ATOM
ATOM WEEKLY PART I The ATOM weekly chart is exciting. Every time the Stoch RSI oscillator is about to make a bullish cross but gets rejected, the price drops by at least 40%—this has happened the last two times.
However, the first time this fake cross occurred, the price increased by 68% before dropping by 74%.
Considering that on February 3, we saw a high-volume rejection from $3.7 (a 34% drop), I believe there is still room for the price to go lower, possibly even below $3.7.
If you flip the chart, it looks like it could reach around $3.2.
The failure of the POS (Proof of Stake) mechanismHave you noticed that many altcoin projects older than three years are bleeding to death? The total market cap of altcoins is also declining significantly.
One possible reason for this could be the failure of the Proof of Stake (PoS) mechanism.
Bitcoin was created with a deflationary system called Proof of Work (PoW), which ensures that the number of coins generated decreases over time, creating scarcity and a deflationary economy. The rewards are fixed through a public mathematical formula, allowing future supply to be anticipated. The reduction in the number of coins mined daily is called the halving, which occurs every four years for Bitcoin.
However, over the last four years, leftist and democratic political forces pushed the crypto industry to adopt a less energy-intensive system. This led to the creation of the PoS mechanism.
How PoS Works
Proof of Stake generates rewards based on the amount of cryptocurrency staked. The percentage of rewards allocated each month is determined by governance votes, which are controlled by individuals or entities meeting a certain staking threshold. This system eliminates the need for computational power to mint new coins and encourages holders to stake their tokens rather than sell them on the market.
Today, most of the top 100 Layer-1 blockchains rely on PoS. For example, the entire Cosmos ( NASDAQ:ATOM ) ecosystem uses PoS, as do projects like CRYPTOCAP:INJ , LSE:TIA , NYSE:FET , NYSE:SEI , and even $ETH.
The Problem with PoS
Unfortunately, this technology is showing its limitations, and as a result, many PoS-powered blockchains are struggling.
Key Issues:
Inflationary Nature:
PoS systems are inherently inflationary. As the number of staked tokens increases over time, the staking rewards also grow. Unlike PoW systems like Bitcoin, which create scarcity through halving events, PoS fails to do so, resulting in the opposite effect—oversupply.
Self-serving Governance:
Staking rewards are determined by governance votes cast by those who hold and stake the tokens. These participants have little incentive to vote for lower rewards, as it would reduce their income. This creates a system where whales and early adopters accumulate large amounts of tokens, benefiting from monthly rewards and becoming "retired" contributors to the ecosystem.
Bad for Retail Investors:
Retail investors suffer the most under PoS systems. The total supply of tokens increases logarithmically over time, causing the price of the coin to decline. Initially, the excitement around the project’s growth may offset this inflation, especially during the early stages of token generation events (TGEs) and favorable tokenomics. However, as staking rewards continue to mint new tokens, platforms like CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko fail to account for the rising supply, leading to hidden inflation.
Why These Projects Are Bleeding
This inflationary pressure, regardless of a project’s quality, is why many PoS projects are in decline. Holding these tokens long-term is a disastrous decision for retail investors. They are unknowingly holding coins that suffer from far higher inflation than is visible, creating a deceptive and exploitative system that slowly drains value from their holdings.
The Solution
The solution to this problem would be to remove governance-based reward decisions and implement a fixed annual reduction in staking APY (Annual Percentage Yield), similar to Bitcoin's halving mechanism. This would ensure that the supply is predictable, and coin generation becomes deflationary over time.
The Current Reality
Unfortunately, many PoS projects appear content to continue bleeding value from their coins. As a result, it’s advisable not to hold PoS projects for more than three years. The older the project, the more inflationary the PoS system becomes.
ATOM LongThis chart represents a long-term price action view of ATOM/USDT, showcasing the accumulation phase and a potential future bullish trend.
The current price action suggests that ATOM is in a period of accumulation around the $4.80 - $5.00 zone. The highlighted region in blue represents a potential area for price to push into, driven by buysid liquidity, with the expectation of a possible breakout towards the $17.20 target.
Key points:
Accumulation phase around the $4.80 - $5.00 range.
Potential bullish movement towards $17.20, driven by liquidity zones.
Key low as a critical support zone, protecting the downside.
Target levels around $17.20 for upside potential.
Always monitor the price action closely for any confirmation before executing a trade.
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ATOM Back at Crucial Level: What Should You Do...?ATOM is currently at a significant level of 5.650, which has served as both support and resistance multiple times throughout the year. It acted as support in July 2024, as resistance at NOV 2024, and is now functioning as support again. Presently, ATOM is in a downtrend since reaching a high of 10.600. Given that it is at this support level, you might consider buying if you are interested, or you could wait for further confirmation before making a decision.
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$ATOM (Cosmos) predictionWhat is NASDAQ:ATOM , and why am I interested in this technology?
They call themselves the "Internet of Blockchains," but in simpler terms, it's an SDK that makes it easier to create blockchains. So far, over 200 blockchains have been built using this SDK, including major players like CRYPTOCAP:INJ , LSE:TIA , and $FET.
### Why is this technology impressive?
- **Unmatched Reliability:** With over $100B worth of tokens running on its ecosystem without crashes or downtime, it’s a performance few can match, except for Ethereum.
- **Seamless Interoperability:** In a world where more and more Layer 1 blockchains are being created, NASDAQ:ATOM stands out for its ability to bridge blockchains, simplify staking, and enable smooth trading within its ecosystem—unlike blockchains that operate in isolation.
### Why hasn’t NASDAQ:ATOM performed well in 2024?
After massive pumps in 2021 and 2022, it’s still in a recovery phase. However, the bottom appears to be in, and the charts suggest it’s gearing up for a move upward.
I’ve marked a green box where I believe you can safely load up for a long position.
DYOR!
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ATOM LongThe price has recently reclaimed a key level around $7.349, which now serves as a strong level of support.
A demand zone is marked on the chart around the $6.596 level, where previous price action suggests strong buying interest.
The current market structure shows a possible continuation upward after reclaiming the key level, suggesting a move toward higher targets.
The "Buyside Liquidity" area, indicated near $9.352, is the next significant target where the price might aim after breaking above the current resistance.
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#ATOM (SPOT) IN ( 6.000- 7.600) T.(26.000) SL(5.830)BINANCE:ATOMUSDT
#ATOM / USDT
Entry ( 6.000- 7.600)
SL 1D close below 5.830
T1 12.000
T2 17.000
T3 22.000
T4 26.000
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Golden Advices.
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* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
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ATOM (SPOT)BINANCE:ATOMUSDT
entry range ( 5.75)
Target1 (8.500) - Target2 (12.140)
SL .1H close below (4.824)
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cursed coin ATOM offers some hope. Major line still to crossATOM the cursed coin, which has underperformed most major cosmos based projects due to poorly designed tokenomics is trying to reclaim a bullish structure. it still has to go through the second resistance line.
two scenarios presented.
we remain neutral
ATOM Is Escaping From The Dead Zone: Wyckoff Accumulation Done!Hello, Skyrexians!
Let's update the previous Cosmos analysis today. It was one the weakest coin in 2024 and it looks like finally reached the bottom, completed accumulation and is about to explode. In our opinion BINANCE:ATOMUSDT is one of the most undervalued crypto asset for 2025.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. We can see the clear Wyckoff accumulation, no single event and phase has not been violated. The most painful time, the spring has been already passed. Price showed the impulse to the upside after that. You can see that Fractal Trend Detector turned green and started print the green support zone. Last time we have seen it there was a fake growth, but this time there is a high probability of true bull run on this asset!
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ATOM - 4H - DownTrend+Accumulation AreaATOM - 4H - DownTrend+Accumulation Area
A range with acumulation in progress for ATOM
REMEMBER that a lot of investors sell stocks or crypto for fiscal conditions in 2024 to close the year.
For that, we have low buy liquidity , and even with that pressure on the price , ATOM is trying to remaning in the same range as 1 week ago, so a breakout can restart a new HH , so patience.
ATOM/USD Bearish Analysis
Looking at the ATOM/USD pair, I'm seeing strong bearish confirmation across multiple indicators and chart patterns. Let me break down why I'm heavily bearish on this setup:
Major Bearish Signals:
1. Triangle Pattern Breakdown
What catches my eye immediately is the clean breakdown of the descending triangle on the daily chart. This isn't just any breakdown - we've seen a decisive move below the pattern support, and more importantly, the recent retest of the breakdown level was firmly rejected. Classic price action theory in play here.
2. Price Structure
I'm particularly focused on how price has consistently formed lower highs and lower lows. The recent rally attempt to $8.90 was swiftly rejected, and what's more telling is the weak bounce attempts that followed. This type of price action typically precedes further downside momentum.
3. Technical Confluence
Here's what really seals the deal for me:
- MACD shows increasing bearish momentum on the daily
- RSI hasn't even hit oversold on the daily, suggesting plenty of room for downside
- Volume profile is increasing on down moves and decreasing on bounces (classic distribution pattern)
My Bearish Targets:
$6.20 → First major support
$5.80 → Key psychological level with historical significance
$4.90 → Ultimate target if bearish momentum continues
Why This Setup is Particularly Compelling:
The beauty of this setup is the clear invalidation level. A daily close above $8.90 would force me to reconsider my bearish stance, but until then, the path of least resistance is clearly down. The risk-reward here is exceptional - we're looking at roughly a 3:1 return on well-placed shorts.
Trade Management Approach:
I'm looking to short any relief rallies, particularly around the $7.20-7.50 zone. These levels coincide with previous support turned resistance and should provide optimal entry points. Keeping stops tight above $7.80 to maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Key Observation:
What's particularly bearish here is the increasing volume on recent downticks. This tells me big money is taking advantage of every bounce to distribute. When you combine this with the technical breakdown we're seeing, it paints a very clear picture of where this is headed.
The one thing I'm watching carefully is a potential bear trap scenario above $8.90, but given the current technical setup, I see this as a low-probability event. The risk-reward clearly favors the short side here.
Final Thoughts:
This is one of the cleaner bearish setups I've seen. While we might see some relief rallies along the way, the overall structure suggests lower prices ahead. I'm maintaining my bearish bias until we see a clear break of the descending trendline and reclaim of key resistance levels.