AUDCHF H4 / JPY Basket Bullish, Short Trade Execution💡Hello Traders!
I expect a reversal on AIDCHF as it reacted twice from the OB H4. I see this move as a short trade signal. I expect the price to retrace until the OB level of 0.57500, representing also reh FIB 0.618 level.
Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives.
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Audchfanalysis
AUDCHF - Long from support ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to go a little bit lower and then to reject from trendline + support + institutional big figure 0.58000.
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DeGRAM | AUDCHF equal measured moveAUDCHF is slowly approaching the resistance and fibo extension levels.
The market has previously reacted to the resistance level by dropping.
Price created an equal measured move, or AB=CD pattern.
We expect the price to bounce off the resistance and retest support.
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AUDCHF LongAUDCHF has seen the weekly chart respecting bullish discount arrays, in this case a weekly bullish FVG. I now anticipate price to seek liquidity above old weekly swing highs.
Price is showing strong willingness to trade higher on H4.
I want to see a retracement that respects H4 discount bullish arrays, to then hunt a M15 bullish displacement entry.
Target is the old weekly swing high.
DeGRAM | AUDCHF in consolidation zoneAUDCHF is in sideways movement on the D chart, indicating a consolidating market.
The market is trading in the descending channel; it rebounded along the border of the channel.
Price dropped from the level and 61.8% fibo retramcement level.
We might see some sharp moves from the resistance.
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AUDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Bearish convergence.
No opposite signs.
Expecting short term bearish moves to happen here.
H1 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the strong resistance zone holds I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
Looking To Buy On Dips Under 0.57 ?I've not been on the charts this Month as traveling and not too much happening on the HTF picture.
Though the AUDCHF is looking like a real good BUY on dips under 0.57 as you can see on the daily charts below the markets have been moving in a sideways accumulation since Aug last year a strong weekly support has formed @ 0.56
Monthly selling pressure has slowly been grinding too a halt as we've hit the 0.56 level, after a near 2 year down leg part of the 12 year downtrend in this pair with slowing of momentum and sideways movements in the lower timeframes.
This has potential to turn into a monster trade over the coming Months and maybe years with moves back up to 0.72 very possible so it could be a great time to start accumulating buying positions.
I will be waiting for signals on my TRFX indicator on timeframes from the 4hr to the Daily as price approaches and goes under the 0.57 level.
As always there is potential for this pair to move lower though personally I think this is limited and bullish outlook on the long term perspective is the best move.
Hope you enjoyed the read :)
DeGRAM | AUDCHF breakout and pullback AUDCHF broke and closed above the descending channel.
The market is in a bearish trend on the 4-hourly chart as well as on the daily.
Price has created the confluence level where we have resistance 88.6% fibo level and bearish harmonic pattern.
We expect a false breakout of the resistance and a pullback.
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AUDCHF Next Move ?Pair : AUDCHF ( Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " A " Corrective Waves
Break of Structure and Completed the Retracement
RSI - Divergence
CHoCH
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Rejection from Lower Trend Line
DeGRAM | AUDCHF divergence and double bottomAUDCHF is in consolidation zone on the D chart.
The market decelerated at the support level and rebounded following the double bottom, then it created the divergence.
We might see some sharp moves because the price has reached daily support level.
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AUDCHF Trade IdeaThe AUDCHF currency pair has reached into a crucial support level. The price seems fairly overextended, suggesting a possible correction. It's worth considering a possible short trade setup on a retracement into the 61.8 Fibonacci zone. It is crucial to emphasize that this information is shared solely for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
AUDCHF I Potential rise to top of the channelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDCFH Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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DeGRAM | AUDCHF kill zone and fibo clusterAUDCHF is approaching the resistance level, the kill zone, the fibo cluster, and the harmonic pattern.
Price created the reaction zone; it was the level where bullish and bearish moves started.
The market is moving against the major trend.
We expect a drop from the kill zone and a continuation of the bearish trend.
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7 Dimension Analysis for AUDCHF 🕛 TOPDOWN
Yearly: A robust and enduring bearish trend has persisted in this pair for the last 50 years.
Monthly: The monthly trend aligns with the bearish sentiment, displaying some inside moves.
Weekly: The market exhibits a strong bearish structure, currently within a descending triangle.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive
🟢 Inducement: Completed
🟢 Impulsive Move: Initiated, indicating the opportune time to enter the market.
🟢 Support Breakout: A significant break of the long support level, accompanied by a major supply and distribution area. Support breakout; the CIP now acts as resistance.
🟢 Traps: Observations of fakeouts at the top and shakeouts.
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Reversal patterns like Double Top, a bearish breakout from a Consolidation Rectangle, and continuation patterns like Shakeout Continuation.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Waiting for market open to observe specific candlestick patterns such as Gaps (Novice, Pro, Window), Kicker Sash, Separating Line, Hero, Piercing/Dark Cloud, and Open Low/High.
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 Fixed Range: Bearish volume dominating throughout the consolidation.
🟢 Massive Volume: Significant volume observed at the breakout level.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Zone: Entered the super bearish zone.
