NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/12/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21221.00
- PR Low: 21201.25
- NZ Spread: 44.25
No key scheduled events
Daily print advertising potential rotation off ATH
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 11/12)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 295.61
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 270K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
ATH
CYCLE 4 ATH Mapping DETAILED - Price Levels & Time Frame AnalysiAs we now have confirmation of the election result and following our assumption this will lead to seasonal trends of a Santa rally for stocks and bonds as we close out the year, it is now worth mapping this scenario in more detail.
This post looks at CYCLE 4 and maps where this cycle All Time High (ATH) may reach and when, base on historic Indicator behavior / Price Action / Measured Moves / Fib Extensions & Historical Past Cycle Lengths. Assuming BTC continues similar cyclic behavior to prior cycles.
Please explore the below post interactively (which captures all discussed items) to review measured periods and to understand where items have come from with reference to this post.
Historical Cycle Lengths
Measuring from the Bottom to the top of each past cycle recorded the approx. number of days
* Cycle 1 Bottom to ATH Top = ~ 742 Days
* Cycle 2 & 3 Bottom to ATH Top = ~ 1,064 Days (For both Cycles)
* Cycle 3 Bottom to 1st (Technical High - TH) Top = ~ 854 Days
Plotting these on the chart (see blue dashed horizontal lines) it would be historically possible to see CYCLE 4 ATH land between December 2nd 2024 to March 24th 2025, and historically more likely between March 24th 2025 and October 20th 2024. It is noted the trend that cycles are increasing in length (particularly when measuring from ATH to ATH of previous and current cycles).
The suggest time frames currently look reasonable, considering our Cycle Pivot Indictor (CPI), risk indicator, other charts we like to review for ATHs and current projected trend line channels etc.
Fib Extensions
Following analysis looks at the Fib Extensions from prior cycle top to current cycle bottom to estimate current cycle top. Please review the embedded post above if you are unsure how these have been calculated.
* Cycle 2 ATH ($19,666) ~ reached just shy of golden pocket ratio of 2.618 ($20,382)
* Cycle 3 TH ($64,895) & ATH ($69,000) ~ reached just above of golden pocket ratio of 1.618 - 1.65 ($61,327 - $65,047 respectively).
If BTC hits the 1.618 golden pocket ratio extension again in Cycle 4, this would result in an ATH of $157,362. Measured moves suggest reaching these levels are possible, however they are considered the more bullish view of market possibilities at this point in time. It is noted the entire sequence drop in fib ratios from Cycle 2 to Cycle 3. While repeating this again would not make sense for this cycle, if we continue to half the difference for Cycle 4 we fall in the region of the 1.272 ($95,835) and 1.414 ($117,467) fib ratio regions.
My current take on this analysis would be if BTC does exceed the 100K region, 117K may be a good target to look towards (just shy of the nice round number of 120K people could be targeting). If BTC struggles to make 100K then 95K might be the point where BTC has trouble....
Indictors
* RSI - based on above, RSI on the weekly has just approached back into our uptrend region and heading into the overbought zone which it can stay for some time during the bull run period of the cycle. I would be looking to make sure BTC does not put in lower highs in the RSI as bearish divergences in this region in the past has formed in the making of Prior Cycles ATHs. Currently the RSI looks to have consolidated enough over the March - October 2024 period to make a decent run at finishing off the bull period in Cycle 4 (it has done what we wanted from an investor point of view).
* Modified Osilator Wave Trend - similar analysis to the RSI is observed with historic behavior in this indicator. Note historically this indicator can run in the overbought region for some time during bull runs and establishing ATHs
* MA OSCILLATOR Risk Profile Indicator - This indicator is at the right historically to suggest we are in the start of the exponential period of the bull run (after a pullback consolidation post the halving period). ATHs in cycles have been reached during 'Red Zone' price extension periods of my custom indicator.
Hope the above makes sense. I intent to follow this up with some simpler analysis of other indicators.
Price action on the TOTAL chart now comfortably above the c&h Price action is now knocking on the door of 3 trillion for the total crypto market cap. We can see also that now that price action is reasonably above the rimline of this massive cup and handle pattern, and has also closed a weekly candle above it now as well, that we are likely to soon validate the breakout of this pattern and star climbing towards its breakout target of 4.6 trillion. I think Brad Garlinghouse was anticipating the total market cap nearing 5 trillion by end of 2024 and that target is not that far off. I will link some previous total market cap charts below so you can see other macro patterns we are also heading towards with an even higher target than this cup and handle. *Not financial advice*
TRUMP PUMPS BITCOIN 30% in Last 6 DaysThe TRUMP PUMPS BITCOIN 30% in the past 6 days since the election.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $90K and in PRICE DISCOVERY.
