Cup & Handle on weekly BTC chartsI came across this Cup and Handle on weekly BTC charts.
Will BTC break ATH to 122k?
ATH
29/07/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $69,404.60
Last weeks low: $63,458.72
Midpoint: $66,431.66
As July comes to an end a lot has happened in the last month, from starting the month @ $53,000 to now just above '21 ATH.
Last week we saw a lot of volatility caused by some news events, namely the ETH ETF & Bitcoin Conference. The structure of the price range differs to the previous two weeks were price started low and finished high. In this instance we have a midweek low after ETHEREUM ETF went live and then price ramped back up in anticipation for the BTC conference with Donald Trump making a speech as well as Michael Saylor and RFK jr, all of which were extremely bullish on the crypto space and pledged to improve Americas relationship with the industry and increase holdings of BTC.
Now price is currently positioned above the $69,000 '21 ATH which has been one of the most important S/R levels over the last year, acting as the catalyst for major moves off both upside and down. I would like to see the daily close out above this level with conviction, general sentiment is to get nervous at this level as in the past it has failed to hold. CT is silent even though we're within touching distance of ATH and that purely comes from repetitive failure to hold this line.
This week I'm keeping an eye on the inflows and outflows of both BTC & ETH ETFs, the $69,000 S/R level and strength returning to the altcoin market which has continued to take a back seat in recent weeks/ months. Blackrock have expressed their want to increase exposure to RWAs and so real world assets on the Ethereum chain could be a good place to start.
BTC Power Law + Fear & GreedBTC made ath already, maybe now is time to go down to 50,000 and touch support before we try again? What happens 11.11?
ATHUSDT - Golden Pocket to the Moon +100% Gains in Sight!Should we panic or buy the fear? We've had a deep retracement on alts across the board. Let's break it down and figure out our strategy for this long opportunity.
LONG TRADE - CONFLUENCE
Golden Pocket: The price has perfectly retraced to the golden pocket between the 0.618 and 0.666 Fibonacci levels.
Point of Control (POC): This area also coincides with the POC, adding to its significance as a support level.
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.786 level of the Fibonacci speed fan aligns with our golden pocket and POC, reinforcing this area as a strong support zone.
Long Trade Setup: High-Probability Trade
Entry Point:
Golden Pocket: Enter a long trade from the golden pocket area around $0.07.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Below POC: Place the SL just below the golden pocket/POC (tight SL) or place the SL below the swing low at around 0.064.
Target Levels:
First Take Profit (TP1): Set the first TP at $0.10.
Overall Target (TP2): Aim for the overall target at $0.147.
ATH's retracement to the golden pocket offers a prime opportunity for a long trade with an excellent R:R. The confluence of the golden pocket, POC and Fibonacci speed fan makes this a strong support zone and an ideal entry point.
What are your thoughts on this analysis? Are you ready to go long on ATH?
BITCOIN CONFERENCE 2024In the chart I've highlighted some key areas of interest going into the BITCOIN CONFERENCE in Nashville. With Trump scheduled to speak and his recent track record of being bullish on BTC and crypto in general, my natural instinct is this will be a bullish event for the space.
Trump recently started taking campaign donations in BTC and selected JD Vance as his VP should he be elected. Vance is known to have over $100,000 in BTC so they are both pro crypto and should this be expressed at the conference it is bullish for the space.
Is this a sell the news event? With BTC's recent rally from the lows of ~$63,500 to now ~$68,000 you could argue that the conference is priced in as the 7% gain since midweek would suggest. I do predict volatility that may look like a sell the news event initially but ultimately I cannot see that being the case. For me, if we lose the "MINI RANGE MIDPOINT" with a clean break below then I would start to rethink that stance.
Personally I think we whipsaw between " MINI RANGE MIDPOINT" & "'21 ATH". Historically since the start of the year the '21 ATH is the most important level as all major moves both bullish and bearish are triggered from that level.
