INJECTIVE Head and Shoulders Just a quick trade set up that could be a good LONG to take. Price looks to have printed an inverse Head and Shoulders which looks like a bullish reversal.
Along with the Bullish inverse Head and Shoulders INJ broke the bearish diagonal trendline with a strong retest as new support and consistent higher lows being posted.
Using a price forecast that is a mirrored copy of the move down I think that if BTC behaves we should see something similar with incremental take profit points on the way up.
Clear invalidation is a clean break below the head of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
ATH
ETH Bullish Pennant | ETF approval confluence | Target: 2021 ATHNot Financial Advice
TL;DR Bullish Pennant on BINANCE:ETHUSDT daily chart, upwards breakout target would be very close to 2021 ATH. SEC approval of VanEck ETF (final deadline on May 23) could be a major catalyst.
A rare case of (potential) technical and fundamental confluence:
ETH has been building a Bullish Pennant since the end of the Feb 5 - Mar 12 rally
The retest of the multi-month support in place since October 2023 might signal that the bottom is in
The final deadline for SEC's approval of VanEck's ETH ETF lines up almost perfectly with the convergence between the pennant's resistance and the multi-month support
Interestingly enough, the target for an upwards breakout of the pennant around VanEck's approval deadline would be very close to the 2021 ATH
03/06/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $70,741.40
Last weeks low: $68.714.79
Midpoint: $66,688.18
As we enter the Midway point in the calendar year BTC finds itself continuing to battle its '21 ATH. For many weeks now we've seen this key S/R level flipping from support to resistance and vice versa, will we finally see a breakout move above this week?
Although for the last few weeks the general attention has been focused on the ETH ETF, now that that is over and had a bullish turnout the market is looking for BTC to lead the way. Price is now above the 4H 200EMA, Post-halving supply shock effecting tokenomics positively in terms of supply and demand and currently breaking down the previous cycles high. Given all that in mind I think the patient will be rewarded as I think when BTC does get a clear run, most likely when Greyscale stop selling at a rate that causes outflows to overcome inflows. Top buyers sell pressure is relieved as holders who were underwater all bear market sell their positions and give way to buyers with high conviction. Then we will see BTC target $80K, only a matter of time.
This week I am focusing on BTC strength and signs of a breakout, I would say that once BTC breaks out, ETH will break above $4K and target ATH @ $4.8K. Things to look out for is any US news that could effect the markets; law making, Veto's etc.
Hopefully you had a good first half of 2024 and good luck for the second half!!
BTCUSD - New heavens ?I said 2 things earlier but I changed my mind a bit
- the first thing was that I wanted to wait on Monday to do a new post because of the geopolitical situation and the halving, what happened last night convinced me that the floor was here (of course I can be 100% wrong)
- second thing is that from my last post, I said we could chill some months because nothing would happen, it still can be true but the situation looks familiar and this rebound just before the halving is kinda interesting, also summer is only in 2 months.
So, for the little time frame, we are sitting under the 1H 200MA which is about to likely be break (or maybe is already it took me times to write this)
I'm saying this situation looks familiar because the floor at the 0.786 fib which has been made during the past month is very similar to the one from Jan 2021 to June 2021(maybe not on the daily but if you zoom in you'll see it maybe)
You can note the big uptrend going on after this, not saying that we will see the same but from that pattern recognition, and knowing that it works well here, I think we're heading to the new ATH : 100K, a big psychological resistance + a line resistance made from the past highs in 2021
Also this is interesting to notice that this new floor is at the past first ATH made in March 2021
Till this new ATH I don't really see any other paths that could happen (or maybe I refuse to see them, also I don't know about the time it will make)
But then, here are the 2 scenarios I drew :
- Pink : We go super fast too 125k, 20% retrace rule to 100K while chilling during the summer and we go back to new highs from fall 2024/January 2025
- Green : We go a bit slower doing a retrace of 20% at 100 and 125K (or, in this scenario, not doing at retrace at 125K is possible)
I think those 125K and 100K are very important levels (that still can be drilled tho) for several reasons, the most important one is about the patterns BTC did the past cycles.
Concerning this pattern, it is very likely that we are going to go up till the beginning of Summer, then we might see some months of sunny holidays to retrace and we will be back for 1 year of this famous bull run that might start mid fall 2024/early January 2025
Cheers good luck,
Bitcoin faces resistance: A battle for All-Time HighsCurrently, Bitcoin is facing several resistances prior to its attempt to reach all-time highs (ATH). A correction has started from the first resistance level, which could lead its price down to $63,000.
It won’t be easy to break through its ATH because there’s a significant amount of money waiting at those resistance levels, ready to exit.
Therefore, Bitcoin needs a catalyst to provide the strength to surpass these resistances and enter into a bull run.
