GBPAUD Potential LongsFX:GBPAUD
📊After reaching 2.16400, which is a high it hasn't seen in almost a decade back in 2015, price has finally cooled off and been on a downtrend for 27 days, down by roughly 5.3% to the daily demand range at 2.04838. Before the third push downward to the daily demand zone, price was consolidating for roughly 3 weeks, giving movements of 350 pips from its high to low.
📊The highlighted candles below are 4h candles that make up one spinning top candle on the daily timeframe, this may suggest that for the next few days, price may have the ability for short term reversals back to the upside. For aggressive swing entry, we can place the stop loss below the swing low on the daily demand range and target the first TP at the impulse zone above. The point of control of the volume profile is sitting between the 0.62 and 0.709 points of the Fibonacci retracement tool, this suggests that price has some chances of breaking above the impulse zone but react and respect the Fibonacci zone. If it respects the point of control zone, we can expect that sellers are still in control, by then, we can look for sell opportunities to catch the ride downwards.
📃On fundamentals, UK’s Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index (FTSE 100) rose 1.1%, as giants like Shell and Standard Chartered released positive management updates. Shell announced $3.5 billion buyback of shares after surpassing 50% increase of quarterly adjusted earnings when compared to previous earnings. At the same time, Standard Chartered’s pretax profit increased by 10% for Q1, which they shared was due to outstanding performance from their institutional wealth management divisions. There might be some positive outlook for inflation as the Eurozone revealed a steady inflation of 2.2% for April, which was the same as market expectations. However, Deutsche Bank has forecasted a 25-basis point rate cut by BoE, downwards to 4.25%, this may signal bearish movements for the GBP
