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AUDCAD

AUDCAD BUY | Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity AUDCAD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Long
by TheGrove
11
Australia Q3 CPI reaction – hikes are back on the tableThings move quickly when the central bank detail that their tolerance for inflation is low. Only recently it was the widely held consensus that interest rates in Australia were on hold for an extended period, and the next move was most likely a cut. Well, that school of thought has been blown out the window and rate hikes are now once again being priced to rise. The question, it seems, from purely observing market pricing, is whether we see a hike in November, and then a pause, or we see back-to-back hikes in November and December. The recent RBA minutes detailed that slower progress in getting to their inflation target (2-3%) would not be viewed favourably. This view was reinforced by RBA gov Bullock's speech (on Tuesday) when she detailed the bank won’t hesitate to hike if there is a material upward revision to the outlook on inflation. Consider the RBA forecast (in August) headline Q3 CPI at 4.5% and core Q3 CPI at 4% by December. So going off today’s numbers, with headline CPI at 5.4% and trimmed mean inflation at 5.2%, the prospect of a revision to the bank forecast in the upcoming Statement on Monetary Policy (on 10 Nov) is clearly very high – whether it is ‘material’ is a point of debate. Granted, inflation continues to moderate, but the pace of the decline would be frustratingly slow in the RBA's view. We can also add the Q3 CPI print to a better-than-expected Q2 GDP print (at 2.1%), September unemployment at 3.6% and house prices further rising, and the RBA may see a hike as a necessary evil. Market reaction Australia's 30-day interest rate futures have reacted quite aggressively to the CPI data, and we now see the 18bp of hikes priced for the 7 Nov RBA meeting; equating to a 73% chance of a hike. If they don’t hike in November, December is priced at 100%. In fact, there is a small premium we could see at a 25bp hike in November and another 25bp hike in December. The rise in the market interest rate expectations, with a spike in Aussie 3yr govt bond yields from 4.18% to 4.28% has been good for 40 pips in AUD, with AUDUSD pushing to 0.6400. AUDCAD has been the biggest percentage mover on the day and has broken the October highs. AUDNZD has been a tear of late – and remains one of the cleanest expressions of Aussie rates – with price breaking through 1.0900 and into a big supply zone seen since June. In equities, we’ve seen the AUS200 falling from 6876 to hit a session low of 6832, although we’re seeing better buyers off these lows. ASX200 banks are heavy, as are REITS – consumer stocks are holding in remarkably well at present. Upcoming event risk to AUD and AUS200 traders While the Q3 CPI was always the big event risk, if we look at data ahead of the 7 November RBA meeting, we only see retail sales (on 30 Oct) that could affect market pricing, but sales would need to be very weak. Developments in geopolitics and broad risk sentiment in markets could also play a factor, but again, it seems unlikely to derail market pricing/expectations. Governor Bullock speaks again tomorrow along with assistant governor Christopher Kent (09:00 AEDT), so this could give us a clear understanding of how the core of the RBA sees the CPI print – they could essentially guide to a hike here.
Long
by Pepperstone
AUDCAD: Time to Short 🇦🇺🇨🇦 Here is a classic example of a top-down confirmation setup: after a breakout of a key support on a daily, AUDCAD retested that. The price was steadily growing within a bearish flag formation. The text of structure triggered a strong bearish reaction and the price violated a support of the flag. It confirms the strength of the sellers and a highly probable bearish continuation. Goals: 0.859 / 0.8576 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
10