Get started

Audbuy

AUDNZD - Bullish Long Term & Short Term Trend?Analysis: Looking at the charts we can clearly see that price was in an upwards trend. We've seen price form higher highs and higher lows, until recently when we saw this trend change and price started to make a move to the downside. In our opinion price is still in a long term upwards trend, however the short term trend was to the downside, but we are actually bullish on this pair for a number of reasons. The first one being that we are at the 61.8% fib retracement level which is often classed as the strongest fib retracement level, so we have strong reasoning on why we think that buyers will step in at this level and push price higher. To further add to our bullish thesis, at this area we also have a strong level of support. Looking back in the past we've seen price reach this area previously and consolidate showing that this is a pretty strong level, and another reason on why we think buyers will step in here, but these aren't the only confluences we have to back our idea up. Price is forming a long term ascending triangle which is a bullish chart pattern, meaning that we expect price to be bullish and head to the upside which favours our idea. The bottom trendline for this pattern also lines up with our area of support and the 61.8% fib retracement level, so this is now looking like a very strong level to enter at. Finally for the technicals, we saw price respecting this short term downwards trendline until recently. Price was able to break out of this downwards trend signalling to us that the bears are no longer in control and it's time for the bulls to step in and push price higher. Again this favours our bullish thesis. Looking at the fundamentals as well we see that the AUD is the 6th strongest major currency whereas the NZD is the 5th strongest major currency. Whilst this doesn't go in our favour, there isn't a massive difference here and this also isn't the full picture. Taking a look at the COT report, we see that the AUD stayed pretty neutral with roughly the same decrease in long and short positions, however this isn't the same for the NZD. In fact we saw a big increase in short positions which signals to us that there is weakness to come for the NZD. Again this would be bullish for this pair. Overall almost everything we pay attention to is pointing to bullishness on this pair and with such a great opportunity setting up we have a great setup on our hands which is why we are bullish on AUDNZD. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
30
EURAUD - Is A Reversal On The Horizon?Analysis: Looking at the chart we're able to see that price recently seemed pretty bullish and due to the news that came out for the USD last week it's had an affect on the AUD and we've since seem some AUD weakness, however we see a potential reversal happening soon. At this of area resistance we marked out we've seen that price has tagged this area before and then made a strong move to the downside so we expect that this will happen again. We also have a bearish chart pattern, a rising wedge pattern. Usually when we see this pattern forming we see sudden weakness and price drops to the downside so this favours our bearish reversal thesis. Fundamentally the EUR is the 2nd strongest major currency, whereas the AUD is the 2nd weakest major currency so this doesn't favour our idea, but this isn't the full picture either. If we look a little further we can see that as of the most recent report on institutional positioning we saw a decrease in long positions on the EUR, signalling more bearishness could be on the horizon. Which favours our idea. We also have a speculation that the EUR will lose its strength that it once had as other currencies become stronger and we're starting to see this happen already. This is why fundamentally we like the look of the AUD over the EUR for now. With the technicals and fundamentals together we are bearish on EURAUD. This is a risky setup as it's going against the trend, however with trading you have to take risk because that is what trading is. The difference is having your risk under control, rather then gambling! Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
14
AUDUSD - Are The Bulls Getting Ready To Push Price Higher?Analysis: When we look at price action we've recently seen a strong rejection off of an area and price is making a move back down however we see this as a buying opportunity. If we look at price action before this rejection we can see that price did indeed form a higher high and a higher low showing us that we're in an upwards trend. This higher low hasn't yet been broken so we're still in that upwards trend. At the start of June there was some real strong momentum on the AUDUSD for the bulls and it looks as if they are currently taking a break before we see a continuation higher. This position will also hedge our other USD long positions so if we are incorrect about the USD strength we expect then we will still be able to profit. As a professional trader you need to remember that your job isn't to make a million percent in a year. It's to make a consistent profit whilst managing your risk. If you can't manage risk then you won't make it as a trader and that's the harsh truth. Hedging allows you to diversify your risk which is why we like to do it here at JPI. Were price is currently is an interesting area to us because if we look left on the chart we can see price has held this zone multiple times as support previously and we expect that this will happen again as very often we see this. For more confluence we saw slowing down momentum for the bears at the start of the week as the candles were very small and were indicating a possible reversal. This was also where the 50% fib retracement level was