AUDCAD - Is It Ready?AUD has been unstoppable this week, which has made it impossible to sell this pair. We have wiped out the prior high again but we remain above significant structure so we cannot sell until the price clears that level marked. Personally, I am more inclined to sells but I will go with the flow and not get caught with a bias. I assume the majority of sentiment is selling this pair and that's why we are seeing such a significant stop loss hunt.
Audcadshort
AUDCAD - 4H is finally making a move for a possible LL.4H - its been a week that ACAD is looking to form LH and we are at major zone where it could reject the heavy volume of buyer. Our first sign of sellers is on 15m.
15m-Double top + Breakout of the trendline + Break of structure making a LL. Right now waiting for the LL to LH move and take a short.
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Sam
AUDCAD is testing resistance, potential for a dropPrice is testing our first resistance at 0.95665, in line with our 50% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, and horizontal swing high resistance. It could potentially reverse from here and drop further to our first support at 0.95526, in line with our 100% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal swing low support. It is also worth noting that the Stochastic indicator is also approaching the resistance level at 95.94.
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AUDCAD Possiblity of Double TopAUDCAD broke the rising trend earlier, now creating lower highs and lows. On the 1 hour timeframe, a possibility of a double top can be clearly seen which gives a good signal for bearish traders if this level holds. On the daily timeframe, AUDCAD created a little crooked double bottom pattern and now is in a pullback phase. I expect AUDCAD to test around 0.94 level before possibly continuing the bigger trend of growth.
AUDCAD - Be PatientI have set a sell limit slightly above the body of the strong bearish candle, In hopes that price comes up to stop loss hunt 4HR swing traders. As they get stopped out, we get entered in. Volume is very slow this week and that is being reflected as indecision, hopefully things begin to pick up later on in the week.
AUDCAD Reversal Underway, H4 Levels to Watch
As we transitioned to the month of December, price failed to breach a previous high at a structural level.
Daily TF will be attached below, but we're seeing price continued to hold resisted.
This particular recent level provided a rejection signal that price was unable to sustain when it attempted to trade higher. Bit of illiquidity going on as bids quickly exhausted.
[ Note that ideas published represent my viewpoints on structural directional movements. I do not post explicit trade parameters (i.e. entry, take profit, stop loss, etc.) as these are set to in reference with my expectancy. Since my win rate and R-multiple targets are different, ideas published are simply a resource to provide guidance. You are expected to manage your own trading decisions. ]
AudCad- drop of 250+ pips to follow?For the past 6 months or so, AudCad traded in a range between 0.97 and 0.93 (more or less). Now the pair just made the first leg down from the top of the range and I expect this drop to continue.
Sell rallies is my strategy and 0.9520-0.9550 should provide a good sell zone.
My outlook is bearish as long as the pair is under 0.9650 on a daily close bases
AUDCAD, 4hr tf, head and shoulders reversal to materializeHello my friends,
Another setup for next week is AUDCAD pairs.
As you can see, price finally make a lower high lower low after moving higher for 1 month.
This mean we could see some retracement on this pair.
It is also supported by the chart because there is a head and shoulders pattern forming.
Price already broken below the neckline.
We're now waiting for price to retrace first before entering sell.
Selling it right away won't yield a good trade setup.
We will wait for AUDCAD to retrace around 0.9560 and start selling from there because it will yield 3R trade setup.
Set a sell limit pending order at 0.9560, if price never comeback to touch our order then we will skip this trade.
Sell limit AUDCAD 0.9560
Stop loss 0.9615
Take profit 0.9390 (3.1R)
RR ratio 1 : 3.1
Use only 1-2% risk
Good luck
AUDCAD - Shift is HereWe may actually be ready to witness the long awaited structure shift on AUDCAD. Price wiped out the double top sellers with that strong liquidity push to the upside as well as trapping more sellers at the ascending channel break. I would assume this is enough for the banks to now create a strong move, we may see a slight pullback before continuation.
AUDCAD - Its like Christmas, here's another! 🎅🎄AUDCAD has been a little choppy for us.
3/4 losers on the bounce.
But that's OK, because we understand probability and can see the win rate and trade history.
We also know when we get a winner this will cover them - because we ride that trend.
Could this be the one?
Our algo thinks so, it's identified a sell position with all of the confluences now met.
This is easy right?
No lines, no S&R - no analysis, all I have to do is follow it.
The major plus point is I can see it works with all the data within the strategy tester.
This helps me and our traders have confidence and belief in our execution.
When do we close this?
We close on a reverse signal - but you can do as you wish.
I don't recommend jumping on random trades you see on TV - that's no plan and you won't have a consistent clear edge.
BUT, if you want to - knock yourself out.
We have data on this pair on 229 trades
Since 2018, 40% have won - which isn't too bad - along with average win and average loss we have in play.
Starting with £500 since 2018 trading this just one would have yielded returns of 100% - now I know the past doesn't predict the future - but its a start.
And the data is live! The open sell position is showing in open P/L.
Multiple targets are on the chart too and they're based on ATR.
The entry price, SL and multiple TPs are shown on the chart.
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What is our strategy?
Our strategy is a trend following strategy, can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term.
The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc.
This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course.
The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy...
What does this mean?
It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management.
The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too - how cool is that? The strategy will confirm and support every open and closed position - so its quite easy to follow.
We just have to do what Percy does.
Intrigued?
I bet, have a look at the related ideas or drop me a DM for more info.
AUDCAD - Day trade signal by Keltner 1/12/20201. How to fill color the Keltner Channel:
...All Upper, Basis, Lower inscreased to fill green.
...All upper, basis, lower descrease to fill red.
...One of the Upper, Basis, Lower is not the same direction fill gray color.
2. How to calculate a Trend:
...If the Total of 25 candles > 0 to give Uptrend.
...If the Total of 25 candles < 0 to give Downtrend.
3. How to entry.
- Buy's entry when the Color is up and the price crossunder the Basis.
- Sell' entry when the Color is down and the price crossover the Basis.
4. How to calculate the Stoploss and Take profit: