GBPAUD DETAILED ANALYSIS FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICALSGBPAUD is currently showing strong bullish momentum after a clean bounce from a key support level around 2.0600–2.0700. The pair has formed a textbook bullish flag pattern on the 12H chart, indicating a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Price action is respecting the trend structure well, and a breakout above the descending flag resistance could open the doors toward the next major resistance around 2.20. I'm currently watching the 2.0870–2.0900 zone closely, as a sustained close above this level may trigger a high-probability upside continuation.
From a technical standpoint, this consolidation within the bullish flag is healthy after a strong impulsive move that started in late March. Volume is gradually decreasing within the flag, which often precedes a breakout. The risk-reward setup here is compelling, with a clear invalidation below 2.0450 and a defined target at 2.2000, aligning perfectly with the recent highs and psychological round number.
On the fundamental side, GBP remains well-supported due to the Bank of England’s hawkish tone. Sticky inflation data in the UK is pushing market expectations for further tightening or at least a delay in rate cuts. Meanwhile, AUD continues to lag behind amid concerns over China’s economic recovery and the Reserve Bank of Australia's cautious policy stance. Recent Australian CPI data showed signs of easing inflation, which strengthens the divergence between BOE and RBA, favoring more upside in GBPAUD.
This setup is ideal for swing traders and position traders looking to capture a trend continuation with a clear structure and clean price action. GBPAUD is now on breakout watch and remains one of the top-performing GBP pairs in April. If momentum aligns post-breakout, the 2.20 target could be reached swiftly. Keep this pair on your radar—momentum, structure, and fundamentals are in sync for a bullish scenario.