This means there are no prior levels of resistance on the chart, and SKY’S THE LIMIT.
Next fib level of resistance comes ~$101,600.
That’s another 15% pump from here.
That does not mean we cannot go back down.
$76,5 was the last hiccup in this run.
HODL.
BTC - TARGET REACHED | REPLAY from OCT 2023 - NOWIt is with GREAT pleasure that I say, cheers to you and all the bulls that didn't believe the ATH was in after 74k in March! Although it may seem like I've been a perma-bull, there's been short-term bearish updates throughout the year - let's walk through it and see for yourself!
I will say this, there was a moment when I thought it might happen sooner, but generally I did repeatedly say I plan for the new ATH during December. Close enough!
It is incredibly rewarding to see the entire process playout as I speculated - based off of facts and many hours of analysis and charting since 2017. It all contributed, and makes a world of a difference.
I need some time to plan the next move from here, it will take some time to observe the top out - so keep following!
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin can make correction and then rise to 80K, and even moreHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price traded inside the buyer zone and soon broke the 67600 level, after which made a retest and continued to grow. In a short time, BTC rose to current support level, which coincided with the support area, and then started to decline inside the wedge. When the price fell to the 67600 support level, it entered the buyer zone, rebounded from the support line of the wedge, and started to grow. Firstly it corrected and then rebounded up to the current support level. Price broke this level, made a retest, and continued to grow to the resistance line of the wedge. Bitcoin some time traded near this line and later corrected to support line of the wedge pattern, after which it made an upward impulse. After this movement, the price exited from the wedge and now reached a new ATH (79800 points), after which made little correction. Now, it continues to rise, so, in my opinion, the price can make a correction movement and then start to grow. Also, I think it can reach new ATH, so, I set my target at 81500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Bitcoin can rise a little and then make correctionHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price declined to the trend line and then started to grow near this line. Some time later, the price broke this line and fell below, after which it continued to move up between the trend line. Then BTC broke the 2nd support level (65500) and rose a little more, after which made a correction to this level, breaking the trend line one more time. Later, price turned around and quickly rose to the trend line, broke it, and then reached support 1. After this movement, BTC made a correction below the trend line and when the price fell to 67200 points, it turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking the trend line with 1st support level. Next, the price made a few correction and continued to move up. Now, I expect that BTCUSDT will grow to 83500 and then make a correction movement. For this case, I set my goal at 78500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/11/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21320.00
- PR Low: 21249.00
- NZ Spread: 159.25
No key scheduled economic events
ATH run continues to 12320
- Could be interesting low participation on US Veterans Day
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 11/11)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 302.97
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 271K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Bitcoin Log Trend Curve - Feb 2025 peakJust wanted to draw a curve matchin the logarithmic trend of BTC price.
By this estimate we see a peak in Feb 2025 of about 95,000. But the price would only go down or sideways from here. I drew these lines in October of 23, but never published it - and so far it's following the trend. Just a fun thing I wanted to try, idk if it means anything.
PLTR Back to ATHsBounced off the .382 fib retracement with only ATH remaining. Lots of bullish momentum and TA has been smooth as well. Possible S&P 500 inclusion in September could also be driving price action from "smart money."
Flow into calls has been increasing with a few big orders above ATH have been spotted
BTC POST HALVING History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes...
We're now in the post-halving part of the Bullrun, and we can look back into Bitcoins history to help predict what might happen next.
Typically A bull cycle lasts 1065 days from the low to the high with the halving event in the middle. If we use that same timeframe and apply it to this Bullrun we can expect the peak for BTC to come in early October of 2025.
Now we know that once BTC has had it's top, altcoins regain some of the market dominance in an "Alt season" which is often a manic period of profits from BTC being poured into increasingly risky projects until the whole thing comes crumbling down, which then leads too...
The bear market which historically lasts for a full year from top to bottom. The bear market comes when most people least expect it as they are so used to price going up, complacency and greed can cost you all of the gains made in the last 3+ years. It's also important to note that BTC routinely goes through 25-30% corrections on the way up, and this is where many fall down. Knowing the difference between a correction and a top is the difference between making it and roundtripping everything. Have an exit strategy, take profit at key areas, don't let greed win.
The Fibonacci levels can be very useful when a project goes into price discovery as well as big even levels, your 100, 150, 200's etc. When Fib levels line up with these big evens you can expect resistance and therefor look to protect your capital.
Bitcoin is very close to a breakout from the '21 ATH level, we've been above SWB:69K before but swing failed to hit $56K, I am still a little worried about the GETTEX:52K +VE Orderblock as shown in green, it would make sense to revisit that area at some point however it does depend on this current SWB:69K S/R level.
Aethir Project Overview: $ATH going All time high?Project description:
Aethir ( TSX:ATH ) is a decentralized infrastructure protocol that focuses on providing real-time data and computational resources for gaming and metaverse applications, aiming to create scalable, low-latency solutions using blockchain technology.
Type of project:
Decentralized infrastructure for gaming and metaverse applications.
Is it under a block?:
Yes, Aethir operates on the Ethereum blockchain and plans to expand to other compatible blockchains, providing its services through a decentralized network powered by TSX:ATH tokens.
Latest update or news:
As of November 7, 2024, Aethir announced its Compute Node Partnership Program, which incentivizes participants to contribute computing resources to support gaming and metaverse applications on the Aethir network.
Narrative:
Gaming infrastructure, metaverse, decentralized computational resources, and blockchain-based real-time data solutions.
Unlocks Data for Aethir ( TSX:ATH ):
1. Upcoming Unlock:
Next Unlock Event: Scheduled for November 10, 2024, with an unlock of 4 million ATH tokens.
Percentage of Circulating Supply: This release constitutes approximately 0.02% of the current circulating supply.
2. Rate of Token Released to Circulation:
Next 7 Days (November 7 – November 14): 4 million ATH tokens, or approximately 0.02% of the circulating supply.
Next 30 Days (November 7 – December 7): Cumulative unlocks totaling 12 million ATH, approximately 0.06% of the circulating supply.
3. Total Unlocked:
Total Unlocked Tokens: 3 billion ATH, which represents approximately 7.14% of the maximum supply of 42 billion ATH tokens.
4. All Upcoming Unlocks in the Future:
November 10, 2024: 4 million ATH
December 10, 2024: 4 million ATH
January 10, 2025: 5 million ATH
5. Vesting Analysis for Aethir ( TSX:ATH ):
Aethir’s token vesting is structured to ensure gradual and stable distribution:
Compute Node Incentives: 50% allocation, distributed over 5 years to support long-term infrastructure growth. Team and Advisors: 15% allocation, vested over 3 years to align with project milestones. Ecosystem Development: 15% allocation, released based on project expansion and strategic partnerships. Investors: 10% allocation, unlocked gradually to mitigate sell pressure. Community and Airdrops: 10% allocation, provided to early adopters and supporters to encourage platform adoption.
BITCOIN TREND PIVOT With all the geo-political noise it's easy to get caught up in the low timeframe madness. Zooming out and looking at the High timeframe structure, things get a little simpler...
For me, BTC has been in two different smaller phases within a larger bullflag pattern. Phase one is the bearish part of the bullflag where price prints lower highs and lower lows , this lasted for 150 days with a pivot once price wicked into the bullish OB @ $50K.
From that pivot point the second phase started and it's where we are now. Once we got our first higher low the new bullish trend began, higher lows and higher highs followed and continues on until now.
Now the interesting part is how BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern and that's shown by the X's and ^'s on the chart. In recent days BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern as shown by the tick where price rejected off the '21 ATH and retested what was formerly trend resistance and now support after a successful bullish reaction off that level for the first time in 8 months.
Price is now at the highs with the US election around the corner and %16B FTX repayments on the way , can BTC go one step further and make a new ATH? Time will tell but for now the structure is the most important thing. Higher highs and higher lows, that's it.
BTC New Highs Inspired by Elections!With a strong technical foundation and a high-potential macro backdrop, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing signs of continued upward momentum as we near the U.S. election weekend. Historically, this period tends to bring heightened market activity, and BTC's current technicals are aligning to support a bullish outlook.
📈 Key Indicators Supporting the Uptrend:
Momentum Oscillators: The Awesome Oscillator, Momentum (10), and MACD Level (12, 26) all flash buy signals, highlighting BTC's increasing buying strength and upside potential.
Moving Averages: Across the board, both exponential and simple moving averages from 10 to 200 days indicate a clear buy trend, with BTC consistently trading above these key levels.
VWMA & HMA: The Volume Weighted Moving Average (20) and Hull Moving Average (9) confirm recent price support, suggesting buyers are actively backing the current levels.
While oscillators like RSI and Stochastic remain neutral, the strong buy signals from trend-following indicators provide a favorable setup for a potential rally.
