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AUDCHF

AUDCHF: Buy opportunity emergingAUDCHF is trading inside a Channel Down pattern for more than one year with the 1D timeframe bearish (RSI = 38.270, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 43.501) as the price is under its middle and the 1D MA50. The 1D MA200 is located exactly on its top. The 1D MACD is in the process of completing a Bullish Cross, which has been a strong buy signal inside this pattern. Even though the price can extend to 0.57000 to complete a -7.55% decline from the recent Lower High (similar declines have been -8.06%, -7.94% and -7.55% since the start of the pattern so we use the minimum scenario), once the Bullish Cross is formed, we will buy and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 0.59000). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
7 Dimension analysis for AUDCHF 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Analysis Time Frame: Daily 1: Price Structure: The current price structure is bearish, characterized by a Breakout from Sideways (BoS) behavior. The move is impulsive and nearing completion, with a major weekly demand area acting as support. The inducement is not yet confirmed, and there have been 3 pullbacks during the last corrective leg. Notably, there are no unmitigated order blocks during the entire impulsive leg, indicating no significant resistance until the Choch level. Confluence is observed on the daily, weekly, and monthly time frames, with a demand zone present in the same area. 2: Pattern 🟢 TREND LINES: Trend lines are acting as resistance levels, and a closing above them will provide final confirmation. 🟢 CHART PATTERNS: A potential Head and Shoulders pattern is forming, but a massive volume and engulfing bar at the last leg's low point add complexity. Additionally, there is a weekly liquidity sweep and a Fakeout Within 1 Bar pattern. These patterns suggest that the price may move sideways from here to form a proper demand base. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: A Change in Guard pattern appeared at the bottom, indicating a potential reversal. Momentum (Engulfing) occurred with massive volume, adding to the potential bearish reversal signal. Momentum Fakeout Reversal also occurred with significant volume. A Narrow Range is forming with 3 candle squeezes yet to be confirmed. The last corrective and current impulsive candles are inside the reversal candle. Today's session opened low but experienced bullish control throughout the day. 3: Volume: Volume on the Fakeout is good, indicating significant market interest. Volume on the demand is heavy at the initial point, showing strong buying activity. 4: Momentum RSI: 🟢 Zone: The RSI is currently in a sideways zone. 🟢 Range Shift: Initially sideways to bullish. 🟢 Divergence: Hidden divergence with low momentum observed. Momentum has been holding in the bullish zone for a prolonged period. 5: Volatility Bollinger Bands: 🟢 Middle Band: A resistance breakout will be crucial for the initial upside move. 🟢 Squeez: Just started, suggesting potential low volatility ahead. 🟢 Headfake: Only one candle so far, not yet confirmed. 6: Strength ADX: The trend is currently bearish. But initial reversal can start from this zone 7: Sentiment ROC: The rate of change indicates that AUD is gaining strength. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish ☑️ Current Move: Impulse Move with one Choch. ✔ Support Resistance Base: Weekly support area and Fakeout. ☑️ Candles Behavior: Engulfing pattern making a valid low ☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Activated. ☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed. ☑️ Final Comments: Consider buying as an initial test entry. 💡 Decision: Buy 🚀 Entry: 0.5850 ✋ Stop Loss: 0.5795 🎯 Take Profit: 0.6090 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3 🕛 Expected Duration: 5 Days Summary: The analysis suggests a bearish price structure with an impulsive move nearing completion. Various chart patterns and candlestick formations add complexity to the overall scenario. The RSI indicates a sideways zone, and the ADX confirms the bearish trend. A potential bullish entry is identified based on the current move, support resistance, and FIB trigger event. The risk-to-reward ratio is calculated at 1:3, and the expected duration for the trade is 5 days.
Long
by Optimum369
AUDCHF H4 | React off resistance?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has reacted off our sell entry at 0.5848, which is an overlap resistance level. Our take profit will be at 0.5806, which is at support level . The stop loss will be set at 0.5887, which is just slightly above 61.8% Fibo retracement. Price is now in a bullish momentum, and approaching our sell entry at 140.80. Our sell entry is slightly below the 50% fibo retracement, and there is a potential bearish reaction off this key level as it is also a overlap resistance. Our stop loss is at 142.96, which is a swing-high resistance at the 78.6% fibo retracement. Also, there is an intermediate resistance level at 142.17, which is at the 61.8% fibo retracement. Take profit is at 138.77, which is a overlap support key level. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): ** Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits.
Short
by FXCM
Aud Chf Long In this analysis, we will focus on the AUD/CHF forex pair within the limits of 0.57889 to 0.57408, aiming to identify potential signs of a bullish reversal. This range implies a downward movement in the pair's price, and we will assess the technical and fundamental factors that could contribute to a potential bullish reversal within this specific range. Technical Analysis: a. Support Level: The lower limit of 0.57408 represents a significant support level, where the pair's price has previously shown a strong tendency to bounce back upwards. This level indicates a potential area where bullish reversal patterns could emerge. b. Oversold Conditions: Utilizing oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), we observe if the AUD/CHF pair is oversold within the specified limits. An RSI reading below 30 or displaying bullish divergences suggests that selling pressure may have exhausted, setting the stage for a potential upward movement. c. Candlestick Patterns: Analyzing candlestick patterns, such as hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star, can provide further insights. If these patterns appear near the lower limit, it may indicate a bullish reversal signal, reflecting buyers' emergence and potential price recovery. Fundamental Analysis: a. Macroeconomic Factors: Monitoring relevant economic developments in Australia and Switzerland can contribute to a bullish reversal analysis. Positive factors may include an improvement in Australian economic indicators like GDP growth, employment data, or increased consumer confidence. Additionally, favorable Swiss economic data, such as strong exports or positive monetary policy actions, can also support a bullish outlook. b. Central Bank Policies: Monitoring the monetary policies of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is crucial. Any hints of a dovish stance by the RBA or a hawkish tone by the SNB can impact the AUD/CHF pair's dynamics, potentially favoring a bullish reversal. c. Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite: Assessing broader market sentiment and risk appetite is essential. If global markets exhibit a positive risk-on sentiment, characterized by increased investor confidence and a preference for riskier assets, it can positively influence the AUD/CHF pair's performance and contribute to a bullish reversal. Conclusion: Considering the technical analysis indicators such as significant support levels, potential oversold conditions, and relevant candlestick patterns, coupled with positive fundamental factors like improved economic indicators and supportive central bank policies, there is a possibility of a bullish reversal within the specified limits of 0.57889 to 0.57408 for the AUD/CHF forex pair. However, it is crucial to monitor ongoing market developments and adapt the analysis accordingly, as forex markets are subject to volatility and unforeseen events that may impact price movements.
Long
by realtrademaster