ATR
Long EURUSD Doji + Possible Downward trend line break.I have been seeing this signal for the last 2 hours or so. I am looking to go long with a small loss. It sucks that I am going to go to sleep. But, on the bright side this is a great trade with a wonderful profit to loss ration. So this is a win win even if I loose the trade I learn :) Happy Trading Alain
Postponing the suffer?For complementing the notes on the chart, I want to point out the following:
a) At the moment, RSI is showing bearish divergence.
b) ATR keeps following an opposite direction of price's, meaning the real trend only emerges when price declines, a behavior verified since March 2009.
EURCHF: Wide stop loss longWe can take a long here, fading this momentum run to the downside in a mostly quiet and sideways market.
Support is potentially strong against this level, so we can expect upside soon.
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Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long-term viewThis bearish outlook is due to applying a logarithmic scale, resulting in a rising wedge pattern which is confirmed by the ATR divergence and which has been breached, signalling the start of a new downtrend or simply a correction.
If June's hanging man is confirmed, next target will probably be the bottom of the channel, but if price continues to decline and breach the channel, it will then confim the development of a wave 3 and it's corresponding long-term bear market.
If price invalidates the hanging man and keeps rising making a new all time high, then the price action since May 2015 was only a correction and the market will probably resume the uptrend.
For now, I think one should assume the trend is down.
Lumber: Potential top spottedLumber futures appear to have topped against a massive monthly mode.
You can go short with stops above the highs to be safe, target a retest of the uptrend mode from the lows.
I overlaid EURUSD and USOIL so you can compare the price action. It's clear we're witneseeing a major dollar rally here. I wouldn't discard its significance. If you're not in any of my recent suggested trades, try to catch this and USDCAD, even buying at market now is viable with stops under yesterday's low. See related ideas for an entry we can take in oil.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.