops that have now been wiped out.
Recent news catalyst
"TIETTO MINERALS ( $TIE $TIE.ax ) has released " Tietto Ramps Up to Full Production at Abujar Gold Mine " on 20/3/2023 at 9:55 am AEST #Tech #Metals #Drilling"
