AUDCHF Long structure with entry point!On AUD/CHF, we have a long setup after the price began to rotate in the 0.56-0.5630 zone, providing significant confirmations. Currently, we're in a demand zone, and the price seems to be supported by a strong trendline that holds considerable liquidity from the ascending price. Additionally, we have a price that broke two H4 swing highs; the first one lacks an interesting entry point, while the second presents an appealing entry at the 0.5657 level, where we have an H1 demand. Personally, I'll wait for the price to retrace into this zone before considering a long entry. In the case of a market entry, I would set the target around 0.5730, where we have an H4 swing high, and place a stop around 0.5602, below the market low. Happy trading to all.
AUDCHF
AUDUSD – oversold but following China When trading the AUD you’re essentially expressing a view on China. USDCNH has been on a one-way tear of late and has weighed on AUDUSD, reflecting poor China economics, concerns of a credit event, but also the comparative returns seen in US Treasuries (over China bonds). We’ve seen underperformance in Chinese equity and industrial metals. The AUDUSD daily suggests the double top target of 0.6300 over the medium-term, and as we see in the price action, rallies have been savaged. It will take a while to get there, and the move will not be linear. For now, I see modest upside risk as shorts possibly cover given the PBoC has just announced a sizeable liquidity injection into the interbank market – but I would look to flip short into 0.6480. GBPAUD, EURAUD and AUDCHF have also been huge trades of late, and I would be taking some off the table to assess how headlines around China's fiscal stimulus play out.
Idea - Chris Weston
AUDCHF, Breakout? AUDCHF / 1D
Hello traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
AUDCHF has devaited above old highs with a fake breakout.
The price now seems to be breaking bellow old highs which might set us for trend continuation.
I'll be watching the next pull-back.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
Trading Under The Spotlight: My Open Analysis Odyssey #8Greetings once more, TradingView community!
The tapestry of the market never ceases to amaze and with each unfolding pattern, there's a new story to tell. As we dive deeper into this shared odyssey, here’s a swift recap of our guiding principles:
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Without further ado, let's delve into the next analysis of the day:
Instrument : AUDCHF
Bias : Short
Overall Trend : Short
Thoughts : The bearish sentiment for AUDCHF is evident, but I must confess, I'm not entirely synced with the underpinning fundamentals for this pair. Yet, a cardinal trading principle reminds us: "an object in motion tends to stay in motion." Hence, aligning trades with the overarching trend often proves advantageous, enhancing our chances of sailing smoothly rather than struggling against the current.
Your engagement, whether you're observing, chiming in with insights, or soaking up knowledge, remains invaluable. As we journey on, I look forward to further dissecting the market’s myriad facets, one setup at a time.
AUD breakout traders – look to the yuan for inspirationAs is typically the way in FX trading the breakout traders see a set-up on the higher timeframes and either the market uses these levels to fade the move, or the breakout fails to gain traction and ultimately reverses.
Those seasoned traders who use breakouts for trade entry – often momentum and trend-followers – know the percentage of breakouts that lead to trending conditions is typically low. It is why they target ‘outlier’ moves within a distribution and subscribe to the view that the win/loss ratio is not a major concern. The strategy will typically run win rates of 30-40% but will focus more on the reward-to-risk trade-off.
Extracting as much profit from each trade is where they make their money and that is where the science of holding positions kicks in.
We may end up with many small losing positions, but when we win it is ideally a 5 to 10R. Holding, as I say, is key and that is never easy – it is why having a rules-based strategy can pay dividends. When the market breaks out and goes on a run you must know when to hold and when to fold.
Granted, FX markets have a higher propensity to revert to a mean than commodities or equity indices, but the AUD screams out as currently fitting this dynamic. Notably, EURAUD, AUDUSD, AUDCHF and GBPAUD screened on the breakout radar yesterday, but have since failed to follow through with the move.
China is at the heart of the AUD recent moves. USDCNH has always been a strong guide for me on AUD flows, and while I have been of the view that weaker external demand needs a weaker currency – the PBoC is doing the utmost to push back on the yuan weakness, with consistently stronger yuan ‘fixings’ (seen each day at 11:15 AEST).
As a driver, we’ve seen a slightly better China CPI print today at -0.3% and USDCNH has sold off, in turn, this has lifted the AUD.
