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Asx200

BST @ 4 OCT 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- BST - First time doing a written analysis on BST - Stock re-started trading in late July - Since then, has had a 50% increase with nice uptrends - A nice test of the short-term average and a successful rebound will present a good entry opportunity - Stock volume is roughly less than 100k -> Illiquid stocks could mean that the stock may have sudden strong movements - Price action over the last 2 months shows quite healthy price volatility - A successful rebound close to 3.45 levels would represent a successful rebound - R is borderline 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a successful rebound before plotting entry
B
by Jerm88
ABB @ 4 Oct 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- ABB - First time doing a written analysis on ABB - In last night’s FB livestream, I suggested a breakout entry if believe the stock was capable of forming new all-time highs - Today, the stock created a new ATH but quickly retraced to form a bearish pin bar - Historically, the stock has had periods of uptrends interrupted by long periods of sideways consolidation - Stock is currently trading a resistance zone (blue highlighted zone) - A breakout entry would mean entering at a price that is far from the short-term support - Due to today’s bearish pin bar with above average volume, the entry for setup is on the risky side - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a better setup for entry
ASX:ABB
by Jerm88
Will the markets meltdown and hammer the bulls as yields rallyThe action has been very heavy this week and major indexes have been pressured lower. There is a lot for bulls to think about and many will be getting nervous. Will the FED come to the rescue again??....and will the Dip Buyers provide support again. In the video I take a look at my key markets and how I am approaching the current market action. I look at US 10-year bonds, the USD, SP500, DOW, Nasdaq and the ASX200.
CBOT:ZN1!
by TradeTheStructure
SHL @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- SHL - Previous analysis was done on 13 Sep -> suggested waiting for successful rebound to around 43.00 levels before plotting entry - Since then, the stock did not recover to around 43 levels - Instead, the stock closed below the mid-term support last Friday - In last night’s livestream, I shared that I was still holding the stock and I’m going to risk some of my unrealised gains to see if the stock is capable of an immediate recovery - Today, it closed above the mid-term resistance by the skin of its teeth - I’m still concerned by the lack of buying volume returning -> an important criteria that can drive a strong rebound - A successful rebound will be at 42.50 levels - R is less than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of HHs and HLs
ASX:SHL
by Jerm88
CXL @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- CXL - Previous analysis was done on 15 Sep -> suggested waiting for retracement and successful rebound - Since then, the stock created a new all-time high and quickly to test $5 levels - Price is quite extended at the moment and far from the short-term support - A successful rebound look to be around 5.35 levels - Due to the risky setup, a better way to manage this trade is to wait for another retracement and rebound wave - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for another retracement and successful rebound
ASX:CXL
by Jerm88
CSL @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- CSL - Previous analysis was done on 7 Sep -> suggested half entry around 310 levels if comfortable with overhead resistance zone - Since then, the stock continues to be bounded by the overhead resistance zone (blue shaded area) and the counter-trendline (purple dash line) - As mentioned in last night’s livestream, I raised my concerns that the stock might experience a retracement - Stock closed below the short-term average -> we could see a test of the mid-term support this week - A successful rebound would be when the stock goes back to 310 levels - R is below 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest half entry around 310 levels if comfortable with overhead resistance zone
ASX:CSL
by Jerm88
ACL @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- ACL - Previous analysis was done on 23 Sep - Suggested waiting for successful breakout of 4.60 levels accompanied with strong volume before plotting entry - After last Friday’s gap up and quick retracement, I thought the stock would retrace to the short-term support again - Today, the stock closed above the resistance with slightly above average volume - Stock looks to be a bit far from short-term support -> slightly higher risk - Continued price action above today’s high would be a successful breakout - Increased trading volume would be another good confirmation - R is borderline 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest entry above today’s high if believe the stock is capable of forming new all-time highs
A
by Jerm88
ASX 200 @ 27 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- 27 SEP 2021 – Market Watch As mentioned in last night’s livestream, the ASX 200 is currently trading in No Man’s Land. This is a zone where it is trading in a band that is bounded by a strong resistance (7400 levels) and strong support (7250 levels). Usually, when an index or stock is stuck in No Man’s Land, there needs to be a strong catalyst to break either the resistance/support. With the markets still feeling the unease stemming from Evergrande’s missed interest payment last Thursday and the continued lack of clarity on the US Fed’s tapering plans, I fear we might continue to be stuck in this tight band (blue shaded zone) for at least the coming week. The best-case scenario is if there is a successful push to 7500 levels and beyond. If it happens, I would be more bullish on the market. As it is, I am more trigger happy when deciding to trim positions. If Evergrande somehow presents a huge contagion effect at a global level similar to Lehman Brothers, the ASX 200 will likely drop to possibly even break 7150 levels. 88% of my stocks are green today. How about you? If you find this market analysis helpful, let me know in the comments. May the markets continue to be with us! Disclaimer:- I’m a mid-term trader and I hold my stocks between 1-3 months. I’m using Trend Following strategies and my analysis will be from a perspective as a Trend Follower. I’m sharing these analyses for learning purposes and as always, DYOR.
