Asx200
Stock Index Review...Key Levels you need to watch!!We take a look at the Daily charts and price action on our Key Indexes.
It is important to have a longer term view of the price action and risk levels on the key markets so we will discuss our major markets and what we are looking for in the video.
We take a look at the following Key Indexes:-
Nasdaq, DOW, DAX, FTSE, ASX200, Hang Seng and the Nikkei.
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Stock Index Review - Key Markets and levels to watchWe take a look at the Daily charts and price action on our Key Indexes.
It is important to have a longer term view of the price action and risk levels on the key markets so we will discuss our major markets and what we are looking for in the video.
We take a look at the following Key Indexes:-
SP500, Nasdaq, DOW, DAX, FTSE, ASX200, Hang Seng and the Nikkei.
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*** Pleas Leave a Like and Comment if you enjoyed this video ***
ASX200 Review...Where to from here?A look at the price action for the Australian ASX200 Index.
The recent price action has been very choppy and directionless leaving both bulls and bears scratching their heads. I expect that this uncertain theme will continue in the short term with the mid to longer term action largely range bound.
In the short term, I expect to see a swing lower and if recent price action is any indication, we will see the recent low taken out. This suggests a 4% move lower from current levels around 7260.
If we see the Global macro environment deteriorate, I expect to see share prices across the board come under pressure.
ASXA new day .. new analysis .. right?
Today we look at ASX, which is in the Australian market index.
Price was moving inside his trading range, but recently, there has been a strong candle in the downward movement.
Look how easily the price is coming down but going up takes some time.
Now the price broke the support, but we are in the sold area in RSI .. so the price has to come up and acquire more liquidity and then continue going down. Here is what we can expect.
PS - price choose the second scenario, and now we are waiting for the signal to enter sell positions ..leave your thoughts and comments and let's see your opinion.
Nikkei 225: Bearish Divergence at Bearish Butterfly PCZThere is Bearish Divergence on both the RSI and MACD at the PCZ of a Bearish Butterfly, and there will hardly be any support until we reach the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension down at 18627JPY, but from the looks of it, it will likely be a very fast drop followed by an even faster recovery, but in the meantime the JPY could gain some strength.
ASX-200: Weekly Dark Cloud Cover and Head and ShouldersThe ASX200 has printed a Dark Cloud Cover visible on the weekly chart within the Potential Right Shoulder of a Head and Shoulders pattern as it breaks down below a Bearish Dragon Trend Line as the RSI enters the Bearish Control Zone. All of this data put together leads me to believe that it will experience some significant bearish price action in the future and that it could go all the way down to the 800-Week EMA.
What goes up comes downI am just not sure what has caused this extraordinary price drop, when apparently it was looking like it was just recovering from down trend - if anyone knows please comment .
May be it’s just natural price correction in market, looking at today’s price action, buyers were able to take it up in first two hours up to $125.84, till that time it’s was all buyers hardly any sellers but later it’s was all sellers and price couldn’t hold and closed below opening price altogether 18.40% down.
If this is just some weird correction without any fundamentals changing, then I think price should come down to round $105 range.
Keeping a watch on this stock, leaving my notes here for community discussion.
Please note it’s not a trading advise by any means, please do your own research.
The swing low could be in for the ASX 200 (XJO)The ASX 200 suffered its worst day in 10-week on the final day of May, thanks to weak China PMIs and month-end flows. The first day of June posted a very minor (almost sheepish) gain, but with a positive lead from Wall Street and SPI futures higher by ~0.66% overnight, the ASX is expected to extend its rise from the lows.
The fact that the lows formed around a 61.8% Fibonacci ratio 7070 support level alongside a bullish RSI divergence could bode well for bulls over the near-term. From here the bias is bullish above last week's low and for a move to the 7200 area, within the channel. But as the channel appears to be corrective in nature then we also see the potential for it to head for (and break above) the 7300 highs.
But as we're a period of the year notorious for fickle price action and lower trading volumes, traders might be wise to remain nimble and seek smaller moves unless a large macro theme arrives worthy of expecting broad-range expansion for global markets.
ASX to find sellers at trend line?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We look to sell rallies.
We look to Sell at 7220 (stop at 7270)
Our profit targets will be 7095 and 7065
Resistance: 7305 / 7435 / 7600
Support: 7120 / 7010 / 6825
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
ASX in a trend of lower highs.ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 7210 (stop at 7260)
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
Neckline comes in at 7133.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 7210.
Our profit targets will be 7085 and 7010
Resistance: 7215 / 7435 / 7600
Support: 7010 / 6825 / 6660
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
It could be now or never for ASX 200 bullsI suspect it could be a case of now or never for ASX bulls.
Whilst it suffered its worst day in 9-weeks on Thursday, this could be part of an ABC correction and the 200-day MA is nearby as a probably support level, even if it breaks lower today. Futures markets shows heavy volume occurred around yesterday's lows (bears piled in around the lows) yet sentiment could rise if a debt ceiling deal is reached as reported, forcing a short-covering rally.
Yesterday’s low sits around a 50% retracement and 61.8% projection level, and there is a volume cluster around 7122 during the strong rally which could provide support. Furthermore, RSI (2) is oversold.
