Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 24/05Major indexes go into risk off mode as traders get nervous over the US debt ceiling deadlock. Economic news also weighed on share markets as numbers came out in line or, in some cases, stronger than expected which translates into 'sticky inflation' and further potential interest rates rises. US bond yields edged lower after pressuring higher for the past few weeks but remain in a uptrend.
Expecting weaker open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start down 37 points while the Hang Seng expected to open down 130 and the Nikkei to open down 170.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out. But if the economy cools while inflation remains elevated, then it is difficult to cut rates to stimulate growth...we will see how things play out soon I suspect.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Asx200
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 16/05European and US markets edge higher to end with minor gains after a solid Asian session to start the week. US bulls are remaining on the sidelines for now as the Government once again argue over raising the debt ceiling. Economic data came out weaker than expected in the US again pointing to a slowing economy which I feel will be longer term negative for the share market but good for the end to the rate rising cycle. All in all, the market is not very enthusiastic as US earnings come to an end.
Expecting a strong open for the Asian session with the ASX to open flat, Hang Seng to open up 250 points and the Nikkei to open up 200 points.
Coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I feel that any end will only mean major economies are slowing which I do not expect will be good for the share market...for now, expect more chop.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 12/05Markets came under pressure again on concern of an economic slowdown. Europe was hit lower with the DAX and FTSE100 looking weak. US data out weighed on the US open to pressure key indexes lower although tech and the Nasdaq remain relatively strong. US data out was mixed with unemployment claims higher and PPI showing strength. The uncertainty sent USD higher and commodities lower with Copper taking a hit.
Expecting a mixed open for Asia with the ASX200 to open slightly weaker while the Nikkei and Hang Seng set to open up.
If inflation is truly remaining 'sticky', coming economic data will be the major focus and I expect this will translate to choppy markets or further pressure from sellers looking to lock in some gains.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
ASX 200 bulls eye another crack at 7300 (Australia 200 CFD)The possible 'sympathy bounce' towards 7300 highlighted last week played out nicely. Whilst we're on guard for bearish momentum to return as part of the seasonal 'sell in May and go away', we retain a bullish bias over the near-term.
Prices have since pulled back from those highs and price action on the intraday chart appears to be corrective, in the form of a falling wedge (a bullish continuation pattern). It's forming a base around the 38.2% Fibonacci level and above the 50% retracement line, whilst RSI (14) is forming a bullish divergence.
- From here, bulls could consider bullish setups above 7226 in anticipation of a move higher
- The bias remains bullish above 7220
- The wedge pattern suggests an upside target near the base of 7300
Sympathy bounce for the ASX 200?Whilst prices are expected to open lower, we’re on guard for a small countertrend bounce. A bullish hammer formed on the daily chart at the lower Bollinger band which found support at the 50% retracement level and 200-day EMA. A bullish divergence has formed on the RSI (2) within the overbought zone. A break above yesterday’s high could potentially see it retest the 7275 low, or the monthly pivot point around 7300.
If we managed to bounce that far, we'd then look for signs of weakness for a potential swing trade short, given weak sentiment for global stocks and the tendency for stocks to underperform around this year due to "sell in May and go away" seasonality.
A break of yesterday’s low assumes bearish continuation.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 2/05Major Indexes in Europe were closed while the US ended with minor losses after drifting lower from the open. Manufacturing data out in the US came in stronger than expected which triggered (again) inflation and rate rise talk and saw USD and Bond yields spike. Copper and Oil were higher after the number, on expectations for buoyant demand while Gold pressed back down into support.
Expecting a tame open for the Asian session with little lead from overnight markets. The Hang Seng was closed for trading yesterday so expect a choppy open.
With a resilient US economy, sticky inflation is the big issue and continues to be a balancing act for the Fed. Traders will now have to deal with rate rise talk which could trigger some profit taking in the near term.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 20/04Major Indexes were generally flat to lower both in Europe and the US as traders digest the UK CPI print and what may be in store for US inflation. The UK saw core CPI out at 6.2% vs 6.0% expected which is unchanged from the previous release. The BOE will not be happy with the figure as inflation remains high and they will need to raise rates further. This sets up for an interesting US FOMC in a few weeks as US CPI shows sticky inflation.
Longer term, I still feel that share markets are looking heavy and we may see some risk off moves which will pressure major indexes lower in the near term.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed. Traders are continuing to anticipate the end to the rate rising cycle and may be wrong again. If the Fed stops too soon, then shares will rally and put pressure back on inflation.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
AU200 Showing strong upside to 8,414 with a warningReverse C&H formed on the AU200.
We had a very weak break above the neckline showing the bulls are not as strong as they ought to be.
This comes with a Warning because if you zoom out you'll see an even larger Box formation (range traded area).
One can place a stop loss but I would put it below the entire C&H to stop the chop.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target 8,414
SMC
SSl Order Block below the Box Formation and Rev Cup and Handle where SM comes in and sweeps Sell Side Liquidity from Long traders who get stopped and shorters who went short.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 19/04Major Indexes were again relatively flat with earnings weighing on US markets while Europe grinded higher. The USD moved lower from the start of the Asian market session which supported commodities, namely Gold, while US short term bonds continued lower as yields edged higher. I expect the Asian markets to have a muted open with the ASX200 to open flat and HSI slightly lower and potentially see more of the same chop as the previous session.
