AUDNZD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDNZD for a selling opportunity around 1.08 zone, AUDNZD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.08 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Aud-nzd
AUD retracing...Yesterday, during the live stream, a bearish flag was identified. As the price broke out, the AUDUSD fell to reach the 0.6430 price level.
Currently, the AUDUSD has rebounded from yesterday's low, contributed by the climb on the NZDUSD and the weakness of the DXY.
Initial consideration was for the AUDUSD to rise toward the 0.65 round number resistance level, on anticipation that the DXY could continue weakening.
However, price action suggests that the AUDUSD might not sustain a break beyond the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level.
Look for a continuation of the downtrend, especially if the DXY recovers in strength.
AUDNZD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDNZD for a buying opportunity around 1.07900 zone, AUDNZD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.07900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Levels discussed during the webinar 8th August8th August 2023
DXY: break above 102.40 to trade higher toward 102.80 resistance
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6050 SL 20 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6510 SL 25 TP 45
USDJPY: Buy 143.20 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Sell 1.27 SL 25 TP 90
EURUSD: Sell 1.0960 SL 20 TP 40
USDCHF: Wait, look for reaction along 0.88
USDCAD: Sell 1.3360 SL 30 TP 60
Gold: break 1930, below 1929, could see 1924
AUDNZD 1 Hour w/ Updates The explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD 15 Min w/ Updates The explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD Daily w/ UpdatesThe explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD 4 Hour w/ UpdatesThe explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD Weekly w/ Updates The explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD Monthly w/ Updates OngoingThe explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
The following timeframes will be linked and updated as well:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD 1 Hour w/ Updates Ongoing *Not Advice*We have posted a Monthly outlook with weekly, daily 4 hour,1 hour, and 15 min charts on their respective pages so be sure to check those publishes in the related ideas section. I wanted to add a 1 hour so we can all practice multiple timeframe analysis. I'm no pro but I want to use this pair to journal trades not to show off. I's better to journal here vs my own sources due to how nice the platform is.
Now, as far as the 1 hour, there's not much difference in our outlook compared to others. I was hesitant about the 4 hour markup due to price being in an oversold position and price being near our green demand zone on that timeframe. However, other timeframes show that price may not be done testing the previous low of the daily-monthly timeframes even if a pullback to test recent 4 hour could work out as well before a reassessment of our short trade. On this 1 hour timeframe we see we are in an overbought scenario with no newer highs and a lower low formed this morning. I don't have a specific price target for this timeframe as of now but we do want to see the previous low be tested or broke before further outlook. I'll update as I go depending on associated timeframe.
AUDNZD Montly w/ Ongoing Updates *Not Advice*Weekly Economic Analysis: 7/30/23
Pair: AUDNZD
GDP (Down: Weaker Currency Up: Stronger Currency)
- Aud down NZD up
Employment (Down: Weaker Currency / Up: Stronger Currency)
- Both up
Inflation (Down: Weaker Currency Up: Stronger Currency)
- Both Down
Interest Rate (Down: Weaker Currency / Up; Stronger Currency)
- AUD news week. Both stalemate
Balance of Trade (Down: Weaker Currency / Up: Stronger Currency)
- AUD down NZD up
PMI (Down: Weaker Currency / Up: Stronger Currency)
- Services: Both are down
- Manufacturing: AUD up NZD down
Bias: NZD Stronger
Monthly Technical Analysis
- Price could be in a range with our bias to the demand zone around 1.03758.
AUDNZD Sell signal on the Symmetrical ResistanceThe AUDNZD pair is consolidating on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for 4 straight 1D candles, having formed a 1D Golden Cross last week. Even though that is a technically bullish formation, as long as it doesn't break above the 1.093250 Symmetrical Resistance, a rejection seems more probable. As long as it holds, we will sell and target the Higher Lows trend-line at 1.06200.
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AUD/NZD to benefit from yield differentials? A strong 2-day rally this week suggests AUD/NZD has printed its swing low at 1.07266. Whilst NZ inflation data was stronger than expected in Q2 and saw AUD/ZD pull back to 1.0800, we suspect it is still lower from the prior reads to allow the RBNZ to hold rates steady with an economy already in a recession.
We therefore see today's retracement lower to 1.080 as a potential gift for bulls, and for a move to 1.0900 or even 1.1000 over the coming weeks. The RBA may still have to hike once or more and that could see expectations of a lower RBNZ-RBA cash rate and support AUD/NZD.
A break beneath this week's low invalidates the bullish bias.
AUDNZD: Bullish Cross can take it higher for a new sell entry.AUDNZD is currently forming a Golden Cross on the 1D timeframe, which is technically bullish (RSI = 59.438, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 24.813). The symmetric sequence on the 1D RSI with the February-April phase indicates that the Cross can indeed push the price higher, over Fibonacci 0.618 and then decline to form the Lower Low at the bottom of the long term Channel Up. We are already on a sell since June 7th (see idea below) but we will add another on Fib 0.618 targeting the Channel's bottom (TP = 1.062500) again.
Prior idea:
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AUDNZD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDNZD for a buying opportunity around 1.07500 zone, AUDNZD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.07500 support zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDNZD Halfway through the bearish leg. You can still sell.AUDNZD crossed under the 1day MA50 this week for the first time since May 24th.
That is the bearish leg from the Falling Resistance to the Rising Support in order to form the new Higher Low.
The 1day RSI just entered the 4 month Support Zone, where the price Low was formed at the bottom of the Support Zone.
This is still a good sell. Target 1.061500.
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AUDNZD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDNZD for a buying opportunity around 1.07500 zone, AUDNZD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.07500 support zone.
Trade safe, Joe.