More correction down for Audchf?Likely more down side.
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AUDCHF
AUDCHF | GOOD H&S FOR A SELL?Hey Traders!
I believe we have a good chance to continue dropping down for about 20-40 pips before pullback and if we break support we should be re-testing higher timeframe support.
Nice head & shoulders pattern breaking 200 ma is a good indicator for further bearish pressure.
AUDCHF Reversal scenarioWith the conflict happening in the middle east, we have seen commoditiy prices go up and this situation where gold is going up should make the australian dollar perform well as it has done in the past. Now, AUDCHF has just found a solid support at around the round number of 0.5800 and failed to create lower lows which is a sign that sellers are progressively losing control. I expect price to start going up in the near future...
AUDCHFAUDCHF is trading in descending channel and printing consistent LLs LHs. Recently the price is broken the important support zone and now retesting the broken level, which is also the 0.38% Fib retracement level.
If the sell momentum continues the next target could be 0.5770 followed by 0.5740 region.
What you guys think of this idea
Why is AUD/CHF Going Down?The Australian dollar (AUD) has been on a downward trajectory against the Swiss franc (CHF) since the beginning of October 2023. The AUD/CHF exchange rate has fallen from 0.60 to 0.58, representing a decline of over 3%.
There are a number of factors that have contributed to this decline. One factor is the ongoing strength of the Swiss franc. The CHF is considered to be a safe-haven currency, and investors tend to flock to it during times of uncertainty. The current global economic climate is uncertain due to a number of factors, including the war in Ukraine, rising inflation, and concerns about a recession. As a result, the CHF has been in high demand, which has pushed its value higher.
Another factor that has contributed to the decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate is the weakening of the Australian dollar. The AUD has been under pressure due to a number of factors, including the slowdown in the Chinese economy, rising interest rates in the United States, and concerns about the outlook for the global economy. As a result, the AUD has fallen against a number of currencies, including the CHF.
The image attached to the query shows the AUD/CHF exchange rate over the past year. The chart shows that the exchange rate has been on a downward trajectory since the beginning of October 2023. The decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate is likely to continue in the near term, as the factors that are driving the decline are expected to remain in place.
Here is a more detailed explanation of the factors that are driving the decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate:
Strength of the Swiss franc: The CHF is considered to be a safe-haven currency, and investors tend to flock to it during times of uncertainty. The current global economic climate is uncertain due to a number of factors, including the war in Ukraine, rising inflation, and concerns about a recession. As a result, the CHF has been in high demand, which has pushed its value higher.
Weakness of the Australian dollar: The AUD has been under pressure due to a number of factors, including the slowdown in the Chinese economy, rising interest rates in the United States, and concerns about the outlook for the global economy. As a result, the AUD has fallen against a number of currencies, including the CHF.
Trade flows: Australia and Switzerland have a relatively small trade relationship. This means that the AUD/CHF exchange rate is not as sensitive to trade flows as some other currency pairs. However, the slowdown in the Chinese economy is likely to have a negative impact on the Australian economy, and this could lead to a further decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate.
Interest rates: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a negative interest rate policy for several years. However, the SNB is expected to raise interest rates in the near future. This is likely to make the CHF more attractive to investors, and could lead to a further decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate.
Overall, the decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate is likely to continue in the near term, as the factors that are driving the decline are expected to remain in place. Investors should closely monitor the global economic climate, the strength of the Swiss franc, and the performance of the Australian economy to assess the outlook for the AUD/CHF exchange rate.
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AUDCHF: Important Breakout & Very Bearish Pattern 🇦🇺🇨🇭
Take a look at a strong rejection from a key horizontal daily resistance on AUDCHF.
After a test of 0.5925 level the market dropped and violated a support line of a rising parallel channel.
Taking into consideration that the pair is trading in a long term bearish trend,
probabilities are high that the market will drop now.
Goals: 0.577 / 0.567
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AUDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.58400 zone, AUDCHF is trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCHF -- Downtrend ContinuationHello Traders!!
Appears the AUDCHF pair is continuing to move the downward, a trend that started Jun of 2022. I have open a short swing as of last night, with my stop set at breakeven point. If today & tomorrow closes bearish, I feel confident the trend will continue!
The overall Daily trendline actually hugs the 200 MA line, which looks pretty, nonetheless.
Happy trading, Jason.
AUDCHF: Reversing near the top of the Channel Down.AUDCHF may have crossed over the 1W MA100 but eventually failed, also on the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and appears to be reversing. The technical outlook on the 1D time-frame is neutral (RSI = 55.574, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 42.778), so it is a valid sell entry. On top of that, every LH inside this 15 month Channel Down (exception Jan 23rd 2023) has been around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. All this while the 1D MACD is close to a Bearish Cross formation. Sell and target the bottom of the Channel Down over the -0.382 Fib (TP = 0.54500).
Prior idea:
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AUDCHFAUDCHF is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is also the 50% fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this bullish confluence the next leg high could be 0.600.
AUDCHF Short OpportunityMarket Structure is KING!
Hey, if you like this idea be sure to support with a like and a follow.
Here is my analysis for AUDCHF for the upcoming week. CHF News this upcoming week. I'm looking to shirt for a short-term pullback.
What are your thoughts? Leave it in the comments below!
Blue Signal FX Rules-Based Trading
1. CHECK THE NEWS!
2. WHAT IS THE OVERALL TREND? Market structure will give you direction.
3. IS PRICE AT A LEVEL OF SUPPLY OR DEMAND (SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE)?
4. IS PRICE APPROACHING A LEVEL OF SUPPLY OR DEMAND (SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE)?
5. ARE YOU TRADING WITH THE TREND OR AGAINST THE TREND (MAKE SURE YOU ONLY TRADE AGAINST THE TREND ON THE 4HR TIME-FRAME AND ABOVE.
6. CHECK FOR DIVERGENCE.
7 dimensions analysis for AUDCHF 🕛 TOPDOWN Analysis - Preparing for a Potential Reversal
Overview: The market is showing signs of a potential reversal, with the yearly low almost confirmed. A long-wick pinbar, often indicative of retests and undercuts, has appeared. Vigilance is required for any reversal candles on lower time frames. On the monthly time frame, a robust demand area marked by a significant pinbar and heavy volume at the bottom suggests a potential reversal. The monthly close also forms a monthly engulfing candle, and the last liquidity sweep is evident. The weekly time frame corroborates the notion of a confirmed low and an inducement at a critical first-order block. This marks the third pullback and hints at a weak impulsive leg. Additionally, the weekly record session count aligns with this analysis.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Indicative of a Breakout from Sideways (BoS).
🟢 Swing Move: The corrective move has nearly reached its target level.
🟢 Inducement: 50% correction completed.
🟢 Internal Structure: Awaiting high confirmation.
🟢 Supply Area: Located here.
Key Points:
Trendline breakout is awaited.
Resistance with a liquidity candle.
A fake breakout with a V-shaped move in the extended market.
No follow-through at resistance, marked by a strong reversal candle at the Change in Polarity (CIP) area.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Continuation
Rising Wedge
Shakeout Continuation
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Notable Observations:
Record session count after strong bull session candles, followed by a reversal candle.
A long-wick, strict candle.
Momentum indicators indicate both a fakeout and FOMO.
Further insights may emerge during opening sessions.
A blended combo of 2 classic reversal patterns.
3️⃣ Volume:
Volume during the fakeout was not substantial.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Zone: Superbullish
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle Band: Signifying a reversal expectation.
🟢 Walking on the Band: Possibly in the final stages; a minor correction may be in order.
6️⃣ Strength ADX:
Bulls are currently dominant, with a minor correction noted.
7️⃣ Sentiment ROC:
The AUD is stronger than CHF.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ Current Move: Corrective at the daily master time frame and impulsive at H1.
✔ Support Resistance Base: H1 trendline is broken.
☑️ Candles Behavior: Momentum-indicated corrections.
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Completed
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed
☑️ Final Comments: Sell for correction.
💡 Decision: Sell
🚀 Entry: 0.5870
✋ Stop Loss: 0.5933
🎯 Take Profit: 0.5751
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: (Ratio not provided)
🕛 Expected Duration: 1:2.32 (Risk-Reward ratio not specified)
SUMMARY: The analysis suggests a potential reversal scenario based on various technical factors. The market shows signs of weakening bullish momentum and the emergence of bearish patterns. Awaiting a trendline breakout is advisable, and a sell strategy for correction is proposed. Specific entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels are provided, although the risk-reward ratio is not explicitly mentioned.
AUDCHF Hit our bullish target. Now time to sell the Channel DownThe AUDCHF pair has hit the 0.58200 target (0.382 Fibonacci level) we set on our last buy call (see idea below) and is resting today at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down pattern since the January 27 2023 High:
The price price is now on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and just below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. There is also a chance that the dotted Channel Down will be materialized, so the technical Lower High max extension is a little higher. The sell confirmation typically comes when the 1D MACD makes a Bearish Cross. Our target is a potential -9.10% extension at 0.54000.
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AUDCHFIs AUDCHF exhausting at highs?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 0.5760 followed by 0.5700.
What you guys think of it
✅AUD_CHF BEARISH SETUP|SHORT🔥
✅AUD_CHF is now beneath
A strong horizontal resistance
Level of 0.588 and we can see that
The strong upward move slowed
Down considerably as it approached
The resistance so I think that
We will see a local bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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#AUDCHF correction prevails----------AUDCHF LONG-----------
While everybody is looking for short trading on AUDCHF I see more room to the upside. I am not convinced we are witnessing a reversal at the moment however I do think the curve has some upside potential. Given the fact that this pair has been tanking for the past months and years a reversal can happen anytime. But since we are approaching a risk-off sentiment in the coming months or so I am not really bullish on this. Until then this pair can correct slowly. I target the monthly level (red) to the upside and see whether there will be enough power from the bulls to push the curve through it. Then I will decide to leave a partial position in it or close the trade entirely.
AUDCHF Analysis. Pull back is coming!!!Hello Everyone. I want share my idea about AUDCHF Pair.
At the pair last week AUD had pretty strong up movement which came close to daily resistance but it didn't retest, i think we have some good chance to catch this retest movement after touch to support zone. i marked 2 support zone which is 1h and 4h i think both is strong enough for continue that movement and test daily resistance. at higher timeframe for example 1W price is pretty Bearish which coming back clear, but for day traders this zone is the best for catch some profit.
I will update that idea if i will be right and make some setup which will be free signal from me.
Always manage your risk!!! Wait for Price action!!!
Be patient!!!
AUDCHF: Short term strength expectedExpecting the recent retracement to continue at least to 0.586 support, just crossing the mid point of my descending channel.
Overall I'm still bearish on this pair (just), I am expecting the reversal at some point soon, either from here, or around the ATL marked on the chart.
I see AUD gaining in strength as China wakes up. There's a big interest rate decision this Thursday from the SNB which will be big news I feel.
I see this as a great pair to trade once a reversal is confirmed, there's a long way to go up!!
AUDCHF is approaching the daily trendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.58800 zone, AUDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.58800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.