📅 Timing: With election-week volatility sparking interest for the first time in COINBASE:BTCUSD , now could be an opportune time for swing traders to jump in.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and not investment advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries risks, including potential loss.
BTC USD UpdateAfter months and months of anticipation, the long-awaited ATH has finally been broken through. So, what's next? We're now waiting to see if the weekly and daily candles close with bodies above the ATH. Until then, we'll continue scalping with a bullish bias, but we'll also hold our swing trade runners with stop-losses below the previous week's low. Overall, we've set clear goals and remained steadfast through all the pullbacks. We're glad our strategy has paid off. Let's see what the market makers do next. We'll keep you updated
BTC USD UpdateAfter months and months of anticipation, the long-awaited ATH has finally been broken through. So, what's next? We're now waiting to see if the weekly and daily candles close with bodies above the ATH. Until then, we'll continue scalping with a bullish bias, but we'll also hold our swing trade runners with stop-losses below the previous week's low. Overall, we've set clear goals and remained steadfast through all the pullbacks. We're glad our strategy has paid off. Let's see what the market makers do next. We'll keep you updated
BTC | Price CELEBRATES Trump VictoryBitcoin has increased by 13% after Donald Trump has been declared the next President of the United States, beating rival candidate Kamala Harris.
Over the past few months, Trump has claimed to be very open to cryptocurrency and this victory has done nothing short of pushing the price to a new ATH... and climbing!
There are two ways in which we can calculate the net major stops; one I have been speaking about since MARCH. This target seems to be the likely next stop for BTC in the short to near term.
Time will tell if the new POTUS will be kind or cruel to crypto - remember that time we all rooted for Garry Gensler...? About that... Let's hope this time will be different.
If you want to know al little bit more about how ALTSEASON fits into this picture, check out the following idea:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTCUSD 74500$-75000$After breaking the previous high, Bitcoin made a retest and started a new bullish consolidation. We also see a break of the upper trend line and a strengthening of the bullish momentum. Everything indicates that we will visit the ATH zone again and attack it to create a new one. The target is -0.618% Fibonacci level and $74600. It would be nice to see Bitcoin at $80,000 in December, and maybe even earlier.
ATH from Historic Average PerspectiveHISTORIC AVERAGING
The point of historic averaging is to provide a long-term perspective on an asset’s price by calculating an average that considers all available historical data.
The simplest is Arithmetic All-Time Average
PineScript: ta.cum(close) / (bar_index + 1)
To get it we must add up all closing prices and divide by number of bars. (Bar_index + 1 because bar_index starts with 0, which can mess up calculation!)
It provides us with some useful information:
Long-Term Trend Identification
Current Price Contextualization - point of reference to assess how high is the current price than its historical Average
Exposes Long-Term Support levels - the historic average often aligns with significant support (True for Bitcoin particularly)
Since Arithmetic Averaging is more venerable to lagging, it made a significant gap from the lows:
If the weights weren't identical, the gap distance would have been less. So we can use other method of averaging for more precise alignments of the cycle Lows
Weighted Historic Average: This method assigns increasing weights to each bar over time, prioritizing later candles even more significantly. This method is particularly useful when you want to view the trend as influenced by more recent activity but still considering the entire data set. It may help in understanding price dynamics under growing market volume or volatility, as recent bars affect the average more prominently.
With such weighting method applied, the historic average better indicates long-term support levels making them more reliable to draw a relationship between current price and the Historic Average.
This post is not even about the rhyme of Weighted Historical Average with cycle lows.
If we divide closing price by WHA, we would get an idea how many times Bitcoin has been higher than the average during the times establishing All Time High.
Given the current uptrend, which shows potential to develop into a full-scale bull run, we can anticipate the next long-term ATH by monitoring the Close/Historic Average. As this metric rises and breaks above shaded levels, it signals continued momentum. Conversely, if it crosses below the first shaded range, this may indicate that a long-term ATH has been set, suggesting the market could be primed for the next significant correction phase.
Bitcoin - Gearing Up for NEW ATHBitcoin is showing a sudden increase in momentum, and the pattern I was watching has played out successfully after the last update:
Ultimately, the playout I have been talking about for MONTHS were as follow:
And this is the recent chart data on that exact idea:
I'm happy to finally see everything come together - it took some patience though!
Finally - impulse wave 4-5 (Elliot wave Theory) is in play! From here, we can expect ETH to gradually creep along, and when BTC trades sideways ETH and other top10 market cap alts will make gains. Find more on that, here:
When ETH stalls (and BTC even retraces a little) that's when the smaller cap altcoins will shine.
Cheers to another ATH 🥂🍻
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OKX:BTCUSDT