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Asxshort

My Bearish view of ASX200 and When to enter for the Long Term.For those that use the "Fib Speed Resistance Fan", our XJO hit 0.25 and retraced. Could we retrace back to the 0.382 in the coming days/weeks? Also, I wish I have found this earlier!! This has correctly forecasted the support line during the March lows. Furthermore, a good entry point for investing in the long term is when the " William R" is below the yellow and is rising from the bottom. The last three times this has picked the bottom! I will be watching these indicators at the next sell-off.
ASX:XJOShort
by johninvest17
2
XJO ASX200 Update - Bear Flag Pattern We have gone up 20%+ since 23 March, this is likely to be an oversold bounce or "dead cat bounce" in technical terms. Since 90% of Shops are still close, Corona Virus is still in the headlines around the world and death rates are not showing signs of slowing down. Therefore, it is very unlike that the bottom is in and we are exiting this bear market in the short term. By looking at the short term chart, we can see a BEAR FLAG pattern forming for ASX200. I am expecting lower levels and we drop toward the gap. (4700-4800)
ASX:XJOShort
by johninvest17
1
My worst case scenario for ASX200 $XJO Hello investors and traders, Warren Buffett famously said, "Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful." I have seen this quote everywhere on social media last few days/week. Retailer investors are being so GREEDY right now and buying stocks because it is cheap...This tells me we are nowhere near the bottom. Learning from bitcoin, market bottoms when people are in depression and give up on investing because they are scared or have no money left. As mentioned last week, we need to close above the 200 MA LOW on the monthly chart in order to have a chance of a quick recovery (4885). Currently we are below this line, so let's prepare and assume we have close below this. Here is my WORST CASE scenario for ASX 200. We start the 3-9 TD sequential correction phase and head towards 2500. The catalyst for this to happen is an Australian recession or even a depression. What would you do if this is the case? What are you going to do to protect your portfolio/wealth?
ASX:XJOShort
by johninvest17
1
ASX200 $XJO Are we heading for a bear market? Good Evening, investors and traders, the Asx200 $XJO went lower again due to market uncertainty with the coronavirus. Last week, I said if we breach the 50 moving average, the first level of support is around 6300-6400. The market went straight down to 6259.9 on Monday and traded sideways between 6259-6500 for a few days and eventually making a new low of 6216 at Friday's close. Next week, I am watching 5800-6100 as a very important area of support. (Currently, I do forecast a dead cat bounce from there) Furthermore, the ASX200 $XJO must close above or near the 200 MA (red line). If not, we are more likely heading for a bear market. One important thing to keep in mind is that the VIX is at a bearish high reading. This tells the mid-large fund organizations such as investment banks and hedge funds to reduce risk and exposure in their long/short portfolios. The good news is that we do have a TD 9 coming for the Vix and this signal a likely top for the short term. Therefore, like the hedge funds and investment banks, I am still only risking a small amount of money in the market. I will go big again WHEN the Vix is below 15 and price level can close above all moving averages. At the moment this price area is around 6666-6800. Glossary: VIX The S&P/ASX 200 VIX Index ( XVI ) calculates the amount of volatility expected in the market over the next 30 days. • High readings indicate uncertainty ( bearish ) 20-30 • Normal readings suggest a slight bullish bias 15-20 • Low readings indicate low volatility ( bullish ) and strong investor confidence. <14.99 Bear market A bear market is a condition in which securities prices fall 20% or more from recent highs amid widespread pessimism and negative investor sentiment.
ASX:XJOShort
by johninvest17
2
XJO ASX200, close above 20 MA (weekly) to be bullish againThe retracement that I was waiting for came this week and we went down fast and hard. This has made me more bearish than before in the short term. We could see an "exit pump" in the next few trading sessions by big investors/institutions and have the price level jump back toward the 20 moving average before going down further like the past. Therefore, for me to turn bullish on the Australia market again, I need to see the price level close above the 20 moving average on the weekly . "Green line" (around 6900-7000). If we break the 50 MA yellow line: -I will close all my open positions -Be out of the market -so I can buy great companies at a discount once this is over. -I will be watching that box around 6300-6400 as the first level of support. #cashisking. #warrenbuffet #valueinvesting
ASX:XJO
by johninvest17