27/05/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $71,999.47
Last weeks low: $69,028.57
Midpoint: $66,057.66
After a historical week for the crypto space with the ETH ETF approval has meant that BTC has taken somewhat of a backseat. Currently battling with the '21 ATH at SWB:69K while ETH is beginning to pic up strength in the ETH/BTC pair and take volume away from Bitcoin.
Ethereum has been a relatively slow mover in comparison to some of the rest of the altcoin market. However, now that the ETFs are approved and it is to be expected that ETH will have huge Inflows just as BTC did with a >50% increase since approval. All this means that I could see BTC fighting the '21 ATH for sometime while the altcoin market and mostly ETH will take the spotlight for the next week at least.
SWB:69K lines up well with the weekly range Midpoint and that's the key battle for BTC, so far this Bullrun we've seen BTC lead the way generally, could it be time for ETH to take over?
This week I think ETH and ETH beta plays (OP, ARB, LDO, METIS etc) are the ones to watch, I would be cautious when it comes to Longing ETH blindly at this level, yes the massive demand increase will help price rise but as we saw with BTC after ETF approval, price did drop 18% over two weeks post approval. I'm not saying this will definitely happen with ETH, so far despite an initial 10% whipsaw price has stayed generally the same with a slight move up, however It is worth noting.
AVAX Analysis: Entry into Main Trend and Peak ExpectationAVAX is currently entering the main trend in the middle. If this is successful, I expect a strong peak after the second half of June. I want to highlight two important dates: June 21 and August 5.
As seen in the chart, AVAX is moving within a strong upward trend. Currently trading at 40.500, I foresee the possibility of AVAX moving towards the 148.000 levels. Closures above this level may indicate the continuation of the trend and pave the way for new peaks.
Key Levels to Watch:
June 21, 2024: I expect significant price movement on this date. It is likely that the trend entry will be confirmed and the upward momentum will gain speed.
August 5, 2024: During this period, a strong move towards the peak could occur.
If AVAX successfully enters this trend, we may see much higher levels in the remainder of the year. However, it is important to manage risks well and diversify your portfolio when investing.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is not intended as investment advice. You should make your investment decisions based on your own research. As cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, always be cautious and prioritize risk management. The responsibility for investments made based on this analysis lies entirely with the investor.
Invest smart, stay safe.
Atilla Yurtseven
20/05/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $67701.33
Last weeks low: $64227.62
Midpoint: $60753.92
We have lift off... maybe? Bitcoin has spent the last 2 months chopping between the low $70K's and high $50K's after a strong rally. However, it looks like strength has returned at least for now in BTC after the CPI print of Wednesday last week. This volatility influx moved BTC back above the 4H 200EMA which has been the all important level in determining the Mid - Low time frame trend. Now that price is back above I think the general sentiment would be to be more risk on, especially in terms of leverage than we've seen in the last few weeks. Not necessarily saying this is an ideal entry, just I think more confidence is returning to Bitcoin.
The altcoin market on the other hand with exception to a few top performers is lagging behind BTC, and that can be seen by the Bitcoin dominance at 56% currently and targeting local highs. For altcoins to begin reclaiming some of their loses we'd need BTC to get back above the '21 high of $69K.
Also, we have the ETH ETF approval deadline for VanEck and ArkInvest/ 21Shares on the 23rd &24th May respectively. Coinbase believes the odds of approval are closer to 30-40% so it would be a shock if these ETF's were approved by the SEC, however, if they were to be approved this could help kickstart the altcoin market again.
For this week it's about seeing if BTC can capitalise on last weeks progress and target the '21 ATH. The purple trendline needs to be respected on the way up otherwise I think we'll retest the MIDPOINT or even the 0.25 area.
BNB Bullish Pennant - Target: $880Bullish pennant on BINANCE:BNBUSDT
Not Financial Advice
Fib retracements are drawn between the ATH and the 2022 low. Some levels are still very well respected. (The pennant's low, matches exactly 0.618 fib)
We are very close to the pennant's convergence, so a breakout should be imminent.
Watch for a breakout of the resistance trendline (solid orange), as the target for a breakout would be a new ATH at around $880.
Expect some resistance in the $690 area, as that was the previous ATH.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/16/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18657.00
- PR Low: 18640.00
- NZ Spread: 38.0
No significant economic calendar events
Pushed ATH to ~18760
- Faded back inside Wed range
- Inventory response of prev session low, slight session break gap up
- Relatively low volume to start the session
Evening Stats (As of 1:45 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 240.60
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 245K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 19246
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
13/05/24 Weekly outlookAre you getting bored yet? Another week of chop has elapsed, and in short there is not much else to say on the surface. BTC took out it's previous weeks high and then retraced roughly half of the progress made, filling the FVG left behind by the local move up and creating our range low for this week. As it so often does, the range perfectly shows the levels of which price action moves throughout the week. We had $1.1B worth of options expire on May 10th last week which gave BTC it's volatility on Friday creating the weeks low and creating an FVG. I believe it makers sense for price to work towards filling that FVG and retesting the MIDPOINT resistance. If price rejects then next stop is range low, if price accepts higher then range high is the target, simple as that on LTF.