NEAR protocol on the WEEKLY NEAR is a project that covers all the bases. A Web3 Layer 1 with the capability for unlimited transactions per second (TPS) that's transparent and accessible to everyone. NEAR protocol has begun venturing into the AI space pushed by Co-Founder Illia Polosukhin who is an AI researcher himself, with an AI marketplace as he believes AI is one of the core verticals for the NEAR ecosystem going into the future.
The near chart is a promising one for the future. Having already experienced the 2022 altseason, we can gauge where NEAR will meet resistance, and sellside pressure areas and of course previous ATH. Using Fibonacci levels combined with range quarters we can split up an otherwise daunting chart into sections of a large range. Since the rally began in the beginning of 2024 price has broken above the 0.75 line and has been retested for support, of which it held and is now key support. With BTC's rally on the recent CPI numbers, the stronger altcoins followed suit and now NEAR is targeting the MIDPOINT of the range at $10.72 (0.5 level). From then on there is a clear FVG resistance before hitting the highs.
I have used the Fib levels as long term Take Profit areas, who knows how long it may take to get there or even if we get there at all. However the fundamentals of the Project are very strong, with a great team and expanding into high interest narratives like AI all add up to a very promising project. The one downside is that circulating supply is not capped and will grow at 5% each year. Therefor the tokenomics are not as favourable to investors as for example Injective INJ which has a capped at 100,000,000 coins and currently has 94% of that circulating and that limits dilution of token value.
I'm very bullish on NEAR in the long run, the current LTF bearish pullback has been punishing for the majority of alts however NEAR has held up very well. The AI narrative backing it as well will surely help it progress and the accessibility of being available on all the major exchanges.
ETHEREUM ETF With the Ethereum ETF decision just days away, ETH has made a massive breakout play in an effort to front run a positive ETF outcome, the approval of VanEck and ArkInvest/ 21Shares ETH ETFs on the 23rd & 24th May respectively.
In terms of price action and charting this is how I see it. Now that price has broken out from the downtrend and hit the Bearish OB as shown, I think many were caught of guard and expected any sort of volatility to come on the day of the decisions. Instead it seems many have decided to front run the decision and go long which opens up more challenges. I think ETH had priced in a rejection of the ETF at ~£3K , with how the SEC has viewed ETH and it's stance on insisting it's a security, Coinbase estimated a 30-40% chance of an approval last weekend. Now that price has risen almost as if we already have news of approval I think that should the ETF be denied we could fall straight back down to $3K area with support areas shown as targets on the chart. This would print a Bart Simpson style pattern and many Longs will be devastated.
On the other hand, Bloomberg have said that the chances of approval has gone from 25% to 75% and the chart shows this new level of optimism. If the ETF is approved I could see ETH using this current level as a base to target new local highs and close the gap on BTC dominance.
Next target for $BTC around 83KFrom the last wordwide events, next attractor for CRYPTOCAP:BTC is the green box
Why? CRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken out from the flag pattern and already made a retest from the ceiling, also breaking out from past Fibonacci Circle resistence
Note how the Fibonacci Circles have been serving as pivot and resistence points!
Next important Fib Circle resistence lies over the light blue continuous line and the target of the flag lies at the purple arrow right over the all-times-high!
So, there is confluence! We have flag target, plus ATH, plus Fib Circle resistence
The dotted blue line is a very important multiyear resistente and is very plausible that over it will be at least a bull trap taking CRYPTOCAP:BTC to that resistence line (dark blue continuous line)
Long Nasdaq Turtle soup from potential Low of weekSeasonally bullish July. HTF still bullish imo. Turtle soup long after deep sweep of Weds 3rd July low and after touching +bkr 4hr CE, and after reaching ABCD down projection. Ideally now i want hourly bodies to respect one of these levels, and us to get a lower timeframe break up in structure. If it keeps spooling down all day, then i'll take the loss.
-NQ has been very much weak sister for many days now, feels to me like it's time for it to start showing relative strength now and and become the stronger sister to ES.
-Seeing if we put in Low of week here in the opening hour, or later today.
-Buying around the ABCD downleg projection, and the +OB wick CE W
-Stop below +OBMT W and just below an old daily low (Tues 2nd July): Basically full exit/loss if we properly lose the +OBMT W below.
-Ultimate target is the nice 20600 ABCD confluence (ABCD projections align here from both the 2023-2024 swing and the June'24 swing). Gut says we have NOT properly topped in indices.
-Will take paritals at FVG H nearby overhead, and move stop for remaining position to breakeven.
-Will take further partials and trail stop if we breach ATH Nasdaq.
-Will take last of position off at the beautiful ABCD projection confluence 21600, if we get up there before early August.
-If this runs up, i'm willing to hold til the end of the month (Indices are seasonally bullish in July)
-For confirmation of shift back to bull in earnest, i want to see the FVG H above us 'flipped' bullish (resist, small retrace, then power on up through it)
*Note to self: i should really wait to enter after getting low timeframe confirmation of a bottom, but i'll be totally honest: i want the satisfaction of potentially catching the low of week; I accept the risk of price just spooling on down and stopping me out today.
**Just an idea for paper trading, not financial advice
WLD ( WORLD COIN) CAN ENTER NEW ALL TIME HIGH $8 SOON!Thanks for reading this update.
We expect that there is high chance that WLD will enter $8, since the confirmation between $2,94 - $3
WILD is a new coin that can show unexpected targets.
We will follow this coin for new ATH
Top of the Band Top of the World Toppy TopYeahhh wowww... moved wayy beyond any expectations.
So insanely booleesh, face-ripping bear-killing rally from Hell.
How long can it go on?
Double topped RSI at 80%, see arrows. Top of the Bolly Band.
Explosive blow-off style rally to massive new ATH for SPX, NQ.
Might have another day or two in it.
Notice that DJI already topped at 40K and RTY has barely moved... divergence, goes back to Dow Theory, non-confirming.
This rally is almost entirely driven by the Mag 7, tech and AI froth.
Chasing it here is unlikely to be profitable IMO.
Gonna get some kind of pullback in back half of July. Think about closing longs. Shorts might print finally. GLTA
08/07/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $63,884.22
Last weeks low: $53,536.87
Midpoint: 58,710.54
A continuation of BTC selling off has lead to a loss of nearly $10,000 from Bitcoins price from high to low. This sell off is mostly propelled by large selling pressure caused by the German Government selling, however they still have $2.2B of BTC to sell and Mt.Gox begin repayments of stolen funds from 2014 causing increased selling pressure.
From a TA standpoint BTC is still LTF bearish, but the interesting part is the HTF's as BTC is retesting the 1D 200EMA as resistance since breaking below it last week. In a Bullrun you really don't want to see too much time spent under the 1D 200EMA, it should really act as strong support and a place to add to LONG positions.
This week I would like to see the Bullish OB+ @ $52,000 tagged before making a judgment on where BTC is going next. It's a strong support area that will attract price too it, TA says this is a good area to go LONG but this is definitely not a blind bid environment. It also happens to be a 30% drop from ATH which has been a common Bullrun correction in the past.
This week my focus is on the ETH ETF updates, the S-1 forms rumoured to be due tomorrow, then it's down tot the SEC to turn them around. ETH is around $3000 with sentiment at yearly lows, definitely an opportunity there.
Also the BTC1D 200EMA is a point of contention and an important S/R level.
01/07/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $63,700.01
Last weeks low: $58,451.16
Midpoint: $61,075.58
Q2 ENDS - Q3 BEGINS
After a rough quarter of sideways chop, ranging between ~$56K-73K it's safe to say that the last 3 months has been a tough one for the crypto markets. Despite the frustration with price it's important to realise the positive elements of the last quarter. The ETH ETF approval, THE HALVING, consolidation at the '21 ATH level are all bullish for the industry as a whole.