🟢 Range Shift: Confirmed a shift into the super bearish zone.
🟢 Loud Moves: Previous bearish entries initiated with loud moves.
🟢 Grandfather Father Son Entries: A 5-star bearish entry.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Middle Band: Acting as resistance.
🟢 Contraction: Beginning, with a W pattern observed, though the overall trend suggests potential ignoring.
🟢 Dual Band Derivation: Supported.
🟢 Band Puncher: Indicating price consolidation in this area.
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC
🟢 Values: CHF stronger than AUD (6.55 vs. 1.14).
7️⃣ Sentiment
If we combine and analyze all these parameters, it's evident that the pair is in a super bearish trend. Hence, the strategy is to wait for corrections and then seek selling positions.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
✅ Entry TF Structure: Short
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive
✔ Support Already Broke
☑️ Candles Behavior: Favoring sellers
💡 Decision: Aggressively sell
🚀 Entry: 0.5690
✋ Stop Loss: 0.5801
🎯 Take Profit: 0.5356
2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3
🕛 Expected Duration: 60 days
SUMMARY:
The comprehensive analysis indicates a super bearish trend. The strategy is to aggressively sell, considering the confirmed break of structure, significant supply, and distribution areas. The risk-to-reward ratio is set at 3, anticipating a 60-day duration for the trade.
DeGRAM | AUDCHF selling opportunity from kill zoneAUDCHF broke and closed above the descending channel.
Price previously dropped from this level.
The market is in a bearish trend on the 4-hourly chart as well as on the daily.
We expect a false breakout of the resistance, meaning a liquidity grab above the level and a bearish move.
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DeGRAM | AUDCHF trend continuation opportunityAUDCHF broke and closed below the consolidation zone. Look left.
Price action has previously reacted to that level by bounceing off it.
The market created a breakout pullback continuation opportunity.
We expect the price to keep falling, completing the AB=CD pattern.
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DeGRAM | AUDCHF trend continuation opportunityAUDCHF is consolidating near the confluence level: fibo level + resistance.
Price action has previously reacted to that zone two times and dropped from it.
The market broke and closed below the consolidation zone.
We expect a breakout pullback and continuation trade.
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DeGRAM | AUDCHF fibo cluster and confluenceAUDCHF is slowly approaching the confluence level: fibo cluster, resistance, trendline, and harmonic pattern.
Price action has previously reacted to resistance levels by dropping from it.
The market is consolidating on the 4-hourly chart.
We expect further consolidation of the market until the price breaks out of it.
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7 Dimension analysis For AUDCHF 🕛 TOPDOWN Analysis - Navigating Crucial Support Levels
Overview: The monthly perspective reveals a historical support level established in March 2020, where strong buying interest persists. Recent monthly candles, with wicks and a liquidity sweep, suggest a potential consolidation phase. On the weekly chart, a descending triangle formation is evident, indicating a period of consolidation. However, this doesn't imply missing swing opportunities. Transitioning to the daily chart, the bearish swing structure is clear, but with potential for bullish reversal.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish
🟢 Structure Behavior/BoS: Break of Structure
🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive; inducement completed.
🟢 Pull Back: 1st pullback underway, possibly deep.
🟢 Internal Structure: Sideways; confluence across multiple time frames leading to confusion.
🟢 Resistance/Support Areas: Complex interplay with resistance, supply, distribution, and internal trendlines. Triangle breakout can guide targets.
Traps: Internal trendline breakout considerations for potential false moves.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Reversal
Presence of rounding patterns and a double bottom.
Continuation
Descending Triangle; awaiting breakout confirmation.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Notable Observations:
Bullish candles dominating the area.
Blended combo of three candles signals bullish momentum.
3️⃣ Volume: Bullish volume dominance based on Volume Spread Analysis.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Momentum State: Sideways, flat range.
🟢 Range Shift: Yet to shift; sideways to bullish divergence.
🟢 Divergence: Strong bullish divergence observed.
🟢 Loud Moves: Bullish loud move signifies market control.
🟢 Oversold Rejections: Three rejections, indicating buyer strength.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle Band Support: Provides bullish support.
🟢 Possible Compression: Suggests potential volatility before a bullish move.
6️⃣ Strength
Rate of Change: AUD stronger than CHF.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
✅ Entry TF Structure: Sideways
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive
✔ Support/Resistance Base: Triangle trendlines
☑️ Candles Behavior: Ranging
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Confirmed.
☑️ Trendline Breakout: Awaited.
☑️ Final Comments: Wait for breakout confirmation.
💡 Decision: Exercise patience.
🚀 Entry: Await breakout confirmation
✋ Stop Loss:
🎯 Take Profit: 2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout or FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio:
🕛 Expected Duration:
SUMMARY: The analysis highlights a crucial support level from March 2020, emphasizing potential consolidation. The weekly descending triangle suggests a pause in the trend, leading to a more detailed daily analysis. The complex interplay of support and resistance areas demands caution, with a focus on potential breakout scenarios. Patience is key, with detailed considerations of volume, momentum, and candle patterns in this nuanced market situation.