{UPDATE} AUDCAD BEARISH Pressure Building...Previously, AUDCAD did not go our way after a BULLISH close to our confirmation candle. As mentioned in my previous analysis, we were expecting a BEARISH movement to take place after the 361.8% level being reached. It went higher than expected testing the resistance level 0.9785 price level. Overall, I am expecting a BEARISH movement to take place soon.
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Audcadanalysis
AUDCAD Falling From Here...We managed to see a 361.8% fib movement with a clean rejection and price is currently on a BEARISH momentum. I will be expecting a movement towards 1.618 fib level where there is also a support level @0.9606. I have identified this area as my demand zone. Looking at the daily candle, my confirmation candle has already triggered giving us a good short opportunity!!!
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AUDCAD - accumulationAccumulation in a wide range.
there was a bear trap.
Now I see an exit from the range.
There is no hurry. we are waiting for the exit from the range.
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AUDCAD - 4H is finally making a move for a possible LL.4H - its been a week that ACAD is looking to form LH and we are at major zone where it could reject the heavy volume of buyer. Our first sign of sellers is on 15m.
15m-Double top + Breakout of the trendline + Break of structure making a LL. Right now waiting for the LL to LH move and take a short.
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Sam
AudCad- drop of 250+ pips to follow?For the past 6 months or so, AudCad traded in a range between 0.97 and 0.93 (more or less). Now the pair just made the first leg down from the top of the range and I expect this drop to continue.
Sell rallies is my strategy and 0.9520-0.9550 should provide a good sell zone.
My outlook is bearish as long as the pair is under 0.9650 on a daily close bases
AUDCAD Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of AUDCAD (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 50 - Dec 07
M > Price tested monthly resistance and dropped for correction. It again returned backup to test monthly resistance facing rejection to the downside.
W > After bullish impulse price had dropped till demand zone of same bullish move, we can expect price to continue with drop to test demand zone again.
D > Price closed last week with bearish impulse breaking daily demand zone, we can expect market to open with a small upward correction to test demand zone as resistance before continuing with its bearish move.
As per COT AUD closed major Long and and few Short, reducing net positions (now in -ve). However N-R added Long and closed Short, slightly improving cumulative net position. We have seen closure of Long and addition of Short in last couple of months, making net positions move from 16K to -11K. AXY strengthened to test monthly resistance again during the said period and it further strengthened last week. AXY is testing Aug 2018 level now and we can expect some short term correction as strong bearish divergence can be seen. CAD closed Long and further added Short positions, reducing net positions, however cumulative net position with N-R has improved. CXY strengthened during the said period and after testing monthly resistance it further gained strength last week and is now testing next resistance level. We can expect correction to the downside as strong bearish divergence can be seen for CXY.
Last bearish move was due to strong CAD and not because of weak AUD however now with expectation of weak AUD as well as CAD we can expect pair to continue sliding down.
4H > Price is dropping with bearish momentum breaking demand zone, wait for price to return back to test this zone now as resistance for a Short entry.
Pair Correlation > AUDCAD has positive correlation with AUDCHF, AUDUSD and AUDJPY and negative correlation with EURAUD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section share your view or ask questions.
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AP17FX
AUDCAD UP MOVEMENT AUDCAD
The price is walking on the upside and I believe it will finish its movement and reach the purple line before making a movement to the down side.
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El precio esta caminando hacia la alza y considero que terminara su movimiento y lograra llegar a la linea morada antes de volver a bajar.
AUDCAD short opportunity We can see a W formation on the weekly chart and we can expect the market to go and test the neckline of W formation.
AUDCAD is very bullish right now. So, we want to see AUDCAD reverse and make a retracement before continuing further.
But, from the daily chart, we can see AUDCAD breaking the 0.95750 resistance level and making a higher high. So, not a good time to take a short. If we are to take a short we have to see the market shift first from bullish to bearish in the daily chart.