The bias is bullish above 7090 (below the 200-day MA) and for its next leg higher to begin.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 29/05European and US Indexes bounced into the weekend setting up for a strong open for the Asian session. Some debt ceiling optimism and stronger than expected economic data helped bulls squeeze out recent sellers for the drive higher. The data showed strength in inflation and the US consumer which points to a resilient economy...but it also points to sticky inflation and more interest rates rises to come.
Expecting a very strong open to the Asian session with the ASX200 set to open up 70 points, the Nikkei is very extended and is set to open up 650 points while the Hang Seng has some catch up to do and open up stronger off support.
I expect that there remains major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out but potentially later rather than sooner which will put more pressure on the economy.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
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Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 26/05A handful of AI related Tech stocks supported the broader market in the US while the DOW continued to edge lower into a longer term support zone. US Debt ceiling talks took a step in the right direction albeit a very small one...I do not expect a deal until the last minute as US Politicians enjoy the limelight. The USD continued higher putting pressure on dollar denominated currencies and commodities while US Bond yields continued to re-adjust higher and factor in sticky inflation.
Expecting mixed open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start flat while the Hang Seng expected to open down 180 points and the Nikkei to open up 180 points.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out but potentially later rather than sooner which will put more pressure on the economy.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
** If you like the free content then follow my profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. **
AU200 to see a temporary move higher?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Previous support level of 7129 broken.
Short term bias has turned negative.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 7190 level.
We look to Sell at 7190 (stop at 7230)
Our profit targets will be 7090 and 7010
Resistance: 7215 / 7305 / 7435
Support: 7010 / 6825 / 6660
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 25/05A continued debt ceiling standoff pressured share market Indexes lower overnight as more traders were happy to lock in some gains. Indexes pushed down into support levels as traders went risk off. The UK inflationary numbers came out higher than expected pointing to more interest rate rises from the BOE. The US open was weak and bulls found no love from the FOMC statement which continued to re-iterate focus on coming data which will determine whether there are further rate rises or not. Bond markets continued to factor in higher interest rates in the pipeline as yields moved higher.
Expecting weaker open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start down 30 points and the Hang Seng expected to open down 500 while the Nikkei to open mildly lower down 80 points.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out. But if the economy cools while inflation remains elevated, then it is difficult to cut rates to stimulate growth...we will see how things play out soon I suspect.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
** If you like the free content then follow my profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. **
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 24/05Major indexes go into risk off mode as traders get nervous over the US debt ceiling deadlock. Economic news also weighed on share markets as numbers came out in line or, in some cases, stronger than expected which translates into 'sticky inflation' and further potential interest rates rises. US bond yields edged lower after pressuring higher for the past few weeks but remain in a uptrend.
Expecting weaker open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start down 37 points while the Hang Seng expected to open down 130 and the Nikkei to open down 170.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out. But if the economy cools while inflation remains elevated, then it is difficult to cut rates to stimulate growth...we will see how things play out soon I suspect.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 16/05European and US markets edge higher to end with minor gains after a solid Asian session to start the week. US bulls are remaining on the sidelines for now as the Government once again argue over raising the debt ceiling. Economic data came out weaker than expected in the US again pointing to a slowing economy which I feel will be longer term negative for the share market but good for the end to the rate rising cycle. All in all, the market is not very enthusiastic as US earnings come to an end.
Expecting a strong open for the Asian session with the ASX to open flat, Hang Seng to open up 250 points and the Nikkei to open up 200 points.
Coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I feel that any end will only mean major economies are slowing which I do not expect will be good for the share market...for now, expect more chop.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 12/05Markets came under pressure again on concern of an economic slowdown. Europe was hit lower with the DAX and FTSE100 looking weak. US data out weighed on the US open to pressure key indexes lower although tech and the Nasdaq remain relatively strong. US data out was mixed with unemployment claims higher and PPI showing strength. The uncertainty sent USD higher and commodities lower with Copper taking a hit.
Expecting a mixed open for Asia with the ASX200 to open slightly weaker while the Nikkei and Hang Seng set to open up.
If inflation is truly remaining 'sticky', coming economic data will be the major focus and I expect this will translate to choppy markets or further pressure from sellers looking to lock in some gains.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
ASX 200 bulls eye another crack at 7300 (Australia 200 CFD)The possible 'sympathy bounce' towards 7300 highlighted last week played out nicely. Whilst we're on guard for bearish momentum to return as part of the seasonal 'sell in May and go away', we retain a bullish bias over the near-term.
Prices have since pulled back from those highs and price action on the intraday chart appears to be corrective, in the form of a falling wedge (a bullish continuation pattern). It's forming a base around the 38.2% Fibonacci level and above the 50% retracement line, whilst RSI (14) is forming a bullish divergence.
- From here, bulls could consider bullish setups above 7226 in anticipation of a move higher
- The bias remains bullish above 7220
- The wedge pattern suggests an upside target near the base of 7300
Sympathy bounce for the ASX 200?Whilst prices are expected to open lower, we’re on guard for a small countertrend bounce. A bullish hammer formed on the daily chart at the lower Bollinger band which found support at the 50% retracement level and 200-day EMA. A bullish divergence has formed on the RSI (2) within the overbought zone. A break above yesterday’s high could potentially see it retest the 7275 low, or the monthly pivot point around 7300.
If we managed to bounce that far, we'd then look for signs of weakness for a potential swing trade short, given weak sentiment for global stocks and the tendency for stocks to underperform around this year due to "sell in May and go away" seasonality.
A break of yesterday’s low assumes bearish continuation.