As the weekly, monthly and quarterly all close, July 1st almost feels like a new chapter, one that needs to begin strong. Last week we saw BTC dip to the 1D 200EMA for the first time this calendar year. This is not uncommon in a Bullrun, a bounce off that moving average while it is trending up is often a good R:R entry level for a HTF position. This lines up well with how last week played out and until price breaks below the moving average and changes its trend direction, I do not believe we have reason to panic.
As the first few trading hours of the new quarter have completed we can see that there is a clear S/R level at the 0.75 range line that was flipped, I would like to see a positive reaction off any retest of that level. As I stated before starting a new quarter positively can have a positive impact. Staying above $62,400 is important in the short term, $65,000 is resistance and an important S/R zone.
In the altcoin market tomorrow is an exciting day as the ETH ETF goes live , we've seen what an ETF can do with BTC and potentially the same thing can happen with ETH, the difference in my opinion is that institutions and larger investors were all expecting the BTC ETF to be approved when it did. However, I do not believe that those same players expected ETH ETF's to be approved as soon as they did. It is no secret that the SEC has been arguing that Ethereum is a security and therefor comes under the SEC's regulatory power which was always a point of contention and made ETF approval unlikely. Now that the probe has been dropped by the SEC and they have relinquished power over the cryptocurrency, the ETF is set to go live and I believe the big players just weren't prepared for this to happen so quickly hence the delay in price movement comparable to BTC. We shall see if this delayed response continues as trading goes live but I have no doubt that over the long term this is a net positive for ETH and the altcoin market.
In the broader alt space we can see clear signs of seller exhaustion . BTC dropped 10% last week and most alts didn't react anywhere near as negatively as this move usually does. That to me is a clear sign that sellers are all sold out and that buyers are happy to DCA in at these levels to balance price.
This week I am keeping an eye on those altcoins that outperformed BTC last week on their BTC pairs with good fundamentals as these alts will perform the best on the next rally. ETHEREUM ETF trading is the main talking point of the week and I will be monitoring that closely.
GOOD LUCK FOR Q3
ATH - Aether accumulatingATH is one of my favo coins.
With a real usecase and great potential in the AI narrative and a huge community its building up momentum.
The former EQ i drew has been broken on the upside. But due to lack of volume i also drew a PC in yellow. This is less bullisch but still ATH is outperforming BTC for now.
This coin could easy outperform RNDR for example. So I did set some alerts and try to buy the bottom.
The Aether ( TSX:ATH ) coin has a promising upside potential based on various predictions. Analysts forecast that the price of Aether could see significant growth over the next few years.
Short-term Prediction: Over the next 30 days, Aether is expected to increase by approximately 51.36%, potentially reaching $0.105226 by late June 2024 (CoinCodex).
Medium-term Outlook: By 2025, Aether could trade within a range of $0.06952 to $0.343487, representing a potential increase of up to 370.31% from its current value (CoinCodex).
Long-term Forecast: By 2030, Aether could reach as high as $0.52, with further growth expected in subsequent years. By 2033, it is predicted to hit $1.34 to $1.59
These predictions suggest substantial upside potential for Aether ATH, driven by positive market sentiment and anticipated growth in its use case and adoption.
#NOFINANCIALADVISE
Fetch.AI HTF Fetch.ai soon to be ASI (Artificial super intelligence) after the merger with Singularity (AGIX) and Ocean protocol (OCEAN) has been a victim of the recent altcoin market drawdown. As on of the leading projects in the AI space, FET surged to a high of $3.47, since then price has been retracing back down the range created by the rally previously.
BEARISH: Now back at range low FET finds itself in a key area where the bearish trend can continue, break below range and continue to fall. This would be mostly influenced by a further sell off in BTC as alts are still at the mercy of Bitcoin. Should BTC continue to reject the '21 ATH and 4H 200EMA levels then price will naturally search for buyers with conviction. This chop has already been devastating to the altcoin market without a big flush. So this outcome is not improbable.
