AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop | 20th February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 0.68963, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and overlap resistance is. Stop loss will be at 0.70114, where the 50% Fibonacci line and overlap resistance is. Take profit will be at 0.66862, where the overlap support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Aud-usd
AUDUSD:Potential Breakout due to strong USD envrionmentHey Traders, based on the last strong NFP numbers that were out of expectations with 517,000 new jobs created in January, retail sales smashing expectations of 1.9% with 3%, CPI and other strong USD data we can notice that the market is pricing more rate hikes, and we expect the USD to continue outperforming until the next fed decision on March that will clarify more the USD path. in case of a breakout on AUDUSD chart i would monitor a retrace around 0.685 zone.
i would also like to give a risk management advice to traders, i personally risk between 0.5% to 2% per trade so even if i'm in the wrong path that would take me a bunch of consecutive losing trades to get my account marginated which is too far. so for example if you risk 1% per trade that will take you more than a hundred consecutive losing trades to lose your account. but if you risk 10 times the recommended amount for example a 20% risk per trade that means 4-5 consecutive losing trades will knock your account out from the market.
Please feel free to ask me questions regarding fundamentals and technicals in the comment section!
Trade safe, Joe.
source of USD data: www.forexfactory.com
AUDUSD potential for Bearish Drop to recent swing low Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, and the ascending trend line has been broken, indicating a change in market structure.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 0.69308 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is, and take profit at intermediate support at 0.68847 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is and stop loss placed at 0.70129 where the recent swing high is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop to 78.6% Fibonacci line Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, and the ascending trend line has been broken, indicating a change in market structure. Looking for a pullback sell entry at 0.68535, stop loss at 0.69183 where the 50% Fibonacci line is, and take profit at 0.67541 where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
AUDUSD - Buy This long position may not look very convincing, but there is a lot more context to this trade.
Price was at a high of 0.76500 in April, and has been dropping ever since.
Now, price is at 0.68730, which is our entry price in this trade.
The pair has been trying to increase, but encountered a small downtrend in the lower timeframes. However, the higher highs and higher lows on the 1D chart are still intact.
Today, US news was very positive. However, the pair did not allow price to go lower and had a massive rejection to keep price above the support level.
That rejection is the main reason behind our entry point. Especially because it is at a major support level.
In addition to that, Gov Lowe of Australia has a speech today. It is expected that he will be hawkish to help the AUD gain strength.
Those are the reasons behind this trade.
AUDUSD Potential for Bullish Rise to recent swing high Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is slightly bullish as there is a key support level, the price tested and bounced from the 1st support level. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 0.68760 below the 1st support level. We are looking to take profit at0.70097, which is the recent swing high, Stop loss will be placed at 0.68325, where the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop | 16th February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. Looking for a pullback sell entry at 0.69098, where the overlap resistance and 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 0.70159, where the overlap resistance and 50% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 0.66690, where the overlap support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop to recent swing low
Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is slightly bearish as there is a key resistance level, Looking for a sell entry at 0.69969 where below the overlap resistance and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. We are looking to take a profit at 0.68592, which is the recent swing low, Stop loss will be placed at 0.71414, where the recent swing high is.
AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop | 15th February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. Looking for a pullback sell entry at 0.70159, where the overlap resistance and 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 0.71577, where the previous high is. Take profit will be at 0.68660, where the overlap support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
AUDUSD a turn at the 0.5 Fibonacci 🦐AUDUSD has experienced an impulse move followed by a retracement that found support at an important daily level, specifically the 50% retracement level.
The price has since bounced off this support level and has been making higher highs and higher lows.
There is a key resistance level at 0.70000, and if the price is able to break above this level, it may provide a bullish opportunity to go long.
AUDUSD H4: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 0.7020On the H4 time frame, prices are approaching the resistance zone at 0.7020, in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension. A pullback to this zone presents an opportunity to play the drop to the support zone at 0.6880, in line with the graphical low and 50% Fibonacci retracement. Prices are holding below the Ichimoku cloud, and stochastic is approaching resistance at 95.24, supporting the bearish bias.
AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop to recent swing low Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish as there is a descending trend line, Looking for a sell entry at 0.70104 where below the overlap support. We are looking to take profit at 0.67134, which is the recent swing low, Stop loss will be placed at 0.71572, where the recent swing high.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD bear flag in the channelLooking to see AUDUSD test the channels up trend support as we get a developing 1 HR bear flag on the hourly. Anticipate a big sell of if we break the bottom trend line of the bear flag & will also be looking out for a big driving factor in the data releases to trigger this
AUDUSD H1: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 0.7000On the H1 time frame, prices are facing bearish pressure from the resistance zone at 0.7000 in line with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension where we could see a further drop below this zone to the support zone at 0.68700. Failure to hold below the 0.7000 could see prices push higher to the next resistance zone at 0.71000. Stochastic is testing resistance at 97.25, supporting the bearish bias.
AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop towards overlap supportLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a pullback sell entry at 0.70159, where the overlap resistance and 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 0.71577, where the recent swing high is. Take profit will be at 0.68660, where the overlap support is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD Potential For Bearish Drop | 8th February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a pullback sell entry at 0.70159, where the overlap resistance and 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 0.71577, where the recent swing high is. Take profit will be at 0.68660, where the overlap support is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
AUDUSD: Hit the 1D MA50 and reboundingAUDUSD hit yesterday the 1D MA50 and today at least before Powell's speech, was staging a big rebound. That hit was also made at the bottom of the long term Channel Up started in November. With the 1D technicals neutral (RSI = 49.300, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 28.417), we see this as a good buy entry, targeting on the long term just under the R1 (TP = 0.71350). The short trigger is the 1D MA200, aiming at the top of S1 (TP = 0.66800).
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AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop to intermediate support Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, Looking for a sell entry at 0.67802 where below the overlap support and the recent swing low. We are looking to take profit at 0.66442, where the intermediate support is and 50% Fibonacci line. Stop loss will be placed at 0.68532, where the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.