ASX:XJO
by Jerm88
10
XRF @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- XRF - Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep -> suggested waiting for stock to retrace and rebound successfully - Stock recently had a minor retracement and rebounded - On 30 Aug, suggested entry at 0.54 levels if believe the stock can create new highs - Since then, the stock has risen 24% in less than 4 weeks - If you missed the suggested entries, current price is no longer suitable for entry - Price is currently too far from the short-term support - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for stock to retrace and rebound successfully
ASX:XRF
by Jerm88
TLS @ 23 SEP 2021 Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- TLS - Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested half entry at 3.95 levels if believe the stock can successfully breakout of resistance at 4.00 levels - Since then, the stock had a failed breakout and quickly retraced back to the mid-term support - Stock is rebounding and is again testing the strong resistance at 4.00 levels again - Successful breakout looks to be close to 4.10 levels - R is less than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout before plotting entry
ASX:TLS
by Jerm88
REA @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- REA - Previous analysis was done on 9 Sep - Suggested waiting for successful breakout of 170 resistance levels - Since then, the stock has gone up 9% and broken through the counter-trendline (purple dotted line) - 170 levels has been a resistance since June 2021 (blue dotted line) - A successful breakout looks to be around 174 levels - If a breakout is unsuccessful, it’s important that the stock rebounds of the counter-trendline - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout of 170 levels
ASX:REA
by Jerm88
4
MQG @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- MQG - First time doing a written analysis on MQG - Stock has a history of uptrend that is punctuated with sideways movements - Usually, a low volatility stock that doesn’t have strong pullbacks (less than 10%) - Stock would fit traders/investors who have a longer time horizon (ie. A few months) - Recent test of the short-term support and subsequent rebound has provided a potential rebound entry - R is less than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest entry above today’s high if believe the stock is capable of creating new all-time highs
ASX:MQG
by Jerm88
CHC @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- CHC - Previous analysis was done on 21 Sep – Suggested half entry at 18.30 levels or wait for successful breakout of 18.50 resistance levels - Since then, the stock has successfully broken out with above average volume - If you have taken the entry suggestion, there will be gains of 2-4% within 2 days - Stock is currently trading at all-time high levels - Price is too far from short-term support -> no good setup for entry - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for retracement and successful rebound
ASX:CHC
by Jerm88
ACL @ 23 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- ACL - Previous analysis was done on 16 Sep - Suggested waiting for successful breakout of 4.60 levels before plotting entry - Stock has been trapped in a band (moving sideways) for almost a month - It still respects the short-term support -> good thing - Stock has a lot of long shadows around the 4.60 resistance zone - R is borderline 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout of resistance accompanied with strong volume before plotting entry
A
by Jerm88
CNI @ 21 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- CNI - Previous analysis was done on 16 Sep - Suggested entry at 3.50 levels if believe the stock can create new all-time highs - The next day, the stock gapped up to create new all-time highs -> no good setup for entry - Since then, the stock has re-tested the short-term support and today created a nice pin bar - A successful rebound will be close to 3.60 levels - R is less than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful rebound before plotting entry
ASX:CNI
by Jerm88
CHC @ 21 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- CHC - Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested waiting for successful breakout of either counter-trendline or 18.50 resistance levels - Stock today broke out of counter-trendline with slightly above average volume - There is still an overhead resistance at 18.50 levels - While the overall market has been weak, the stock has respected the short-term support -> good sign - If you didn’t enter at counter-trendline breakout, entry at current price levels would be a pre-breakout strategy for the 18.50 resistance levels - R is less than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest half entry at current levels or waiting for successful breakout of 18.50 resistance levels
ASX:CHC
by Jerm88
PLS @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- PLS - Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested half entry at 2.25 levels or wait for more confirmation of uptrend - The next day, stock gapped up to create new all-time high and there were no entry opportunities - Stock has retraced back to the 2.00-2.05 support zone -> shows a lot of weakness - Any break of this support zone would also constitute a structure break - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows
ASX:PLS
by Jerm88
LYC @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- LYC - Previous analysis was done on 14 Sep - Suggested waiting for a retracement and successful rebound - Since then, the stock tested $8 levels and today broke through the short- and mid-term supports with above average volume - Stock is exhibiting high price volatility and may not be suitable for all types of traders - A successful rebound looks to be close to 7.50 levels - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows
ASX:LYC
by Jerm88
2
GLN @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- GLN - Previous analysis was done on 15 Sep -> suggested waiting for the next rebound wave for a better setup for entry - Since then, the stock has retraced back to re-test the $1 psychological support - Any strong break of the 1.00 support levels will also coincide with a structure break - Stock will have to rebound to around 1.19 levels to have any chance of a mid-term uptrend - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows
ASX:GLN
by Jerm88
IGO @ 20 SEP 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- IGO - Previous analysis was done on 15 Sep -> suggested waiting for successful breakout of $10 psychological resistance - Since then, there was a false breakout and the stock quickly fell below the mid-term support with above average volume - Four of my other indicators are also borderline bearish - A Higher High and Lower Low was formed in the past week -> usually a sign of sideways consolidation - R is more than 10% - Strategy-to-buy (DYOR) – Suggest waiting for successful breakout of $10 psychological resistance
ASX:IGO
by Jerm88