BULLISH: On the bullish side we have a very good R;R HTF entry level at range lows, in addition to a fully reset RSI in the oversold area compounded with a very bullish divergence being shown on the High timeframes. All three of these conditions add up to a high probability entry IF BTC behaves. Naturally if BTC decides to sell off then so will altcoins and FET is no exception. However, in this probability game this setup is one of the better LONG setups you could ask for. Couple that with the AI narrative and good fundamentals this looks bullish.
Is it the BOTTOM for BTC and are we Ready for a Rally?BTC underwent a serious correction, which is far from OVER in LONG TERM view. However, as per my EW count, I think we are ready for a rally, even to a NEW ATH. Current EW Count was closely monitored for few weeks and updated accordingly, Further, I personally believe, we are Ready for a MINI ALT COIN SEASON to complete the market cycle in most of the ALTs.
Be Prepared, By any means, this is NOT a Financial Advice. Please do your OWN research prior any ENTRY or INVESTMENT.
Peace Out.
SpiralX
24/06/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $67,290.83
Last weeks low: $62,212.60
Midpoint: $65,251.72
Despite the seemingly endless chop, last week was a very interesting one for BTC. Micro strategy added ~$800 worth of Bitcoin to their balance sheet, putting them at 226,000BTC, just over 1% of the entire BTC supply that will ever exist! In relation to microstrategy, Michael Dell has been sending some cryptic tweets reacting to the news that Saylor has added even more to their balance sheet. “Scarcity creates value” was his response. With the news that Dell is potentially buying or looking to buy Bitcoin it’s strange that BTC has dropped in price overall with overall sentiment in the space being very negative.
As we continue to slowly sell off and alt oins continue to get destroyed in both their stable and BTC pairs, I would like to see a clear capitulation wick with obvious strength on the bounce. It’s hard to say at what level that will come to, many are calling for GETTEX:52K which is a clear Bullish OB+, so it could be there however that would be devastating for all alt coins and may/probably have a bearish effect on the launch of the ETH ETF which is coming in the near future, 1/2 weeks.
For this week it’s purely about survival and looking for signs of capitulation, max fear and showing of strength following any potential sell offs. A slow bleed down within a range is very hard to catch the bottom but it would be better to see clear signs of reversal.
17/06/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $70,207.85
Last weeks low: $65,079.20
Midpoint: $7,643.52
Bitcoin over the last week is in a clear downtrend, despite midweek volatility caused by the CPI & FOMC news events. The results of those news events overall were positive and we saw the reaction of that with a move from 0.25 level to range high. Yet price rejected yet again from the '21 ATH / range high levels before printing Lower highs and Lower lows making BTC LTF bearish.
Altcoins are being destroyed during this chop, clear downtrends sub 4H 200EMA and a lot are retesting their 1D 200EMA levels for the first time in months. Only a handful of well performing exceptions are surviving but even they are running out of steam e.g. LSE:ONDO , LSE:TON , $JASMY.
I think I could see a sweep of the previous weeks low, before we see any sort of rebound and aim for MIDPOINT. The 4H 200EMA is sat at just below MIDPOINT and so there is huge resistance there, a rejection of that level continues the LTF downtrend.
This week I am continuing to monitor the Bullish Divergences that are appearing on the 4H & 1D and looking for any clear reversal in trend direction. For now I cannot see what catalyst would be responsible for turning this price action bullish, but that is what my focus is on, until then this is a no trade environment in my opinion.
SUN Price prediction 2024 - SUN IS GOING TO SHINE AND $0,07 SUN Price Prediction 2024 - Will SUN Shine Bright?
Based on our analysis, SUN could reach an exciting target of $0.07 by the end of this year.
Current Trends
At the start of the year, SUN's trend looks promising and different from previous years. This isn't just about a percentage increase but also about its overall development.
Year 2023 was a red year and 100% not sumllair as the trends of this year.
The year 2024 already made some start trends also to see on chart.
What’s Next for SUN?
We’re keeping a close eye on SUN because it has shown some very interesting movements recently. For 2024, there are several possible targets:
$0.021
$0.025
$0.035
$0.047
The most optimistic target is $0.07, which would be up to a new all-time high (ATH).
Note
Always do your own research. This is not trading advice. The market can be unpredictable.
The market can go for a time stable, it's about the year 2024 this is not short-term update.
$TOTAL Cup & Handle formingAlthough we could zoom out and literally write a book of CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL technical analysis, let´s start with this 12 hour time frame
In green, a Cup & Handle formation, that WILL TAKE US ABOVE ALL-TIMES-HIGH cryptomarket cap
The ATH marketcap is marked on the purple horizontal lines (2,9 to 3,0 trillion) and the C&H targets are marked with the purple arrows, left is most otimistic, right pessimistic
Is important to say price is on a little triangle formed by yearly long support (big blue dotted diagonal line) and yearly fib circle resistence (continuous red thin line0)
This triangle can still break low to find the support on the thick green 200 EMA line and others yearly supports
As we are on a region with a lot of multi year support, guess what? Break up is a matter of time; I´ll give approximately 4 weeks to this setup completion (marked with red flag and another confluence with the next multi year long fib circle)
BTCUSDT | New ATH Incoming?🚀 Are we on the brink of a new all-time high for Bitcoin? All signs point to yes, and I need to be in on this action!
Breakout Alert
Yesterday, we broke the trendline of a forming bull flag on the daily chart. This classic pattern break could be signaling a massive move upwards!
Targets
While my exact target is still undecided, there's a ton of liquidity at $72k. Breaking through this could propel the price to an eye-popping $90k without a doubt!
This setup is too exciting to miss. Let’s see how this plays out!
10/06/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $71,199.84
Last weeks low: $67,611.61
Midpoint: $69,801.22
Chop, chop and some more chop for Bitcoin. A steady a climb for BTC last week from range lows made at the beginning of the week with a high just shy of $72K before freefalling to the 0.25 line which coincides with the '21 ATH level l, and a bounce back up to the midpoint which is currently LTF resistance.
The altcoin market is looking in pretty rough shape in comparison to BTC, many have halved since their highs and are now retesting their 1D 200EMA's for support. In a Bullrun you'd expect these levels to hold and can offer great Long entries, I'd like to see BTC show strength above the '21 ATH because if we see another drop below alts will follow and once below the 1D 200EMA we could be in trouble for a while.
For this week I am looking at potential alt longs at the 1D 200EMA levels but being very aware of Bitcoins price. No trade if BTC is below SWB:69K as that would be yet another failed ATH run, and would look to target lower down in the chop range.
CPI & FOMC JUNE 12th Massive day for BTC, crypto and the broader markets as CPI and FOMC take place in a time where BTC has taken a dive back towards the range MIDPOINT.
Both CPI & FOMC are forecast to be non movers, with 3.4% and 5.5% respectively. Last month CPI was the catalyst for the move from 0.25 to range high, however some of that hard work has been undone in recent days.
I would like to see the same kind of move but this time from the MIDPOINT which often provides a better starting point to a move. What we don't want to see if BTC is to keep bullish HTF momentum is lingering around the midpoint level with a view to target range lows yet again. Buyers need to come in fast before momentum is lost.
With sentiment so low but price constantly knocking at the door of ATH, ETF's being approved leading to institutional investment, mining rewards halved and a US election on the way this year. Big things are about to happen in the world of cryptocurrency and Bitcoin is the one leading the charge as it so often does.
Be greedy when others are fearful springs to mind. There is definitely fear in the market and its participants, The chart once you zoom out does not give me reason to be fearful just yet, this is a Bullrun and dips like these can be turned into wins.