so there was even more confluence that price was going to reverse there, however we were more interested in level slightly below. Early this morning we had some worse then expected news for the AUD so we saw price push down and tag the 61.8% fib retracement level which is often classed as the strongest fib level and we expect that this is were buyers will be sat at wanting to push price higher. With the slowing bearish momentum that we saw this week around the 50% fib retracement level and with the 61.8% fib retracement level being tagged this "golden zone" which is just the area between the 50% fib retracement level and the 61.8% fib retracement level looks like a great place to enter long from especially from our area which is also in this "golden zone". For more confluence we also have an upwards trendline. This trendline is better seen on the weekly timeframe. When this level has been touched before we've seen bulls step in and push the market higher so we'd expect this to happen again. This trendline is below our entry but above our stop loss so if we we're to go into drawdown then there would be a strong level where we'd expect buyers to step in so this gives us more confidence in our setup. Why don't we enter at this trendline then? Well where price is at currently looks like a stronger area for possible reversals and we don't want to miss this trade as it's a good setup. The upwards trendline is just another confluence to add to our bullish thesis. Fundamentally as of the most recent report on institutional positioning the USD is the strongest major currency whereas the AUD is the 6th strongest major currency so this doesn't go in our favour. However if we dig a little deeper you can see why we currently prefer the AUD over the USD. As of the most recent report on institutional positioning we saw a decrease in both short and long positions on the USD so this is pretty neutral but on the AUD in regards to the most recent report for institutional positioning we actually saw an increase in long positions and a decrease in short positions which is very bullish. This could be early signs that we could see some bullishness for the AUD in coming weeks. Although the AUD news this morning wasn't positive we still have loads of confluence factors pointing to bullishness on the AUD which is why we have an overall bullish view on AUDUSD. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
16
AUD/NZD Short SignalChart Analysis Technical Analysis: - Price recently fell below a long term uptrend upper trend line and trading in a tight range near the lows of full range. - Price seems to be forming either a rising wedge *(bearish chart pattern) or a triangle wedge *(bear or bullish chart pattern). Supporting the indecision and why price trading in tight range BUT......slight rising wedge chart pattern, downward price movement and strong resistance level pushes more towards a weakening bullish starting to turn bearish. - Selling volume spikes above average has been around economic event announcements. - RSI giving a weak sell signal because price is above moving averages and vortex indicator is still bullish but with a narrow gap. Signals: (Recommendations and doesn't guarantee profits or losses) - Scalp Trade - Sell Limit: 1.11000 - 1.08000 - Take Profits: 1.10300 - 1.09700 - Reward/Risk Ratio: 2/3:1 - Day/Swing Trade: - Sell Limit: 1.10200 - 1.10100 *ENTRY AFTER PRICE FALLS BELOW AND RETEST MOVING AVERAGE AND WEDGE SUPPORT LEVEL (ASSUMING A BREAKOUT BELOW SUPPORT LEVELS) - Take Profits: 1.09700 - 1.0300 - Reward/Risk Ratio: 2/3:1
Short
by charrison4300
AUD/JPY Buy On Iron Ore & Bond Yield'sThe Australian Dollar is forecast to continue to rise in value against the Japanese Yen. The Australian central bank has signalled it's talking about tapering its bond purchasing program. As the Australian economy recovers and inflation is expected to rise over the coming quarters. In this video, I cover how analysts on Bloomberg's terminal forecast Australia's bond yield's to rise above 2.00% in the coming year. That's in stark contrast to japan's 10 Year yield remaining pegged at 0.16% and should cause currency flows from Japan into Australia to obtain the higher interest rate. Iron Ore prices are also bullish as demand for commodities increases, which will also support the Australian dollar.
Long
by KayansMarkets
1
AUDUSD 60 PIP BUY AUDUSD showing great potential for a 60 PIP rise. We currently have a well tested ascending triangle formed showing great areas of support and resistance, on 4hr we can clearly see this has been forming a while and is currently at a significant point which has been held numerous times before. The ascending triangle follows after a strong bullish market after the lowest low of COVID-19 on the market in march. I can see price testing the resistance of the ascending triangle once more before deciding its outcome. RSI (13) has also showed clear points of oversold positions along this form of support which is hence why i am showing it in the analysis. Unfortunately the 200 EMA is not currently showing much but we could see price break above it very soon ! TP is set at 60 pips and SL at 35 PIPS.
Long
by tradingonthego
AUD/USD Long PositionFundamentals:- There was good data from Australia today even though the RBA (Royal Bank of Australia) did not raise interest rates the rhetoric was positive about wage growth and inflation. Retail sales rose to 0.5% above the expected 0.3% giving a boost to AUD. Technicals:- After some morning long positions traders have taken profits allowing the price to fall back towards the 7600 level which is also just below the 68% fibonacci retracement level giving a good area of confluence to place the buy trade. BUY at 7615 stop loss 7584 take profit 7705
Long
by FreeForexSignals4u