In terms of the broader market, the ETF battle is still being won by the bearish GBTC Greyscale as their continued outflow of BTC with a outflow of $43M vs the net inflow of the 11 other US BTC spot ETFs totalling $32M . Resulting in a net outflow pf $11M
The altcoin market continues to weaken as BTC continues to chop, risk off on leverage continues until BTC can confidently regain the 4H 200EMA , until then spot and hold .
XAU-USD (Gold)The gold pair moves in a vertical upward price channel and gives respect to their upper and lower trendlines. If the market loses its momentum on the ATH level of gold then it's a chance to move down and some retracement it. There is a big zone on the ATH T.F of gold that is 2400-2430. And if the market respects that zone then we see to reject price to lower trendline at 2380.
XAU-USD (Gold)The gold pair moves in a vertical upward price channel and gives respect to their upper and lower trendlines. If the market loses its momentum on the ATH level of gold then it's a chance to move down and some retracement it. There is a big zone on the ATH T.F of gold that is 2400-2430. And if the market respects that zone then we see to reject price to lower trendline at 2380.
Render (RNDR) & NVIDIA AI Conference With the rise of Artificial Intelligence , many projects are looking to capitalise on the massive potential that AI promises.
One of those projects is RENDER , the first decentralized GPU rendering platform launched in 2017, the Render network is built to provide a platform for a wide array of computation tasks - from basic rendering to artificial intelligence - which are facilitated swiftly and efficiently in a blockchain-based peer-to-peer network, free from error or delay, while ensuring secure property rights.
Nvidia is a Tech company that focuses on production of high end graphics cards and is a world leader in Artificial Intelligence computing with a Market cap of 2.25 Trillion Dollars. Nvidia are holding an AI conference 17-21 March, one of those talks is a talk on "production rendering on GPU" on the 20th March. I would predict that Render could get a mention as the RNDR network is integrated into Nvidia Omniverse, the VP of Nvidia Omniverse is also an advisor to RNDR, so could we see any further ties between the two companies? If so I think this would propel an already well performing coin that has recently entered into price discovery.
Fib targets after the breakout are shown o the chart and these are the areas to be interested in. I am not ruling out a retest of the break above the previous ATH however with the momentum that we are seeing I think this retest could come a much later stage.
With RNDR's MCap of $3.6B there is no reason why this project shouldn't break into the top 10 at some point this cycle, currently this would mean a 4.85x to displace SHIB at 10th place double that again if you compare to SHIB ATH MCap. This project is just getting started.
All eyes on the Conference, I could see this potentially being a sell the news event as these things often are, however that would just open up a buying opportunity for DCA or long term holding.
DELYSIUM (AGI)One of my favourite altcoins for a number of reasons is DELYSIUM. An AI-powered open world framework project, the first web3 operating system that has seen incredible gains in the last year, up 467% YTD.
The AI narrative is a very strong one, perhaps the most likely to succeed in this Bullrun and so choosing the right projects to back over the next 12-18 months is so important.
Since the start of the year AGI has rapidly climbed to new heights, with a previous ATH of $0.45 Delysium moved into price discovery before losing momentum and falling back under. A big reason for this is not only because the rally ran out of steam but because BTC made a similar move, and once BTC pulls back the rest of the market is usually subject to the same move, however altcoins usually hold value much worse than BTC. The chart shows price has retraced back to the origin point of the last leg of the rally, the Bullish OB+ area and reacted well off this zone. After this strong reaction price meets the trendline resistance and fails to break it after 4 attempts. Another pullback into the Bullish OB+ give AGI another chance to escape the bearish trendline which it does and begins to make new Higher highs and Higher lows, a bullish trend has begun on the LTF. The last thing AGI now needs is to break market structure to confirm a new bullish trend which it does by sweeping the supply zone on the nearest local high. Using the Fibonacci zones we can find the best place for entry between the 0.62 & 0.79 areas of the pullback just after a "change of character" (CHoCH).
With strong fundamentals as well as bullish technical analysis it is clear that AGI is a great project to consider. With a strong probability trade like this and Take Profit (TP) targets as price continues its rally. Obviously as with all Altcoins they are subject to BTC price movements, this trade idea will really be determined by BTC regaining the 4h 200ema. If Bitcoin can do that we'll have more confidence and confluence in the trade idea, if BTC continues it's LTF downtrend then the trade idea could be postponed and look for a better entry. The Stop Loss (SL) will be the invalidation area.