Audcadforecast
AUD/CAD: head and shoulders top pattern – further downside?The AUD/CAD pair formed a head and shoulders top pattern with neckline breakdown earlier this month.
This pattern is similar to the one seen in AUD/USD but shows a bit more room to the downside towards July 2022 lows.
The RSI pointing southward and the MACD crossing the zero line indicate that some weakness could persist in the short term.
From a monetary policy perspective, the Bank of Canada is now acting more hawkishly than the Reserve Bank of Australia.
The BoC raised its overnight rate target by 75 basis points (bps) to 3.25%, while the RBA hiked by 50bps to 2.85% this week.
The CAD benefits not only from the size of the relative hike, but also from the forward guidance.
With inflation expected to rise, the BoC has stated that interest rates will need to rise further. On the other hand, the RBA Governor Philip Lowe said that the case for slower pace of hikes is growing, and that will be dependent on the upcoming data.
The recent breakdown of the ascending channel formed in July 2022 by the 10-year yield spread between Australian ( AU10Y ) and Canadian government bonds ( CA10Y ) suggests that markets now expect interest rates to rise relatively more rapidly in Canada than in Australia.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
AUDCAD is awaiting breakdown!AUDCAD (D) long-term bearish market, currently the price has formed a head & shoulder which has broken to the downside with long rejection from the top with a Doji. It is a high probability that the price will continue to drop as the bulls are completely exhausted by creating a series of lower highs. Upon retest of the neckline of the head & shoulder on the lower timeframe, we could see a drop on AUDCAD to the support level.
AUDCAD is preparing for a drop!AUDCAD (4H) long-term down trending market. Price currently has opened with a big weekend gap. It is a high probability that the price will drop as the long-term trend is down and price action supports a possible drop.
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DeGRAM | AUDCAD false break at the resistanceAUDCAD made a false break of the resistance level at 0.8950.
Since the market is in a bearish trend on the daily timeframe, we look for selling opportunities.
Price action is going to either consolidate or retest the support level.
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DeGRAM | AUDCAD resistanceAUDCAD made a lower low, as we predicted in the previous session.
On the daily timeframe, price action rejected a resistance zone at 0.89000.
We expect the price to retest the support levels.
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AUDCAD possible long for 0.9050#audcad, 4th July daily bar is inside bar range confined within the previous bar range. 5th July coiled bar broker inside bar high closed on the high. both bars are dictating strength ahead. 0.9030, 0.9055 and 0.9090 are resistance levels ahead. my view long for target 0.9050.
DeGRAM | AUDCAD false breakAUDCAD recently made higher lows, meaning bears are running out of steam.
Price action has entered into consolidation until it breaks and closes above 0.8900.
A perfect signal to sell would be a false break with divergence.
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Audcad bull from SupportHi everyone in the TradingView community. I am Rana Sarmad I like to share and talk about trading strategies. If you are a member of my subscribers list and like my ideas, please don't hesitate to let me know by hitting that Like button and growing my notification count!
We are going to discuss about FX:AUDCAD
We can see a market tested its resistence area in H4 & H1 and now trying to test its support in bigger timeframe.
So we are expecting a little strength near its Support or lower trendline. after this test we will take a Long entry near trendline.
This is my opinion, I really hope this will be useful for you.
This is not a financial advice. Always take trade at your own risk,
Be ready and take care your money. Have a great profit !
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