AUDCHF - ShortThe Australian Dollar has been weak of late, and with the current risk off sentiment we are expecting a shift back into the worlds safe haven currencies of JPY and CHF.
Our favoured pair for the coming week is AUDCHF with a beautiful 15m bearish engulfing candle right off of our level of interest at 0.68630.
Initially this trade has been taken as a day-trade however we will look to scale into a larger position and hold for anywhere from a couple of days to a couple of weeks should the initial target at 0.68325 be convincingly broken.
Keep it real.
Cheers, Paul.
Audchfforecast
AUDCHF Major LevelAUDCHF has been travelling in a descending channel marked out in black. Price recently hit the top of the channel and has started making its way down, on its way it has formed another descending channel marked out in blue. Right now price is at a major support level, It has previously been tested in the past very strongly. If price breaks above the descending channel we could be seeing another test of this area and make its way back up, or it could break below this area, retest it before dropping to make Lower Lows.
Major Support zone HIT!AUDCHF price has bounced from the major support zone highlighted by the pink rectangle. It has also been travelling in a descending channel. We believe price will now make its way up to the zone shown above (0.70500), price has made a Higher High on the 4H chart, it will now move up, break above the descending channel , come back down to retest the channel like shown above before starting a bullish rally.
AUDCHF AT THE BOTTOM OF ITS TRIANGLE AUDCHF has been travelling in a triangle, and we have just experienced a rally downwards all the way to the bottom of the triangle, Price right now is at a major level as it is also near a major area of support marked out with a pink rectangle. Price right now could either break below the support area and out of the triangle to the downside or it could bounce from this area of support and continue travelling in a the triangle upwards.
For price to continue travelling in the triangle we will need to see some sort of bullish candle, Till then we are waiting.l..
LEAVE YOUR THOUGHTS BELOW....
AUDCHF DESCENDINNG CHANNELPrice has been travelling inside a triangle and also inside a descending channel. This week the market opened with a large gap to the bottom of the channel and now it has started making its way up to the top of the channel.
As shown above we expect price to test the channel again downwards...
AUDCHF SELL LIMIT OPPORTUNITYThe price action of AUDCHF recently has been quite simple, it has been travelling in a triangle, price most recently broke out of a descending trend line to the upside and while doing so formed an ascending channel. Price followed in the channel all the way up to the top of the triangle where we experienced a small breakout to the upside. This was quickly turned into a false breakout when price shot down, breaking out of the ascending channel to the downside and back into the triangle.
Now, price will most likely come back up to retest the inside top of the triangle before making its way back down. The 0.618 retracemennt level lines up perfectly with the inside of the triangle, we have placed sell limit orders at the 0.618 and our tp is at the -1.27 extension level.
IF PRICE HITS STL , PRICE WILL MOST LIKELY FOLLOW THE RED LINE.
ELLIOT WAVE VIEW: AUDCHF SETS TO FALL 400 PIPS IN SHORTER CYCLEHi Traders,
The AUDCHF daily chart shows that the decline from Dec 2018 high to Jan 2019 low took the shape of a textbook five-wave impulse in wave (a) in red.
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The Elliott Wave theory states that a three-wave correction in the opposite direction follows every impulse. In AUDCHF’s case, wave (b) in red looks like a w-x-y double zigzag retracement.
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Waves (a) and (b) are simple a-b-c zigzags, while wave (c) is still in progress but almost completed. If this count is correct, once wave (c) completes the 5-3 wave cycle the trend can be expected to resume in the direction of the impulsive sequence.
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With regards to traditional technical analysis, price is currently rejecting a weekly resistance that lined up with 78.6 Fib ratio which suggests the high-probability reversal is expected from the near current level.
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One of the guidelines for EW zigzag formation is equality of wave A and C, in this case, wave (a) will equals wave (c) around 0.67489 area. So targets below 0.68298 are highly probable for wave (c).
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Thanks for reading!
Veejahbee.
AUDCHF GREAT OPPORTUNITY AUDCHF on the daily chart has been travelling in a large descending channel, and inside that channel is a triangle which was broken out of to the downside, since then, price has formed a descending trendline, however we have reached a major reversal poinnt of this wave, we are at a major resistannce and also the 0.618 retracement level.
Price shot up from this area to the trendline where it rejected the trendline, If price breaks out to the upside of the trendline then we could see price move up to the top of the ascending channel or even the -0.217 extension level. If price breaks below the 0.618 and current resistance then price could move down to the next support zone marked out above
AUDCHF TANKING LOWER?AS seen in our of our last opportunities, AUDCHF was travelling in a triangle however we saw a breakout to the downside. more visible in this idea
Price came back up to retest the triangle and while doing so it formed an ascending trendline which was broken and on its way down another one was formed. Price is there now, we are expecting some sharp rejections from this area
AUDCHF HUGE SHORT - TRIANGLE BREAKOUTAUDCHF was travelling in a triangle, until price broke out to the downside and came back up to retest the triangle and also the descending trendline formed from the triangle.
That is where we locked in the short trades as shown further down in our Trading view feed, we have now entered another entry - LETS GO !
AUDCHF Multi Harmonic Pattern Analysis and StrategyWe see the formation of 2 harmonic shark patterns, big (blue) and small (pink). This signaled us to buy trading the 4th leg of the shark patterns. The small one completes @ 0.7109, which is our target and where we will close our position in profit. OANDA:AUDCHF
AUDCHF LARGE SHORT APPROACHINGA large descending channel is what price has been following, The most recent test on the channel was at the bottom of this channel. We saw a rally up from this test however it looks like its time to retrace before going back up to test or break out at the top of the channel.
Price has formed a triangle shown above and has broken out of it to the downside and has already to come back up to retest. We could see a large short from this position, the drop has already started however the trade is still a long way to go. Global Forex Kingz members were sent this signal at the retest zone of the triangle and are in a risk free +25 pip short trade already. The targets are marked out on the chart above.
Target 1 and 2 are shown by purple rays