The statistical correlation between AUD and CNH has broken down of late, but for those trading AUDUSD or the AUD crosses through Asia, the influence of the yuan is still incredibly significant.
Tactically, if we are to see an upside break of 7.2500 (in USDCNH) I’d have far higher conviction we’ll see a closing breakout in these AUD pairs.
Patience is always our best friend in trading, especially when using leverage, as we need to nail our entries – so having the set-ups on the radar and waiting for the market flow to push a trade is prudent.
One could say we’re at peak negative sentiment towards China, and next week’s China economic data (industrial production, retail sales, fixed asset investment) is likely to see a more pronounced positive reaction to a beat than a negative one to a miss. That is a risk to manage, but if the AUD kicks lower in these pairs it could be meaningful and certainly be welcomed by those that like to trade continuations.
AUD-CHF Bearish Flag Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Has formed a bearish
Flag pattern so IF we
See a bearish breakout
Then we will be expecting
A bearish continuation
Sell!
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AUDCHF - Head and Shoulders📉Hello Traders!
On The Daily Time Frame, The AUDCHF Price Formed a Head and Shoulders Pattern📉
The Neckline is Broken 🔥
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 0.57360🎯
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Buy Limit AUDCHFHello Traders
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echnical Analysis for AUDCHF - 1 Hour Chart📈 #ForexTrading #AUDCHF #SidewaysMarket #SupportAndResistance
📊 Technical Analysis for AUDCHF - 1 Hour Chart 📊
🔍 Overview:
The AUDCHF currency pair is currently exhibiting a sideways movement on the 1-hour chart, with no clear bearish or bullish trend. As a technical analyst, I have devised two potential trade plans to capitalize on this situation by using buy stop and sell stop orders at key support and resistance levels.
📉 Trade Plan 1 - Sell Stop:
🎯 Entry (S2): 0.57991
🛡️ Stop Loss (S1): 0.58121
🎯 Take Profit (1:1): 0.57860
📈 Trade Plan 2 - Buy Stop:
🎯 Entry (R2): 0.58755
🛡️ Stop Loss (R1): 0.58612
🎯 Take Profit (1:1): 0.58900
💡 Rationale:
In a sideways market, price tends to oscillate between support and resistance levels. By placing sell stop and buy stop orders, we aim to catch potential breakouts in either direction. Trade Plan 1 anticipates a downside breakout from support (S2), while Trade Plan 2 expects an upside breakout from resistance (R2).
⚠️ Risk Management:
Remember to implement proper risk management techniques. Only risk a small percentage of your trading capital on each trade, and use stop losses to protect against adverse market movements.
📊 Technical Indicators:
Utilize additional technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD to gain further insights into price movements before executing the trades.
🚀 Investment Advice:
Trading in the forex market involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It is essential to stay informed about market developments and have a well-defined trading strategy. If you're new to trading, consider starting with a demo account to practice your approach before committing real funds.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Happy Trading! 📈💹 #ForexAnalysis #TradeIdeas #FinancialMarkets #InvestmentTips #RiskManagement
Choppy Price Action Sparks Speculation of Upcoming Market ShiftWe are currently witnessing a gradual descent from the Monthly spike that occurred in February 2020. On the lower time frames, the price action has become quite choppy, with each new low promptly followed by a quick retracement upward.
This choppy behavior suggests the possibility of a long-term reversal in the making. I have identified two key targets that the price might aim for before experiencing a potential upward movement. The first target is a weekly support/low level at 0.562, while the second target is the 2020 spike low at 0.532.
Personally, I believe that 0.562 might serve as a more reasonable target. Therefore, I am planning to gradually build a position as the price approaches this level. Nevertheless, it's essential to be prepared for the possibility that the price might not reach that far down. Consequently, I will start monitoring daily signals on my TRFX indicator as the price falls below 0.575.
My trading strategy for this trade will be to focus on the SUPPLY/SELL zone, clearly marked in red on the chart, starting around 0.61. I anticipate that the price will be drawn towards this level.
As for the stop loss placement, it will depend on the precise signal I receive, but it will definitely be set below 0.56. This approach is aimed at managing potential risks effectively.
Audchf keeps getting lowerLikely pullback to short,watching on lower timeframe like h1.
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The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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