Longer term, share markets seem to be getting a little heavy so we could see another good swing lower as traders take some risk off the table.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed. Traders are continuing to anticipate the end to the rate rising cycle and may be wrong again. If the Fed stops too soon, then shares will rally and put pressure back on inflation.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
ASX to find support at recent swing low?ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 7316 (stop at 7266)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias has turned positive.
We look to buy dips.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 7310 level.
Our profit targets will be 7436 and 7466
Resistance: 7435 / 7600 / 7815
Support: 7305 / 7215 / 7120
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 18/04Major Indexes were relatively flat overnight as traders digest US earnings and the continued rally into Bond yields. Inflation remains the main focus along with Company Guidance over the coming weeks. The USD continued the move up which pressured commodities and USD denominated currencies. For now, traders are happy to remain risk on into shares although they are unwilling to add further risk into portfolios which to me suggests a swing lower....especially if yields continue higher.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed. Traders are continuing to anticipate the end to the rate rising cycle and may be wrong again. If the Fed stops too soon, then shares will rally and put pressure back on inflation.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 17/04Major Indexes were mixed heading into the weekend with Asian and European markets ending with gains while the US moved lower. US bond yields spiked higher and the USD found buyers to pressure up off support as the focus remains in 'sticky inflation' and more rate rises to come in the US. US earnings is under way with big banks finding buyers as they benefit from rising interest rates and easing fears of stress in the banking sector...potentially showing they benefitted from the Banking crisis.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. The Fed will be conscious of a run higher in risk assets as that will continue to fuel higher inflation.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
ASX to find support at previous swing high?ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 7270 (stop at 7220)
Previous resistance level of 7272 broken.
Our short term bias remains positive.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 7390 and 7420
Resistance: 7435 / 7600 / 7815
Support: 7305 / 7215 / 7120
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 4/04Major Indexes were mixed to start the new week in Europe and the US. The DAX was down while the UK100 was higher while over in the US the DOW was buoyed by a strong energy sector and the Nasdaq ended lower. We may see the markets drift in the coming sessions as they await the key US employment release and further direction for inflation and interest rates. The USD rallied from the start of the Asian session only to take a hit from the European open and give back all the gains plus more which triggered buying into gold. US bond yields eased as Manufacturing data came in slightly weaker than expected.
The local Aussie market will be eagerly awaiting the RBA statement today at 2:30pm Syd time. RBA is expected to leave rates on hold.
Asian markets are expected t open flat after a relatively range bound overnight session.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. With the OPEC Production cuts and resultant spike in Oil, bulls will have something to think about regarding inflation.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below :-
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
ASX to see a limited rally?ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 7160 (stop at 7210)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 7175.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 7020 and 6980
Resistance: 7145 / 7320 / 7600
Support: 7000 / 6860 / 6660
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Why we should review price action to see if History will RepeatStudying price action and reviewing should be a key part to everyones trading and will improve overall results. Many Stocks, Currency pairs, Commodities or Indexes have differing nuances and characteristics with regards to Price Action so it is worth doing the homework before entering a trade. Even though they all trade around a similar Price Action Framework, quickly looking for small repeating patterns can greatly improve the probability and conviction and help your trades in the long run.
This short video looks EQR.asx which is a share listed on the ASX. By reviewing the previous price action, we can see that the current setup is so far following the same path as a previous big winner....I will be watching to see if history does repeat!!
Hope you enjoy
ASX crucial support continues to hold back bears.ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 6910 (stop at 6860)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
The trend of higher lows is located at 6881.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 7050 and 7145
Resistance: 7145 / 7320 / 7600
Support: 6860 / 6660 / 6405
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 28/03European markets bounced back to finish higher and provide a stronger start to the US session. The US was mixed with the DOW higher while Tech was lower as traders now re-focus on inflation and higher interest rates. This can be seen through support into the USD and higher US Bond yields. As the banking crisis takes a backseat in the news, I expect traders will again be dealing with the prospects of further rate rises and may punish risk assets.
Asian markets are expected to open slightly stronger with the ASX200 and Nikkei to open up while the Hang Seng may open flat and find further selling pressure after yesterdays choppy trading day.
I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed with the lingering concerns for the banking sector.
A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Hopes for a accurate trend predictiontest this stuff again 17/03 /2023
hoping for green
but orange would be a more likely wave form
S&P/ASX200 Will be crashHello we are part of a new community called lucky trading club in tradingview so let's begin our first analysis.
Asx200 will be crash, we have a eqh on 7600 with a lot of liquidity it was already taken last friday, also we have an harmonic pattern in the range of 7500-7650.
This is asx200 ATH when all institution begin to sell gradually, inflation still growing is the worst australian inflation in 33 years, rba will continue raising interest rates 50bps at 7 February.
In ressume a lot of confluences to take this short position.
Type of trade: Swing.
Entry: 7580-7650
Our targets
Target 1: 7450
Target 2: 7300
Target 3: 7000
Target 4: 6850
Max x20
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 16/03A review of the price action from the European session and the US session.
European markets were hammered lower on the back of concerns for Credit Suisse and the broader banking sector. The DAX and UK100 were hit hard while the key US indexes held up well considering the fear in Europe. I expect that there may be some catchup from the US if things get worse and more comes to light as analysts take a deeper look at other banks.
I continue to be of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue and will weigh on share markets if the Fed, and other major central banks, can not get it under control....this all points to more 'risk off' into major share markets.
I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper