Potential bull flag breakout on AUD/JPYA potential bull flag on the 1-hour chart of AUD/JPY has caught my eye, and a closer look at volumes also suggests it worthy of consideration.
The weekly CVM (cumulative volume delta) has confirmed the recent rally into the bull flag pattern, but is also breakout out of its own flag to suggest bullish pressure is building. It is also near its own weekly high, a break above which provides another bullish clue.
Trading volumes were rising alongside prices before they entered the sideways consolidation (bull flag), so I am now on guard for a break higher of prices.
Bulls could seek dips towards the daily pivot point (97.32) for a move up to 97.80, just beneath the daily S1 pivot.
A break above 98 assumes bullish continuation up to 98.50 near a weekly VPOC (volume point of control).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Aud-jpy
Heading into overlap resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.14
1st support: 96.93
1st Resistance: 99.02
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/JJPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.15
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 98.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 96.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Could we see some weakness in AUDJPY in the near term?Both currencies are currently on the weaker side against their major counterparts. Despite the RBA holding off from cutting, nor hiking rates, the AUD struggled to find strong grounds. Similarly for JPY, where the currency has been hit because of no significant action taken by the BoJ, it has been tough for the yen to find strength. Also, strong global stock market activity made safe-haven yen less attractive.
Given that MARKETSCOM:AUDJPY is seen as somewhat of a risk-on/risk-off monitor, we can see that the pair has been in “limbo” from around the end of August. From around the beginning of December, the pair started moving slightly upwards within a short-term rising channel formation. If we purely look at that structure, then we also examine the prevailing trend, which has been to the downside, meaning there is a greater chance for FX_IDC:AUDJPY to exit the channel through the lower side of it. However, until we see that exit, we can not assume the breakout will be lower.
At the time of writing, looking at our EMAs on our daily chart, we can see that the price action is below all of them, indicating possible weakness to come. The MACD is showing some weakness in the upside momentum, and the RSI remains below 50. These are technical indications of potential downside in the near term.
Nevertheless, we would prefer to wait for a clearance of the lower side of the aforementioned channel, before considering any downside movement.
For us to shift our attention to some higher areas, a break of the upper side of that rising channel may indicate bullish activity. If that happens, the rate would also be placed above all our EMAs, possibly attracting more bulls into the field.
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Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 99.58
1st Support: 98.49
1st Resistance: 100.18
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 98.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 97.854
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the price drop from here?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 97.53
1st Support: 96.43
1st Resistance: 98.74
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?AUD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.62
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 98.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 96.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 99.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 97.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearisdh drop off pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resisstance and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 98.24
1st Support: 96.57
1st Resistance: 99.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 97.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 98.68
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 95.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into overlap resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.85
1st Support: 97.02
1st Resistance: 99.88
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish breakout?AUD/JPY has broken out of the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 97.03
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 99.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Why we don't trust this bounce on AUD/JPYMy short AUD/JPY bias sprang into action quicker than I expected two weeks ago. While support has since been found, it looks like it wants to retrace against that initial drop. Yet I have my eyes on the bigger (and more bearish) prize, and when comparing this cross to other yen pairs, I suspect another leg lower could be due when the current bounce fizzles out as anticipated.
MS
Potential bullish rise?AUD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 96.89
1st Support: 95.68
1st Resistance: 98.01
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?AUD/JPY has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 96.73
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 96.63
Why we like it"
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 98.06
Why we like it:
there is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDJPY for a selling opportunity around 98.800 zone, AUDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 98.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Falling towards pullback support?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 95.69
1st Support: 94.30
1st Resistance: 96.92
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY: Channel Up bottomed. Bullish.AUDJPY turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.123, MACD = -0.750, ADX = 46.331) as it touched the bottom of the Channel Up. Unlike the price's LL decline, the 4H RSI has formed a Channel Up from oversold range, which is the exact same formation it had after pricing the September 11th bottom. Consequently, we should be expecting the pair to bottom now and start the new bullish wave. The last one hit and even breached the R1 level and then pulled back to the 4H MA50. We are aiming for the same level (TP = 101.550).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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AUDJPY Channel Up approaching its bottom.The AUDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 05 Low and yesterday broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The previous Low of the pattern was priced on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as well as when the 1D RSI started rising after almost hitting the oversold (30.00) barrier.
As a result we are looking for a buy below 97.500, targeting 104.000 (just under the -0.236 Fibonacci extension, which was the last Higher High).
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Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 100.20
1st Support: 99.09
1st Resistance: 100.86
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.